TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Celtics vs. Knicks: O/U 212.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$70,134
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$70,702

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $70,134 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 139 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe907…cff6backed Over51c15,121$7,767 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,354.5784443%363 W · 481 L-40.5wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-17.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc807…c12bbacked Under52c7,539$3,913 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,913.520545.9%94 W · 111 L-12.8wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-12%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xaca2…b9a1backed Over50c5,959$2,980 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,979.5432846.6%153 W · 175 L-7.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb5a4…5780backed Over52c5,612$2,918 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,693.683135.5%11 W · 20 L-3.9wins-0.13per pick48cpaid-23.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0c84…a8edbacked Under50c4,907$2,454 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,453.6834854%188 W · 160 L+15.4wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdbca…b7b7backed Under50c4,121$2,060 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,060.2825049.2%123 W · 127 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc95b…f819backed Under50c4,028$2,013 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,012.72638.5%10 W · 16 L-3.1wins-0.12per pick50cpaid-23.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1d1a…0df6backed Under54c3,501$1,890 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,890.3520744.9%93 W · 114 L-8.4wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-8.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Under48c2,871$1,381 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,381.141,91549.3%944 W · 971 L+19.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under49c2,681$1,317 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,316.791,28243.4%557 W · 725 L-51.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xec54…e8c1backed Under50c1,700$850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8509447.9%45 W · 49 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x299f…2140backed Over70c1,508$1,049 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$459.571,14148%548 W · 593 L+9.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed Over51c1,396$717 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$678.3720647.6%98 W · 108 L-5.3wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-4.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdaf6…1a9bbacked Over47c1,252$590 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$662.7478648.7%383 W · 403 L+6.1wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under49c1,172$570 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$569.929,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x09f4…dac0backed Under49c1,139$560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$560.1816946.7%79 W · 90 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3c83…cf0abacked Under49c1,100$539 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5395427.8%15 W · 39 L-9.5wins-0.18per pick45cpaid-44.3%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x95b7…d633backed Over47c1,100$517 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58345146.1%208 W · 243 L-10.4wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xafaf…1635backed Over53c800.71$424 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$376.331,03647.6%493 W · 543 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7096…7f78backed Over50c776$388 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38865349.9%326 W · 327 L+20.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed Under48c549.89$264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$263.9556043.9%246 W · 314 L-31.2wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-9.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1b3e…5bc0backed Over50c523.8$262 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$261.99646.9%45 W · 51 L-6.0wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-12.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over48c485.93$233 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$252.744,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1a93…c3eabacked Over49c395.67$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201.796448.4%31 W · 33 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+8.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Under49c395.52$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.81,15049.5%569 W · 581 L-12.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4df2…d357backed Over51c380.63$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186.517659.2%45 W · 31 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x938e…9b66backed Over51c380.48$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186.4326755.1%147 W · 120 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Over47c300.87$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.442,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Under49c297.93$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1462,40043.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L-82.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5f08…5afbbacked Over46c274.15$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.0416743.7%73 W · 94 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe558…dcd2backed Over74c260.62$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.759349.5%46 W · 47 L+5.9wins+0.06per pick43cpaid+22.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x255a…3435backed Over48c247.25$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.5761638.5%237 W · 379 L-8.1wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under48c242.09$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.23,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xd226…38b4backed Under48c239.9$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.2639448.7%192 W · 202 L-1.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6c1d…1f8fbacked Under49c228.74$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.5349249.8%245 W · 247 L-0.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe414…c341backed Over50c216$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10881349.4%402 W · 411 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Over48c209.58$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.284,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb143…cadebacked Over47c206$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.181428.6%4 W · 10 L-3.0wins-0.21per pick50cpaid-46.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x21db…2a42backed Over48c201.92$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.0418850.5%95 W · 93 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7304…7ab3backed Under51c191.5$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.047557.3%43 W · 32 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+6.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Over52c186.16$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.473,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb870…5a8abacked Over45c186.11$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.3691846.2%424 W · 494 L+1.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d20…f812backed Over50c184.44$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.2260346.4%280 W · 323 L-12.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Under49c183.67$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$902,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8fb4…d080backed Over47c180.37$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.5916242.6%69 W · 93 L-0.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x49ec…ac1cbacked Under49c171.61$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.5324044.6%107 W · 133 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b4a…3647backed Under53c151.03$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.051136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.5wins-0.14per pick50cpaid-34.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbc37…2f65backed Under50c137.08$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.5441649.8%207 W · 209 L+1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4b49…0397backed Under53c133.98$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.0125641.4%106 W · 150 L-13.6wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-12.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x70fc…ab12backed Under50c120$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6022143.4%96 W · 125 L-12.5wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-11.