NBA · resolved market
Celtics vs. Knicks: 1H Moneyline
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3e0ce736c71ce8ad0d03f0be01d5072608753a3d4465cb84624b50c2f3e6efc0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Knicksof Celtics, Knicks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,251
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,739
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,251 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8b4a…d477backed Celtics | 3c | 1,001$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.98 | 105 | 60%63 W · 42 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfac…75debacked Celtics | 67c | 383.04$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.78 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -4.1wins | -0.23per pick | 45cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Celtics | 47c | 315.6$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.07 | 1,200 | 51.6%619 W · 581 L | +66.5wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Knicks | 49c | 290.24$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.02 | 1,170 | 50.3%588 W · 582 L | +46.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x30f4…8c1ebacked Knicks | 62c | 254.72$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.79 | 57 | 59.6%34 W · 23 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Knicks | 49c | 200.54$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.18 | 766 | 53.5%410 W · 356 L | +65.5wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x86bc…efbcbacked Knicks | 63c | 133.96$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.56 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Celtics | 37c | 132$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.84 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Knicks | 56c | 122.25$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.79 | 2,657 | 49.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L | +42.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69db…283abacked Knicks | 38c | 111.92$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.39 | 150 | 34.7%52 W · 98 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0180…b8cdbacked Celtics | 44c | 109.82$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.32 | 265 | 45.3%120 W · 145 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa7c0…dadabacked Knicks | 53c | 108.8$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.06 | 125 | 41.6%52 W · 73 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb31b…d703backed Knicks | 52c | 93.93$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.38 | 79 | 40.5%32 W · 47 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a72…0a38backed Knicks | 25c | 93$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.47 | 166 | 40.4%67 W · 99 L | +8.7wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x99f7…1a59backed Knicks | 25c | 93$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.47 | 234 | 41.5%97 W · 137 L | +13.6wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5cdf…8666backed Knicks | 31c | 80$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.2 | 138 | 37.7%52 W · 86 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3c2…5509backed Celtics | 53c | 75.6$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.07 | 184 | 44.6%82 W · 102 L | -11.9wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Celtics | 36c | 67.27$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.93 | 313 | 45.7%143 W · 170 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed Celtics | 51c | 63.84$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.31 | 455 | 42.4%193 W · 262 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed Knicks | 60c | 63$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.2 | 175 | 53.7%94 W · 81 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ab4…a81bbacked Celtics | 56c | 62.03$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.77 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +2.5wins | +0.13per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1489…9924backed Celtics | 40c | 60.73$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.29 | 193 | 48.2%93 W · 100 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31c5…270abacked Knicks | 80c | 56.28$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.26 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -2.0wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Celtics | 52c | 49.53$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.76 | 407 | 50.6%206 W · 201 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaad9…caefbacked Celtics | 54c | 47.76$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.79 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b11…58c9backed Celtics | 54c | 47.76$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.79 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Celtics | 50c | 42.65$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.32 | 271 | 38.7%105 W · 166 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x00d4…4c46backed Knicks | 31c | 41.9$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.1 | 212 | 42%89 W · 123 L | +12.8wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Celtics | 48c | 36.96$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.68 | 616 | 38.5%237 W · 379 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcec1…9c0cbacked Knicks | 41c | 34.74$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.5 | 196 | 50.5%99 W · 97 L | +8.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cfd…dfe7backed Knicks | 52c | 34.21$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.31 | 148 | 60.1%89 W · 59 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2488…ff0ebacked Celtics | 58c | 34.01$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.73 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 58cpaid | -24%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa34d…b57fbacked Celtics | 50c | 33.15$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.68 | 156 | 62.8%98 W · 58 L | +10.4wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xca29…a1d0backed Knicks | 49c | 29.75$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.17 | 107 | 52.3%56 W · 51 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7baa…03b7backed Celtics | 38c | 29.7$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.28 | 331 | 59.2%196 W · 135 L | +10.5wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…46e5backed Knicks | 49c | 29.5$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.96 | 61 | 32.8%20 W · 41 L | -5.1wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbf14…5d95backed Knicks | 51c | 26.66$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.14 | 100 | 28%28 W · 72 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44d5…1a5bbacked Celtics | 50c | 26.6$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.3 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | -3.3wins | -0.10per pick | 42cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Celtics | 57c | 18.9$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.73 | 1,758 | 48.7%856 W · 902 L | +28.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 22 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Celtics vs. Knicks: 1H Moneylinethis page
- 1H Spread: Knicks (-2.5)Celtics won
- Celtics vs. KnicksKnicks won
- Celtics vs. Knicks: 1H O/U 109.5Under won
- Celtics vs. Knicks: 1H O/U 111.5Under won
- Celtics vs. Knicks: O/U 211.5Over won
- Celtics vs. Knicks: O/U 212.5Over won
- Celtics vs. Knicks: O/U 214.5Over won
- Celtics vs. Knicks: O/U 215.5Over won
- Celtics vs. Knicks: O/U 216.5Over won
- Celtics vs. Knicks: O/U 217.5Over won
- Derrick White: Assists O/U 1.5No won
- Derrick White: Rebounds O/U 0.5Yes won
- Jaylen Brown: Points O/U 7.5No won
- Jayson Tatum: Assists O/U 1.5Yes won
- Karl-Anthony Towns: Assists O/U 2.5Yes won
- Karl-Anthony Towns: Points O/U 19.5No won
- Karl-Anthony Towns: Rebounds O/U 11.5Yes won
- Neemias Queta: Rebounds O/U 1.5Yes won
- Spread: Knicks (-3.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Knicks (-4.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Knicks (-5.5)Knicks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.