TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Knicks (-3.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Knicksof Knicks, Celtics
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$235,485
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$262,549

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $235,485 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 214 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xbddf…c684backed Celtics48c36,936$17,659 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,658.5172648.3%351 W · 375 L+30.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+11%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Celtics49c30,475$14,912 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,911.811,91549.3%944 W · 971 L+19.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x93ab…9723backed Knicks52c30,000$15,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,40060351.4%310 W · 293 L+16.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Knicks51c26,804$13,614 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,190.281,28243.4%557 W · 725 L-51.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8a6c…0b3fbacked Knicks58c20,312$11,745 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,566.4536549.6%181 W · 184 L-1.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed Celtics42c13,537$5,686 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,685.5166248.5%321 W · 341 L-0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf658…655ebacked Knicks59c10,229$5,991 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,237.5114556.6%82 W · 63 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-2.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf11…8399backed Knicks51c10,000$5,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,899.9937539.5%148 W · 227 L-1.2wins0.00per pick40cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Celtics44c9,437$4,176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,176.499,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Celtics43c7,811$3,364 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,363.896,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Knicks51c6,499$3,321 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,178.582,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Celtics49c5,630$2,749 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,749.0190650.2%455 W · 451 L-0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Celtics48c5,610$2,714 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,714.311,28650.8%653 W · 633 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf668…5c69backed Knicks56c4,682$2,622 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,059.9536359.8%217 W · 146 L+23.7wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+14.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed Knicks33c4,364$1,446 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,917.6670147.8%335 W · 366 L+15.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-8.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1b39…3234backed Celtics67c4,243$2,843 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,842.587349.3%36 W · 37 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x40b4…1483backed Knicks58c4,218$2,437 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,781.0914045.7%64 W · 76 L-8.8wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-10.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Celtics44c4,027$1,772 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,771.864,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x24b3…a5a4backed Knicks52c3,735$1,942 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,792.9811249.1%55 W · 57 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3a6c…236dbacked Knicks52c3,580$1,861 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,71917055.3%94 W · 76 L+4.7wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d13…643cbacked Celtics43c3,516$1,517 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,517.2314338.5%55 W · 88 L-18.4wins-0.13per pick51cpaid-28.2%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Knicks52c3,049$1,591 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,457.821,19448.8%583 W · 611 L-22.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d2e…896dbacked Celtics47c2,491$1,171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,170.656043.3%26 W · 34 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-13%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Celtics45c2,352$1,047 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,047.261,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2779…239abacked Knicks72c2,087$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$587.182835.7%10 W · 18 L-2.7wins-0.10per pick45cpaid-31.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Knicks53c2,000$1,060 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$939.9369149.1%339 W · 352 L-8.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Celtics48c1,759$844 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$843.974,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb5bd…b891backed Celtics48c1,703$809 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$808.9329849.3%147 W · 151 L-5.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x30db…44e1backed Celtics49c1,578$776 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$775.634953%185 W · 164 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x24d3…30abbacked Knicks52c1,462$760 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$701.7513563%85 W · 50 L+15.6wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+21.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xc51a…a0d9backed Knicks52c1,456$757 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$699.0627455.5%152 W · 122 L+15.2wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+9.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6e59…beeebacked Knicks58c1,306$757 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$548.4212257.4%70 W · 52 L+5.0wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+8.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x31e0…b09dbacked Knicks51c1,143$582 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$560.31728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.12per pick41cpaid-53.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdaef…54e9backed Celtics49c1,093$537 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$537.4919937.2%74 W · 125 L-5.2wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-15%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x448d…3adebacked Celtics50c1,076$537 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$537.164544.4%20 W · 25 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-10.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xea48…c596backed Knicks52c1,064$554 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$510.9318444.6%82 W · 102 L-6.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3982…2befbacked Celtics47c1,023$484 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$484.2137647.3%178 W · 198 L-7.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9f2a…3706backed Celtics50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5003732.4%12 W · 25 L-6.0wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-43.4%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x05e1…85a2backed Knicks52c1,000$520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48032347.1%152 W · 171 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7096…7f78backed Celtics49c989.18$485 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$484.765349.9%326 W · 327 L+20.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked Knicks25c872.54$219 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$653.0658953.7%316 W · 273 L+15.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbc37…2f65backed Knicks52c824.54$429 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$395.7841649.8%207 W · 209 L+1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe7ca…a175backed Knicks51c819.67$418 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$401.6482442.2%348 W · 476 L-3.7wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfd48…d64fbacked Celtics49c707.16$346 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$345.515354.7%29 W · 24 L+2.9wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+9.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x82de…1337backed Celtics43c695.33$298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$297.744551.2%228 W · 217 L+11.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe94c…1edebacked Knicks58c660.31$383 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$277.3322349.8%111 W · 112 L-4.8wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xce26…8e06backed Knicks52c611.86$318 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$293.6991050.9%463 W · 447 L+11.