NFL · resolved market
Spread: Packers (-3.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xde50c1cbc033e24e75b4b70a9f68e509b2c4001328c97d4c0450ec6a6202f9be
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Ravensof Packers, Ravens
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $288,098
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $286,000
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $288,098 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 179 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1496…a429backed Packers | 43c | 63,720$27,717 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,716.86 | 274 | 54.7%150 W · 124 L | +13.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Ravens | 54c | 63,563$34,510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29,052.63 | 865 | 47.9%414 W · 451 L | -6.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb889…a430backed Packers | 43c | 38,293$16,466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,465.83 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Ravens | 57c | 36,051$20,549 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,501.93 | 758 | 52.5%398 W · 360 L | +21.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9315…a744backed Ravens | 54c | 20,416$11,025 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,391.36 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Packers | 45c | 20,000$9,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,000 | 136 | 54.4%74 W · 62 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…1a5dbacked Packers | 46c | 12,004$5,522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,521.84 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +15%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e68…d99bbacked Ravens | 58c | 11,686$6,822 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,863.65 | 135 | 60%81 W · 54 L | +14.7wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Ravens | 52c | 11,502$5,981 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,521.22 | 249 | 57%142 W · 107 L | +12.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8c20…7d4fbacked Packers | 46c | 8,412$3,870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,869.52 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c2f…3794backed Packers | 41c | 8,293$3,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,400 | 81 | 28.4%23 W · 58 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Packers | 49c | 5,401$2,630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,630.13 | 502 | 42.4%213 W · 289 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Ravens | 54c | 5,000$2,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,300 | 513 | 52.2%268 W · 245 L | +16.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4124…8af2backed Packers | 42c | 4,900$2,078 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,078 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Ravens | 50c | 4,808$2,387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,420.95 | 394 | 47.7%188 W · 206 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Ravens | 54c | 4,700$2,539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,161.85 | 544 | 51.7%281 W · 263 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Packers | 50c | 4,483$2,242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,241.67 | 176 | 48.9%86 W · 90 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d2f…ef1abacked Packers | 40c | 4,173$1,669 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,669.33 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2984…0fc6backed Ravens | 60c | 3,333$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,333.33 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | -4.0wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -20%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd903…bf9dbacked Ravens | 57c | 3,000$1,710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,290 | 154 | 46.8%72 W · 82 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf410…ca73backed Packers | 40c | 3,000$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,199.99 | 55 | 36.4%20 W · 35 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb177…1914backed Packers | 49c | 2,551$1,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,250 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | -3.0wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Packers | 48c | 2,421$1,154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,154.17 | 473 | 48.4%229 W · 244 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Packers | 48c | 2,388$1,142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,141.72 | 533 | 48.4%258 W · 275 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Ravens | 56c | 2,318$1,298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,019.99 | 174 | 54.6%95 W · 79 L | +8.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e2…4e99backed Packers | 46c | 2,174$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 66 | 47%31 W · 35 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Packers | 47c | 1,722$812 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$811.91 | 1,196 | 49.9%597 W · 599 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Packers | 46c | 1,419$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650.46 | 650 | 48.3%314 W · 336 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc57b…0a2bbacked Packers | 40c | 1,399$566 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$566 | 65 | 36.9%24 W · 41 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Ravens | 50c | 1,371$682 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$689.6 | 194 | 39.2%76 W · 118 L | -11.5wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -16%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Ravens | 55c | 1,367$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$616.82 | 125 | 50.4%63 W · 62 L | +8.4wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Packers | 40c | 1,367$547 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$546.64 | 75 | 30.7%23 W · 52 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1244…c851backed Ravens | 59c | 1,349$796 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$552.9 | 101 | 56.4%57 W · 44 L | +7.0wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Packers | 47c | 1,220$579 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$579.42 | 1,065 | 51.3%546 W · 519 L | +25.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Ravens | 53c | 1,207$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$567.25 | 265 | 47.2%125 W · 140 L | +10.4wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Packers | 35c | 1,131$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395.77 | 736 | 51.2%377 W · 359 L | +25.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2917…be8fbacked Packers | 40c | 1,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 38 | 23.7%9 W · 29 L | -4.8wins | -0.13per pick | 36cpaid | -36%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c2…4de7backed Ravens | 60c | 1,000$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 224 | 46.4%104 W · 120 L | +11.7wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Ravens | 59c | 900$531 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4138…6a24backed Packers | 47c | 851.06$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 52 | 65.4%34 W · 18 L | +5.1wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1f99…c209backed Ravens | 60c | 833.33$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.33 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a59…eb2ebacked Ravens | 59c | 804.65$475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330 | 139 | 59%82 W · 57 L | +12.5wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Ravens | 55c | 800$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360 | 172 | 51.7%89 W · 83 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa313…e124backed Ravens | 60c | 673.33$404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.33 | 166 | 48.2%80 W · 86 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0495…c68fbacked Packers | 53c | 600$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317 | 138 | 45.7%63 W · 75 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…dca3backed Ravens | 57c | 526.32$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.32 | 67 | 55.2%37 W · 30 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9934…6078backed Ravens | 57c | 520$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.8 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x397d…794fbacked Ravens | 60c | 500$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 71 | 47.9%34 W · 37 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa445…6711backed Packers | 43c | 465.12$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Ravens | 45c | 433$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.31 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -2.8wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe6f0…5701backed