NFL · resolved market
Spread: Packers (-2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd5849bee680f1333317506487e0ad1420bf73c41c965e081d4b65328cf0e7a7a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Ravensof Packers, Ravens
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $241,755
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $244,196
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $241,755 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 139 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1496…a429backed Ravens | 49c | 86,600$42,577 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44,022.86 | 274 | 54.7%150 W · 124 L | +13.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x801e…ad90backed Packers | 50c | 51,453$25,727 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,726.5 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Packers | 52c | 44,522$23,056 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,055.87 | 533 | 48.4%258 W · 275 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Packers | 52c | 33,812$17,549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,549.12 | 473 | 48.4%229 W · 244 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Packers | 49c | 29,957$14,679 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,678.96 | 67 | 64.2%43 W · 24 L | +9.7wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Ravens | 50c | 27,993$13,925 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,068.3 | 568 | 52.3%297 W · 271 L | +26.3wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x68dd…f0b2backed Ravens | 51c | 20,000$10,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,800 | 160 | 51.9%83 W · 77 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Ravens | 45c | 16,794$7,509 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,285.72 | 865 | 47.9%414 W · 451 L | -6.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Packers | 56c | 14,591$8,142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,141.88 | 1,196 | 49.9%597 W · 599 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e68…d99bbacked Ravens | 50c | 11,129$5,527 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,602.04 | 135 | 60%81 W · 54 L | +14.7wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Ravens | 51c | 8,700$4,437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,263 | 257 | 44.4%114 W · 143 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Ravens | 47c | 7,700$3,619 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,080.89 | 265 | 47.2%125 W · 140 L | +10.4wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a38…8fb5backed Packers | 51c | 6,883$3,510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,510 | 142 | 52.1%74 W · 68 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Packers | 50c | 5,100$2,535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,535 | 111 | 39.6%44 W · 67 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb525…bdc7backed Ravens | 51c | 5,064$2,583 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,481.38 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5351…9b3cbacked Packers | 50c | 4,808$2,404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,404 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Ravens | 42c | 3,154$1,325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,829.32 | 191 | 52.9%101 W · 90 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06e6…87e6backed Packers | 53c | 2,858$1,508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,507.53 | 146 | 41.8%61 W · 85 L | -10.9wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Packers | 56c | 2,500$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,400 | 394 | 47.7%188 W · 206 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Ravens | 47c | 2,222$1,044 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,177.66 | 513 | 52.2%268 W · 245 L | +16.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Ravens | 47c | 2,199$1,028 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,171.31 | 544 | 51.7%281 W · 263 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x827a…8a2bbacked Ravens | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960 | 155 | 55.5%86 W · 69 L | +7.2wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1244…c851backed Ravens | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,020 | 101 | 56.4%57 W · 44 L | +7.0wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1e33…afb3backed Ravens | 51c | 1,961$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960.78 | 59 | 39%23 W · 36 L | -9.4wins | -0.16per pick | 55cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x412f…30fabacked Packers | 50c | 1,898$949 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$949 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea89…0b5fbacked Ravens | 50c | 1,776$888 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$888 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Packers | 53c | 1,563$821 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$821.43 | 1,065 | 51.3%546 W · 519 L | +25.