Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Kopite vs Ivory (BO3)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9ab5bf13d211364a53f602c5740ce48abdd72cb04d7c64a9f73280dbf9d5b3be
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Ivoryof Kopite, Ivory
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,312
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,051
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,312 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x23f5…2991backed Kopite | 0c | 6,340$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x46f1…7295backed Ivory | 76c | 365.09$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.24 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -4.3wins | -0.31per pick | 66cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x75ab…eb07backed Kopite | 21c | 357.15$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.22 | 78 | 46.2%36 W · 42 L | +4.4wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2db3…667abacked Kopite | 51c | 330.18$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb9be…8b35backed Kopite | 40c | 251.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 83 | 49.4%41 W · 42 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8095…97b6backed Kopite | 47c | 209.13$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -3.3wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf400…1620backed Ivory | 70c | 196.59$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.98 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2815…d036backed Ivory | 61c | 163.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb85…48bcbacked Ivory | 71c | 163.36$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.17 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +41.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef35…c333backed Ivory | 66c | 160$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.4 | 74 | 60.8%45 W · 29 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Ivory | 61c | 154.1$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.1 | 2,367 | 47.3%1,119 W · 1,248 L | +17.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bae…61b8backed Kopite | 40c | 149.05$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | -4.0wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Kopite | 34c | 147.65$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 173 | 42.8%74 W · 99 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbdcd…b8e6backed Ivory | 59c | 119.99$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.7 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +3.0wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x45e1…c872backed Ivory | 75c | 115$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.89 | 68 | 54.4%37 W · 31 L | +7.0wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcb70…d906backed Ivory | 63c | 110$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +59%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac0c…739cbacked Kopite | 36c | 102.95$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.91 | 72 | 36.1%26 W · 46 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc17e…be2dbacked Ivory | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.15per pick | 60cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Kopite | 16c | 94.89$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 326 | 6.4%21 W · 305 L | -101.4wins | -0.31per pick | 38cpaid | -72.4%equal weight | 18-0.29 edge/pick |
| 0xd0b0…ad2cbacked Ivory | 66c | 75$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.25 | 210 | 62.4%131 W · 79 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05ec…ed1dbacked Ivory | 77c | 53.55$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.55 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 74cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0cd9…2a08backed Kopite | 31c | 44.03$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.61 | 522 | 43.9%229 W · 293 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd743…59bdbacked Ivory | 49c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.4 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +4.2wins | +0.14per pick | 44cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdb96…934fbacked Ivory | 46c | 37.7$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.42 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x791b…029ebacked Kopite | 51c | 30.87$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.65 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a4f…5459backed Ivory | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 110 | 51.8%57 W · 53 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc393…590abacked Ivory | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 238 | 49.6%118 W · 120 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Kopite | 35c | 29.01$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.28 | 616 | 9.7%60 W · 556 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d5f…7e6fbacked Kopite | 46c | 23.83$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8dc2…3863backed Ivory | 54c | 21.74$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.2wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +135.6%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf3…50d9backed Ivory | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 79 | 36.7%29 W · 50 L | -7.1wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -20%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Kopite vs Ivory (BO3)this page
- Dota 2: Kopite vs Ivory - Game 1 WinnerIvory won
- Dota 2: Kopite vs Ivory - Game 2 WinnerKopite won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.