MLB · resolved market
Athletics vs. San Diego Padres
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb7df7a048c17236aa9252cff502b90e4fdeb4c0311154c7784a0c18c1c06f790
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- San Diego Padresof Athletics, San Diego Padres
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $809,644
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $828,467
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $809,644 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 422 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Athletics | 54c | 232,221$125,399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125,399.33 | 1,385 | 49.5%685 W · 700 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4bff…fc26backed San Diego Padres | 46c | 120,215$55,299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64,916.34 | 436 | 47%205 W · 231 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked San Diego Padres | 46c | 100,000$46,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53,999.99 | 411 | 49.1%202 W · 209 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed San Diego Padres | 47c | 40,000$18,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,200 | 981 | 49.9%490 W · 491 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1136…0c2ebacked San Diego Padres | 46c | 40,000$18,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,599.99 | 133 | 40.6%54 W · 79 L | -14.4wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed San Diego Padres | 52c | 34,994$18,264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,730.43 | 2,293 | 48.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d6…be17backed Athletics | 53c | 33,962$18,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,000 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -2.8wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x558f…1a56backed Athletics | 54c | 22,504$12,152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,152.24 | 188 | 60.1%113 W · 75 L | +14.6wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +237.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc1…b33cbacked Athletics | 48c | 22,430$10,766 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,766.36 | 260 | 56.9%148 W · 112 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…f328backed Athletics | 37c | 18,645$6,899 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,898.6 | 192 | 39.1%75 W · 117 L | -10.8wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa1e4…4f8abacked Athletics | 22c | 18,440$4,004 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,004.05 | 122 | 27.9%34 W · 88 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 22cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Athletics | 15c | 16,463$2,415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,415.5 | 135 | 34.1%46 W · 89 L | -8.5wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Athletics | 51c | 14,217$7,314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,314.48 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Athletics | 53c | 11,734$6,173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,173.04 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x021c…232fbacked Athletics | 54c | 10,300$5,562 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,562 | 178 | 53.4%95 W · 83 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fba…d08abacked San Diego Padres | 49c | 10,000$4,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,100 | 531 | 50.5%268 W · 263 L | +19.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Athletics | 53c | 9,614$5,115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,115.01 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3450…6793backed San Diego Padres | 60c | 9,258$5,555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,703.33 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +3.7wins | +0.16per pick | 45cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed San Diego Padres | 59c | 8,502$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,501.55 | 1,106 | 48.7%539 W · 567 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdcbf…d37fbacked San Diego Padres | 48c | 8,094$3,885 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,208.71 | 91 | 53.8%49 W · 42 L | +7.9wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed San Diego Padres | 78c | 8,071$6,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,771.2 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed Athletics | 52c | 7,266$3,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,800 | 575 | 48%276 W · 299 L | -17.0wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b88…8f33backed Athletics | 54c | 7,000$3,780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,780 | 448 | 51.6%231 W · 217 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5f…6bfebacked San Diego Padres | 47c | 6,797$3,195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,602.58 | 75 | 50.7%38 W · 37 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16bb…8492backed Athletics | 51c | 6,629$3,381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,380.62 | 865 | 48.7%421 W · 444 L | -8.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked San Diego Padres | 77c | 6,382$4,922 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,459.29 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Athletics | 27c | 6,325$1,688 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,687.68 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed San Diego Padres | 58c | 5,961$3,470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,490.94 | 1,215 | 47.6%578 W · 637 L | -19.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…d62abacked San Diego Padres | 52c | 5,819$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,819.15 | 243 | 44.4%108 W · 135 L | -11.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Athletics | 51c | 5,276$2,691 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,690.76 | 920 | 54%497 W · 423 L | +23.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed San Diego Padres | 46c | 5,054$2,325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,729.34 | 1,572 | 48.3%759 W · 813 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09af…9728backed San Diego Padres | 48c | 5,000$2,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,599.8 | 891 | 53.5%477 W · 414 L | +24.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdcad…df78backed Athletics | 17c | 4,329$733 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$733.4 | 109 | 30.3%33 W · 76 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed San Diego Padres | 47c | 4,178$1,979 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,198.66 | 449 | 53.7%241 W · 208 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcba5…cd88backed San Diego Padres | 47c | 4,000$1,880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,120 | 660 | 50.2%331 W · 329 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed San Diego Padres | 47c | 4,000$1,860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,140 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed San Diego Padres | 46c | 3,794$1,754 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,040.14 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b44…3992backed Athletics | 48c | 3,738$1,794 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,794.39 | 156 | 59%92 W · 64 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf11…c679backed San Diego Padres | 48c | 3,735$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,935.35 | 289 | 44.3%128 W · 161 L | -12.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Athletics | 40c | 3,726$1,506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,506.03 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked San Diego Padres | 70c | 3,371$2,344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,027.07 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa7e8…5c8cbacked Athletics | 33c | 3,108$1,032 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,031.79 | 110 | 57.3%63 W · 47 L | +6.2wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed San Diego Padres | 68c | 3,087$2,105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$981.1 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed Athletics | 48c | 3,000$1,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,440 | 779 | 51.1%398 W · 381 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed San Diego Padres | 49c | 2,903$1,431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,471.74 | 2,369 | 47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked San Diego Padres | 49c | 2,833$1,382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,450.76 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Athletics | 39c | 2,736$1,070 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,069.78 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed San Diego Padres | 51c | 2,698$1,368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,329.99 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Athletics | 10c | 2,692$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.16 | 856 | 45.3%388 W · 468 L | +18.