NBA · resolved market
Celtics vs. Knicks: O/U 217.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5ab7a9ee09f97ec2a1e39e4d3179f72979bb887b9db33952060c70527decf1c7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $73,229
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $83,531
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $73,229 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 153 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Under | 56c | 2,688$1,493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,493.17 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4722…2abfbacked Under | 4c | 2,400$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 11cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 45c | 2,334$1,043 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,290.59 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x417e…85e4backed Under | 2c | 2,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 3cpaid | +177.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f2d…318bbacked Under | 4c | 1,800$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 43 | 7%3 W · 40 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 4cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 62c | 1,692$1,057 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$635.74 | 1,200 | 51.6%619 W · 581 L | +66.5wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 35c | 1,380$476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$904.13 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Over | 64c | 1,351$871 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$479.9 | 342 | 55.6%190 W · 152 L | +28.2wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +36%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9101…78ddbacked Under | 48c | 1,331$639 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$639.03 | 28 | 71.4%20 W · 8 L | +3.1wins | +0.11per pick | 60cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 42c | 1,273$538 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$735.3 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe56…593abacked Under | 3c | 1,200$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.18per pick | 7cpaid | +170.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa557…5e8abacked Under | 1c | 1,200$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 123 | 6.5%8 W · 115 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 8cpaid | -89.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7e4…15eebacked Under | 6c | 1,125$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.75 | 54 | 16.7%9 W · 45 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2480…c148backed Under | 5c | 1,100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | +4.5wins | +0.18per pick | 10cpaid | +150.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbb0f…b652backed Under | 11c | 1,038$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.31 | 266 | 39.8%106 W · 160 L | +13.0wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xafc4…daa1backed Under | 2c | 1,033$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.33 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | +1.9wins | +0.10per pick | 6cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 65c | 1,002$652 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$652.42 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01b4…372ebacked Under | 8c | 1,000$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 298 | 10.4%31 W · 267 L | +22.5wins | +0.08per pick | 3cpaid | +230.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c8…a184backed Under | 17c | 895.51$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.26 | 404 | 40.1%162 W · 242 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27e9…f09ebacked Under | 21c | 770$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.9 | 78 | 39.7%31 W · 47 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6617…29bdbacked Under | 21c | 770$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.9 | 126 | 37.3%47 W · 79 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…3e49backed Under | 17c | 718$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.73 | 804 | 40.3%324 W · 480 L | +27.4wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f9b…cdeebacked Under | 22c | 662.34$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.68 | 786 | 39.2%308 W · 478 L | +27.5wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x484a…5d4ebacked Under | 2c | 600$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc63b…6e4ebacked Under | 9c | 574.99$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.4 | 312 | 38.5%120 W · 192 L | +15.3wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa44a…88ecbacked Under | 64c | 538.21$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345.89 | 78 | 48.7%38 W · 40 L | -5.5wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8e52…2320backed Over | 78c | 504.3$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.24 | 22 | 81.8%18 W · 4 L | +3.4wins | +0.16per pick | 66cpaid | +24%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Over | 33c | 503.87$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335.58 | 234 | 45.7%107 W · 127 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 68c | 503.74$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.2 | 1,282 | 43.4%557 W · 725 L | -51.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5886…fe3bbacked Under | 3c | 500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 17 | 0%0 W · 17 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0979…fc8abacked Under | 10c | 500$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 36 | 19.4%7 W · 29 L | +2.8wins | +0.08per pick | 12cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe54d…fea1backed Under | 46c | 498.7$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.52 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cdf…8666backed Under | 6c | 479.99$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.2 | 138 | 37.7%52 W · 86 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Under | 74c | 444.54$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328.9 | 102 | 39.2%40 W · 62 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1802…b1aebacked Under | 13c | 420$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.97 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ba3…9a44backed Under | 8c | 400$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | +1.9wins | +0.10per pick | 10cpaid | +43.