TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NFL · resolved market

Ravens vs. Packers: 1H Moneyline

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Ravensof Ravens, Packers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$933
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$923

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $933 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 13 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NFL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Ravens38c500$192 inWon+$30818745.5%85 W · 102 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Packers62c300$186 inLost-$18621254.2%115 W · 97 L+5.0wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8013…5b52backed Packers61c200$122 inLost-$1222560%15 W · 10 L+1.4wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x844d…3059backed Ravens47c85.11$40 inWon+$45.113562.9%22 W · 13 L+3.3wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+15.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2e86…6bc9backed Packers26c76.92$20 inLost-$207631.6%24 W · 52 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick32cpaid+6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4aff…c91bbacked Packers55c70$39 inLost-$38.51931.6%6 W · 13 L-3.5wins-0.18per pick50cpaid-43.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x9b29…8373backed Ravens47c61$29 inWon+$32.3312842.2%54 W · 74 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-13.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd903…bf9dbacked Ravens74c50$37 inWon+$1315446.8%72 W · 82 L-4.6wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-8.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x68dd…f0b2backed Ravens46c50$23 inWon+$2716051.9%83 W · 77 L+5.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6919…d27bbacked Packers54c50$27 inLost-$276651.5%34 W · 32 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Ravens74c46.92$35 inWon+$1275852.5%398 W · 360 L+21.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6132…7665backed Packers55c32$18 inLost-$17.61650%8 W · 8 L-0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8204…61d9backed Ravens45c27$12 inWon+$14.85944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.