NHL · resolved market
Senators vs. Ducks
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7dfcb55ffa1fef6bf4d26eabe674f10143e4ba6c762745704c31a7f0f3fae596
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Senatorsof Senators, Ducks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,431,481
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,454,351
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,431,481 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,052 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7606…2836backed Ducks | 48c | 480,414$230,568 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230,567.99 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Senators | 68c | 306,628$209,488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97,139.26 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Senators | 66c | 104,851$69,613 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35,238.14 | 132 | 51.5%68 W · 64 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Senators | 52c | 60,584$31,512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29,072.17 | 448 | 48.9%219 W · 229 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0979…8d9bbacked Ducks | 50c | 30,116$15,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Ducks | 38c | 30,000$11,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,250 | 425 | 52.2%222 W · 203 L | +25.0wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Senators | 62c | 27,118$16,801 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,317.11 | 387 | 48.3%187 W · 200 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe14…11eebacked Senators | 54c | 13,437$7,256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,181.02 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Senators | 54c | 9,618$5,194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,424.28 | 574 | 53.8%309 W · 265 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9165…5b98backed Senators | 55c | 9,050$4,978 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,072.52 | 119 | 55.5%66 W · 53 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a89…2f26backed Senators | 54c | 8,995$4,857 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,137.7 | 705 | 47.7%336 W · 369 L | -26.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Ducks | 45c | 8,472$3,788 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,787.82 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Senators | 56c | 8,120$4,547 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,572.8 | 322 | 51.9%167 W · 155 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked Senators | 49c | 7,013$3,425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,588.62 | 271 | 43.5%118 W · 153 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa925…e1c8backed Senators | 53c | 6,895$3,676 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,219.08 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Senators | 59c | 6,461$3,781 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,679.49 | 387 | 38%147 W · 240 L | -13.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Ducks | 46c | 6,035$2,797 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,796.94 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Ducks | 38c | 5,500$2,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,080 | 752 | 51.7%389 W · 363 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Senators | 56c | 5,444$3,023 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,421.45 | 1,301 | 52.6%684 W · 617 L | +23.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1bc…9dc9backed Ducks | 39c | 5,122$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74d3…0332backed Ducks | 45c | 5,000$2,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,249.99 | 194 | 51.5%100 W · 94 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Ducks | 46c | 5,000$2,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,299.99 | 866 | 49.9%432 W · 434 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Senators | 52c | 4,222$2,195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,026.56 | 304 | 47.4%144 W · 160 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Senators | 62c | 4,171$2,588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,582.33 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24b1…5163backed Senators | 53c | 4,000$2,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,880 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.8wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2809…b26abacked Senators | 53c | 4,000$2,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,879.96 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.3wins | +0.33per pick | 52cpaid | +68.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe235…aba2backed Senators | 30c | 3,879$1,161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,717.95 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.4wins | +0.30per pick | 57cpaid | +69.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Senators | 51c | 3,777$1,926 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,850.73 | 133 | 63.2%84 W · 49 L | +9.5wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…8fe8backed Ducks | 53c | 3,771$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 40 | 67.5%27 W · 13 L | +5.9wins | +0.15per pick | 53cpaid | +29%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Ducks | 44c | 3,500$1,540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,540 | 510 | 45.5%232 W · 278 L | -9.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x554a…09c8backed Ducks | 36c | 3,215$1,155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,155.48 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a7a…15a4backed Ducks | 47c | 3,191$1,495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,495 | 230 | 47.4%109 W · 121 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f2…0234backed Senators | 56c | 3,118$1,746 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,371.81 | 105 | 54.3%57 W · 48 L | +8.7wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x97e0…8194backed Ducks | 46c | 3,000$1,380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,380 | 305 | 52.5%160 W · 145 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9769…7cd7backed Ducks | 38c | 2,656$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.7wins | -0.33per pick | 46cpaid | -76.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Senators | 54c | 2,610$1,409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,200.6 | 619 | 59.1%366 W · 253 L | +17.9wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Ducks | 62c | 2,396$1,478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,478.15 | 618 | 48.1%297 W · 321 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x698b…4426backed Senators | 56c | 2,280$1,277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,003.2 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Senators | 56c | 2,252$1,271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$980.64 | 996 | 38.2%380 W · 616 L | -10.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed Ducks | 46c | 2,200$1,012 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,012 | 229 | 46.3%106 W · 123 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96e1…50aabacked Ducks | 39c | 2,082$817 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$816.93 | 105 | 65.7%69 W · 36 L | +15.9wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Ducks | 1c | 2,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,163 | 2.3%27 W · 1,136 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -87.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Senators | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$980 | 1,025 | 40.8%418 W · 607 L | +15.