TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Celtics vs. Knicks: O/U 215.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$107,291
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$105,539

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $107,291 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 163 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc807…c12bbacked Under53c33,563$17,726 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,726.4320545.9%94 W · 111 L-12.8wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-12%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Over47c11,232$5,279 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,953.081,91054.3%1,038 W · 872 L+25.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Under53c10,302$5,460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,460.291,33251.2%682 W · 650 L+7.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over47c7,462$3,489 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,972.129,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Over45c5,931$2,662 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,269.596,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x144e…eca0backed Under48c5,875$2,820 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,820.127451.4%38 W · 36 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over49c3,094$1,511 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,582.638,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Over49c2,692$1,315 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,376.5137355%205 W · 168 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd7e4…15eebacked Under1c2,600$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$325416.7%9 W · 45 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick14cpaid-18.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xecc3…b9a1backed Under49c2,487$1,218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,218.48757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+12.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Over47c2,179$1,031 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,148.564,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5886…fe3bbacked Under2c1,813$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.13170%0 W · 17 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd04d…bfc2backed Under50c1,800$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9002,43549.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L+30.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb5bd…b891backed Over49c1,513$740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$773.3829849.3%147 W · 151 L-5.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2f5b…e747backed Over47c1,500$705 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79565939.5%260 W · 399 L-13.1wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1418…6fefbacked Over47c1,500$710 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79043438.5%167 W · 267 L-1.9wins0.00per pick39cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed Over47c1,500$705 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79586641.5%359 W · 507 L-2.2wins0.00per pick42cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6323…9feebacked Under49c1,355$664 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$663.8314441%59 W · 85 L-12.8wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-15.9%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x5bca…0d11backed Over47c1,266$595 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$670.7910252.9%54 W · 48 L+6.5wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+13.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Over46c1,226$568 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$658.223,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xa557…5e8abacked Under1c1,194$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.881236.5%8 W · 115 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick8cpaid-89.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked Under52c1,170$608 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$608.4427747.7%132 W · 145 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf0ac…4ec7backed Over52c1,058$554 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$503.952230.3%158 W · 364 L+20.4wins+0.04per pick26cpaid+10.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6bb3…758ebacked Over41c1,043$428 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$615.0495651.5%492 W · 464 L+23.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2e6c…e09cbacked Over47c1,038$488 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$550.1859250.2%297 W · 295 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x081a…66d0backed Under50c1,020$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5105330.2%16 W · 37 L-3.5wins-0.07per pick37cpaid-22.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x950a…fca5backed Over49c1,000$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5101936.8%7 W · 12 L-2.4wins-0.12per pick49cpaid-25.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x60ba…3c6cbacked Over47c1,000$470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53023742.6%101 W · 136 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdf37…8b49backed Over49c1,000$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5109845.9%45 W · 53 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-10.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdaef…54e9backed Under53c971.8$515 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$515.0519937.2%74 W · 125 L-5.2wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-15%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Over47c958.79$452 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$507.121,08450%542 W · 542 L+2.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Over47c952.24$449 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$503.6690650.2%455 W · 451 L-0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x324c…93d9backed Under1c950$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14981%1 W · 97 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick2cpaid-49%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed Over47c942.99$444 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$498.6971654.1%387 W · 329 L+21.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Over47c909.67$428 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$481.281,28650.8%653 W · 633 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked Over47c909.67$428 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$481.2858953.7%316 W · 273 L+15.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Over47c901.87$425 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$477.0263746.6%297 W · 340 L-16.1wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6617…29bdbacked Under6c900$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5112637.3%47 W · 79 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-8.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x27e9…f09ebacked Under6c900$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$517839.7%31 W · 47 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick36cpaid-0.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x88b0…f8d8backed Over44c860.1$378 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$481.651376.9%10 W · 3 L+4.3wins+0.33per pick44cpaid+88.1%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0x4f9b…cdeebacked Under12c855$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.3978639.2%308 W · 478 L+27.5wins+0.03per pick36cpaid-4.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xafaf…1635backed Under61c819.67$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001,03647.6%493 W · 543 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0656…4d9bbacked Under1c800$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10802.5%2 W · 78 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-88.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbb0f…b652backed Under6c750$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.526639.8%106 W · 160 L+13.0wins+0.05per pick35cpaid+6.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3982…2befbacked Over51c736.09$376 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$360.4137647.3%178 W · 198 L-7.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf6c8…a184backed Under10c650$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.940440.1%162 W · 242 L+12.4wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-2.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8098…5646backed Over47c605.6$285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$320.9741753.2%222 W · 195 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over50c602.52$299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$303.682,34648.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbf16…9c6fbacked Under54c594.61$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$319.975660.7%34 W · 22 L+5.6wins+0.10per pick51cpaid+15.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x24bb…3e49backed Under10c571$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.880440.3%324 W · 480 L+27.4wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-0.