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2e6c…e09cbacked Celtics45c583.69$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$260.4359250.2%297 W · 295 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2373…a1f3backed Celtics45c582.76$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$260.4456447.9%270 W · 294 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb7e9…bdacbacked Celtics45c554.05$249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.322828.6%8 W · 20 L-4.7wins-0.17per pick45cpaid-47.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x6334…1a91backed Knicks54c537.06$292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$245.28650%3 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd4e3…d5f4backed Knicks55c530.73$292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$238.8313547.4%64 W · 71 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1015…c873backed Knicks55c523.51$288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.5862744.5%279 W · 348 L-12.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4f43…c0c2backed Knicks21c500$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39523435.9%84 W · 150 L-9.7wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-16.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xec60…8ad8backed Celtics46c500$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2306947.8%33 W · 36 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+8.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc991…abd4backed Knicks53c494.89$261 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$233.4348751.7%252 W · 235 L-1.8wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6569…7600backed Celtics43c491.63$209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209.0922047.3%104 W · 116 L-6.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa774…005fbacked Celtics47c459.43$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$215.938458.3%49 W · 35 L+3.5wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+8.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Knicks52c438.84$229 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$209.551,39946.4%649 W · 750 L-13.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3d16…c595backed Knicks58c403.37$234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.41560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+7.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Knicks52c400$209 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$190.972,40043.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L-82.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xeddf…a953backed Celtics49c395.67$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.8836143.5%157 W · 204 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd51e…ac0cbacked Celtics44c393.49$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.4151647.5%245 W · 271 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-10%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Celtics41c347.01$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.768,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Celtics46c343.48$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.851,08450%542 W · 542 L+2.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4df2…d357backed Knicks58c336.14$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.187659.2%45 W · 31 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Celtics50c326.38$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.6363746.6%297 W · 340 L-16.1wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed Celtics50c326.38$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.6371654.1%387 W · 329 L+21.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdc37…60c9backed Knicks56c312.53$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.512100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+87.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe4a6…27d0backed Celtics48c308.08$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.8810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Knicks53c307.52$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.521,27747.2%603 W · 674 L-3.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd1c2…0db7backed Celtics45c307.51$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.3810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2573…2801backed Knicks53c306.12$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.872100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+86.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x865a…f1ecbacked Knicks54c299.99$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1383354.5%18 W · 15 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0687…02e4backed Knicks57c289.54$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.51450%7 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-19%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9510…16dfbacked Knicks52c285.12$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.2530453.3%162 W · 142 L+8.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe414…c341backed Celtics45c280$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12681349.4%402 W · 411 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x88ba…b99abacked Knicks53c275.04$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.2710050%50 W · 50 L-0.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Celtics72c273.79$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.153,34153.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L+108.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x06e7…3acabacked Celtics50c262.13$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.8657051.9%296 W · 274 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa85b…eb0ebacked Celtics43c261.62$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.516048.8%78 W · 82 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-1.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Celtics25c238.75$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.691,75848.7%856 W · 902 L+28.3wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd208…29e6backed Celtics50c230.12$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.5432450.3%163 W · 161 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf1ad…6979backed Knicks52c218.89$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.657650%288 W · 288 L+1.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Knicks53c215.51$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.2944740.7%182 W · 265 L-27.5wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-9.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x725f…06c2backed Celtics47c206$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.821,88837.3%704 W · 1,184 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x054b…afd5backed Celtics47c206$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.8220552.2%107 W · 98 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3b5f…7b99backed Celtics48c200$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9638242.9%164 W · 218 L-11.5wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9b97…6084backed Knicks54c200$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9244345.1%200 W · 243 L+2.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Celtics46c196.89$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.42,34648.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2528…b77dbacked Celtics46c194.84$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.491,04851.7%542 W · 506 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x412a…802cbacked Knicks53c194.69$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.513151.1%67 W · 64 L+5.0wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc7ee…fe5dbacked Celtics50c194$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9711759.8%70 W · 47 L+13.0wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+24.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xd121…50c8backed Celtics50c194$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9718552.4%97 W · 88 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd71a…67f5backed Knicks51c189.99$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.0914959.7%89 W · 60 L+6.1wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+22%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x682f…3265backed Knicks52c186.77$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.651,38954.9%762 W · 627 L+16.7wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfcd8…9908backed Knicks52c184.95$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.7822552.4%118 W · 107 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x26dd…0249backed Celtics44c182.74$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.441449.3%204 W · 210 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1c2e…f1c7backed Knicks52c178.57$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.718354.2%45 W · 38 L+0.2wins0.00per pick54cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0a7e…c00abacked Knicks57c175.36$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.418839.9%75 W · 113 L-10.3wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-15.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 22 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.