Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Team Nemesis vs Amaru Gaming (BO3)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbedfc944515df821f3c87fd2ea6522fdf56059dad1beeff45fbf939f2e7bc7df
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Amaru Gamingof Team Nemesis, Amaru Gaming
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $139,628
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $148,438
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $139,628 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 155 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3450…6793backed Team Nemesis | 67c | 8,337$5,570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,570.1 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -2.3wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Team Nemesis | 39c | 7,949$3,081 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,081.21 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdf1…c324backed Amaru Gaming | 54c | 6,505$3,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,004.76 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | -2.8wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3db3…932fbacked Amaru Gaming | 65c | 6,144$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,144.12 | 161 | 49.7%80 W · 81 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd903…bf9dbacked Team Nemesis | 47c | 5,033$2,382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,382.25 | 103 | 38.8%40 W · 63 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Team Nemesis | 1c | 3,423$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.63 | 616 | 9.7%60 W · 556 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaab5…aab4backed Amaru Gaming | 77c | 3,187$2,439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$748.14 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9055…756abacked Amaru Gaming | 64c | 2,500$1,602 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$897.7 | 119 | 60.5%72 W · 47 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Team Nemesis | 46c | 2,375$1,099 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,098.85 | 341 | 46.6%159 W · 182 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Amaru Gaming | 49c | 2,215$1,076 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,139.6 | 628 | 41.1%258 W · 370 L | -17.8wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10e7…8b5cbacked Amaru Gaming | 21c | 2,000$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,580 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.79per pick | 21cpaid | +376.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Team Nemesis | 49c | 1,810$888 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$888.11 | 108 | 33.3%36 W · 72 L | -7.1wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6acc…e6eebacked Amaru Gaming | 51c | 1,789$918 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$871.5 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff80…9b4dbacked Team Nemesis | 17c | 1,726$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.69 | 174 | 44.8%78 W · 96 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31b5…6128backed Amaru Gaming | 72c | 1,687$1,214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$473.43 | 180 | 75%135 W · 45 L | +18.8wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3ae9…74acbacked Amaru Gaming | 38c | 1,641$631 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,010.25 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked Amaru Gaming | 35c | 1,637$572 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,064.15 | 78 | 30.8%24 W · 54 L | -6.0wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed Amaru Gaming | 41c | 1,505$623 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$881.99 | 364 | 42.3%154 W · 210 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd397…5052backed Team Nemesis | 48c | 1,458$703 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$703.25 | 234 | 65%152 W · 82 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaab8…a331backed Amaru Gaming | 56c | 1,227$683 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$544.46 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47c8…f30abacked Amaru Gaming | 25c | 1,200$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f99…f4d5backed Team Nemesis | 70c | 1,181$826 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$825.79 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -3.6wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -51%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4572…83ffbacked Team Nemesis | 58c | 1,016$586 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$586 | 534 | 51.7%276 W · 258 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Amaru Gaming | 59c | 945.36$555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390 | 168 | 35.7%60 W · 108 L | -7.2wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x05b9…af0abacked Amaru Gaming | 51c | 898.4$459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$439.11 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb75e…1737backed Team Nemesis | 54c | 854.59$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460 | 109 | 45%49 W · 60 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Team Nemesis | 36c | 845.93$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.22 | 738 | 41.7%308 W · 430 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06eb…1a5fbacked Amaru Gaming | 64c | 832.82$537 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.14 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | -2.9wins | -0.11per pick | 66cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1bcb…b05abacked Amaru Gaming | 66c | 800$528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272 | 380 | 49.2%187 W · 193 L | +13.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +168.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbcb9…4734backed Team Nemesis | 72c | 756$547 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$547.34 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -32%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d9d…e6c3backed Team Nemesis | 52c | 720.11$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374.46 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9679…9315backed Team Nemesis | 46c | 668.11$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.5 | 160 | 58.8%94 W · 66 L | +9.6wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba05…f8c0backed Amaru Gaming | 15c | 600$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510 | 491 | 33.6%165 W · 326 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fc9…fa88backed Team Nemesis | 46c | 551.8$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.52 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -3.2wins | -0.16per pick | 46cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0cf2…423abacked Amaru Gaming | 19c | 514.24$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414.25 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked Amaru Gaming | 30c | 470.47$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.9 | 858 | 51.3%440 W · 418 L | +30.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd23d…f322backed Amaru Gaming | 52c | 460.31$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.95 | 54 | 59.3%32 W · 22 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ed…617ebacked Amaru Gaming | 50c | 424.26$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.48 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcfbb…55b0backed Team Nemesis | 76c | 395.49$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.57 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -3.4wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Amaru Gaming | 42c | 371.66$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.56 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed Amaru Gaming | 23c | 371.06$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.6 | 557 | 51.7%288 W · 269 L | +16.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x490a…1d4bbacked Team Nemesis | 32c | 363.65$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.34 | 79 | 35.4%28 W · 51 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed Amaru Gaming | 48c | 363.11$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.15 | 451 | 39.2%177 W · 274 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f1f…aa39backed Amaru Gaming | 59c | 347$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.7 | 450 | 61.6%277 W · 173 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8a9…3f60backed Team Nemesis | 54c | 328.85$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.67 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5cab…a8cfbacked Amaru Gaming | 65c | 308.62$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.62 | 353 | 70%247 W · 106 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b26…c9afbacked Team Nemesis | 54c | 300$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162 | 142 | 51.4%73 W · 69 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebf4…181ebacked Amaru Gaming | 72c | 291.57$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.64 | 107 | 70.1%75 W · 32 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 68cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204e…aa95backed Amaru Gaming | 74c | 280.01$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ff2…49febacked Team Nemesis | 48c | 260.52$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa05…1f6ebacked Team Nemesis | 4c | 250$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -15%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefb9…e74fbacked Team Nemesis | 35c | 250$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.5 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Team Nemesis | 63c | 247.44$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.06 | 897 | 49.6%445 W · 452 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Amaru Gaming | 27c | 233.13$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.19 | 173 | 42.8%74 W · 99 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc64…d596backed Team Nemesis | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -2.5wins | -0.18per pick | 32cpaid | -62.