NFL · resolved market
Giants vs. Raiders: 1H Moneyline
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe33fb74ec8b695970f5af513a61173d27f4e97edb8fcfe244618964a0a69b166
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Giantsof Giants, Raiders
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,931
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,931
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,931 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Giants | 55c | 547.7$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.24 | 224 | 50%112 W · 112 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Raiders | 45c | 500$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223 | 187 | 45.5%85 W · 102 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Giants | 49c | 196.85$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.39 | 758 | 52.5%398 W · 360 L | +21.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb49c…3902backed Raiders | 51c | 196.85$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.39 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.4wins | +0.40per pick | 43cpaid | +103.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa65b…b0c0backed Raiders | 46c | 182$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.72 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f9…5526backed Raiders | 45c | 143$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.35 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7602…2775backed Raiders | 45c | 105.59$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.52 | 65 | 58.5%38 W · 27 L | +6.5wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf572…065abacked Raiders | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc42c…42a1backed Giants | 55c | 74$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.3 | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4dc…d394backed Raiders | 46c | 72$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.12 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +4.0wins | +0.16per pick | 48cpaid | +36.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0068…d7b0backed Giants | 55c | 67$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.42 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0aae…e845backed Giants | 54c | 63$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.98 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.6wins | +0.26per pick | 54cpaid | +50.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9431…6270backed Giants | 54c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc5d…be79backed Giants | 54c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab2c…0ab7backed Giants | 55c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14c2…6070backed Giants | 54c | 49$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.54 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd26c…fc57backed Giants | 55c | 33$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.85 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5aa…4464backed Raiders | 46c | 32.31$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8655…0853backed Giants | 54c | 32$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.72 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa27…dbdcbacked Giants | 54c | 31$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.26 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +25%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12af…0730backed Giants | 54c | 27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.42 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4970…21f6backed Raiders | 46c | 26$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.96 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x870f…08ebbacked Giants | 55c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.1wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +78.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x98ae…2bfebacked Giants | 54c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.37per pick | 57cpaid | -63%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Giants vs. Raiders: 1H Moneylinethis page
- Giants vs. RaidersGiants won
- Giants vs. Raiders: 1H O/U 19.5Over won
- Giants vs. Raiders: O/U 36.5Over won
- Giants vs. Raiders: O/U 37.5Over won
- Giants vs. Raiders: O/U 38.5Over won
- Giants vs. Raiders: O/U 40.5Over won
- Giants vs. Raiders: O/U 41.5Over won
- Giants vs. Raiders: O/U 42.5Over won
- Spread: Giants (-1.5)Giants won
- Spread: Giants (-10.5)Giants won
- Spread: Giants (-13.5)Giants won
- Spread: Giants (-14.5)Giants won
- Spread: Giants (-2.5)Giants won
- Spread: Giants (-3.5)Giants won
- Spread: Raiders (-1.5)Giants won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.