NFL · resolved market
Ravens vs. Packers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6afffb701b4227dbd4c399523a0ea7b9169614ad168ba852dd832afc8caeee86
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Ravensof Ravens, Packers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,068,822
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,156,856
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,068,822 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 927 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Packers | 50c | 848,036$428,142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$428,142.21 | 300 | 43.7%131 W · 169 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d3b…c46bbacked Ravens | 44c | 753,477$331,530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$421,947.31 | 111 | 45.9%51 W · 60 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Ravens | 44c | 208,649$92,173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116,476.94 | 865 | 47.9%414 W · 451 L | -6.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a55…f9bebacked Packers | 55c | 132,810$73,046 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73,045.57 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -3.1wins | -0.22per pick | 51cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Ravens | 56c | 117,416$65,187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52,229.53 | 473 | 48.4%229 W · 244 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Ravens | 60c | 111,497$67,168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44,329.41 | 736 | 51.2%377 W · 359 L | +25.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d58…9a15backed Packers | 50c | 100,961$50,940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50,940.07 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf152…64aabacked Packers | 56c | 89,286$50,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50,000.16 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc3e…37efbacked Packers | 16c | 73,820$11,559 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,559.32 | 77 | 36.4%28 W · 49 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Ravens | 44c | 69,325$30,503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38,821.88 | 115 | 44.3%51 W · 64 L | -6.9wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x68dd…f0b2backed Ravens | 45c | 60,000$27,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32,999.91 | 160 | 51.9%83 W · 77 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x801e…ad90backed Packers | 55c | 55,780$30,624 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30,623.66 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Packers | 57c | 53,044$30,263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30,263.35 | 212 | 54.2%115 W · 97 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Ravens | 57c | 50,233$28,881 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,352.06 | 758 | 52.5%398 W · 360 L | +21.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Packers | 59c | 50,000$29,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,500 | 121 | 44.6%54 W · 67 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb889…a430backed Packers | 59c | 50,000$29,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,500 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5da4…e203backed Packers | 28c | 50,000$13,911 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,910.82 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Ravens | 43c | 35,957$15,323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,633.72 | 143 | 42%60 W · 83 L | +6.9wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b88…5d08backed Ravens | 46c | 32,508$15,055 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,453.42 | 186 | 50%93 W · 93 L | +9.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x88a2…d974backed Packers | 57c | 26,122$14,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,800 | 131 | 42%55 W · 76 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d19…733abacked Ravens | 44c | 25,663$11,292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,371.15 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.9wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x57cd…a0fbbacked Ravens | 45c | 25,000$11,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,750 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +3.6wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Ravens | 63c | 24,209$15,159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,049.99 | 232 | 44.4%103 W · 129 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Ravens | 61c | 20,000$12,211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,789 | 127 | 48%61 W · 66 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45d5…47efbacked Packers | 61c | 19,603$11,958 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,957.92 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -5.4wins | -0.21per pick | 48cpaid | -48%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d1…cdc9backed Packers | 6c | 18,966$1,087 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,086.85 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5176…9229backed Packers | 27c | 18,651$5,029 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,028.56 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 17cpaid | +52.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Ravens | 44c | 18,157$7,915 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,241.67 | 831 | 47.8%397 W · 434 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1496…a429backed Packers | 55c | 17,950$9,914 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,914.06 | 274 | 54.7%150 W · 124 L | +13.