NBA · resolved market
Celtics vs. Knicks: O/U 214.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xac4459dc50ec7d8e77dca17e62a4174228dc0312c63e139f6f3822f98d172ab1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $235,993
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $238,276
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $235,993 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 154 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5ae1…9fadbacked Over | 46c | 128,585$58,879 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69,706.03 | 49 | 57.1%28 W · 21 L | +6.4wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +41%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Under | 54c | 100,000$54,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54,000 | 662 | 48.5%321 W · 341 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 36c | 16,666$6,045 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,620.69 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Under | 52c | 15,023$7,746 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,745.95 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 45c | 6,540$2,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,589.98 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 63c | 5,571$3,519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,519.25 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Under | 54c | 4,895$2,634 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,633.61 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Under | 66c | 4,080$2,712 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,712.02 | 102 | 39.2%40 W · 62 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Under | 52c | 3,145$1,623 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,622.83 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Under | 55c | 2,716$1,494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,493.95 | 646 | 51.7%334 W · 312 L | -14.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Over | 44c | 2,427$1,069 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,358.54 | 1,036 | 47.6%493 W · 543 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d93…2cf1backed Over | 56c | 2,409$1,338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,070.87 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 55c | 2,000$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked Under | 54c | 1,986$1,072 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,072.42 | 310 | 46.8%145 W · 165 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96ac…61e8backed Under | 52c | 1,942$1,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,010.05 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Over | 48c | 1,849$888 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$961.71 | 2,468 | 50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Under | 63c | 1,845$1,170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,169.85 | 906 | 50.2%455 W · 451 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Under | 63c | 1,832$1,157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,156.76 | 637 | 46.6%297 W · 340 L | -16.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Under | 63c | 1,763$1,118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,118.17 | 1,084 | 50%542 W · 542 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb5bd…b891backed Under | 64c | 1,646$1,059 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,059.34 | 298 | 49.3%147 W · 151 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x167d…cf09backed Under | 62c | 1,583$977 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$977.03 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.16per pick | 60cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 49c | 1,553$754 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$753.63 | 1,282 | 43.4%557 W · 725 L | -51.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3105…2e7ebacked Over | 46c | 1,465$674 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$791.25 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 54c | 1,325$721 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$721.41 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Under | 57c | 1,292$733 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$732.89 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Under | 63c | 1,158$728 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$727.54 | 1,286 | 50.8%653 W · 633 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Under | 67c | 1,098$735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$735.06 | 445 | 51.2%228 W · 217 L | +11.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…f8d8backed Over | 45c | 983.31$442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540.82 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +4.3wins | +0.33per pick | 44cpaid | +88.1%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2707…0afabacked Under | 56c | 973.6$545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$545.22 | 359 | 42.1%151 W · 208 L | -12.9wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Under | 62c | 859.17$534 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$533.72 | 589 | 53.7%316 W · 273 L | +15.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 54c | 802.62$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435.07 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8098…5646backed Under | 61c | 792.91$483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$482.56 | 417 | 53.2%222 W · 195 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb307…be4abacked Over | 49c | 692.43$339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.14 | 188 | 42.6%80 W · 108 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2140backed Over | 42c | 624.97$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.48 | 1,141 | 48%548 W · 593 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a8…95b7backed Over | 40c | 578.35$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$346.57 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -2.2wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x44f0…432cbacked Over | 46c | 558.79$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.75 | 401 | 46.9%188 W · 213 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Over | 49c | 542.23$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.03 | 1,384 | 39.4%545 W · 839 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…2022backed Over | 46c | 517.67$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.54 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.17per pick | 45cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Under | 61c | 473.29$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.88 | 716 | 54.1%387 W · 329 L | +21.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f79…1608backed Under | 56c | 436.32$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.37 | 74 | 47.3%35 W · 39 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -13%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9dfd…aadebacked Under | 66c | 406.97$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.72 | 87 | 55.2%48 W · 39 L | +6.8wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x67a8…1f1ebacked Over | 49c | 395.67$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.79 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +2.8wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 55c | 393.87$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.77 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47c7…19c1backed Over | 46c | 393.81$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.66 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf41e…9350backed Over | 49c | 391.99$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.05 | 75 | 40%30 W · 45 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Under | 63c | 354.9$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.49 | 376 | 47.3%178 W · 198 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Under | 59c | 340.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.36 | 611 | 51.4%314 W · 297 L | +17.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 50c | 331.49$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.61 | 898 | 50.9%457 W · 441 L | +19.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 55c | 310.58$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.25 | 1,399 | 46.4%649 W · 750 L | -13.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8b9…46e4backed Over | 31c | 306.99$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.82 | 58 | 55.2%32 W · 26 L | +5.5wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1fa8…0b19backed Under | 68c | 289.7$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.1 | 213 | 54%115 W · 98 L | +8.