TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Dota2 · resolved market

Dota 2: OG vs Team Yandex - Game 2 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Team Yandexof OG, Team Yandex
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$107,283
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$131,727

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $107,283 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 87 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Dota2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x7f76…3e05backed OG40c16,589$6,612 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,611.986750.7%34 W · 33 L-4.0wins-0.06per pick57cpaid-15.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4572…83ffbacked Team Yandex58c16,482$9,501 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,981.0753451.7%276 W · 258 L+2.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xff80…9b4dbacked Team Yandex59c6,409$3,777 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,632.0217444.8%78 W · 96 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-6.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd161…4cc1backed OG5c4,412$218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$217.8680443.9%353 W · 451 L-1.7wins0.00per pick44cpaid-11%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2307…3934backed Team Yandex51c4,038$2,069 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,968.7622848.2%110 W · 118 L-4.1wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-7.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked OG34c3,601$1,224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,223.5473841.7%308 W · 430 L-5.2wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x20a5…de1bbacked OG50c3,500$1,740 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,7405358.5%31 W · 22 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick55cpaid-5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xec61…4a2ebacked OG34c3,000$1,010 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,009.9710941.3%45 W · 64 L-3.8wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-15.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed OG29c2,646$770 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$769.6762841.1%258 W · 370 L-17.8wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-18.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7a78…add7backed OG36c2,110$763 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$762.9836442.3%154 W · 210 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-14.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xea61…cc32backed OG51c2,061$1,056 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,056.457549.3%37 W · 38 L+5.8wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+22.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1f2d…2b35backed OG48c2,000$960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96053652.6%282 W · 254 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked OG33c1,574$516 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$516.272,01244.2%889 W · 1,123 L+36.6wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked OG37c1,500$555 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55539936.8%147 W · 252 L+4.9wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcdfb…980cbacked Team Yandex54c1,202$644 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$557.8517546.9%82 W · 93 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-9.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb055…c95abacked Team Yandex58c1,004$581 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$422.21145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick42cpaid-23%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked OG18c997.77$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180.251,82145%820 W · 1,001 L+33.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5388…4d5abacked OG11c879.53$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.0321847.2%103 W · 115 L+16.5wins+0.08per pick40cpaid+16.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4bee…ca01backed Team Yandex78c846$663 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.16460.9%39 W · 25 L+5.8wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+10.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x31b5…6128backed OG46c692.19$315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$315.0218075%135 W · 45 L+18.8wins+0.10per pick65cpaid+16.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xd397…5052backed Team Yandex54c560.8$303 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257.9723465%152 W · 82 L-1.0wins0.00per pick65cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe48…5895backed Team Yandex56c535.06$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.0612147.9%58 W · 63 L+3.6wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x250f…7c54backed OG2c500.11$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick18cpaid-65.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7072…abccbacked Team Yandex59c499.98$295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.9912868%87 W · 41 L+5.5wins+0.04per pick64cpaid+5.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6cec…a075backed OG3c488.33$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.520%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4047…7293backed Team Yandex55c486.03$268 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$217.9916050.6%81 W · 79 L+6.1wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+17.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x60b6…eb2bbacked OG40c429.47$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170150%0 W · 15 L-5.3wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0x419b…6ea1backed OG55c363.91$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20022453.1%119 W · 105 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x26be…d699backed OG42c335.17$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.551553.3%8 W · 7 L+1.5wins+0.10per pick43cpaid+21.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1f04…5fc4backed OG49c305.32$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.6131545.4%143 W · 172 L-19.2wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-13.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4283…fbd4backed Team Yandex54c278.09$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.091070%7 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick63cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x469f…3d4fbacked OG38c263.16$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10023546.8%110 W · 125 L+10.7wins+0.05per pick42cpaid0%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3103…d804backed OG43c260$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.88627.9%24 W · 62 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-9.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeb89…46f1backed OG38c250.51$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.173452.9%18 W · 16 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe063…8a04backed OG5c210.69$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.1110340.8%42 W · 61 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-29.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x091e…3432backed OG50c210.08$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.0411452.6%60 W · 54 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+6.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a26…0498backed OG49c204.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001681.3%13 W · 3 L+3.5wins+0.22per pick59cpaid+38.6%equal weight59+0.09 edge/pick
