NHL · resolved market
Hurricanes vs. Capitals
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x69c8c51971ac16c9b9126117c77f0de7b9516e8d74859c612658bda67d6908ae
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Hurricanesof Hurricanes, Capitals
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,678,315
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,688,117
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,678,315 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,899 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Hurricanes | 53c | 1,101,767$578,551 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$523,215.42 | 390 | 47.9%187 W · 203 L | -13.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb744…5210backed Capitals | 47c | 1,006,294$477,972 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$477,971.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Capitals | 49c | 181,556$88,069 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88,069.26 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x869b…c625backed Hurricanes | 52c | 157,454$81,602 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75,851.55 | 46 | 65.2%30 W · 16 L | +4.7wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xef54…d1eebacked Hurricanes | 51c | 149,744$77,034 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72,710.36 | 177 | 49.2%87 W · 90 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9165…5b98backed Hurricanes | 53c | 131,062$69,463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61,599.05 | 119 | 55.5%66 W · 53 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe73e…74febacked Capitals | 49c | 102,239$50,097 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50,097.35 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Capitals | 48c | 75,013$36,006 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36,006.45 | 387 | 48.3%187 W · 200 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Hurricanes | 52c | 75,000$38,917 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36,083.19 | 425 | 52.2%222 W · 203 L | +25.0wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd6b4…a278backed Hurricanes | 51c | 70,211$35,808 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34,403.36 | 103 | 49.5%51 W · 52 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed Capitals | 48c | 62,059$29,788 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,788.27 | 79 | 46.8%37 W · 42 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Capitals | 47c | 42,455$19,931 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,931.14 | 881 | 51.2%451 W · 430 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c16…09cbbacked Capitals | 48c | 40,000$19,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,200 | 83 | 54.2%45 W · 38 L | +5.2wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Hurricanes | 51c | 35,459$18,084 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,374.87 | 479 | 51.4%246 W · 233 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f2…0234backed Capitals | 47c | 32,017$15,168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,167.93 | 105 | 54.3%57 W · 48 L | +8.7wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed Hurricanes | 52c | 30,000$15,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,400 | 78 | 50%39 W · 39 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Capitals | 48c | 29,200$14,016 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,016 | 485 | 49.7%241 W · 244 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Capitals | 47c | 23,836$11,203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,202.7 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Capitals | 47c | 21,000$9,870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,870 | 104 | 51.9%54 W · 50 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb3…f766backed Capitals | 48c | 19,574$9,483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,482.84 | 540 | 47.6%257 W · 283 L | -15.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Capitals | 48c | 18,888$9,066 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,066.24 | 218 | 50.9%111 W · 107 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Hurricanes | 52c | 15,064$7,833 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,231.47 | 195 | 55.4%108 W · 87 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe2d7…da62backed Capitals | 50c | 14,351$7,152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,151.72 | 188 | 40.4%76 W · 112 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07ed…3591backed Hurricanes | 52c | 13,750$7,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,600 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35ac…92a7backed Hurricanes | 50c | 13,123$6,611 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,511.44 | 275 | 48.7%134 W · 141 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Capitals | 48c | 12,920$6,141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,141.48 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Capitals | 47c | 12,777$6,044 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,044.41 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Capitals | 49c | 12,386$6,069 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,069 | 281 | 52%146 W · 135 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc62a…c2c7backed Capitals | 47c | 12,000$5,640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,640 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -2.3wins | -0.13per pick | 54cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x36de…e7c7backed Hurricanes | 50c | 10,948$5,474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,473.94 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc98f…9e5dbacked Capitals | 50c | 10,900$5,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,450 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Capitals | 49c | 10,141$4,945 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,945.29 | 510 | 45.5%232 W · 278 L | -9.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Capitals | 48c | 10,000$4,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,799.98 | 329 | 46.8%154 W · 175 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e68…d99bbacked Capitals | 47c | 9,507$4,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,499.54 | 286 | 52.4%150 W · 136 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8366…21ebbacked Hurricanes | 54c | 9,295$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,294.99 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab8c…0cbabacked Capitals | 50c | 8,700$4,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,350 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90d8…20f0backed Hurricanes | 50c | 8,650$4,328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,322.26 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +111.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Capitals | 48c | 7,893$3,763 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,763.29 | 1,679 | 54.4%914 W · 765 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3a…4033backed Capitals | 70c | 7,200$5,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,040 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -2.4wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Capitals | 47c | 6,673$3,136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,136.31 | 520 | 50%260 W · 260 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedf0…1e2abacked Hurricanes | 52c | 6,000$3,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,880 | 149 | 40.9%61 W · 88 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Hurricanes | 53c | 6,000$3,180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,820 | 304 | 47.4%144 W · 160 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d5e…8270backed Hurricanes | 52c | 5,711$2,970 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,741.28 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf92a…c5eabacked Capitals | 48c | 5,400$2,592 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,592 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef8b…8493backed Hurricanes | 53c | 5,400$2,862 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,538 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03ac…4f55backed Hurricanes | 50c | 5,320$2,660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,659.83 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb875…68a8backed Capitals | 47c | 5,175$2,432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,432.25 | 246 | 54.5%134 W · 112 L | +9.