NHL · resolved market
Capitals vs. Canadiens
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x923e397fd9321c84f082131fa977c685e7da172f5fb3300179e8206550f28f40
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Capitalsof Capitals, Canadiens
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,639,630
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,639,933
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,639,630 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 605 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3657…6b14backed Canadiens | 56c | 2,106,953$1,185,051 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,185,051.18 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9193…b1f1backed Capitals | 45c | 1,113,797$504,742 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$609,055 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +120.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee3b…8dcfbacked Capitals | 45c | 518,939$231,099 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287,840.67 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +44.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Capitals | 44c | 494,310$215,803 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278,506.56 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Capitals | 43c | 303,385$130,422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172,963.38 | 387 | 48.3%187 W · 200 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb1d9…5ee1backed Capitals | 43c | 174,750$75,143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99,607.76 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +65.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a8…a48ebacked Canadiens | 56c | 89,001$49,840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49,840.44 | 95 | 48.4%46 W · 49 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Capitals | 43c | 86,168$36,721 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49,447.44 | 218 | 50.9%111 W · 107 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x006c…16eabacked Canadiens | 55c | 82,385$45,536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45,535.73 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Capitals | 44c | 50,000$21,786 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,214.21 | 66 | 42.4%28 W · 38 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Canadiens | 55c | 43,959$24,028 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,028.04 | 881 | 51.2%451 W · 430 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed Canadiens | 54c | 30,000$16,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,200 | 78 | 50%39 W · 39 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75c4…4cd0backed Canadiens | 55c | 28,363$15,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,599.65 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked Canadiens | 55c | 27,555$15,155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,155.22 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f09…4632backed Canadiens | 55c | 23,356$12,846 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,846.07 | 57 | 45.6%26 W · 31 L | -4.6wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x043d…2807backed Canadiens | 55c | 22,692$12,404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,403.89 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +18%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79a5…6a63backed Canadiens | 54c | 20,000$10,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,799.98 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27c9…2278backed Capitals | 45c | 18,956$8,615 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,341.34 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf5d…819ebacked Canadiens | 55c | 16,696$9,183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,182.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5c…0182backed Canadiens | 54c | 15,330$8,278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,278.26 | 283 | 53%150 W · 133 L | +16.6wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Capitals | 45c | 15,000$6,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,250 | 425 | 52.2%222 W · 203 L | +25.0wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Capitals | 42c | 12,011$5,044 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,966.16 | 104 | 51.9%54 W · 50 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10b3…40d4backed Canadiens | 55c | 10,000$5,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,500 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -4.5wins | -0.16per pick | 55cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9665…e721backed Capitals | 44c | 10,000$4,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,600 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Canadiens | 54c | 10,000$5,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,400 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6cf1…3c6bbacked Capitals | 46c | 10,000$4,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,400 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Canadiens | 55c | 10,000$5,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,499.95 | 130 | 49.2%64 W · 66 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c51…087cbacked Canadiens | 54c | 10,000$5,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,399.94 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.16per pick | 56cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x300b…0b45backed Capitals | 45c | 9,320$4,194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,126 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe653…29d7backed Canadiens | 55c | 9,200$5,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,060 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca3f…8078backed Canadiens | 55c | 9,189$5,064 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,064.43 | 622 | 49.4%307 W · 315 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefc0…ee4bbacked Canadiens | 55c | 9,150$5,037 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,037.42 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +43%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66c0…3f8bbacked Capitals | 45c | 9,150$4,118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,032.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c8b…8f61backed Canadiens | 55c | 9,000$4,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,950 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +38%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a89…2f26backed Canadiens | 55c | 8,995$4,947 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,947.25 | 705 | 47.7%336 W · 369 L | -26.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x74ea…e906backed Capitals | 45c | 8,888$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,888.4 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +45.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…c893backed Capitals | 43c | 8,820$3,823 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,997.4 | 836 | 52.8%441 W · 395 L | +28.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cd8…62f5backed Canadiens | 55c | 8,400$4,620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,620 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -3.4wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb875…68a8backed Canadiens | 55c | 8,189$4,504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,503.95 | 246 | 54.5%134 W · 112 L | +9.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3cd6…b917backed Capitals | 43c | 8,000$3,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,600 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Canadiens | 55c | 7,911$4,323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,323.35 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed Canadiens | 55c | 7,666$4,216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,216.3 | 331 | 51.7%171 W · 160 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Canadiens | 55c | 7,639$4,204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,204.11 | 574 | 53.8%309 W · 265 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Canadiens | 55c | 7,325$4,022 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,022.36 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Canadiens | 53c | 6,548$3,471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,470.66 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Canadiens | 30c | 6,335$1,912 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,911.96 | 1,301 | 52.6%684 W · 617 L | +23.