MLB · resolved market
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Toronto Blue Jays
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc0b3ea3c36877582d26c66e6b887dc436a02b2dd3dc7973bee28d06d6b9e9ccc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Toronto Blue Jaysof Pittsburgh Pirates, Toronto Blue Jays
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,070,556
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,087,858
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,070,556 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 425 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa5ea…d96abacked Toronto Blue Jays | 42c | 226,769$95,243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131,525.89 | 210 | 40%84 W · 126 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc807…c12bbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 43c | 217,401$93,482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123,918.3 | 501 | 53.5%268 W · 233 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 57c | 80,000$45,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45,600 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 43c | 76,316$33,063 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33,063.32 | 2,293 | 48.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde0a…f102backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 0c | 59,924$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.85 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 54c | 57,711$31,282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31,281.85 | 981 | 49.9%490 W · 491 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf152…64aabacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 58c | 54,000$31,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31,320 | 770 | 53.9%415 W · 355 L | +8.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 58c | 46,069$26,720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,720.02 | 920 | 54%497 W · 423 L | +23.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16bb…8492backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 58c | 32,200$18,676 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,675.91 | 865 | 48.7%421 W · 444 L | -8.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef1b…8697backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 33c | 31,115$10,268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,268 | 140 | 42.9%60 W · 80 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 57c | 25,925$14,797 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,796.69 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 57c | 23,300$13,281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,281 | 274 | 52.6%144 W · 130 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd65…ee96backed Toronto Blue Jays | 44c | 22,727$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,727.27 | 238 | 46.6%111 W · 127 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 38c | 19,292$7,425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,425.36 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Toronto Blue Jays | 42c | 17,415$7,314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,100.47 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26b4…b8a9backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 59c | 15,500$9,145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,145 | 435 | 54%235 W · 200 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 58c | 14,919$8,643 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,642.98 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc08…a137backed Toronto Blue Jays | 69c | 13,303$9,188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,114.88 | 319 | 58.6%187 W · 132 L | +27.3wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 58c | 12,931$7,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,500 | 1,572 | 48.3%759 W · 813 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85d0…be29backed Toronto Blue Jays | 66c | 11,520$7,603 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,916.74 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +76.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3625…1187backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 58c | 10,345$6,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,000 | 379 | 53.6%203 W · 176 L | +18.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8fba…d08abacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 57c | 10,000$5,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,699.98 | 531 | 50.5%268 W · 263 L | +19.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36a7…b6e9backed Toronto Blue Jays | 48c | 9,901$4,741 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,159.92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…79e0backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 58c | 9,500$5,510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,510.01 | 550 | 52.4%288 W · 262 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1467…4372backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 58c | 9,000$5,220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,220 | 130 | 45.4%59 W · 71 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6853…5846backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 58c | 9,000$5,220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,219.99 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 38c | 8,792$3,353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,353.42 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 57c | 8,674$4,944 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,944.1 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1171…98dcbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 45c | 8,446$3,763 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,682.95 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Toronto Blue Jays | 60c | 7,709$4,634 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,074.79 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 0c | 5,500$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 876 | 2.9%25 W · 851 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09af…9728backed Toronto Blue Jays | 43c | 5,415$2,329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,086.78 | 891 | 53.5%477 W · 414 L | +24.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Toronto Blue Jays | 60c | 5,162$3,122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,040.5 | 2,021 | 39.5%798 W · 1,223 L | -25.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 58c | 5,080$2,946 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,945.6 | 2,291 | 52.5%1,202 W · 1,089 L | +24.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3837…c6b0backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 57c | 5,000$2,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,850 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +2.4wins | +0.14per pick | 56cpaid | +26%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdfa6…6c6cbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 44c | 4,464$1,964 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,499.84 | 142 | 52.1%74 W · 68 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8cff…eeb8backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 6c | 3,901$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.4 | 70 | 10%7 W · 63 L | -5.2wins | -0.07per pick | 17cpaid | -56.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 2c | 3,787$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.95 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 35c | 3,750$1,313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,312.5 | 2,369 | 47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 44c | 3,644$1,614 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,614.48 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Toronto Blue Jays | 48c | 3,579$1,715 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,863.68 | 2,147 | 50.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L | +27.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 60c | 3,412$2,043 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,042.63 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 55c | 3,156$1,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,405.93 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 57c | 3,000$1,710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,709.97 | 672 | 50.1%337 W · 335 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 43c | 2,893$1,245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,244.57 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae30…079ebacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 39c | 2,739$1,078 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,078.33 | 80 | 53.8%43 W · 37 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 56c | 2,500$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,400 | 750 | 49.7%373 W · 377 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 39c | 2,403$944 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$944.01 | 1,466 | 44.1%647 W · 819 L | +44.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6dab…e5c0backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 1c | 2,139$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.11 | 112 | 28.6%32 W · 80 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 58c | 2,018$1,175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,175.37 | 2,407 | 48.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L | -62.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 58c | 2,001$1,154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,153.69 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda44…2b09backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 45c | 2,000$910 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$909.99 | 79 | 46.8%37 W · 42 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 44c | 1,954$865 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$865.29 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Toronto Blue Jays | 43c | 1,952$839 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,112.42 | 979 | 44.4%435 W · 544 L | -22.