MLB · resolved market
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Cincinnati Reds
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6e631c4da81cdfdaee3d05eb58992be15eacf6f6080a93f792ae4de870582517
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Cincinnati Redsof St. Louis Cardinals, Cincinnati Reds
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $352,541
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $365,562
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $352,541 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 265 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed St. Louis Cardinals | 29c | 61,313$18,058 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,058.09 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd959…daf7backed Cincinnati Reds | 80c | 40,247$32,130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,116.68 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | -3.8wins | -0.09per pick | 60cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 29c | 28,939$8,387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,386.74 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1eaf…9bf0backed Cincinnati Reds | 43c | 16,888$7,262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,626.14 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -4.3wins | -0.15per pick | 53cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed St. Louis Cardinals | 51c | 14,386$7,314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,314.14 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3625…1187backed Cincinnati Reds | 50c | 12,000$6,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,000 | 379 | 53.6%203 W · 176 L | +18.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa1e4…4f8abacked St. Louis Cardinals | 21c | 9,529$2,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,001 | 122 | 27.9%34 W · 88 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 22cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xce9f…26e8backed St. Louis Cardinals | 57c | 8,580$4,890 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,890.02 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x433f…a0dcbacked Cincinnati Reds | 80c | 8,286$6,608 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,677.71 | 156 | 44.9%70 W · 86 L | +11.7wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x26b4…b8a9backed Cincinnati Reds | 56c | 7,029$3,932 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,097.41 | 435 | 54%235 W · 200 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbad1…bf70backed St. Louis Cardinals | 55c | 5,416$2,958 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,957.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Cincinnati Reds | 54c | 4,320$2,315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,004.94 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x09af…9728backed St. Louis Cardinals | 51c | 3,922$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 891 | 53.5%477 W · 414 L | +24.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed St. Louis Cardinals | 50c | 3,903$1,952 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,951.54 | 390 | 41%160 W · 230 L | -22.2wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed St. Louis Cardinals | 38c | 3,755$1,427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,427.49 | 2,293 | 48.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Cincinnati Reds | 50c | 3,271$1,636 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,635.5 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 22c | 3,130$685 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$684.89 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde19…3c92backed Cincinnati Reds | 66c | 3,000$1,980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,020 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 50c | 2,983$1,492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,491.7 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked St. Louis Cardinals | 31c | 2,936$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$899.86 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x066e…ceb2backed St. Louis Cardinals | 31c | 2,600$814 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$814 | 252 | 40.1%101 W · 151 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed St. Louis Cardinals | 50c | 2,438$1,229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,229.14 | 2,369 | 47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed St. Louis Cardinals | 32c | 2,428$782 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$781.98 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed St. Louis Cardinals | 23c | 2,320$541 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$541.14 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Cincinnati Reds | 78c | 2,076$1,627 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$448.86 | 1,912 | 53%1,014 W · 898 L | +42.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacb2…b989backed Cincinnati Reds | 50c | 2,054$1,027 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,026.85 | 124 | 57.3%71 W · 53 L | +7.7wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc513…98babacked St. Louis Cardinals | 57c | 2,044$1,170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,170.36 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -2.6wins | -0.17per pick | 44cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfb1e…9b89backed St. Louis Cardinals | 1c | 2,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed St. Louis Cardinals | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cef…fa91backed Cincinnati Reds | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,019.98 | 146 | 47.3%69 W · 77 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Cincinnati Reds | 49c | 1,986$973 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,012.89 | 1,572 | 48.3%759 W · 813 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc31…971fbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 51c | 1,961$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 328 | 50.3%165 W · 163 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 41c | 1,952$797 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$797.48 | 791 | 47.9%379 W · 412 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed St. Louis Cardinals | 12c | 1,895$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.31 | 3,208 | 51.2%1,642 W · 1,566 L | +146.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 34c | 1,838$629 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$629.05 | 462 | 39.6%183 W · 279 L | -17.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Cincinnati Reds | 50c | 1,687$844 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$843.72 | 2,407 | 48.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L | -62.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Cincinnati Reds | 50c | 1,685$842 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$842.26 | 274 | 52.6%144 W · 130 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f29…f03dbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 29c | 1,569$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 475 | 45.9%218 W · 257 L | -13.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Cincinnati Reds | 63c | 1,515$952 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$562.81 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x81b0…858cbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 33c | 1,515$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.81 | 205 | 52.7%108 W · 97 L | +12.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Cincinnati Reds | 57c | 1,477$836 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$640.15 | 2,147 | 50.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L | +27.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fae…0d19backed St. Louis Cardinals | 45c | 1,423$641 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$640.57 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Cincinnati Reds | 60c | 1,248$755 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$493.32 | 2,583 | 61.4%1,587 W · 996 L | +70.9wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed St. Louis Cardinals | 1c | 1,240$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 406 | 29.1%118 W · 288 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed St. Louis Cardinals | 50c | 1,234$617 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$617.16 | 737 | 48.4%357 W · 380 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked St. Louis Cardinals | 6c | 1,067$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 940 | 34.3%322 W · 618 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Cincinnati Reds | 50c | 1,048$524 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$524 | 750 | 49.7%373 W · 377 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3df…9945backed Cincinnati Reds | 57c | 1,048$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$447.77 | 64 | 67.2%43 W · 21 L | +6.3wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Cincinnati Reds | 49c | 999.95$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$509.98 | 672 | 50.1%337 W · 335 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Cincinnati Reds | 49c | 999.95$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$509.98 | 1,836 | 50.8%932 W · 904 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10d7…f024backed St. Louis Cardinals | 55c | 957.59$524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$524.