TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Dota2 · resolved market

Dota 2: OG vs Team Yandex (BO3)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Team Yandexof OG, Team Yandex
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$474,052
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$503,852

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $474,052 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 385 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Dota2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4047…7293backed OG44c32,231$14,160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,159.8816050.6%81 W · 79 L+6.1wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+17.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5d58…9a15backed OG42c28,570$11,994 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,994.1114840.5%60 W · 88 L-4.0wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-10.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4572…83ffbacked OG43c28,443$12,343 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,342.7253451.7%276 W · 258 L+2.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7f76…3e05backed OG37c26,882$9,837 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,837.366750.7%34 W · 33 L-4.0wins-0.06per pick57cpaid-15.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Team Yandex58c22,744$13,191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,552.352356.5%13 W · 10 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6650…04febacked OG0c15,000$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb3dd…a7e0backed Team Yandex58c11,905$6,905 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,00013155%72 W · 59 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa41c…fadebacked OG41c10,999$4,460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,459.6210641.5%44 W · 62 L-0.3wins0.00per pick42cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1ab4…79dabacked OG0c10,140$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.1410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2cdb…4d30backed Team Yandex63c10,027$6,317 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,709.915558.2%32 W · 23 L+7.2wins+0.13per pick45cpaid+22.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xf512…40e3backed OG63c9,786$6,165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,165.343650%18 W · 18 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Team Yandex54c9,774$5,235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,538.492,01244.2%889 W · 1,123 L+36.6wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x081e…f76ebacked Team Yandex62c7,793$4,832 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,961.4633850.9%172 W · 166 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f5b…d411backed Team Yandex63c7,141$4,499 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,642.312100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdb63…a71dbacked Team Yandex60c6,404$3,829 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,575.5320159.7%120 W · 81 L+9.9wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+7.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9376…c075backed OG42c6,292$2,639 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,639.386155.7%34 W · 27 L+0.1wins0.00per pick56cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe232…042dbacked Team Yandex41c6,162$2,523 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,638.861100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.59per pick41cpaid+144.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6304…e570backed OG42c5,850$2,457 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,457.0327645.3%125 W · 151 L-8.2wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-10.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4337…8882backed OG41c5,734$2,336 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,336.3216842.9%72 W · 96 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x718a…3e1abacked Team Yandex60c5,457$3,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,157.193100%3 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+60.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbdac…f7e2backed OG59c5,449$3,241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,241.343036.7%11 W · 19 L-2.1wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-33%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x08c2…c023backed Team Yandex56c4,823$2,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,122.6848954.6%267 W · 222 L+23.6wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+3.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa61b…3984backed Team Yandex60c4,811$2,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,910.831442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-10.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6661…a0a0backed Team Yandex59c3,997$2,358 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,638.731100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4275…08fabacked OG41c3,988$1,635 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,63510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa72e…3db9backed Team Yandex41c3,726$1,536 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,190.117143.7%31 W · 40 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+15.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed Team Yandex49c3,610$1,757 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,853.3162841.1%258 W · 370 L-17.8wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-18.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5388…4d5abacked OG19c3,108$581 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$581.1121847.2%103 W · 115 L+16.5wins+0.08per pick40cpaid+16.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xcdfb…980cbacked OG39c3,035$1,190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,19017546.9%82 W · 93 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-9.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3df8…a696backed OG45c3,000$1,350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,349.991258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.3wins+0.11per pick47cpaid+16.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6723…a540backed OG45c2,918$1,326 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,326.061450%7 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd903…bf9dbacked Team Yandex55c2,733$1,503 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,229.810338.8%40 W · 63 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick36cpaid-5.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcb30…302abacked Team Yandex63c2,668$1,681 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$987.0110451%53 W · 51 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-7.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc79b…8cfabacked OG73c2,375$1,725 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,724.5910%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.73per pick73cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3461…4629backed Team Yandex80c2,337$1,860 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$476.642560%15 W · 10 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked OG31c2,295$713 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$713.1373841.7%308 W · 430 L-5.2wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xda5f…2e9bbacked Team Yandex44c2,263$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,262.5811557.4%66 W · 49 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa1fa…f3bebacked OG39c2,259$885 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$885.2113450.7%68 W · 66 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked Team Yandex40c2,223$892 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,331.211,82145%820 W · 1,001 L+33.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0e9a…5f9cbacked Team Yandex60c2,166$1,299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$866.231060%6 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Team Yandex59c2,122$1,249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$873.0537832.5%123 W · 255 L-12.7wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-35.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked OG40c2,051$816 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$816.4730138.9%117 W · 184 L-20.3wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-32.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb7b3…9573backed Team Yandex60c2,000$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80013027.7%36 W · 94 L-9.3wins-0.07per pick35cpaid-35.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb7e2…826cbacked OG48c1,969$946 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$945.542733.3%9 W · 18 L-4.8wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-39.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xe063…8a04backed OG28c1,917$529 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$528.9910340.8%42 W · 61 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-29.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf457…d1a6backed Team Yandex55c1,812$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$811.5312459.7%74 W · 50 L+4.6wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+8.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed Team Yandex54c1,789$970 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$819.63925.6%10 W · 29 L-5.3wins-0.14per pick39cpaid-33.