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfeab…9cd0backed San Diego Padres | 48c | 2,518$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,318.03 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +3.0wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Athletics | 39c | 2,457$950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$949.94 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed San Diego Padres | 47c | 2,419$1,146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,273.31 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d16…212ebacked Athletics | 47c | 2,164$1,017 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,017.27 | 206 | 48.1%99 W · 107 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed San Diego Padres | 76c | 2,117$1,619 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$497.86 | 1,083 | 56.3%610 W · 473 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b73…8688backed San Diego Padres | 71c | 2,115$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$614.68 | 41 | 61%25 W · 16 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Athletics | 54c | 2,103$1,135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,134.68 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ee…89a4backed San Diego Padres | 48c | 2,070$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,070.43 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | +7.7wins | +0.21per pick | 45cpaid | +49.7%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x83ce…835cbacked Athletics | 59c | 2,013$1,190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,190.33 | 507 | 48.7%247 W · 260 L | -17.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Athletics | 10c | 2,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda44…2b09backed San Diego Padres | 47c | 2,000$930 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,070 | 79 | 46.8%37 W · 42 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x066e…ceb2backed San Diego Padres | 53c | 2,000$1,051 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$949.23 | 252 | 40.1%101 W · 151 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Athletics | 25c | 1,942$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490.01 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Athletics | 54c | 1,740$940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$939.6 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Athletics | 53c | 1,721$912 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$912 | 595 | 49.7%296 W · 299 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab4d…3f0bbacked Athletics | 48c | 1,667$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Athletics | 8c | 1,637$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131 | 1,522 | 34.7%528 W · 994 L | +27.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Athletics | 63c | 1,612$1,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,010.07 | 2,021 | 39.5%798 W · 1,223 L | -25.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Athletics | 31c | 1,581$483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$483.47 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc31…971fbacked San Diego Padres | 47c | 1,489$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$789.36 | 328 | 50.3%165 W · 163 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…3180backed San Diego Padres | 46c | 1,465$679 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$786.28 | 515 | 47%242 W · 273 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Athletics | 52c | 1,325$689 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$688.77 | 737 | 48.4%357 W · 380 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8857…4b5bbacked San Diego Padres | 70c | 1,258$876 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$381.62 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x354b…4744backed Athletics | 26c | 1,174$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3920…23e7backed Athletics | 54c | 1,074$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580 | 251 | 49.8%125 W · 126 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3df…9945backed San Diego Padres | 68c | 1,029$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.41 | 64 | 67.2%43 W · 21 L | +6.3wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked San Diego Padres | 61c | 1,025$622 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$402.92 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x767a…8ac5backed San Diego Padres | 70c | 1,015$711 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.62 | 346 | 50.9%176 W · 170 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7265…8712backed San Diego Padres | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530 | 85 | 57.6%49 W · 36 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f07…9d0fbacked San Diego Padres | 46c | 1,000$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540 | 275 | 52.4%144 W · 131 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f8d…a92abacked Athletics | 54c | 1,000$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 237 | 54%128 W · 109 L | +8.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0844…f46abacked Athletics | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 168 | 48.2%81 W · 87 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked San Diego Padres | 46c | 999.98$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$539.99 | 444 | 51.1%227 W · 217 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked San Diego Padres | 47c | 999.87$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$529.93 | 1,836 | 50.8%932 W · 904 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc513…98babacked Athletics | 33c | 979.91$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.4 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -2.6wins | -0.17per pick | 44cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe292…84b8backed San Diego Padres | 47c | 949.98$443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$506.99 | 1,402 | 43.1%604 W · 798 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x782d…8211backed San Diego Padres | 64c | 934.23$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.23 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 64cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Athletics | 43c | 928.56$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.19 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09da…56ffbacked Athletics | 54c | 904.67$489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$488.52 | 57 | 47.4%27 W · 30 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Athletics | 39c | 904$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.88 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe94c…1edebacked Athletics | 51c | 784.31$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 124 | 49.2%61 W · 63 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed San Diego Padres | 48c | 750.33$361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$389.39 | 920 | 46%423 W · 497 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked Athletics | 49c | 748.55$367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$366.79 | 694 | 53.6%372 W · 322 L | +14.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28ae…9481backed Athletics | 55c | 727.27$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08ec…8c8dbacked San Diego Padres | 49c | 710$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.1 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed San Diego Padres | 74c | 689.82$509 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.35 | 2,147 | 50.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L | +27.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked Athletics | 23c | 612.5$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.8 | 791 | 47.9%379 W · 412 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64a8…7bc3backed San Diego Padres | 76c | 610.07$462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.3 | 52 | 73.1%38 W · 14 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 72cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed Athletics | 33c | 600$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.51 | 707 | 35.1%248 W · 459 L | -31.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked San Diego Padres | 47c | 600$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318 | 859 | 52.6%452 W · 407 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0249…5b4bbacked San Diego Padres | 51c | 600$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294 | 252 | 49.2%124 W · 128 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Athletics vs. San Diego Padresthis page
- Athletics vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 2.5Under won
- Athletics vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 4.5Under won
- Athletics vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 5.5Under won
- Athletics vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 6.5Under won
- Athletics vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 7.5Under won
- Athletics vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 8.5Under won
- Athletics vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Athletics (-1.5)San Diego Padres won
- Spread: San Diego Padres (-1.5)San Diego Padres won
- Spread: San Diego Padres (-2.5)Athletics won
- Spread: San Diego Padres (-3.5)Athletics won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Athletics vs. San Diego PadresNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.