Ravens | 80c | 412.14$329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.7 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Ravens | 59c | 400$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164 | 205 | 55.6%114 W · 91 L | +15.7wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7398…f4b6backed Packers | 13c | 360$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.8 | 67 | 52.2%35 W · 32 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Ravens | 47c | 350$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.3 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Packers | 40c | 308.11$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.25 | 266 | 49.6%132 W · 134 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06e6…87e6backed Packers | 45c | 307$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.43 | 146 | 41.8%61 W · 85 L | -10.9wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Ravens | 45c | 300$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165 | 206 | 50.5%104 W · 102 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed Ravens | 59c | 300$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123 | 140 | 60.7%85 W · 55 L | +14.3wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked Packers | 48c | 300$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 169 | 57.4%97 W · 72 L | +15.7wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Ravens | 53c | 300$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.8 | 532 | 53%282 W · 250 L | +19.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Ravens | 59c | 300$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123 | 176 | 56.3%99 W · 77 L | +16.3wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc210…39fcbacked Packers | 48c | 300$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 66 | 63.6%42 W · 24 L | +9.7wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xae45…cce7backed Packers | 49c | 299.95$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.98 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb61d…587bbacked Packers | 51c | 250.26$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1fc…bcdfbacked Ravens | 60c | 245.95$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.38 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -31%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Ravens | 50c | 245.4$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.71 | 160 | 45%72 W · 88 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c2d…2570backed Packers | 47c | 240$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.8 | 96 | 51%49 W · 47 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd079…8db3backed Ravens | 59c | 240$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.4 | 117 | 58.1%68 W · 49 L | +9.5wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4d58…2073backed Ravens | 59c | 240$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.4 | 118 | 59.3%70 W · 48 L | +11.2wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc468…530fbacked Ravens | 54c | 205.3$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.8 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | +5.5wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3613…79e1backed Packers | 52c | 200$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103 | 194 | 36.6%71 W · 123 L | -14.8wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xad88…3c1ebacked Ravens | 55c | 182.16$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.16 | 125 | 48.8%61 W · 64 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa14e…f856backed Ravens | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 69 | 59.4%41 W · 28 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41ed…1da9backed Ravens | 59c | 180$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.8 | 107 | 52.3%56 W · 51 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Ravens | 59c | 180$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.8 | 163 | 60.1%98 W · 65 L | +16.9wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5912…2fe0backed Packers | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Ravens | 59c | 174.57$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.57 | 568 | 52.3%297 W · 271 L | +26.3wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe922…39b3backed Ravens | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.49 | 163 | 51.5%84 W · 79 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a52…9ad6backed Ravens | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 55 | 58.2%32 W · 23 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcfe…d420backed Ravens | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 158 | 55.7%88 W · 70 L | +5.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37a7…a42bbacked Packers | 28c | 151.55$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 62 | 43.5%27 W · 35 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Ravens | 60c | 150.01$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 594 | 53.7%319 W · 275 L | +24.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa97e…7753backed Ravens | 59c | 150$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.5 | 104 | 61.5%64 W · 40 L | +12.5wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc1da…7bfbbacked Ravens | 51c | 149.98$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.49 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f3d…fadabacked Packers | 41c | 148.42$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 65 | 47.7%31 W · 34 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Packers | 28c | 146.58$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.73 | 294 | 39.5%116 W · 178 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa817…8d88backed Packers | 44c | 136.36$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4465…baafbacked Packers | 44c | 134.32$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.1 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Ravens | 45c | 131$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.05 | 356 | 48%171 W · 185 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa60…d867backed Packers | 46c | 125.34$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.2 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.27per pick | 40cpaid | +87.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf79e…9a84backed Packers | 29c | 120$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.47 | 61 | 47.5%29 W · 32 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc0e…0fbdbacked Ravens | 59c | 120$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.2 | 123 | 56.9%70 W · 53 L | +6.8wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0fad…aa0fbacked Packers | 11c | 120$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 110 | 58.2%64 W · 46 L | +11.0wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa48d…b023backed Ravens | 59c | 120$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.2 | 103 | 59.2%61 W · 42 L | +9.5wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2025…db59backed Ravens | 59c | 120$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.2 | 109 | 58.7%64 W · 45 L | +9.4wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa620…ca56backed Ravens | 59c | 120$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.2 | 97 | 57.7%56 W · 41 L | +7.9wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2692…2698backed Packers | 20c | 120$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 118 | 56.8%67 W · 51 L | +9.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc383…a540backed Ravens | 59c | 120$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.2 | 112 | 65.2%73 W · 39 L | +16.1wins | +0.14per pick | 51cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x9d28…7a6dbacked Packers | 42c | 119.35$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.28 | 209 | 44.5%93 W · 116 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab9f…570cbacked Ravens | 61c | 114.75$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.75 | 59 | 50.8%30 W · 29 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Packers (-3.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Packers (-0.5)Ravens won
- 1H Spread: Packers (-1.5)Ravens won
- 1H Spread: Packers (-2.5)Ravens won
- Ravens vs. PackersRavens won
- Ravens vs. Packers: 1H MoneylineRavens won
- Ravens vs. Packers: 1H O/U 19.5Over won
- Ravens vs. Packers: O/U 38.5Over won
- Ravens vs. Packers: O/U 40.5Over won
- Ravens vs. Packers: O/U 41.5Over won
- Ravens vs. Packers: O/U 43.5Over won
- Ravens vs. Packers: O/U 45.5Over won
- Ravens vs. Packers: O/U 49.5Over won
- Ravens vs. Packers: O/U 51.5Over won
- Ravens vs. Packers: O/U 61.5Over won
- Spread: Packers (-2.5)Ravens won
- Spread: Packers (-4.5)Ravens won
- Spread: Ravens (-1.5)Ravens won
- Spread: Ravens (-4.5)Ravens won
- Spread: Ravens (-5.5)Ravens won
- Spread: Ravens (-6.5)Ravens won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.