TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Knicks (-5.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Knicksof Knicks, Celtics
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$125,380
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$125,112

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $125,380 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 218 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x93ab…9723backed Knicks48c24,998$11,999 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,99960351.4%310 W · 293 L+16.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Celtics52c19,369$10,160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,159.514,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Celtics48c16,629$8,014 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,013.781,91549.3%944 W · 971 L+19.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfce1…9ce7backed Knicks52c15,001$7,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,200.4435450.8%180 W · 174 L+12.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbddf…c684backed Celtics53c13,635$7,226 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,226.4372648.3%351 W · 375 L+30.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+11%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd6bd…3096backed Knicks46c13,492$6,260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,232.117852.6%41 W · 37 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x84db…aeebbacked Celtics52c12,446$6,472 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,4721,37450.1%689 W · 685 L+34.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed Celtics52c11,976$6,242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,242.161,55652.8%822 W · 734 L+40.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x61e8…b283backed Knicks46c5,919$2,752 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,166.5514940.9%61 W · 88 L-11.6wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-16.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x22d0…6293backed Celtics54c5,329$2,878 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,877.5310451%53 W · 51 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid+0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x162b…3d49backed Knicks47c5,313$2,497 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,815.755947.5%28 W · 31 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a6c…236dbacked Knicks47c3,302$1,548 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,754.2917055.3%94 W · 76 L+4.7wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Knicks47c3,131$1,471 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,659.236,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Celtics53c3,030$1,606 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,606.321,28650.8%653 W · 633 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Knicks47c2,508$1,183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,325.684,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d5c…4f26backed Knicks44c2,500$1,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,40020945.5%95 W · 114 L+10.4wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+12.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x39eb…0e4cbacked Celtics56c2,430$1,363 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,363.152152.4%11 W · 10 L+1.4wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+83.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Knicks48c2,413$1,155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,257.91,28243.4%557 W · 725 L-51.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb5bd…b891backed Celtics53c2,321$1,231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,230.5129849.3%147 W · 151 L-5.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Knicks47c2,199$1,025 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,174.641,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0b78…9992backed Knicks49c2,176$1,066 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,109.5820051.5%103 W · 97 L+5.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1ab2…8fdabacked Knicks46c2,065$960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,105.1319745.2%89 W · 108 L-7.8wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-7.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x516a…c312backed Knicks47c1,941$912 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,028.681100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x12b4…a662backed Celtics53c1,882$997 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$996.859255.4%328 W · 264 L+23.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+4.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Knicks43c1,704$733 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$971.52,75350.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L+47.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0f18…c9fdbacked Knicks47c1,582$744 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$838.518241.2%75 W · 107 L-17.6wins-0.10per pick51cpaid-20.1%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0x4946…4004backed Celtics53c1,288$680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$680.1721957.1%125 W · 94 L+6.7wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8f2e…caf6backed Knicks47c1,251$588 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$663.022450%12 W · 12 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+7.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc51a…a0d9backed Knicks48c1,198$575 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$622.9627455.5%152 W · 122 L+15.2wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+9.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x24d3…30abbacked Knicks48c1,189$571 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$618.2913563%85 W · 50 L+15.6wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+21.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x6dd9…bfe8backed Celtics54c1,167$630 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$630.1265762.3%409 W · 248 L+27.9wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+5.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Knicks48c1,154$554 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$600.221,19448.8%583 W · 611 L-22.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd100…853dbacked Celtics52c1,130$588 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$587.8532351.1%165 W · 158 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b20…62cbbacked Knicks49c1,088$533 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$554.9319659.7%117 W · 79 L+17.5wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+16.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Knicks45c1,086$489 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$597.489,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa1e2…8a9bbacked Celtics57c1,026$585 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$584.514348.8%21 W · 22 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x001a…1fb9backed Knicks49c997.51$489 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$508.7331643.4%137 W · 179 L-18.0wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-12%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf1ad…6979backed Knicks49c958.51$469 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$489.0257650%288 W · 288 L+1.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3982…2befbacked Celtics53c916.79$486 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$485.937647.3%178 W · 198 L-7.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2e6c…e09cbacked Celtics53c916.79$486 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$485.959250.2%297 W · 295 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x30db…44e1backed Celtics54c900.37$486 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$486.234953%185 W · 164 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xea48…c596backed Knicks44c895.85$394 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$501.6818444.6%82 W · 102 L-6.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9e80…9cebbacked Knicks49c889$436 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$453.398248.8%40 W · 42 L-0.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid+23.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x94c4…2a41backed Knicks48c885.97$422 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$463.8522953.3%122 W · 107 L+5.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Knicks47c808.44$381 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$427.911,43347.2%676 W · 757 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbe02…5fb3backed Celtics52c733.1$383 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$383.0242352.5%222 W · 201 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2fcb…78cfbacked Knicks48c650$313 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$337.521653.7%116 W · 100 L+6.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfcf4…66bbbacked Celtics54c599.65$324 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$323.815538.2%21 W · 34 L-5.7wins-0.10per pick48cpaid-27.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa877…2e20backed Celtics53c574.45$306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$306.3849852.6%262 W · 236 L+15.