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7885…e04fbacked Over43c543.39$233 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$309.982268.2%15 W · 7 L+5.1wins+0.23per pick45cpaid+47.2%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x992b…5053backed Over51c475.78$243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$233.13742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-13.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Over40c475.03$191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$284.515,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under57c475$269 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$269.331,27747.2%603 W · 674 L-3.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc5ac…2a18backed Under50c447.56$224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$223.7817850%89 W · 89 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc63b…6e4ebacked Under6c440$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.631238.5%120 W · 192 L+15.3wins+0.05per pick34cpaid+5.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1015…c873backed Over42c421.79$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.6462744.5%279 W · 348 L-12.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x90df…a209backed Over47c412$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$218.3629848%143 W · 155 L+6.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6569…7600backed Over47c411.98$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$218.3522047.3%104 W · 116 L-6.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd816…a60ebacked Over48c404.23$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$210.21931.6%6 W · 13 L-2.3wins-0.12per pick44cpaid-35%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xaabb…5554backed Over47c400$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21268944%303 W · 386 L+16.8wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under52c400$209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209.331,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2373…a1f3backed Over47c398.98$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$211.4656447.9%270 W · 294 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x047c…3ce4backed Under54c360.14$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.482842.9%12 W · 16 L-3.2wins-0.11per pick54cpaid-20.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x95b7…d633backed Under50c346$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17345146.1%208 W · 243 L-10.4wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1fa8…0b19backed Over47c333.21$157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.621354%115 W · 98 L+8.5wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5cdf…8666backed Under9c320$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.813837.7%52 W · 86 L+5.6wins+0.04per pick34cpaid-3.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc423…2ccdbacked Over47c319.14$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.1410854.6%59 W · 49 L+6.4wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+15.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x91e0…26a0backed Under14c292.99$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.2545544.8%204 W · 251 L+21.8wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+8.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfbaa…c8ffbacked Over50c291$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.521653.7%116 W · 100 L+4.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9916…bcb2backed Over52c287.92$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.218743.3%81 W · 106 L-8.7wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-4.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3748…a41abacked Over44c274.55$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.751361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.5wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+22.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf1ba…3bccbacked Under4c250$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103030%9 W · 21 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick29cpaid+10%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x0176…910ebacked Under55c249.98$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.4960444.2%267 W · 337 L+17.3wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+7.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6510…36d1backed Under6c249$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.115334%18 W · 35 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick30cpaid-5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1802…b1aebacked Under6c249$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.111127.3%3 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick32cpaid-28.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xac94…e414backed Over47c231.07$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.473234.4%11 W · 21 L-4.0wins-0.12per pick47cpaid-28.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb946…2671backed Over47c211.41$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.8265045.1%293 W · 357 L-11.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7096…7f78backed Over47c206$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.1865349.9%326 W · 327 L+20.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbac4…86dbbacked Over47c206$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.1811648.3%56 W · 60 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1b8f…f31bbacked Over47c206$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.1814640.4%59 W · 87 L-9.5wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-20.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xf6b0…fdbcbacked Under50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001723.5%4 W · 13 L-4.1wins-0.24per pick48cpaid-51.8%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x36b3…e421backed Over47c197.76$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.8135546.5%165 W · 190 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5cee…dfadbacked Over50c194$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9713655.9%76 W · 60 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb002…103dbacked Over47c193.64$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.636845.6%31 W · 37 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd51e…ac0cbacked Over47c193.62$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.6251647.5%245 W · 271 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-10%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8521…df10backed Over48c191.56$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.5218534.1%63 W · 122 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-18.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1bdc…0c38backed Over45c191.26$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.077057.1%40 W · 30 L+5.0wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+10.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0eb6…8af4backed Over51c190.31$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.253732.4%12 W · 25 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-7.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2528…b77dbacked Over48c178.14$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.321,04851.7%542 W · 506 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3673…2d13backed Under49c177.4$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.937143.7%31 W · 40 L-4.0wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-12.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7a5d…54dbbacked Over30c176.04$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.3468838.5%265 W · 423 L-26.5wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-14%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x10bb…b10cbacked Under53c165.21$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.5620%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc74d…9690backed Under9c160$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.423649.2%116 W · 120 L+28.6wins+0.12per pick37cpaid+27.6%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x3a72…0a38backed Under9c160$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.416640.4%67 W · 99 L+8.7wins+0.05per pick35cpaid+13.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x00d4…4c46backed Under9c160$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.421242%89 W · 123 L+12.8wins+0.06per pick36cpaid+8.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5589…eb04backed Under68c156.75$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.992045%9 W · 11 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-9.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd226…38b4backed Over47c150.41$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.439448.7%192 W · 202 L-1.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8dd4…7401backed Under12c136.89$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.7724936.9%92 W · 157 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Under49c111.6$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.181,43347.2%676 W · 757 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 22 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.