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d7a…b22fbacked Capitals | 45c | 6,000$2,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,300 | 168 | 43.5%73 W · 95 L | -14.3wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x97e0…8194backed Capitals | 43c | 6,000$2,580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,420 | 305 | 52.5%160 W · 145 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3909…335fbacked Canadiens | 55c | 6,000$3,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,300 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +3.5wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Capitals | 43c | 6,000$2,580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,419.99 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84f6…2e01backed Canadiens | 54c | 5,560$3,002 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,002.29 | 86 | 45.3%39 W · 47 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Capitals | 67c | 5,178$3,454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,724.55 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4387…d8acbacked Canadiens | 55c | 5,073$2,790 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,790.12 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Canadiens | 54c | 5,053$2,729 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,728.76 | 485 | 49.7%241 W · 244 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe33d…a328backed Capitals | 47c | 5,013$2,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,663.27 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +115.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Capitals | 43c | 4,905$2,104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,800.94 | 510 | 44.5%227 W · 283 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Canadiens | 53c | 4,528$2,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,399.84 | 520 | 50%260 W · 260 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Capitals | 46c | 4,504$2,057 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,447.2 | 510 | 45.5%232 W · 278 L | -9.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c09…c9b4backed Capitals | 45c | 4,444$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,444.44 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +12%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Capitals | 46c | 4,348$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,347.83 | 281 | 52%146 W · 135 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Canadiens | 11c | 4,242$467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$466.65 | 629 | 51.2%322 W · 307 L | +18.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedf0…1e2abacked Capitals | 45c | 4,222$1,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,322.22 | 149 | 40.9%61 W · 88 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Capitals | 43c | 4,000$1,720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,280 | 866 | 49.9%432 W · 434 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdcf5…972fbacked Canadiens | 57c | 4,000$2,280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,280 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4e8…c41fbacked Capitals | 13c | 4,000$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,480 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.89per pick | 12cpaid | +784.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x22e6…26efbacked Canadiens | 55c | 4,000$2,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,199.99 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba8…ab96backed Capitals | 44c | 4,000$1,760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,239.93 | 45 | 37.8%17 W · 28 L | -5.6wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6ba5…6769backed Canadiens | 54c | 3,730$2,026 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,026.31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f73…3923backed Canadiens | 57c | 3,605$2,055 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,054.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba9…59cbbacked Capitals | 42c | 3,600$1,512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,088 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.30per pick | 50cpaid | +65.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…b5b6backed Capitals | 42c | 3,571$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,071.12 | 1,377 | 49.1%676 W · 701 L | +39.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf327…34dbbacked Canadiens | 55c | 3,554$1,938 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,937.55 | 31 | 25.8%8 W · 23 L | -7.8wins | -0.25per pick | 51cpaid | -49.7%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Canadiens | 55c | 3,500$1,925 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,925 | 122 | 45.9%56 W · 66 L | -6.2wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed Capitals | 51c | 3,389$1,725 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,663.46 | 584 | 67.5%394 W · 190 L | +93.1wins | +0.16per pick | 52cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xa82b…5220backed Capitals | 45c | 3,333$1,513 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,819.87 | 265 | 47.5%126 W · 139 L | +9.8wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96e1…50aabacked Capitals | 68c | 3,123$2,112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,011.26 | 105 | 65.7%69 W · 36 L | +15.9wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xdaf6…4ba0backed Capitals | 46c | 3,000$1,380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,620 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +95.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x618d…aadcbacked Canadiens | 55c | 3,000$1,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,650 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ae9…045ebacked Canadiens | 54c | 3,000$1,620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,620 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Capitals | 44c | 3,000$1,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,679.97 | 752 | 51.7%389 W · 363 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c07…34a4backed Capitals | 43c | 2,800$1,204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,596 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +96.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe5f…d795backed Canadiens | 54c | 2,695$1,446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,445.54 | 149 | 45%67 W · 82 L | -8.5wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x08a4…5c3fbacked Capitals | 45c | 2,591$1,166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,425.03 | 305 | 51.5%157 W · 148 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14ca…41c4backed Canadiens | 55c | 2,551$1,403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,403 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbddf…c684backed Canadiens | 54c | 2,462$1,330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,329.6 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0931…c034backed Canadiens | 55c | 2,364$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27df…e67cbacked Canadiens | 55c | 2,273$1,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,250 | 141 | 48.9%69 W · 72 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Capitals | 74c | 2,250$1,661 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$589 | 618 | 48.1%297 W · 321 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a7a…15a4backed Capitals | 45c | 2,222$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,222.22 | 230 | 47.4%109 W · 121 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4446…1fd0backed Capitals | 47c | 2,127$999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,127.1 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbad2…5296backed Capitals | 46c | 2,055$940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,115.25 | 892 | 49.9%445 W · 447 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3613…79e1backed Canadiens | 31c | 2,049$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$639.8 | 702 | 49%344 W · 358 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa960…a9fdbacked Canadiens | 1c | 2,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22e6…409fbacked Capitals | 44c | 2,000$880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,120 | 73 | 38.4%28 W · 45 L | -8.0wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1fb9…c20dbacked Canadiens | 56c | 2,000$1,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,120 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -2.1wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1b6f…6162backed Canadiens | 25c | 1,968$494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$493.73 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed Canadiens | 56c | 1,941$1,087 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,086.9 | 295 | 51.9%153 W · 142 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdafe…67b2backed Canadiens | 56c | 1,905$1,067 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,066.66 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 60cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Canadiens | 55c | 1,876$1,033 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,032.64 | 1,143 | 50.8%581 W · 562 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x698b…4426backed Capitals | 45c | 1,820$819 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,001 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Capitals vs. Canadiensthis page
- Capitals vs. Canadiens: O/U 5.5Over won
- Capitals vs. Canadiens: O/U 6.5Over won
- Spread: Canadiens (-1.5)Capitals won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.