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6919…5effbacked Ravens | 39c | 17,497$6,892 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,604.59 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd4a3…0848backed Ravens | 45c | 17,380$7,821 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,559 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Ravens | 68c | 15,393$10,471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,922.14 | 276 | 44.2%122 W · 154 L | -7.6wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Ravens | 42c | 15,000$6,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,700 | 358 | 48.6%174 W · 184 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9dd…3cc5backed Packers | 22c | 14,156$3,125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,124.7 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 26cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ca8…bf49backed Ravens | 78c | 13,358$10,428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,929.89 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…837dbacked Packers | 56c | 12,273$6,873 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,872.76 | 71 | 47.9%34 W · 37 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x11e2…26ccbacked Packers | 56c | 12,000$6,720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,719.93 | 94 | 42.6%40 W · 54 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Ravens | 35c | 11,562$4,082 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,480.28 | 191 | 52.9%101 W · 90 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8a5…122bbacked Packers | 56c | 11,446$6,410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,410 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7509…4b9dbacked Packers | 31c | 11,324$3,494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,494.01 | 36 | 30.6%11 W · 25 L | -3.6wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xef92…9df5backed Packers | 64c | 11,156$7,140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,139.84 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87b6…4ababacked Ravens | 45c | 11,120$5,004 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,116.17 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Packers | 56c | 11,000$6,151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,150.94 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | +6.4wins | +0.14per pick | 30cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6b4f…37b8backed Packers | 56c | 10,991$6,155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,155.16 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -8.4wins | -0.29per pick | 67cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 33-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb3…f766backed Packers | 60c | 10,989$6,620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,620.06 | 72 | 48.6%35 W · 37 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5677…2ce9backed Ravens | 68c | 10,777$7,298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,478.56 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe622…18cabacked Packers | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Ravens | 68c | 9,406$6,360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,046.02 | 273 | 48.7%133 W · 140 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Packers | 61c | 9,226$5,617 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,616.95 | 533 | 48.4%258 W · 275 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Packers | 63c | 9,197$5,794 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,794.27 | 176 | 48.9%86 W · 90 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8214…ef72backed Packers | 39c | 9,058$3,535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,535.46 | 83 | 50.6%42 W · 41 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecbe…42ffbacked Packers | 3c | 8,878$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.16 | 333 | 28.5%95 W · 238 L | +16.7wins | +0.05per pick | 24cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0549…c052backed Ravens | 44c | 8,698$3,827 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,870.73 | 58 | 55.2%32 W · 26 L | +3.7wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe53f…62d7backed Packers | 39c | 8,368$3,223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,222.55 | 112 | 37.5%42 W · 70 L | -10.8wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x28b1…5a3fbacked Packers | 58c | 8,181$4,760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,759.76 | 93 | 59.1%55 W · 38 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7320…28b4backed Packers | 55c | 8,000$4,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,399.98 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa04e…376abacked Packers | 55c | 7,298$4,014 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,013.9 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.27per pick | 56cpaid | -57.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x50dd…c186backed Packers | 57c | 7,292$4,156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,156.18 | 25 | 20%5 W · 20 L | -2.7wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5a09…3c83backed Packers | 67c | 7,190$4,782 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,782 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee29…8c8bbacked Packers | 41c | 7,154$2,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,899.92 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x48be…73a8backed Packers | 42c | 7,153$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0026…1ed5backed Ravens | 73c | 7,081$5,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,881.05 | 49 | 69.4%34 W · 15 L | +3.8wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Packers | 38c | 7,043$2,666 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,665.59 | 477 | 38.6%184 W · 293 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Ravens | 67c | 6,540$4,405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,135.49 | 116 | 43.1%50 W · 66 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Ravens | 42c | 6,137$2,597 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,539.75 | 544 | 51.7%281 W · 263 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89f3…dfffbacked Packers | 12c | 5,987$714 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$713.86 | 87 | 37.9%33 W · 54 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Packers | 20c | 5,793$1,134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,133.67 | 200 | 26%52 W · 148 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8366…21ebbacked Packers | 56c | 5,714$3,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,200 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbce9…03e9backed Packers | 0c | 5,621$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.71 | 98 | 0%0 W · 98 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19ff…d0d0backed Packers | 53c | 5,561$2,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,950 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f5a…9ecdbacked Packers | 26c | 5,481$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,400 | 50 | 38%19 W · 31 L | +4.0wins | +0.08per pick | 30cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Packers | 1c | 5,409$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.32 | 148 | 6.8%10 W · 138 L | +6.7wins | +0.05per pick | 2cpaid | +296.