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8d7…c17bbacked Ravens | 51c | 1,558$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$757.99 | 117 | 59.8%70 W · 47 L | +8.0wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Packers | 48c | 1,454$703 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$702.53 | 194 | 39.2%76 W · 118 L | -11.5wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -16%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd903…bf9dbacked Ravens | 50c | 1,279$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$639.5 | 154 | 46.8%72 W · 82 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a33…2534backed Packers | 50c | 1,200$596 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$595.97 | 74 | 36.5%27 W · 47 L | -7.8wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Packers | 52c | 1,011$526 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525.82 | 212 | 54.2%115 W · 97 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe584…e6e2backed Packers | 50c | 1,002$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 49 | 34.7%17 W · 32 L | -8.3wins | -0.17per pick | 52cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x445e…9be0backed Packers | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 266 | 50.8%135 W · 131 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fe…366bbacked Ravens | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490 | 362 | 46.7%169 W · 193 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6f0…5701backed Ravens | 72c | 998.51$716 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.08 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1467…4372backed Packers | 53c | 943.4$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 75 | 49.3%37 W · 38 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a59…eb2ebacked Ravens | 50c | 800$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 139 | 59%82 W · 57 L | +12.5wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Ravens | 49c | 791.3$384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$407.1 | 650 | 48.3%314 W · 336 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc092…0cd9backed Packers | 52c | 646.15$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336 | 59 | 49.2%29 W · 30 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff81…44c9backed Packers | 50c | 600$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 73 | 61.6%45 W · 28 L | +7.8wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Packers | 50c | 593$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.08 | 315 | 43.2%136 W · 179 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Packers | 48c | 542.52$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.41 | 831 | 47.8%397 W · 434 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Packers | 49c | 479.57$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.62 | 502 | 42.4%213 W · 289 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa60b…c728backed Packers | 27c | 454.43$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.55 | 120 | 57.5%69 W · 51 L | +9.6wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe544…3cfcbacked Packers | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 55 | 50.9%28 W · 27 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8214…ef72backed Ravens | 51c | 400$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196 | 83 | 50.6%42 W · 41 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Ravens | 49c | 400$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204 | 205 | 55.6%114 W · 91 L | +15.7wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe727…5e8dbacked Packers | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 175 | 48%84 W · 91 L | -7.6wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0fad…aa0fbacked Packers | 17c | 360$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.2 | 110 | 58.2%64 W · 46 L | +11.0wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Ravens | 50c | 359.95$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.77 | 163 | 60.1%98 W · 65 L | +16.9wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x85a5…6721backed Ravens | 51c | 333.33$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.33 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e57…21cbbacked Ravens | 49c | 306.12$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.12 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Packers | 50c | 302.66$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.33 | 684 | 46.1%315 W · 369 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked Packers | 59c | 300$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177 | 169 | 57.4%97 W · 72 L | +15.7wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Ravens | 49c | 300$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153 | 176 | 56.3%99 W · 77 L | +16.3wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc210…39fcbacked Packers | 58c | 300$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174 | 66 | 63.6%42 W · 24 L | +9.7wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed Ravens | 49c | 299.99$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153 | 140 | 60.7%85 W · 55 L | +14.3wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3c17…0458backed Packers | 52c | 284.99$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -3.9wins | -0.26per pick | 46cpaid | -55.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Ravens | 43c | 258.31$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.24 | 204 | 43.6%89 W · 115 L | -7.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c44…6ecebacked Packers | 50c | 246$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7398…f4b6backed Packers | 41c | 240$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.45 | 67 | 52.2%35 W · 32 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd079…8db3backed Ravens | 49c | 240$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.4 | 117 | 58.1%68 W · 49 L | +9.5wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4d58…2073backed Ravens | 49c | 240$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.4 | 118 | 59.3%70 W · 48 L | +11.2wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc383…a540backed Ravens | 50c | 239.98$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.19 | 112 | 65.2%73 W · 39 L | +16.1wins | +0.14per pick | 51cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x6422…a346backed Ravens | 51c | 236.13$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.91 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83c1…32f7backed Packers | 50c | 230$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 49 | 40.8%20 W · 29 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ca…d984backed Packers | 51c | 205.88$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5124…91bbbacked