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8098…5646backed Celtics53c550.08$292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$291.5441753.2%222 W · 195 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Celtics58c504.21$292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$292.4495452.3%499 W · 455 L-17.4wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Knicks45c457.39$208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$249.541,63341.2%672 W · 961 L+26.3wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb5ba…06b3backed Celtics58c442.35$256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$256.373339.4%13 W · 20 L-3.3wins-0.10per pick49cpaid-27.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Knicks46c412.96$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$223.251,39946.4%649 W · 750 L-13.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c1b…7768backed Knicks46c395.35$182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.9927645.3%125 W · 151 L-8.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x938e…9b66backed Knicks50c388$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19426755.1%147 W · 120 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6569…7600backed Celtics53c366.72$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.3622047.3%104 W · 116 L-6.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Knicks47c300$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.392,40043.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L-82.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb4d0…a1c5backed Knicks50c264.71$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.3621950.2%110 W · 109 L+8.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5a5c…0fc2backed Celtics56c262.87$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.2110255.9%57 W · 45 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2c0e…089fbacked Celtics57c221.65$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.3720%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x91ff…edfdbacked Celtics55c221.14$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.6316948.5%82 W · 87 L-6.9wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-9.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9510…16dfbacked Knicks49c217.03$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.7430453.3%162 W · 142 L+8.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6076…f8fdbacked Knicks47c205.46$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.6320346.3%94 W · 109 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-7.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x57e5…e51ebacked Celtics45c203.02$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.5933360.4%201 W · 132 L+17.6wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+8.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x24bb…3e49backed Celtics49c200.32$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.6780440.3%324 W · 480 L+27.4wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-0.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xecae…b906backed Celtics49c200$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9826339.5%104 W · 159 L-13.8wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xff79…a52abacked Celtics53c200$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1064445.5%20 W · 24 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid+2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2366…580fbacked Celtics54c199.99$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10811347.8%54 W · 59 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-9.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x3735…3d9dbacked Knicks50c197.88$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.9410737.4%40 W · 67 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-14.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4f9b…cdeebacked Celtics53c196.38$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.478639.2%308 W · 478 L+27.5wins+0.03per pick36cpaid-4.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Knicks40c196.14$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.958,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb946…2671backed Knicks48c192.67$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.0465045.1%293 W · 357 L-11.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7304…7ab3backed Celtics51c190.31$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.067557.3%43 W · 32 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+6.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed Celtics53c188.31$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.861151.4%314 W · 297 L+17.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x27e9…f09ebacked Celtics47c185$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.57839.7%31 W · 47 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick36cpaid-0.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7096…7f78backed Celtics53c183.36$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.1865349.9%326 W · 327 L+20.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd51e…ac0cbacked Celtics53c183.36$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.1851647.5%245 W · 271 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-10%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbb0f…b652backed Celtics41c183$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.3526639.8%106 W · 160 L+13.0wins+0.05per pick35cpaid+6.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6617…29bdbacked Celtics47c177.75$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.0712637.3%47 W · 79 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-8.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc8d9…df36backed Celtics54c176.43$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.2740053.5%214 W · 186 L+14.1wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0a7c…8964backed Knicks47c169.47$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.7980653.6%432 W · 374 L+16.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf6c8…a184backed Celtics46c169$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.4140440.1%162 W · 242 L+12.4wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-2.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7cfa…9743backed Knicks49c148$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.484045%18 W · 22 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-10.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x412f…30fabacked Celtics54c147.89$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.8635744.3%158 W · 199 L+1.5wins0.00per pick44cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x46d3…2c20backed Celtics53c147.09$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.7433251.2%170 W · 162 L-0.5wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfcd8…9908backed Knicks48c146.37$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.1122552.4%118 W · 107 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9744…cab4backed Celtics53c139.55$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.965655.4%31 W · 25 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9438…3d6abacked Knicks47c134.99$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.5338947.6%185 W · 204 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1cd2…0820backed Celtics53c133.67$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.381163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.09per pick55cpaid+16%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdaf6…1a9bbacked Knicks47c128.88$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.5578648.7%383 W · 403 L+6.1wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf39d…a5e9backed Celtics54c126.05$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.078453.6%45 W · 39 L-4.7wins-0.06per pick59cpaid-8.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7479…e171backed Knicks48c121.74$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.3114845.3%67 W · 81 L-5.9wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-15.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Knicks47c119.11$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.221,27747.2%603 W · 674 L-3.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9d8…c306backed Celtics51c116.47$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.4650%3 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3ef2…efe6backed Knicks50c114.46$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.23475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.24per pick51cpaid+45.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa975…42eebacked Celtics53c108.89$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.2353348.4%258 W · 275 L-8.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0152…b455backed Knicks45c107.44$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.0966046.4%306 W · 354 L-21.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd4ac…5e19backed Knicks45c107.44$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.0938453.4%205 W · 179 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbf4f…f538backed Celtics45c100$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$457339.7%29 W · 44 L+3.0wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+0.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 22 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.