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 48c | 266.75$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.87 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Over | 44c | 264.48$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.35 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 55c | 261.65$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.91 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed Under | 67c | 246.84$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.62 | 564 | 47.9%270 W · 294 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe414…c341backed Under | 55c | 235.63$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.6 | 813 | 49.4%402 W · 411 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd226…38b4backed Over | 46c | 214.73$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.27 | 394 | 48.7%192 W · 202 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Under | 47c | 213.11$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.16 | 616 | 38.5%237 W · 379 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8180…208bbacked Under | 58c | 206.93$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.02 | 96 | 52.1%50 W · 46 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaab4…5a40backed Over | 49c | 197.84$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.9 | 107 | 57%61 W · 46 L | +15.3wins | +0.14per pick | 43cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xa920…ccfdbacked Over | 46c | 195.62$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.64 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4d…0486backed Over | 50c | 194$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97 | 76 | 46.1%35 W · 41 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Over | 50c | 189.31$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.73 | 313 | 45%141 W · 172 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe65…0546backed Over | 39c | 180.01$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.24 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x59ce…6f07backed Over | 48c | 179.99$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.95 | 213 | 47.9%102 W · 111 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Over | 44c | 163.43$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.52 | 1,433 | 47.2%676 W · 757 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb870…5a8abacked Under | 46c | 161.12$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.11 | 918 | 46.2%424 W · 494 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70fc…ab12backed Under | 48c | 157.14$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.98 | 221 | 43.4%96 W · 125 L | -12.5wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 43c | 150$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.5 | 1,170 | 50.3%588 W · 582 L | +46.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f14…73a3backed Over | 32c | 149.58$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.71 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +2.9wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x26dd…0249backed Under | 66c | 147.77$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.96 | 414 | 49.3%204 W · 210 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Under | 67c | 146.37$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 234 | 45.7%107 W · 127 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4fc…e772backed Under | 67c | 146.3$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.02 | 70 | 51.4%36 W · 34 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…ac0cbacked Under | 67c | 146.18$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 516 | 47.5%245 W · 271 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked Under | 64c | 141.56$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.82 | 275 | 53.5%147 W · 128 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 55c | 132.93$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.46 | 1,277 | 47.2%603 W · 674 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16ea…9400backed Under | 54c | 132.6$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.78 | 1,322 | 49.9%660 W · 662 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x391b…a066backed Under | 66c | 113.75$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.37 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -3.3wins | -0.22per pick | 49cpaid | -54.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x60fe…f286backed Under | 51c | 112.37$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.77 | 107 | 45.8%49 W · 58 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c13…99b7backed Over | 45c | 109.59$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.28 | 477 | 38.2%182 W · 295 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa975…42eebacked Under | 54c | 108.49$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.34 | 533 | 48.4%258 W · 275 L | -8.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 50c | 102.8$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.79 | 2,400 | 43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L | -82.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…3e49backed Under | 40c | 101$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.86 | 804 | 40.3%324 W · 480 L | +27.4wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9696…2bc3backed Over | 45c | 100$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 339 | 49.9%169 W · 170 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86f3…685cbacked Over | 36c | 99.4$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.9 | 125 | 58.4%73 W · 52 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x307c…d140backed Under | 72c | 98.92$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.17 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Over | 48c | 98.9$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.43 | 355 | 46.5%165 W · 190 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked Under | 67c | 95.51$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.89 | 592 | 50.2%297 W · 295 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c6e…271bbacked Over | 42c | 95.08$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.15 | 153 | 52.3%80 W · 73 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked Under | 53c | 91.68$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.59 | 443 | 47.2%209 W · 234 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06e7…3acabacked Under | 53c | 91.68$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.59 | 570 | 51.9%296 W · 274 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9417…200cbacked Under | 55c | 88.45$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.65 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.20per pick | 63cpaid | +30%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea8d…89b1backed Over | 47c | 84.89$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.99 | 131 | 53.4%70 W · 61 L | +6.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd208…29e6backed Under | 59c | 82.5$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.79 | 324 | 50.3%163 W · 161 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…46e5backed Over | 46c | 77.66$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.86 | 61 | 32.8%20 W · 41 L | -5.1wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x15bb…2033backed Under | 63c | 76.24$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.2 | 103 | 45.6%47 W · 56 L | -5.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd32…50cabacked Over | 56c | 76$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.44 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6276…7f2ebacked Over | 44c | 75.2$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.21 | 191 | 66.5%127 W · 64 L | +7.1wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Over | 53c | 73.79$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.53 | 342 | 55.6%190 W · 152 L | +28.2wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +36%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e8…ff03backed Under | 53c | 73.34$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.87 | 368 | 52.2%192 W · 176 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 22 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Celtics vs. Knicks: O/U 214.5this page
- 1H Spread: Knicks (-2.5)Celtics won
- Celtics vs. KnicksKnicks won
- Celtics vs. Knicks: 1H MoneylineKnicks won
- Celtics vs. Knicks: 1H O/U 109.5Under won
- Celtics vs. Knicks: 1H O/U 111.5Under won
- Celtics vs. Knicks: O/U 211.5Over won
- Celtics vs. Knicks: O/U 212.5Over won
- Celtics vs. Knicks: O/U 215.5Over won
- Celtics vs. Knicks: O/U 216.5Over won
- Celtics vs. Knicks: O/U 217.5Over won
- Derrick White: Assists O/U 1.5No won
- Derrick White: Rebounds O/U 0.5Yes won
- Jaylen Brown: Points O/U 7.5No won
- Jayson Tatum: Assists O/U 1.5Yes won
- Karl-Anthony Towns: Assists O/U 2.5Yes won
- Karl-Anthony Towns: Points O/U 19.5No won
- Karl-Anthony Towns: Rebounds O/U 11.5Yes won
- Neemias Queta: Rebounds O/U 1.5Yes won
- Spread: Knicks (-3.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Knicks (-4.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Knicks (-5.5)Knicks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.