Packers | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3475…eea8backed Packers | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 99 | 48.5%48 W · 51 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d20…9871backed Packers | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | +4.3wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x41ed…1da9backed Ravens | 49c | 180$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.8 | 107 | 52.3%56 W · 51 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0495…c68fbacked Packers | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 138 | 45.7%63 W · 75 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c2a…37f4backed Packers | 51c | 171.25$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.34 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2025…db59backed Ravens | 49c | 155.99$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.2 | 109 | 58.7%64 W · 45 L | +9.4wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa97e…7753backed Ravens | 49c | 150$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.5 | 104 | 61.5%64 W · 40 L | +12.5wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3ef2…6e74backed Ravens | 49c | 122.45$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.45 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x864c…735fbacked Packers | 17c | 120.01$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 67 | 55.2%37 W · 30 L | +4.1wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Ravens | 78c | 120$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.85 | 320 | 43.8%140 W · 180 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc0e…0fbdbacked Ravens | 49c | 120$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.2 | 123 | 56.9%70 W · 53 L | +6.8wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa48d…b023backed Ravens | 49c | 120$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.2 | 103 | 59.2%61 W · 42 L | +9.5wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa620…ca56backed Ravens | 49c | 120$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.2 | 97 | 57.7%56 W · 41 L | +7.9wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…96c2backed Packers | 32c | 120$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.4 | 110 | 56.4%62 W · 48 L | +7.9wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe6df…22a9backed Ravens | 50c | 119.98$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.59 | 108 | 61.1%66 W · 42 L | +11.4wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Ravens | 52c | 114.96$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.66 | 207 | 57.5%119 W · 88 L | +17.5wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9827…6c61backed Ravens | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad5c…ac13backed Packers | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 60 | 36.7%22 W · 38 L | -8.4wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd420…df90backed Ravens | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 96 | 54.2%52 W · 44 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd4d1…086ebacked Ravens | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Ravens | 70c | 94.11$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.3 | 148 | 44.6%66 W · 82 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef2e…8d89backed Ravens | 43c | 93.02$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.02 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +3.4wins | +0.18per pick | 45cpaid | +42.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa204…e66fbacked Ravens | 49c | 90$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.9 | 109 | 64.2%70 W · 39 L | +15.4wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Packers | 57c | 86.46$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.05 | 346 | 52.9%183 W · 163 L | +16.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf492…29c2backed Ravens | 50c | 85.12$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.41 | 102 | 52.9%54 W · 48 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Ravens | 50c | 70$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 138 | 44.9%62 W · 76 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe601…c728backed Ravens | 49c | 70$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.7 | 107 | 61.7%66 W · 41 L | +12.0wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xeca0…e8f8backed Packers | 50c | 69.61$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.11 | 80 | 48.8%39 W · 41 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Packers | 58c | 61.08$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.58 | 532 | 53%282 W · 250 L | +19.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31ce…88cdbacked Ravens | 49c | 60$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.6 | 133 | 57.1%76 W · 57 L | +9.2wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84fc…9db4backed Ravens | 49c | 60$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.6 | 96 | 59.4%57 W · 39 L | +8.5wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Packers (-2.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Packers (-0.5)Ravens won
- 1H Spread: Packers (-1.5)Ravens won
- 1H Spread: Packers (-2.5)Ravens won
- Ravens vs. PackersRavens won
- Ravens vs. Packers: 1H MoneylineRavens won
- Ravens vs. Packers: 1H O/U 19.5Over won
- Ravens vs. Packers: O/U 38.5Over won
- Ravens vs. Packers: O/U 40.5Over won
- Ravens vs. Packers: O/U 41.5Over won
- Ravens vs. Packers: O/U 43.5Over won
- Ravens vs. Packers: O/U 45.5Over won
- Ravens vs. Packers: O/U 49.5Over won
- Ravens vs. Packers: O/U 51.5Over won
- Ravens vs. Packers: O/U 61.5Over won
- Spread: Packers (-3.5)Ravens won
- Spread: Packers (-4.5)Ravens won
- Spread: Ravens (-1.5)Ravens won
- Spread: Ravens (-4.5)Ravens won
- Spread: Ravens (-5.5)Ravens won
- Spread: Ravens (-6.5)Ravens won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.