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x3a7a…15a4backed Team Yandex60c1,761$1,052 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$708.625541.8%23 W · 32 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5942…5641backed OG42c1,600$672 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6723228.1%9 W · 23 L-5.0wins-0.16per pick44cpaid-46%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x1f2d…2b35backed Team Yandex59c1,580$932 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$647.9453652.6%282 W · 254 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe48…5895backed Team Yandex58c1,562$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$661.5312147.9%58 W · 63 L+3.6wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd161…4cc1backed OG6c1,446$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.6180443.9%353 W · 451 L-1.7wins0.00per pick44cpaid-11%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2195…16f9backed Team Yandex58c1,207$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$506.89683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.19per pick64cpaid+38.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1464…5e75backed Team Yandex58c1,200$696 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50412351.2%63 W · 60 L-7.0wins-0.06per pick57cpaid-12.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf6de…95e8backed Team Yandex63c1,182$744 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$437.675750.9%29 W · 28 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+13.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x74ef…1ac6backed OG45c1,144$515 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$515.0947660.7%289 W · 187 L-0.2wins0.00per pick61cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbd1e…ff14backed OG41c1,036$425 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$424.8111253.6%60 W · 52 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick55cpaid+2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0caf…91adbacked OG68c1,000$680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$679.917750.6%39 W · 38 L-9.7wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-23.1%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x40f8…327dbacked Team Yandex59c999.38$590 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$409.7511839.8%47 W · 71 L-7.5wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-13.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xefee…d2b3backed Team Yandex76c970.48$734 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$236.6212256.6%69 W · 53 L-7.5wins-0.06per pick63cpaid-13.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3d13…a448backed OG44c957$421 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$421.0810%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8b26…c9afbacked Team Yandex58c937.26$544 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$393.6514251.4%73 W · 69 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc23d…5a2ebacked OG36c835$301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300.610%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe08e…1d61backed Team Yandex60c833.33$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$333.334678.3%36 W · 10 L+6.1wins+0.13per pick65cpaid+16.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xe81c…a724backed OG41c800$328 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3284763.8%30 W · 17 L+2.6wins+0.06per pick58cpaid+9.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5bc4…f44fbacked OG42c799.99$336 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3363748.6%18 W · 19 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x41a5…75bbbacked Team Yandex52c773.06$399 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$374.1261449.5%304 W · 310 L+9.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd035…f165backed OG42c750.01$314 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$313.9910735.5%38 W · 69 L-2.9wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-28.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf051…a54cbacked OG18c727.2$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1337149.3%35 W · 36 L+6.1wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+16.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xea61…cc32backed OG41c714.74$292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$291.997549.3%37 W · 38 L+5.8wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+22.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xaacf…5f84backed Team Yandex74c700$518 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18259250.5%299 W · 293 L-20.7wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-10%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed OG44c681.82$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30029348.5%142 W · 151 L-0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6450…9547backed OG35c679.74$236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$236.1810141.6%42 W · 59 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5bb0…b502backed OG42c659$277 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$276.78650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-22.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4b0a…e04bbacked Team Yandex53c659$349 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$309.731100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb055…c95abacked Team Yandex63c652.27$411 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$241.341145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick42cpaid-23%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0341…a679backed Team Yandex45c640$288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3528155.6%45 W · 36 L+8.2wins+0.10per pick45cpaid+37.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x031d…db9dbacked OG55c640$352 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35215653.2%83 W · 73 L-6.9wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-9.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xce1f…7392backed Team Yandex65c634.46$410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$224.6867853.5%363 W · 315 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0e5c…c9eebacked OG72c616.26$444 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$443.54250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.20per pick70cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x63e7…c2d9backed Team Yandex56c610$342 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$268.43100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+127.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Team Yandex59c600$354 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24620642.2%87 W · 119 L-0.9wins0.00per pick43cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa55e…c136backed Team Yandex32c599.99$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$406.553557.1%20 W · 15 L+4.0wins+0.11per pick46cpaid+4.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x209e…8bb4backed OG45c573$257 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$256.6880544.6%359 W · 446 L-25.8wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-8.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7d6f…b384backed Team Yandex64c552$353 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$198.72450%2 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.10per pick40cpaid-24.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f3f…5878backed OG37c538.74$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2008137%30 W · 51 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe6c9…975ebacked OG38c527.12$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.488411.9%10 W · 74 L-14.1wins-0.17per pick29cpaid-63.5%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0xf5d0…d9e8backed OG41c525.81$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$215.5811346.9%53 W · 60 L+0.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid+7.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b5c…99e1backed Team Yandex55c512.14$282 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$230.522152.4%11 W · 10 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-10%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Team Yandex58c509.46$298 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$211.4860542.6%258 W · 347 L-14.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-7.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xff80…9b4dbacked Team Yandex35c507.8$178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$330.0717444.8%78 W · 96 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-6.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x17b9…430dbacked OG41c505.97$209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2091668.8%11 W · 5 L+2.6wins+0.16per pick52cpaid+23.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd397…5052backed Team Yandex60c500$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20023465%152 W · 82 L-1.0wins0.00per pick65cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xca1f…ed28backed Team Yandex60c499.99$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20060552.6%318 W · 287 L+15.0wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d29…6da9backed OG55c499.97$275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$274.99757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed OG49c496.95$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$245.0214537.2%54 W · 91 L-3.7wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-29.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x05ec…ed1dbacked Team Yandex79c494.35$391 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.31666.7%4 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick74cpaid-13.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4ff3…c17fbacked Team Yandex61c492.37$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.362245.5%10 W · 12 L+3.6wins+0.16per pick29cpaid+44%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa0f9…cf34backed OG65c466.55$303 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303.2618661.8%115 W · 71 L-6.9wins-0.04per pick66cpaid-10.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Team Yandex73c449.69$329 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.3110833.3%36 W · 72 L-7.1wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-39.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.