NFL · resolved market
Giants vs. Raiders
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8cb5903900be71bd747a87c038ba97f250900813035f19cbf71da366fac6c280
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Giantsof Giants, Raiders
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,812,199
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,011,646
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,812,199 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 595 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Raiders | 41c | 512,674$208,848 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208,847.61 | 865 | 47.9%414 W · 451 L | -6.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1496…a429backed Giants | 59c | 372,100$219,539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152,560.94 | 274 | 54.7%150 W · 124 L | +13.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33f6…e0debacked Raiders | 42c | 204,548$85,702 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85,701.6 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.20per pick | 50cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed Giants | 58c | 200,000$116,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83,999.96 | 93 | 59.1%55 W · 38 L | +10.2wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5350…2fdabacked Giants | 60c | 119,737$71,937 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47,799.67 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Raiders | 13c | 72,130$9,576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,576.13 | 200 | 26%52 W · 148 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68dd…f0b2backed Giants | 60c | 60,000$36,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,000 | 160 | 51.9%83 W · 77 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82ba…0a52backed Raiders | 42c | 59,001$24,781 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,780.56 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b88…5d08backed Raiders | 42c | 47,619$20,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,000 | 186 | 50%93 W · 93 L | +9.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Raiders | 28c | 42,767$12,077 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,077.07 | 300 | 43.7%131 W · 169 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Giants | 48c | 40,850$19,633 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,216.45 | 312 | 40.7%127 W · 185 L | -22.0wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Giants | 58c | 40,837$23,685 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,151.35 | 67 | 64.2%43 W · 24 L | +9.7wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf152…64aabacked Raiders | 52c | 40,000$20,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,800 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed Giants | 58c | 40,000$23,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,800 | 66 | 45.5%30 W · 36 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc3e…37efbacked Raiders | 4c | 34,980$1,245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,245.13 | 77 | 36.4%28 W · 49 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked Raiders | 40c | 32,251$12,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,900.37 | 75 | 54.7%41 W · 34 L | +4.5wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Giants | 58c | 23,700$13,746 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,954 | 129 | 44.2%57 W · 72 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Giants | 56c | 22,817$12,838 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,979.19 | 191 | 52.9%101 W · 90 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbddf…c684backed Raiders | 42c | 21,248$8,924 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,924.19 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Giants | 51c | 12,830$6,569 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,260.72 | 318 | 54.7%174 W · 144 L | +16.8wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Raiders | 43c | 12,600$5,383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,382.97 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | +6.4wins | +0.14per pick | 30cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Giants | 58c | 12,306$7,138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,168.68 | 1,196 | 49.9%597 W · 599 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Raiders | 4c | 12,036$455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$454.91 | 192 | 35.4%68 W · 124 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -35%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57cd…a0fbbacked Giants | 58c | 12,028$6,976 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,051.76 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +3.6wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xecbe…42ffbacked Raiders | 6c | 11,185$703 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$702.94 | 333 | 28.5%95 W · 238 L | +16.7wins | +0.05per pick | 24cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbce9…03e9backed Raiders | 0c | 11,121$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.27 | 98 | 0%0 W · 98 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Raiders | 7c | 10,926$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800.25 | 684 | 46.1%315 W · 369 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88a2…d974backed Giants | 60c | 10,833$6,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,333.33 | 131 | 42%55 W · 76 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca3f…8078backed Raiders | 41c | 10,749$4,413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,412.58 | 149 | 51%76 W · 73 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Raiders | 40c | 10,000$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 513 | 52.2%268 W · 245 L | +16.