TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Celtics vs. Knicks

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Knicksof Celtics, Knicks
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$4,536,082
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$4,991,304

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,536,082 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 1,781 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xbddf…c684backed Celtics37c544,121$200,820 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200,820.3972648.3%351 W · 375 L+30.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+11%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x959a…7b64backed Knicks56c280,735$158,472 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122,262.73357.6%19 W · 14 L+5.3wins+0.16per pick41cpaid+42%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xc807…c12bbacked Knicks63c268,895$169,404 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99,491.1520545.9%94 W · 111 L-12.8wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-12%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed Celtics45c141,174$63,767 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63,766.866248.5%321 W · 341 L-0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8a6c…0b3fbacked Knicks65c128,023$83,215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44,808.0836549.6%181 W · 184 L-1.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Celtics36c123,254$44,285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44,284.581,91549.3%944 W · 971 L+19.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8790…010bbacked Celtics38c100,000$38,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38,000250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+6.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9f2f…2ca8backed Knicks60c79,758$48,077 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31,681.139745.4%44 W · 53 L+4.7wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+9.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xff36…e757backed Knicks64c68,478$43,665 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24,813.2411547%54 W · 61 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x116c…e162backed Knicks62c63,628$39,695 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23,932.921350.7%108 W · 105 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x68ca…9f73backed Celtics36c62,136$22,225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22,224.732540.3%131 W · 194 L-10.2wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-12.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0c15…9a45backed Celtics37c59,161$21,890 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21,889.611137.8%42 W · 69 L-5.0wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-9.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Knicks64c58,350$37,495 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,855.31,28243.4%557 W · 725 L-51.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf668…5c69backed Knicks64c53,506$34,244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,262.2536359.8%217 W · 146 L+23.7wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+14.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa4f5…1079backed Knicks55c50,975$27,972 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23,003.215048%24 W · 26 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Knicks62c48,396$30,146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,250.344,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbde5…9c38backed Celtics40c48,273$19,309 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,309.151,19746.7%559 W · 638 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfc25…1f7fbacked Knicks60c48,000$28,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,20096447.8%461 W · 503 L+35.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+17.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe542…0a37backed Celtics39c43,095$16,793 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,792.9140133.4%134 W · 267 L+27.0wins+0.07per pick27cpaid+20.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x073a…91e7backed Celtics36c42,000$15,120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,1203641.7%15 W · 21 L-2.5wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-17.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd9ad…a55cbacked Celtics61c39,203$23,902 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23,902.45450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84db…aeebbacked Celtics36c38,464$13,847 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,847.041,37450.1%689 W · 685 L+34.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xff80…9b4dbacked Celtics5c34,386$1,876 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,876.0713442.5%57 W · 77 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-16.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x38c2…d3a7backed Knicks44c32,883$14,497 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,386.5622458.9%132 W · 92 L+10.0wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1961…c461backed Celtics40c32,135$12,854 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,853.918750.6%44 W · 43 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+11.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x783c…146abacked Celtics39c30,954$12,038 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,038.171457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+10.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x41b4…de82backed Celtics35c29,986$10,635 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,63558740%235 W · 352 L+24.3wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+3.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0438…9d98backed Knicks67c27,045$18,153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,892.4317051.8%88 W · 82 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x18a4…3a31backed Celtics48c26,818$12,836 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,836.2318941.8%79 W · 110 L-7.3wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-15.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Celtics39c25,937$10,072 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,072.1590650.2%455 W · 451 L-0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Celtics39c25,615$9,990 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,990.2863746.6%297 W · 340 L-16.1wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6c9d…614abacked Celtics39c24,552$9,622 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,622.091127.3%3 W · 8 L-1.0wins-0.09per pick36cpaid-9.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Celtics39c24,088$9,507 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,5078,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Celtics39c22,814$8,835 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,834.981,28650.8%653 W · 633 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf472…a262backed Celtics17c22,044$3,741 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,741.041417.8%11 W · 130 L-7.8wins-0.06per pick13cpaid-46.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd41a…fd60backed Knicks58c21,452$12,549 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,903.263148.4%15 W · 16 L+2.1wins+0.07per pick42cpaid-5.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe1a2…14b8backed Celtics36c20,191$7,235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,234.9210949.5%54 W · 55 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed Knicks75c18,866$14,136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,730.3170147.8%335 W · 366 L+15.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-8.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa5aa…9134backed Knicks63c18,249$11,577 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,671.5619957.8%115 W · 84 L+18.2wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+19.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x8516…93a0backed Knicks43c16,843$7,229 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,613.778035%28 W · 52 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-15.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Knicks63c16,347$10,242 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,105.631,19448.8%583 W · 611 L-22.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x163e…dc5bbacked Knicks60c16,000$9,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,40020758%120 W · 87 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xae0f…f647backed Celtics57c15,899$9,063 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,062.578451.2%43 W · 41 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe790…eadcbacked Knicks61c15,580$9,445 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,135.620744%91 W · 116 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-25.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b10…acabbacked Celtics52c15,556$8,085 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,084.9314953%79 W · 70 L+10.0wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+9.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked Celtics38c15,546$5,975 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,975.3758953.7%316 W · 273 L+15.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8258…bfbcbacked Knicks62c15,243$9,451 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,792.47333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.24per pick57cpaid-46.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x686f…ccb1backed Celtics39c14,300$5,577 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,577.111442.9%6 W · 8 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+80.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x85e5…6056backed Celtics71c13,839$9,826 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,8262556%14 W · 11 L-3.5wins-0.14per pick70cpaid-22.