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7793…33a6backed Over48c119.88$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.3429344.4%130 W · 163 L-7.5wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb946…2671backed Under49c117.98$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.5265045.1%293 W · 357 L-11.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Over48c115.78$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.0189850.9%457 W · 441 L+19.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x45b5…2d74backed Over51c115.63$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.666543.1%28 W · 37 L-5.2wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-16.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd1d2…2be9backed Over47c103$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.593548.6%17 W · 18 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid+24.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5c18…c208backed Over47c103$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.5911253.6%60 W · 52 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under49c100$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$491,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x92cf…8b35backed Over51c95.16$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.631,11052%577 W · 533 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x10cf…1cfbbacked Under54c94.54$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.0523549.4%116 W · 119 L-4.1wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-1.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0cc5…ee5abacked Over52c93.38$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.8212542.4%53 W · 72 L-5.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa427…f87fbacked Over47c91.96$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.6746255.6%257 W · 205 L+22.8wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+7.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Over48c87.47$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.481,27747.2%603 W · 674 L-3.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over52c85.66$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.868,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a7c…8964backed Under49c84.57$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.4480653.6%432 W · 374 L+16.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x721b…a873backed Over48c80.73$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.982254.5%12 W · 10 L+0.1wins0.00per pick54cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9bfd…f319backed Under57c80.59$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.9311143.2%48 W · 63 L-9.7wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-21%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x28ad…9805backed Over49c80$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.822942.8%98 W · 131 L-9.4wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-11.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf6c8…a184backed Under25c80$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2040440.1%162 W · 242 L+12.4wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-2.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbf16…9c6fbacked Under53c78.07$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.385660.7%34 W · 22 L+5.6wins+0.10per pick51cpaid+15.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2f76…9798backed Over51c76.13$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.313554.8%74 W · 61 L+4.5wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4f9b…cdeebacked Under25c73$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.2578639.2%308 W · 478 L+27.5wins+0.03per pick36cpaid-4.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x24bb…3e49backed Under26c69.89$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.8980440.3%324 W · 480 L+27.4wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-0.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0836…92f1backed Over50c67.55$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.78850%4 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-14%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x237e…fb35backed Over61c64.12$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.931145.5%5 W · 6 L+1.6wins+0.15per pick31cpaid+60.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8b45…077ebacked Over47c62.41$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.369537.9%36 W · 59 L-13.6wins-0.14per pick52cpaid-27.9%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0xb390…642bbacked Over51c59$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.911,66150.3%836 W · 825 L-14.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b47…d615backed Under48c58.46$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.0657950.1%290 W · 289 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x68d1…f166backed Over51c57.09$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.981822.2%4 W · 14 L-3.7wins-0.21per pick43cpaid-53.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xcebd…2502backed Over51c57.09$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.983545.7%16 W · 19 L-2.1wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-12.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6d49…e00abacked Under48c55.64$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.731,53242.5%651 W · 881 L-17.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x792a…7364backed Under53c55.01$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.1521649.1%106 W · 110 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xae1c…3678backed Over46c51.93$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.0423840.8%97 W · 141 L-16.0wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-14.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xbbcf…20aebacked Over46c49.35$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.6528943.3%125 W · 164 L-0.5wins0.00per pick43cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8044…358ebacked Over52c48.56$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.3154951.9%285 W · 264 L-2.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9023…1143backed Over51c48.53$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.783050%15 W · 15 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+6.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xc722…a50bbacked Over51c47.58$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.312100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+68.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8a0c…3d4dbacked Over51c47.58$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.3111850.8%60 W · 58 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x82ca…3135backed Under40c46.05$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.5114359.4%85 W · 58 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb1ee…0f22backed Over51c43.68$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.438736.4%141 W · 246 L-0.6wins0.00per pick37cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2099…3024backed Over53c43.32$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.2311128.8%32 W · 79 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick27cpaid-19.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x78a4…d4d7backed Over47c40$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.21154.5%6 W · 5 L+1.7wins+0.15per pick40cpaid+45.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa0f3…f727backed Over50c39.16$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.77966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+28.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0095…42c1backed Over50c38.8$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.421952.5%115 W · 104 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2aae…16e6backed Over50c38.8$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.412458.9%73 W · 51 L+10.3wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+18.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8190…27b4backed Over50c38.8$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.43863.2%24 W · 14 L+2.5wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+14.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb271…34d4backed Over50c38.8$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.41283.3%10 W · 2 L+3.8wins+0.32per pick52cpaid+59.7%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x0bbd…98f2backed Over47c37.76$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.011735.3%6 W · 11 L-2.2wins-0.13per pick48cpaid-26.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9502…7878backed Over52c37.35$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.933256.3%18 W · 14 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-13.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed Under53c36.93$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.571,63448.1%786 W · 848 L+5.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5ccf…15a2backed Over51c36.6$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.93333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.26per pick59cpaid-34.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 22 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.