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Capitals | 48c | 5,000$2,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,400 | 566 | 49.5%280 W · 286 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7da6…4ff3backed Capitals | 49c | 5,000$2,430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,430 | 162 | 41.4%67 W · 95 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3993…cdedbacked Hurricanes | 51c | 4,960$2,530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,430.53 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Capitals | 48c | 4,771$2,290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,290.29 | 122 | 45.9%56 W · 66 L | -6.2wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Hurricanes | 52c | 4,709$2,449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,260.16 | 895 | 47%421 W · 474 L | -18.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Capitals | 48c | 4,000$1,920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,919.98 | 133 | 33.1%44 W · 89 L | -11.9wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -22%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x17e0…80aebacked Hurricanes | 52c | 3,967$2,056 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,910.99 | 327 | 44%144 W · 183 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce4d…a7fabacked Capitals | 49c | 3,934$1,928 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,927.53 | 255 | 55.3%141 W · 114 L | +10.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x08a4…5c3fbacked Capitals | 49c | 3,915$1,918 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,918.35 | 305 | 51.5%157 W · 148 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ad2…e215backed Capitals | 49c | 3,850$1,886 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,886.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c35…8f52backed Hurricanes | 51c | 3,842$1,959 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,882.56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78f7…2c5dbacked Hurricanes | 51c | 3,832$1,954 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,877.44 | 205 | 52.2%107 W · 98 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fe3…e0fdbacked Capitals | 48c | 3,625$1,740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,739.94 | 190 | 51.1%97 W · 93 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Capitals | 48c | 3,516$1,688 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,687.68 | 243 | 49.8%121 W · 122 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Hurricanes | 49c | 3,411$1,665 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,746.59 | 1,301 | 52.6%684 W · 617 L | +23.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…b5b6backed Hurricanes | 49c | 3,334$1,634 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,700.31 | 1,377 | 49.1%676 W · 701 L | +39.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd5c…8ae8backed Capitals | 49c | 3,294$1,614 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,614 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.5wins | -0.23per pick | 50cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b6…ceb1backed Capitals | 49c | 3,241$1,588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,588.05 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2195…16f9backed Capitals | 48c | 3,125$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd24f…849ebacked Capitals | 49c | 3,107$1,522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,522.47 | 111 | 51.4%57 W · 54 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3b7…74acbacked Capitals | 48c | 3,000$1,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,440 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5551…5616backed Hurricanes | 53c | 3,000$1,590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,410 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0c3dbacked Capitals | 49c | 2,828$1,386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,385.72 | 148 | 48%71 W · 77 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Capitals | 48c | 2,710$1,301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300.63 | 695 | 50.1%348 W · 347 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68dd…f0b2backed Hurricanes | 50c | 2,633$1,317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,316.73 | 254 | 49.2%125 W · 129 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Capitals | 47c | 2,567$1,206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,206.49 | 1,475 | 48.3%712 W · 763 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Capitals | 48c | 2,555$1,226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,226.4 | 866 | 49.9%432 W · 434 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Capitals | 47c | 2,500$1,175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,175 | 237 | 51.5%122 W · 115 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71bd…28c4backed Hurricanes | 53c | 2,500$1,325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,175 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc73d…7a3abacked Capitals | 48c | 2,500$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6767…21edbacked Capitals | 49c | 2,470$1,210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,210.3 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd7fc…86e1backed Hurricanes | 52c | 2,432$1,264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,167.19 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Capitals | 48c | 2,400$1,152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,152 | 318 | 51.9%165 W · 153 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Hurricanes | 51c | 2,300$1,172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,128.21 | 1,024 | 48.4%496 W · 528 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3158…d469backed Hurricanes | 51c | 2,300$1,173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,127 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfcca…c460backed Capitals | 48c | 2,209$1,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,050.36 | 75 | 46.7%35 W · 40 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34c7…dabebacked Capitals | 49c | 2,157$1,057 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,056.83 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.18per pick | 54cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Capitals | 1c | 2,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,163 | 2.3%27 W · 1,136 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -87.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe5f…d795backed Capitals | 47c | 2,000$940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$940 | 149 | 45%67 W · 82 L | -8.5wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…c893backed Hurricanes | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$980 | 836 | 52.8%441 W · 395 L | +28.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Capitals | 50c | 1,920$950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$950.39 | 976 | 51.6%504 W · 472 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Capitals | 48c | 1,920$920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$920.36 | 1,143 | 50.8%581 W · 562 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d7…a70cbacked Hurricanes | 54c | 1,820$990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$830.36 | 309 | 46.3%143 W · 166 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Capitals | 46c | 1,684$773 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$772.87 | 629 | 51.2%322 W · 307 L | +18.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9534…1fe8backed Capitals | 48c | 1,679$806 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$805.92 | 228 | 52.6%120 W · 108 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Capitals | 48c | 1,640$787 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$787.2 | 230 | 47.4%109 W · 121 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Hurricanes | 51c | 1,633$833 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800.17 | 619 | 59.1%366 W · 253 L | +17.9wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8019…df3abacked Hurricanes | 51c | 1,600$816 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$784 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d16…75e7backed Capitals | 50c | 1,600$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Capitals | 47c | 1,580$743 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$742.64 | 353 | 49.6%175 W · 178 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x919d…60e1backed Capitals | 48c | 1,523$731 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$731.13 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -3.1wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4409…6273backed Capitals | 50c | 1,510$755 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$755 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc213…6affbacked Capitals | 48c | 1,500$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.19per pick | 56cpaid | -34%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Hurricanes vs. Capitalsthis page
- Hurricanes vs. Capitals: O/U 5.5Under won
- Hurricanes vs. Capitals: O/U 6.5Under won
- Spread: Capitals (-1.5)Hurricanes won
- Spread: Hurricanes (-1.5)Capitals won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.