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Knicks63c13,726$8,593 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,133.021,19032%381 W · 809 L-58.1wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-34.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Knicks36c13,690$4,951 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,739.6393148.4%451 W · 480 L+34.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4f5b…d411backed Celtics68c12,183$8,285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,284.765959.3%35 W · 24 L-4.1wins-0.07per pick66cpaid-12.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe9cb…d096backed Knicks58c12,098$6,993 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,104.681,00334.7%348 W · 655 L-44.7wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-35.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x938f…a768backed Knicks63c12,000$7,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,5002650%13 W · 13 L-0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7960…734dbacked Knicks67c11,114$7,410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,703.783669.4%25 W · 11 L+4.9wins+0.13per pick56cpaid+36.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf679…16acbacked Celtics51c11,000$5,610 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,609.9810743%46 W · 61 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-18%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Celtics38c10,872$4,173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,173.242,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xacb2…b989backed Knicks47c10,815$5,132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,682.8449244.3%218 W · 274 L+11.8wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5fea…78b1backed Celtics25c10,596$2,696 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,695.5326337.3%98 W · 165 L-1.0wins0.00per pick38cpaid-20.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4137…586cbacked Celtics40c10,100$3,998 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,997.9747043.8%206 W · 264 L-22.2wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-12.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x64e9…eb4cbacked Knicks64c10,000$6,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,60035251.1%180 W · 172 L+8.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd100…853dbacked Celtics36c9,616$3,462 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,461.7632351.1%165 W · 158 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8aa6…83f9backed Celtics58c9,608$5,546 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,545.9714355.9%80 W · 63 L+6.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+6.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5116…58c4backed Knicks71c9,191$6,558 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,633.4276850.3%386 W · 382 L-5.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9478…63f5backed Celtics39c8,871$3,451 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,450.881741.2%7 W · 10 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick35cpaid+9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Knicks56c8,866$4,984 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,882.0537355%205 W · 168 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x410d…d831backed Celtics48c8,614$4,120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,120.1911335.4%40 W · 73 L-8.0wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-29.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xafe4…f3f7backed Celtics40c8,231$3,292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,292.2515850.6%80 W · 78 L+10.3wins+0.07per pick44cpaid+21.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Celtics36c8,154$2,926 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,925.654,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa8bb…e40fbacked Celtics37c8,000$2,960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,9601040%4 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-15.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x339a…1eaebacked Celtics37c7,698$2,848 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,848.111,75961.7%1,085 W · 674 L+127.5wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+12.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x14cc…7c02backed Celtics38c7,231$2,748 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,747.6413842.8%59 W · 79 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-9.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Celtics40c7,025$2,819 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,818.82,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe393…f016backed Celtics36c7,000$2,520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,52014059.3%83 W · 57 L+8.7wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+8.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x244a…07c8backed Celtics36c6,944$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,500425%1 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick30cpaid-46.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb6d6…be17backed Celtics50c6,826$3,389 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,389.0710448.1%50 W · 54 L-7.3wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-16.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x479e…91c3backed Knicks74c6,651$4,922 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,729.3514766%97 W · 50 L+5.2wins+0.04per pick62cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x92b5…fec6backed Celtics32c6,622$2,110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,110.0610747.7%51 W · 56 L+0.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed Celtics43c6,516$2,783 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,782.7624937.3%93 W · 156 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-35%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed Knicks33c6,301$2,057 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,243.6389444.4%397 W · 497 L+8.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-9.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbe23…b587backed Celtics31c6,274$1,935 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,935.12955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+19%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d9b…a5ebbacked Knicks44c6,209$2,712 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,496.9413544.4%60 W · 75 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Knicks62c6,062$3,781 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,280.743,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x9cb9…32f2backed Celtics37c6,000$2,220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,22038434.9%134 W · 250 L+7.0wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+12.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed Celtics38c6,000$2,280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,279.9987750.2%440 W · 437 L-19.7wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x29ac…ea58backed Knicks49c5,935$2,908 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,026.91040%4 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-15.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Knicks64c5,676$3,661 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,015.656,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f4e…5104backed Knicks52c5,641$2,911 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,730.012245.5%10 W · 12 L+1.8wins+0.08per pick37cpaid-3.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3625…1187backed Celtics52c5,594$2,914 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,913.757243.1%31 W · 41 L-3.7wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-14.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7e7c…4d13backed Celtics36c5,556$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,000366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.24per pick42cpaid+46.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb5bd…b891backed Celtics38c5,547$2,117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,117.4429849.3%147 W · 151 L-5.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa73a…656abacked Celtics38c5,486$2,098 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,098.3125226.6%67 W · 185 L-26.7wins-0.11per pick37cpaid-49.4%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xd408…e85cbacked Knicks74c5,403$3,991 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,411.88061.3%49 W · 31 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick63cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Knicks62c5,309$3,267 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,042.42,34648.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7248…8cb4backed Celtics41c5,300$2,173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,172.988948.3%43 W · 46 L+3.3wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+1.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8c10…8977backed Celtics39c5,293$2,039 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,038.7662347.7%297 W · 326 L-9.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-1.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x853e…0d8cbacked Celtics36c5,200$1,872 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,871.9712042.5%51 W · 69 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf94f…9adabacked Knicks49c5,104$2,501 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,603.141353.8%7 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-0.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x39eb…0e4cbacked Knicks53c5,099$2,680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,4192152.4%11 W · 10 L+1.4wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+83.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5e59…307dbacked Knicks60c5,065$3,025 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,039.538859.1%52 W · 36 L+4.5wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+3.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 22 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.