0x871c…7f0abacked OG50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006068.3%41 W · 19 L+3.5wins+0.06per pick62cpaid+3.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2aa7…003fbacked OG33c200$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6645052.4%236 W · 214 L+13.8wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdca4…1c68backed OG51c196.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10064149.9%320 W · 321 L+1.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x031d…db9dbacked Team Yandex54c185.19$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.1915653.2%83 W · 73 L-6.9wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-9.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xae8f…e8b1backed Team Yandex54c181.48$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.485540%22 W · 33 L-5.0wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-23.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb358…122cbacked OG50c179.55$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$905635.7%20 W · 36 L-10.2wins-0.18per pick54cpaid-39.8%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x61fa…7f62backed Team Yandex56c178.57$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.5746451.5%239 W · 225 L-12.1wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x48ec…a48cbacked OG45c167.26$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.361266.7%8 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaf8a…c4e7backed OG42c161.8$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.38333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-36.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xca1f…ed28backed OG26c160$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.660552.6%318 W · 287 L+15.0wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb3b6…1765backed OG11c160$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179244.6%41 W · 51 L-5.1wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-21.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd47f…41f9backed OG45c157.14$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$705050%25 W · 25 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3703…2795backed OG20c150$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3015341.2%63 W · 90 L-7.6wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-9.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8e13…a547backed OG17c135.64$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.85366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.31per pick36cpaid+53.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x073a…6f98backed OG24c135.6$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.3820361.6%125 W · 78 L+22.0wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+12%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xe706…6921backed OG45c123.06$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.991040%4 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-19.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ca1…8becbacked OG32c110.89$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.04520%1 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.19per pick39cpaid-66%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1891…fd78backed OG50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501747.1%8 W · 9 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf051…a54cbacked OG21c86.72$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.377149.3%35 W · 36 L+6.1wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+16.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5cab…a8cfbacked Team Yandex79c82.05$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.8435370%247 W · 106 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick69cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb382…c498backed Team Yandex74c81.08$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.087159.2%42 W · 29 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbf5c…48f9backed Team Yandex63c78.96$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.2210745.8%49 W · 58 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb82b…3a09backed Team Yandex57c69.99$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.114948.3%72 W · 77 L-5.1wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-3.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5952…8a5ebacked OG30c66.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209643.8%42 W · 54 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4d60…be72backed OG45c65.29$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.3819949.2%98 W · 101 L+8.7wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+4.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x84d9…76dbbacked Team Yandex51c62.87$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.6126741.9%112 W · 155 L-6.1wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0257…22b2backed Team Yandex66c60.61$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.6123650.4%119 W · 117 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8031…67e0backed Team Yandex60c60.56$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.1773743.6%321 W · 416 L-10.8wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1ffc…8967backed Team Yandex79c58.71$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.4222033.6%74 W · 146 L-0.6wins0.00per pick34cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0974…003dbacked OG44c57.77$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.528066.3%53 W · 27 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick63cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf459…7a53backed Team Yandex66c57.48$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.5410260.8%62 W · 40 L+5.7wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+9.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc376…a8e7backed OG41c51.46$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2113140.5%53 W · 78 L-12.1wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-18%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked OG37c49.98$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.4986949%426 W · 443 L-3.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x680b…276abacked OG36c46.55$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.88540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-34.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9428…63d5backed OG44c46.48$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.51450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd823…e01bbacked Team Yandex52c42.93$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.7333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid-35.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa675…b98dbacked Team Yandex60c41.67$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.672268.2%15 W · 7 L+2.2wins+0.10per pick58cpaid+19.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x047a…941ebacked OG41c40$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.423640.7%96 W · 140 L-10.6wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-12.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x824d…1271backed OG42c40$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.6424026.7%64 W · 176 L-30.5wins-0.13per pick39cpaid-42.9%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0x11e7…60e4backed Team Yandex51c39.22$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.22560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+26.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd4b1…18ffbacked Team Yandex65c30.74$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.742263.6%14 W · 8 L+2.4wins+0.11per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x83b2…bbdbbacked Team Yandex66c27.34$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.321136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.5wins-0.14per pick50cpaid-37%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xcf0c…2265backed Team Yandex66c26.09$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.875060%30 W · 20 L+2.6wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+9.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x62b7…f260backed OG40c25$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1020735.3%73 W · 134 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-9.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xf932…1ba3backed Team Yandex51c22.78$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.091457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd903…bf9dbacked Team Yandex55c21.65$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.8310338.8%40 W · 63 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick36cpaid-5.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x882c…a26fbacked OG50c20.02$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.015756.1%32 W · 25 L+3.2wins+0.06per pick50cpaid-4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4946…e041backed Team Yandex58c18.67$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.8455561.8%343 W · 212 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick61cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8ea5…6696backed Team Yandex80c15.75$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.151471.4%10 W · 4 L+2.0wins+0.14per pick57cpaid+25%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5a83…50d3backed Team Yandex80c12.5$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2.5887.5%7 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.09per pick78cpaid+11.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.