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x11e2…26ccbacked Giants | 58c | 10,000$5,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,200 | 94 | 42.6%40 W · 54 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Raiders | 40c | 10,000$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,999.97 | 143 | 42%60 W · 83 L | +6.9wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Raiders | 5c | 9,614$434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$434.06 | 315 | 43.2%136 W · 179 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Raiders | 5c | 9,230$461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$461.49 | 77 | 33.8%26 W · 51 L | -5.6wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf93f…f94bbacked Raiders | 27c | 9,000$2,470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,470 | 144 | 38.9%56 W · 88 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Raiders | 4c | 8,803$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360.14 | 232 | 44.4%103 W · 129 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Raiders | 41c | 8,567$3,474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,474.42 | 544 | 51.7%281 W · 263 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x266b…8da2backed Raiders | 25c | 7,974$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,999.97 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x89f3…dfffbacked Raiders | 8c | 7,197$565 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$565.48 | 87 | 37.9%33 W · 54 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd776…ffebbacked Giants | 72c | 7,100$5,112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,988 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Raiders | 46c | 7,004$3,245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,245.01 | 127 | 44.9%57 W · 70 L | -8.8wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Raiders | 36c | 5,599$1,997 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,997.48 | 502 | 42.4%213 W · 289 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Raiders | 0c | 5,542$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.07 | 431 | 1.6%7 W · 424 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -82.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc323…0171backed Raiders | 43c | 5,050$2,171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,171.31 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Giants | 58c | 5,000$2,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,100 | 358 | 48.6%174 W · 184 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x226b…cad6backed Raiders | 48c | 5,000$2,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,399.88 | 239 | 37.7%90 W · 149 L | -9.3wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb3…f766backed Raiders | 46c | 4,947$2,292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,291.55 | 72 | 48.6%35 W · 37 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb924…0886backed Raiders | 1c | 4,700$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 151 | 32.5%49 W · 102 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74cd…2319backed Raiders | 13c | 4,443$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580 | 39 | 7.7%3 W · 36 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 11cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5555…2af1backed Giants | 60c | 4,000$2,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,600 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.5wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +39.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Giants | 57c | 3,584$2,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,534.2 | 115 | 44.3%51 W · 64 L | -6.9wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xae30…079ebacked Raiders | 42c | 3,571$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e33…afb3backed Giants | 56c | 3,553$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,552.93 | 59 | 39%23 W · 36 L | -9.4wins | -0.16per pick | 55cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd903…bf9dbacked Giants | 60c | 3,536$2,113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,423.45 | 154 | 46.8%72 W · 82 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Giants | 59c | 3,376$1,992 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,383.35 | 568 | 52.3%297 W · 271 L | +26.3wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a7a…15a4backed Giants | 61c | 3,283$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,282.74 | 106 | 48.1%51 W · 55 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c44…6ecebacked Giants | 61c | 3,279$2,009 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,269.44 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Raiders | 42c | 3,000$1,260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,260 | 122 | 50%61 W · 61 L | +8.5wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9981…dec4backed Giants | 72c | 3,000$2,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$840 | 54 | 72.2%39 W · 15 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 68cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Raiders | 51c | 3,000$1,530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,529.92 | 195 | 43.6%85 W · 110 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Raiders | 49c | 2,991$1,451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,450.63 | 160 | 45%72 W · 88 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3312…7389backed Raiders | 43c | 2,831$1,217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,217.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35db…f0b9backed Giants | 57c | 2,825$1,610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,214.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ce…5d26backed Raiders | 12c | 2,751$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330.34 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -2.5wins | -0.28per pick | 39cpaid | -77.