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a55…394ebacked Ravens | 58c | 5,320$3,094 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,226.44 | 66 | 39.4%26 W · 40 L | -4.5wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd27c…c081backed Packers | 63c | 5,270$3,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,320.1 | 23 | 73.9%17 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 68cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb973…ff16backed Packers | 39c | 5,125$1,999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,998.75 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -3.2wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd903…bf9dbacked Ravens | 67c | 5,092$3,396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,696.51 | 154 | 46.8%72 W · 82 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x088e…bc56backed Packers | 57c | 5,077$2,905 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,905.2 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Ravens | 45c | 5,044$2,292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,751.75 | 129 | 44.2%57 W · 72 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…dd9fbacked Packers | 20c | 5,005$1,021 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,020.82 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -1.8wins | -0.11per pick | 34cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x226b…cad6backed Ravens | 44c | 5,000$2,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,800 | 239 | 37.7%90 W · 149 L | -9.3wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7592…f661backed Packers | 42c | 4,874$2,062 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,061.71 | 57 | 36.8%21 W · 36 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x53ec…df91backed Ravens | 40c | 4,805$1,919 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,885.56 | 224 | 34.4%77 W · 147 L | +8.4wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Packers | 57c | 4,671$2,662 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,662.4 | 127 | 44.9%57 W · 70 L | -8.8wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2917…be8fbacked Packers | 25c | 4,643$1,183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,182.85 | 38 | 23.7%9 W · 29 L | -4.8wins | -0.13per pick | 36cpaid | -36%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7d43…bc5ebacked Packers | 61c | 4,605$2,821 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,820.93 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +3.1wins | +0.14per pick | 47cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7990…c870backed Packers | 53c | 4,554$2,393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,393 | 89 | 53.9%48 W · 41 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe258…2330backed Packers | 61c | 4,545$2,772 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,772.45 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedc8…cca9backed Ravens | 39c | 4,542$1,771 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,770.57 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94f1…b9e7backed Ravens | 45c | 4,536$2,032 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,503.96 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +55.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Ravens | 40c | 4,473$1,799 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,674.69 | 318 | 54.7%174 W · 144 L | +16.8wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Ravens | 76c | 4,344$3,281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,062.72 | 238 | 50.8%121 W · 117 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x273c…7a42backed Packers | 55c | 4,316$2,395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,394.63 | 69 | 43.5%30 W · 39 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x657c…0cc5backed Ravens | 66c | 4,174$2,753 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,420.79 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa30f…ba19backed Packers | 61c | 4,170$2,544 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,543.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4691…997ebacked Ravens | 39c | 4,153$1,620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,533.24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +156.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Ravens | 41c | 4,029$1,671 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,357.99 | 513 | 52.2%268 W · 245 L | +16.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcdf6…d7f7backed Packers | 34c | 4,024$1,384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,383.86 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3a1…3529backed Packers | 25c | 4,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ef5…325ebacked Packers | 56c | 3,750$2,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,100 | 111 | 54.1%60 W · 51 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Ravens | 44c | 3,636$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,036.16 | 373 | 50.9%190 W · 183 L | +12.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Ravens vs. Packersthis page
- 1H Spread: Packers (-0.5)Ravens won
- 1H Spread: Packers (-1.5)Ravens won
- 1H Spread: Packers (-2.5)Ravens won
- Ravens vs. Packers: 1H MoneylineRavens won
- Ravens vs. Packers: 1H O/U 19.5Over won
- Ravens vs. Packers: O/U 38.5Over won
- Ravens vs. Packers: O/U 40.5Over won
- Ravens vs. Packers: O/U 41.5Over won
- Ravens vs. Packers: O/U 43.5Over won
- Ravens vs. Packers: O/U 45.5Over won
- Ravens vs. Packers: O/U 49.5Over won
- Ravens vs. Packers: O/U 51.5Over won
- Ravens vs. Packers: O/U 61.5Over won
- Spread: Packers (-2.5)Ravens won
- Spread: Packers (-3.5)Ravens won
- Spread: Packers (-4.5)Ravens won
- Spread: Ravens (-1.5)Ravens won
- Spread: Ravens (-4.5)Ravens won
- Spread: Ravens (-5.5)Ravens won
- Spread: Ravens (-6.5)Ravens won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.