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf668…5c69backed Toronto Blue Jays | 41c | 1,938$795 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,143.35 | 52 | 76.9%40 W · 12 L | +11.8wins | +0.23per pick | 54cpaid | +45.6%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x3a53…cc07backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 58c | 1,910$1,108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,107.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19f5…6092backed Toronto Blue Jays | 42c | 1,910$802 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,107.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaab5…fdc0backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 5c | 1,700$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 292 | 41.4%121 W · 171 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 42c | 1,700$715 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$985.37 | 1,769 | 51.6%912 W · 857 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e86…cb8fbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 59c | 1,695$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 74 | 51.4%38 W · 36 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Toronto Blue Jays | 42c | 1,649$689 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960.02 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 41c | 1,590$652 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$938.1 | 694 | 53.6%372 W · 322 L | +14.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Toronto Blue Jays | 42c | 1,555$653 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$901.9 | 1,352 | 50.8%687 W · 665 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Toronto Blue Jays | 42c | 1,544$649 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$895.64 | 737 | 48.4%357 W · 380 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 58c | 1,514$878 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$878.12 | 1,345 | 47.7%642 W · 703 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd52d…412dbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 44c | 1,484$653 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$830.85 | 65 | 58.5%38 W · 27 L | +4.0wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0cbb…f8a3backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 59c | 1,463$863 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$863.11 | 302 | 42.4%128 W · 174 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Toronto Blue Jays | 42c | 1,400$588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$811.97 | 619 | 47.7%295 W · 324 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Toronto Blue Jays | 70c | 1,388$972 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416.4 | 1,725 | 50.1%864 W · 861 L | -4.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcba5…cd88backed Toronto Blue Jays | 43c | 1,379$593 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$786.03 | 660 | 50.2%331 W · 329 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5b…9b61backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 5c | 1,361$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.35 | 88 | 47.7%42 W · 46 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x783b…dc4cbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 33c | 1,232$404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$403.64 | 609 | 41.4%252 W · 357 L | -22.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x50c3…ace1backed Toronto Blue Jays | 43c | 1,200$516 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$684 | 866 | 53%459 W · 407 L | +16.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 2c | 1,180$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.56 | 392 | 9.4%37 W · 355 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96ca…5a71backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 25c | 1,151$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286 | 252 | 47.6%120 W · 132 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe292…84b8backed Toronto Blue Jays | 43c | 1,144$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$648.81 | 1,402 | 43.1%604 W · 798 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Toronto Blue Jays | 53c | 1,103$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$522.98 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x066e…ceb2backed Toronto Blue Jays | 43c | 1,100$473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$627 | 252 | 40.1%101 W · 151 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 10c | 1,005$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.8 | 1,522 | 34.7%528 W · 994 L | +27.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc98f…a13fbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 2c | 1,000$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 266 | 18.4%49 W · 217 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Toronto Blue Jays | 41c | 1,000$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$590 | 159 | 42.1%67 W · 92 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ab…b16ebacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 58c | 1,000$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580 | 52 | 57.7%30 W · 22 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb92a…f51cbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 58c | 1,000$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -24%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0844…f46abacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 58c | 1,000$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580 | 168 | 48.2%81 W · 87 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1cb…2345backed Toronto Blue Jays | 41c | 1,000$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$590 | 68 | 55.9%38 W · 30 L | +4.8wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d21…abc5backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 34c | 999.99$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340 | 124 | 41.1%51 W · 73 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f41…260ebacked Toronto Blue Jays | 41c | 999.99$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$589.99 | 67 | 41.8%28 W · 39 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3cd3…5896backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 57c | 999.9$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$569.94 | 174 | 46%80 W · 94 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 55c | 983$541 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540.9 | 1,851 | 53.1%982 W · 869 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1293…e575backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 58c | 979$568 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$567.82 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c67…1075backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 55c | 977.3$535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$535.16 | 51 | 72.5%37 W · 14 L | +4.2wins | +0.08per pick | 64cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 55c | 951$522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$522.35 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc278…a116backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 3c | 923.32$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.73 | 841 | 40.2%338 W · 503 L | -3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 3c | 909.85$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.57 | 406 | 29.1%118 W · 288 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d24…b6ddbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 58c | 862.07$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.11per pick | 58cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9621…0a73backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 59c | 847.46$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 186 | 58.6%109 W · 77 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa535…9e5ebacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 58c | 832.76$483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$483 | 467 | 49.5%231 W · 236 L | -12.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45d1…83dabacked Toronto Blue Jays | 43c | 813.95$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$463.95 | 138 | 51.4%71 W · 67 L | +6.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe922…39b3backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 58c | 733.23$425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$425.27 | 204 | 55.9%114 W · 90 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c47…7a9fbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 59c | 708.71$418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$418.14 | 119 | 48.7%58 W · 61 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Toronto Blue Jaysthis page
- Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 4.5Over won
- Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 5.5Over won
- Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 6.5Over won
- Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 7.5Under won
- Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 8.5Under won
- Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Pittsburgh Pirates (-1.5)Toronto Blue Jays won
- Spread: Pittsburgh Pirates (-2.5)Toronto Blue Jays won
- Spread: Toronto Blue Jays (-1.5)Toronto Blue Jays won
- Spread: Toronto Blue Jays (-2.5)Toronto Blue Jays won
- Spread: Toronto Blue Jays (-3.5)Pittsburgh Pirates won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Toronto Blue JaysYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.