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf4f…f538backed Under | 18c | 399.99$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73 | 73 | 39.7%29 W · 44 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7da4…f0a4backed Under | 12c | 350$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.5 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | +7.9wins | +0.20per pick | 18cpaid | +93.3%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x324c…93d9backed Under | 3c | 350$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 98 | 1%1 W · 97 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -49%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc74d…9690backed Under | 14c | 333$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.26 | 236 | 49.2%116 W · 120 L | +28.6wins | +0.12per pick | 37cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x3a72…0a38backed Under | 14c | 333$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.26 | 166 | 40.4%67 W · 99 L | +8.7wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x99f7…1a59backed Under | 14c | 333$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.26 | 234 | 41.5%97 W · 137 L | +13.6wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6510…36d1backed Under | 9c | 330$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.24 | 53 | 34%18 W · 35 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe235…aba2backed Under | 72c | 320.66$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.87 | 183 | 45.9%84 W · 99 L | -16.4wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4658…4131backed Over | 37c | 309.4$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.09 | 211 | 47.4%100 W · 111 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91e0…26a0backed Under | 14c | 301.69$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.77 | 455 | 44.8%204 W · 251 L | +21.8wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Over | 41c | 289.33$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.18 | 1,384 | 39.4%545 W · 839 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x81a4…da1fbacked Under | 63c | 286.73$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.64 | 114 | 43%49 W · 65 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Under | 62c | 254.58$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.68 | 637 | 46.6%297 W · 340 L | -16.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed Over | 77c | 252.42$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.04 | 274 | 63.5%174 W · 100 L | +34.8wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xb5bd…b891backed Under | 65c | 251.52$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.28 | 298 | 49.3%147 W · 151 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbde7…cf8abacked Under | 11c | 250$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.5 | 73 | 26%19 W · 54 L | +7.9wins | +0.11per pick | 15cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x00d4…4c46backed Under | 6c | 240$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 212 | 42%89 W · 123 L | +12.8wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Over | 31c | 217.21$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.37 | 589 | 53.7%316 W · 273 L | +15.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Over | 32c | 208.1$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.82 | 445 | 51.2%228 W · 217 L | +11.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb69…c773backed Under | 53c | 203.53$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.87 | 131 | 48.9%64 W · 67 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd77d…b01cbacked Under | 63c | 201.22$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.13 | 269 | 56.1%151 W · 118 L | +8.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Over | 31c | 200.12$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.72 | 1,286 | 50.8%653 W · 633 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Under | 60c | 200$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcbbc…2b70backed Under | 18c | 200$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.5 | 144 | 49.3%71 W · 73 L | +12.7wins | +0.09per pick | 40cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xce5f…ab17backed Under | 7c | 200$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 177 | 48%85 W · 92 L | +16.4wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xab30…379fbacked Under | 8c | 199.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 302 | 24.8%75 W · 227 L | +15.5wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e29…9e66backed Over | 57c | 199.98$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.99 | 502 | 41.2%207 W · 295 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…bb62backed Under | 74c | 199.54$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.66 | 110 | 45.5%50 W · 60 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86f3…685cbacked Under | 80c | 197.07$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.95 | 125 | 58.4%73 W · 52 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Over | 45c | 197.01$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.04 | 355 | 46.5%165 W · 190 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb946…2671backed Over | 41c | 190.05$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.44 | 650 | 45.1%293 W · 357 L | -11.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Under | 64c | 181.4$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.47 | 906 | 50.2%455 W · 451 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Under | 63c | 179.92$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.88 | 1,084 | 50%542 W · 542 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Over | 46c | 174.62$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.65 | 1,399 | 46.4%649 W · 750 L | -13.