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7a…db40backed Senators | 52c | 2,000$1,038 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$962.5 | 119 | 46.2%55 W · 64 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1fb9…c20dbacked Senators | 55c | 2,000$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -2.1wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x504f…3ddcbacked Senators | 56c | 1,995$1,111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$883.75 | 113 | 54%61 W · 52 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Senators | 70c | 1,993$1,397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$596.39 | 263 | 44.5%117 W · 146 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4132…a5a5backed Ducks | 31c | 1,965$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 110 | 51.8%57 W · 53 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x881b…9893backed Senators | 51c | 1,960$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960.61 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95b8…47c9backed Senators | 51c | 1,716$870 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$846.46 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Ducks | 45c | 1,675$754 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$753.69 | 1,230 | 53.7%661 W · 569 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Ducks | 47c | 1,616$760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$759.61 | 1,434 | 50.8%728 W · 706 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x209e…8bb4backed Senators | 55c | 1,505$828 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$677.25 | 311 | 48.2%150 W · 161 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Senators | 56c | 1,500$848 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$652.5 | 1,475 | 48.3%712 W · 763 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbad2…5296backed Ducks | 46c | 1,500$690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$690 | 892 | 49.9%445 W · 447 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed Senators | 51c | 1,452$744 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$707.85 | 82 | 52.4%43 W · 39 L | +6.2wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb1fe…9974backed Ducks | 54c | 1,308$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Ducks | 67c | 1,308$871 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$871.13 | 820 | 43%353 W · 467 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Senators | 55c | 1,280$699 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$580.59 | 950 | 49.1%466 W · 484 L | +12.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Senators | 54c | 1,200$648 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$552 | 348 | 45.4%158 W · 190 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5276…74ddbacked Ducks | 50c | 1,200$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -2.5wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x56c6…f706backed Ducks | 46c | 1,087$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 159 | 54.1%86 W · 73 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd24f…849ebacked Senators | 54c | 1,061$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490.8 | 111 | 51.4%57 W · 54 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b78…50f2backed Senators | 53c | 1,051$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$491.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +87.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9d1…b0c6backed Ducks | 46c | 1,043$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$479.86 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5e…7004backed Senators | 36c | 1,022$366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$656.44 | 89 | 55.1%49 W · 40 L | +9.3wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x762e…b771backed Ducks | 46c | 1,021$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$469.85 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5950…e49ebacked Senators | 54c | 1,018$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$468.35 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.25per pick | 42cpaid | +72.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe5f…d795backed Ducks | 44c | 1,000$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 149 | 45%67 W · 82 L | -8.5wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda5f…2e9bbacked Ducks | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 62 | 53.2%33 W · 29 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6475…3b04backed Ducks | 46c | 999.67$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$459.85 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc430…f1d8backed Senators | 54c | 999.66$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$459.84 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6cc8…73cabacked Senators | 53c | 999.66$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$469.84 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb25d…c952backed Senators | 53c | 980.83$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460.99 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x691c…622ebacked Ducks | 46c | 978.01$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.88 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Senators | 55c | 961$533 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$427.84 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86a3…4277backed Ducks | 46c | 956.28$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$439.89 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Senators | 54c | 925.93$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.93 | 437 | 43%188 W · 249 L | +16.7wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Senators | 53c | 925$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$434.75 | 849 | 53.8%457 W · 392 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9807…157bbacked Ducks | 44c | 910$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.4 | 201 | 44.8%90 W · 111 L | +7.8wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96ec…fcc4backed Ducks | 44c | 900$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396 | 96 | 60.4%58 W · 38 L | +9.0wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1fe3…e0fdbacked Ducks | 52c | 899$469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$469.19 | 190 | 51.1%97 W · 93 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb94d…c1c2backed Ducks | 46c | 869$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.74 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Senators | 54c | 852.2$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392.01 | 939 | 53.6%503 W · 436 L | +29.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Ducks | 43c | 850$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364 | 312 | 57.4%179 W · 133 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Senators | 73c | 805.99$585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.64 | 1,054 | 42.5%448 W · 606 L | -25.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa71a…e4e2backed Senators | 51c | 780.77$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380.77 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -2.4wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x669c…6c54backed Ducks | 47c | 744.85$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.08 | 49 | 67.3%33 W · 16 L | +7.2wins | +0.15per pick | 53cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…09f1backed Senators | 54c | 744.44$402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342.44 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Ducks | 43c | 722.98$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.88 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3505…f7a3backed Ducks | 46c | 713.04$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | -5.7wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcf10…d318backed Ducks | 31c | 708.67$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.61 | 189 | 31.2%59 W · 130 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Ducks | 45c | 700$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318 | 684 | 49.9%341 W · 343 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Senators | 77c | 694.5$538 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.62 | 521 | 72.6%378 W · 143 L | +36.7wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa99c…3070backed Ducks | 33c | 675.76$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221 | 293 | 19.8%58 W · 235 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6036…d2ccbacked Ducks | 46c | 653$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.38 | 470 | 51.5%242 W · 228 L | +12.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…f8bebacked Senators | 54c | 652.16$352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.99 | 139 | 52.5%73 W · 66 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Senators | 54c | 638.63$343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.87 | 1,354 | 52.6%712 W · 642 L | +46.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed Senators | 61c | 630.32$387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.14 | 584 | 67.5%394 W · 190 L | +93.1wins | +0.16per pick | 52cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x899c…f84cbacked Senators | 49c | 600$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +4.0wins | +0.40per pick | 50cpaid | +84.3%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Senators vs. Ducksthis page
- Senators vs. Ducks: O/U 6.5Under won
- Spread: Senators (-1.5)Ducks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.