NBA · resolved market
Jaylen Brown: Points O/U 7.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb0e022a2e58ff372c87b99d9c98e577ed2d609947fa0263a3a8013d6162d610c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $63,852
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $53,833
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $63,852 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 11 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x45b5…6ee9backed Yes | 1c | 12,651$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.88 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae51…0d08backed Yes | 1c | 11,806$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.05 | 56 | 39.3%22 W · 34 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xceac…a5b8backed Yes | 1c | 9,541$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.4 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x710c…d488backed Yes | 1c | 8,008$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.38 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5677…0686backed Yes | 1c | 7,244$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.25 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7bf9…5f13backed Yes | 1c | 4,774$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.01 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.27per pick | 39cpaid | -81.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x786c…f0e1backed Yes | 80c | 696.58$557 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$557.03 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.80per pick | 80cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x73e8…cd6fbacked No | 20c | 684.61$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$547.69 | 392 | 65.1%255 W · 137 L | +31.0wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe768…b331backed No | 75c | 199.93$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.07 | 398 | 64.3%256 W · 142 L | +33.7wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7efd…caedbacked Yes | 45c | 80.05$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.02 | 99 | 75.8%75 W · 24 L | +16.3wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +28%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x79b4…c59fbacked No | 55c | 77.89$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.05 | 75 | 69.3%52 W · 23 L | +8.4wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 22 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Jaylen Brown: Points O/U 7.5this page
- 1H Spread: Knicks (-2.5)Celtics won
- Celtics vs. KnicksKnicks won
- Celtics vs. Knicks: 1H MoneylineKnicks won
- Celtics vs. Knicks: 1H O/U 109.5Under won
- Celtics vs. Knicks: 1H O/U 111.5Under won
- Celtics vs. Knicks: O/U 211.5Over won
- Celtics vs. Knicks: O/U 212.5Over won
- Celtics vs. Knicks: O/U 214.5Over won
- Celtics vs. Knicks: O/U 215.5Over won
- Celtics vs. Knicks: O/U 216.5Over won
- Celtics vs. Knicks: O/U 217.5Over won
- Derrick White: Assists O/U 1.5No won
- Derrick White: Rebounds O/U 0.5Yes won
- Jayson Tatum: Assists O/U 1.5Yes won
- Karl-Anthony Towns: Assists O/U 2.5Yes won
- Karl-Anthony Towns: Points O/U 19.5No won
- Karl-Anthony Towns: Rebounds O/U 11.5Yes won
- Neemias Queta: Rebounds O/U 1.5Yes won
- Spread: Knicks (-3.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Knicks (-4.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Knicks (-5.5)Knicks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.