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd4…7401backed Under | 17c | 161$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.08 | 249 | 36.9%92 W · 157 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Over | 40c | 155.31$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.57 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddc4…0270backed Under | 78c | 151.94$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.41 | 277 | 45.8%127 W · 150 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 48c | 146.86$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.76 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6b8…4bdfbacked Over | 33c | 144.03$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.28 | 106 | 37.7%40 W · 66 L | +9.3wins | +0.09per pick | 29cpaid | +47.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Over | 45c | 138.38$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.45 | 1,433 | 47.2%676 W · 757 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10cf…1cfbbacked Over | 37c | 136.52$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.01 | 235 | 49.4%116 W · 119 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd17a…0373backed Under | 52c | 134.13$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.75 | 428 | 53%227 W · 201 L | +7.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd55c…d703backed Under | 76c | 129.68$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.56 | 108 | 40.7%44 W · 64 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Over | 47c | 125.15$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.91 | 935 | 43.6%408 W · 527 L | -32.6wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Over | 33c | 116.87$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.49 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Over | 68c | 110$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.2 | 766 | 53.5%410 W · 356 L | +65.5wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x06e7…3acabacked Over | 21c | 108.63$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.82 | 570 | 51.9%296 W · 274 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe45…a3e9backed Over | 46c | 105.17$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.79 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46dc…92c3backed Over | 29c | 102.54$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.8 | 96 | 41.7%40 W · 56 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdaf6…1a9bbacked Over | 45c | 100.82$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.45 | 786 | 48.7%383 W · 403 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86b1…c094backed Under | 65c | 99.99$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.99 | 448 | 21.4%96 W · 352 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf081…1d05backed Under | 52c | 93.38$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.56 | 31 | 64.5%20 W · 11 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0d0…8db8backed Over | 48c | 92.77$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.24 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Under | 62c | 87.37$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.12 | 611 | 51.4%314 W · 297 L | +17.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e8…ff03backed Over | 21c | 84.68$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.9 | 368 | 52.2%192 W · 176 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8c2…080bbacked Over | 31c | 81.28$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.74 | 80 | 52.5%42 W · 38 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bfd…f319backed Under | 52c | 79.09$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.98 | 111 | 43.2%48 W · 63 L | -9.7wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -21%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7987…884abacked Over | 25c | 77.53$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.43 | 258 | 50%129 W · 129 L | +8.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfe…44b5backed Over | 52c | 73.21$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.14 | 147 | 53.1%78 W · 69 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Over | 36c | 70.87$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.07 | 377 | 53.8%203 W · 174 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked Over | 39c | 68.41$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.88 | 592 | 50.2%297 W · 295 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa46d…59c4backed Over | 40c | 68.2$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.92 | 121 | 49.6%60 W · 61 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d49…e00abacked Under | 69c | 67.75$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.91 | 1,532 | 42.5%651 W · 881 L | -17.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c1d…1f8fbacked Under | 54c | 61.09$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.72 | 492 | 49.8%245 W · 247 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 22 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Celtics vs. Knicks: O/U 217.5this page
- 1H Spread: Knicks (-2.5)Celtics won
- Celtics vs. KnicksKnicks won
- Celtics vs. Knicks: 1H MoneylineKnicks won
- Celtics vs. Knicks: 1H O/U 109.5Under won
- Celtics vs. Knicks: 1H O/U 111.5Under won
- Celtics vs. Knicks: O/U 211.5Over won
- Celtics vs. Knicks: O/U 212.5Over won
- Celtics vs. Knicks: O/U 214.5Over won
- Celtics vs. Knicks: O/U 215.5Over won
- Celtics vs. Knicks: O/U 216.5Over won
- Derrick White: Assists O/U 1.5No won
- Derrick White: Rebounds O/U 0.5Yes won
- Jaylen Brown: Points O/U 7.5No won
- Jayson Tatum: Assists O/U 1.5Yes won
- Karl-Anthony Towns: Assists O/U 2.5Yes won
- Karl-Anthony Towns: Points O/U 19.5No won
- Karl-Anthony Towns: Rebounds O/U 11.5Yes won
- Neemias Queta: Rebounds O/U 1.5Yes won
- Spread: Knicks (-3.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Knicks (-4.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Knicks (-5.5)Knicks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.