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed St. Louis Cardinals | 25c | 918.93$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.84 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked St. Louis Cardinals | 23c | 842.89$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.77 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6eb7…a0f1backed St. Louis Cardinals | 40c | 820.94$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326.27 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x762e…4bf0backed Cincinnati Reds | 50c | 820.3$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410.15 | 245 | 51.8%127 W · 118 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf629…38d5backed St. Louis Cardinals | 51c | 810$413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$413.1 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -2.2wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d21…abc5backed St. Louis Cardinals | 33c | 787.88$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 124 | 41.1%51 W · 73 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x767a…8ac5backed Cincinnati Reds | 69c | 717.19$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.58 | 346 | 50.9%176 W · 170 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…e798backed St. Louis Cardinals | 18c | 709.26$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129 | 55 | 38.2%21 W · 34 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd51b…90a8backed St. Louis Cardinals | 51c | 705.9$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360.01 | 171 | 52.6%90 W · 81 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed St. Louis Cardinals | 45c | 622.64$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.92 | 503 | 37.2%187 W · 316 L | -42.3wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed St. Louis Cardinals | 50c | 621.63$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.75 | 692 | 49%339 W · 353 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0df7…1ec1backed St. Louis Cardinals | 29c | 618.79$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.45 | 440 | 58.9%259 W · 181 L | +29.0wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x41b4…10dabacked Cincinnati Reds | 43c | 580$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330.6 | 199 | 50.3%100 W · 99 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed St. Louis Cardinals | 19c | 570.97$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.72 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec2…bd08backed Cincinnati Reds | 50c | 550$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275 | 1,137 | 42.6%484 W · 653 L | +10.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed Cincinnati Reds | 55c | 542.4$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.4 | 1,379 | 50.6%698 W · 681 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd03b…184cbacked Cincinnati Reds | 76c | 527.1$401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.34 | 284 | 53.9%153 W · 131 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Cincinnati Reds | 57c | 520.99$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.17 | 1,630 | 55.2%899 W · 731 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96d9…18a0backed St. Louis Cardinals | 50c | 520$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 224 | 48.7%109 W · 115 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c58…e330backed Cincinnati Reds | 48c | 509.16$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.22 | 880 | 53.8%473 W · 407 L | +41.0wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x64d4…f056backed Cincinnati Reds | 54c | 506$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.92 | 231 | 40.3%93 W · 138 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde91…61f9backed St. Louis Cardinals | 13c | 500$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa73a…656abacked Cincinnati Reds | 49c | 500$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255 | 577 | 58.1%335 W · 242 L | +28.5wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd52c…6c59backed St. Louis Cardinals | 14c | 491.22$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.33 | 293 | 31.7%93 W · 200 L | -11.7wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a73…df96backed Cincinnati Reds | 60c | 475.27$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.21 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked St. Louis Cardinals | 24c | 468.99$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.95 | 996 | 24.6%245 W · 751 L | -70.1wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcf5e…95e3backed St. Louis Cardinals | 11c | 453.27$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.86 | 267 | 52.8%141 W · 126 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…77c1backed Cincinnati Reds | 40c | 445.24$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.19 | 2,243 | 57.6%1,293 W · 950 L | +37.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fa…51e5backed Cincinnati Reds | 43c | 430.65$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.07 | 294 | 46.6%137 W · 157 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a47…3b21backed St. Louis Cardinals | 50c | 424$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212 | 88 | 56.8%50 W · 38 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa11f…1252backed St. Louis Cardinals | 11c | 416.18$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.53 | 186 | 51.1%95 W · 91 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Cincinnati Reds | 50c | 400.02$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.81 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a6…6991backed St. Louis Cardinals | 25c | 400$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 397 | 39.5%157 W · 240 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0078…0690backed Cincinnati Reds | 50c | 396$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198 | 50 | 38%19 W · 31 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3252…1d21backed St. Louis Cardinals | 43c | 365$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.6 | 340 | 45%153 W · 187 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfeab…9cd0backed Cincinnati Reds | 43c | 348.17$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.03 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +3.0wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe4fa…3262backed St. Louis Cardinals | 51c | 333.88$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.28 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed Cincinnati Reds | 44c | 327$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.02 | 707 | 35.1%248 W · 459 L | -31.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb0f4…6fa9backed Cincinnati Reds | 50c | 321$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.5 | 1,777 | 58.4%1,037 W · 740 L | +91.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6f6a…9888backed St. Louis Cardinals | 35c | 317$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.12 | 786 | 49.1%386 W · 400 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6383…6e28backed Cincinnati Reds | 64c | 312.13$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.3 | 792 | 55.6%440 W · 352 L | +20.6wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72be…c534backed St. Louis Cardinals | 23c | 304.35$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 161 | 38.5%62 W · 99 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Cincinnati Reds | 50c | 300$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 38c | 290.73$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.83 | 1,141 | 42.9%490 W · 651 L | -37.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c16…66cebacked Cincinnati Reds | 55c | 289.45$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.77 | 660 | 56.2%371 W · 289 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Cincinnati Reds | 38c | 284.61$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.46 | 1,723 | 50.3%867 W · 856 L | +55.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9c…3648backed Cincinnati Reds | 62c | 279.4$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.56 | 1,733 | 49%849 W · 884 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed St. Louis Cardinals | 37c | 264.95$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 1,121 | 44.1%494 W · 627 L | -32.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed St. Louis Cardinals | 51c | 252.53$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.79 | 1,075 | 58.3%627 W · 448 L | -21.3wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- St. Louis Cardinals vs. Cincinnati Redsthis page
- Spread: St. Louis Cardinals (-1.5)Cincinnati Reds won
- St. Louis Cardinals vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 10.5Over won
- St. Louis Cardinals vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 9.5Over won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: St. Louis Cardinals vs. Cincinnati RedsNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.