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Team Nemesis | 39c | 222.06$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.21 | 869 | 49%426 W · 443 L | -3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x033e…1bb9backed Amaru Gaming | 54c | 220.27$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.27 | 568 | 48.8%277 W · 291 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe463…f7b2backed Amaru Gaming | 17c | 210$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.9 | 208 | 38.9%81 W · 127 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7b0…6960backed Team Nemesis | 74c | 210$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.9 | 80 | 55%44 W · 36 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa80…053ebacked Team Nemesis | 40c | 210$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc76b…5fbabacked Amaru Gaming | 62c | 206.56$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.56 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38e3…e46dbacked Team Nemesis | 49c | 205.74$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 38 | 26.3%10 W · 28 L | -3.5wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa226…5092backed Amaru Gaming | 15c | 200$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58bc…1fdbbacked Amaru Gaming | 35c | 200$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | +3.9wins | +0.20per pick | 11cpaid | +140.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4301…3bc8backed Team Nemesis | 74c | 184.75$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.55 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 74cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8aaf…c132backed Team Nemesis | 53c | 180.57$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.17 | 60 | 53.3%32 W · 28 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadaf…aefdbacked Team Nemesis | 44c | 173.72$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.33 | 132 | 38.6%51 W · 81 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x344f…1adabacked Team Nemesis | 45c | 168.3$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed Team Nemesis | 52c | 158.59$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.99 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -3.0wins | -0.15per pick | 57cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x073a…6f98backed Team Nemesis | 38c | 153.73$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.17 | 203 | 61.6%125 W · 78 L | +22.0wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +12%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x882c…a26fbacked Team Nemesis | 67c | 148.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.54 | 57 | 56.1%32 W · 25 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb26c…46ddbacked Amaru Gaming | 68c | 147.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.57 | 82 | 39%32 W · 50 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd4d1…086ebacked Amaru Gaming | 49c | 146.4$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.62 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2692…b1d1backed Team Nemesis | 65c | 145.99$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.59 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5388…4d5abacked Amaru Gaming | 14c | 142.49$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.55 | 218 | 47.2%103 W · 115 L | +16.5wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc2b0…e756backed Team Nemesis | 20c | 140$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.8 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Team Nemesis | 75c | 133.98$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 81 | 60.5%49 W · 32 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Team Nemesis | 67c | 129.84$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.49 | 135 | 57.8%78 W · 57 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c9b…3796backed Amaru Gaming | 61c | 125$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ffc…8967backed Team Nemesis | 52c | 120.86$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.67 | 220 | 33.6%74 W · 146 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8330…b88fbacked Amaru Gaming | 50c | 120$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 83 | 30.1%25 W · 58 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb89…9fdfbacked Amaru Gaming | 72c | 117.9$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.14 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1963…8122backed Team Nemesis | 55c | 114.93$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.2 | 95 | 48.4%46 W · 49 L | -9.6wins | -0.10per pick | 59cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe42b…7ea9backed Amaru Gaming | 47c | 110.76$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.87 | 465 | 35.1%163 W · 302 L | +22.9wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x730e…fca0backed Amaru Gaming | 29c | 109.75$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 205 | 35.1%72 W · 133 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -21%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0974…003dbacked Amaru Gaming | 70c | 109.63$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.77 | 80 | 66.3%53 W · 27 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa157…8641backed Amaru Gaming | 62c | 106.45$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.45 | 61 | 31.1%19 W · 42 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf3…50d9backed Amaru Gaming | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.17 | 79 | 36.7%29 W · 50 L | -7.1wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -20%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3103…d804backed Team Nemesis | 36c | 104.01$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.65 | 86 | 27.9%24 W · 62 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf281…d4abbacked Team Nemesis | 61c | 101.28$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.78 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.34per pick | 54cpaid | -74.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xca81…f2abbacked Amaru Gaming | 26c | 101$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.74 | 87 | 48.3%42 W · 45 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe50a…b40bbacked Amaru Gaming | 72c | 100$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.17per pick | 64cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb82b…3a09backed Amaru Gaming | 13c | 100$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87 | 149 | 48.3%72 W · 77 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8254…137fbacked Team Nemesis | 34c | 100$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdfe5…cf64backed Team Nemesis | 44c | 100$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +54.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51ec…a7b9backed Amaru Gaming | 25c | 100$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 94 | 23.4%22 W · 72 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…bcb3backed Amaru Gaming | 21c | 96.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.67 | 436 | 47.5%207 W · 229 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb29…ea29backed Team Nemesis | 58c | 92.79$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.41 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6dec…be12backed Amaru Gaming | 48c | 83.33$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.33 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.16per pick | 32cpaid | -65.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd136…8422backed Team Nemesis | 73c | 83.24$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.91 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 56cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Team Nemesis vs Amaru Gaming (BO3)this page
- Dota 2: Team Nemesis vs Amaru Gaming - Game 1 WinnerAmaru Gaming won
- Dota 2: Team Nemesis vs Amaru Gaming - Game 2 WinnerTeam Nemesis won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.