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x47cb…dfdabacked Raiders | 16c | 2,741$452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$452 | 55 | 23.6%13 W · 42 L | -6.5wins | -0.12per pick | 36cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1c38…edd6backed Giants | 58c | 2,634$1,528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,106.28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Giants | 49c | 2,626$1,296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,330.19 | 318 | 48.1%153 W · 165 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4132…a5a5backed Giants | 65c | 2,540$1,645 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$894.38 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71a5…c3eabacked Raiders | 40c | 2,521$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,019.94 | 34 | 29.4%10 W · 24 L | -7.7wins | -0.23per pick | 52cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ef…8cd6backed Giants | 59c | 2,500$1,475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,025 | 71 | 52.1%37 W · 34 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Giants | 58c | 2,500$1,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,050 | 266 | 49.6%132 W · 134 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1e0…8913backed Giants | 59c | 2,458$1,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,007.63 | 49 | 57.1%28 W · 21 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Giants | 52c | 2,457$1,278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,179.48 | 176 | 48.9%86 W · 90 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Raiders | 42c | 2,424$1,008 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,008.5 | 238 | 50.8%121 W · 117 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f5a…9ecdbacked Raiders | 31c | 2,401$733 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$732.65 | 50 | 38%19 W · 31 L | +4.0wins | +0.08per pick | 30cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Giants | 56c | 2,301$1,289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,012.42 | 212 | 54.2%115 W · 97 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Raiders | 42c | 2,200$930 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$930.32 | 650 | 48.3%314 W · 336 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7234…1d85backed Giants | 71c | 2,179$1,558 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$621.79 | 42 | 61.9%26 W · 16 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x201c…58bfbacked Giants | 53c | 2,131$1,129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,001.34 | 74 | 64.9%48 W · 26 L | +9.8wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xbddd…3d9abacked Giants | 59c | 2,100$1,235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$864.99 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5077…4e7cbacked Raiders | 6c | 2,062$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.94 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe5f…d795backed Giants | 58c | 2,000$1,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$840 | 114 | 52.6%60 W · 54 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7da6…4ff3backed Raiders | 40c | 2,000$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 75 | 34.7%26 W · 49 L | -9.1wins | -0.12per pick | 47cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe548…a51abacked Raiders | 29c | 2,000$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -2.6wins | -0.29per pick | 40cpaid | -80.7%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x41b4…de82backed Raiders | 41c | 2,000$820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$820 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ed4…4547backed Giants | 58c | 2,000$1,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$840 | 124 | 45.2%56 W · 68 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x205b…dd3cbacked Giants | 57c | 2,000$1,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$859.99 | 141 | 48.2%68 W · 73 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a9d…330ebacked Giants | 52c | 1,939$1,009 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$930.93 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf890…f172backed Raiders | 49c | 1,939$950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$950.32 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa313…e124backed Raiders | 42c | 1,905$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 166 | 48.2%80 W · 86 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Raiders | 44c | 1,876$823 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$823.09 | 533 | 48.4%258 W · 275 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf395…8e3cbacked Giants | 56c | 1,805$1,015 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$790.93 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e68…d99bbacked Giants | 59c | 1,754$1,035 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$719.21 | 135 | 60%81 W · 54 L | +14.7wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x57b9…e9b4backed Giants | 59c | 1,695$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$694.92 | 105 | 47.6%50 W · 55 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad88…3c1ebacked Giants | 71c | 1,693$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$493.4 | 125 | 48.8%61 W · 64 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x849a…7163backed Giants | 58c | 1,550$899 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$651 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.7wins | +0.33per pick | 54cpaid | +66.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Giants | 57c | 1,545$881 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$664.44 | 206 | 61.2%126 W · 80 L | +12.3wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Raiders | 46c | 1,500$694 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$693.73 | 206 | 46.1%95 W · 111 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Raiders | 13c | 1,456$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.22 | 736 | 51.2%377 W · 359 L | +25.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Raiders | 41c | 1,430$581 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$581 | 273 | 48.7%133 W · 140 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Giants vs. Raidersthis page
- Giants vs. Raiders: 1H MoneylineGiants won
- Giants vs. Raiders: 1H O/U 19.5Over won
- Giants vs. Raiders: O/U 36.5Over won
- Giants vs. Raiders: O/U 37.5Over won
- Giants vs. Raiders: O/U 38.5Over won
- Giants vs. Raiders: O/U 40.5Over won
- Giants vs. Raiders: O/U 41.5Over won
- Giants vs. Raiders: O/U 42.5Over won
- Spread: Giants (-1.5)Giants won
- Spread: Giants (-10.5)Giants won
- Spread: Giants (-13.5)Giants won
- Spread: Giants (-14.5)Giants won
- Spread: Giants (-2.5)Giants won
- Spread: Giants (-3.5)Giants won
- Spread: Raiders (-1.5)Giants won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.