TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Dota2 · resolved market

Dota 2: Team Yandex vs OG (BO3)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
OGof Team Yandex, OG
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$55,565
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$59,612

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $55,565 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 133 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Dota2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb3dd…a7e0backed Team Yandex65c7,294$4,741 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,740.9113155%72 W · 59 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5a28…41edbacked OG37c4,963$1,829 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,133.321350.7%108 W · 105 L+5.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+0.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb7b3…9573backed Team Yandex64c4,000$2,565 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,56513027.7%36 W · 94 L-9.3wins-0.07per pick35cpaid-35.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x00d6…b2e0backed OG35c3,407$1,192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,214.374746.8%22 W · 25 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbdac…f7e2backed OG45c3,244$1,472 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,772.323036.7%11 W · 19 L-2.1wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-33%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed OG34c2,982$1,014 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,967.844645.7%21 W · 25 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x827a…8a2bbacked Team Yandex63c2,933$1,838 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,838.48046.3%37 W · 43 L-3.9wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-7.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked OG37c2,892$1,062 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,830.0830138.9%117 W · 184 L-20.3wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-32.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0969…b289backed OG37c2,842$1,042 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,800.114032.5%13 W · 27 L-3.9wins-0.10per pick42cpaid-28.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xcd4b…f8fbbacked OG39c2,500$975 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,525.235137.3%19 W · 32 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-14.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbb71…0536backed Team Yandex70c2,362$1,652 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,651.63850%4 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.19per pick69cpaid-29%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4b4d…2cdbbacked OG37c2,140$792 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,348.21100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.63per pick37cpaid+170.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xda5f…2e9bbacked Team Yandex65c2,015$1,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,30011557.4%66 W · 49 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3c58…a699backed OG36c1,800$648 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,1521100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.64per pick36cpaid+177.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1464…5e75backed Team Yandex63c1,600$1,010 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,01012351.2%63 W · 60 L-7.0wins-0.06per pick57cpaid-12.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked OG35c1,596$564 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,031.752,01244.2%889 W · 1,123 L+36.6wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked OG35c1,500$525 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$974.9939936.8%147 W · 252 L+4.9wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb569…5695backed Team Yandex64c1,444$925 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$924.6819047.9%91 W · 99 L-0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8e29…68e3backed Team Yandex61c1,327$810 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$809.71850%4 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-23%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb6ce…7a7dbacked OG38c1,312$495 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$817.0789749.6%445 W · 452 L+22.4wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-8.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd092…342abacked Team Yandex65c1,223$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8002466.7%16 W · 8 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick65cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd138…7058backed Team Yandex65c1,195$774 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$773.7211551.3%59 W · 56 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-12.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked OG32c1,094$347 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$746.4873841.7%308 W · 430 L-5.2wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd903…bf9dbacked OG44c1,013$447 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$565.7710338.8%40 W · 63 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick36cpaid-5.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed OG36c1,000$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64089440.3%360 W · 534 L+1.3wins0.00per pick40cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd161…4cc1backed Team Yandex62c999.99$620 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$619.9980443.9%353 W · 451 L-1.7wins0.00per pick44cpaid-11%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbd1e…ff14backed OG38c992.11$377 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$615.1111253.6%60 W · 52 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick55cpaid+2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb625…33a6backed Team Yandex64c900$576 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57610%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7fff…55f2backed Team Yandex64c900$576 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57610%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x040f…e98cbacked Team Yandex65c843.02$552 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$551.66046.7%28 W · 32 L-5.0wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-27.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3ae9…74acbacked Team Yandex62c800.66$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500.412347.8%11 W · 12 L0.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid+6.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe3d4…2bacbacked Team Yandex56c750.22$419 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$419.116665.7%109 W · 57 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick65cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde67…bab9backed OG38c742.22$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$462.73354.5%18 W · 15 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+8.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb9ce…a834backed Team Yandex63c740$466 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$466.210%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5388…4d5abacked Team Yandex61c733.64$448 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$447.5221847.2%103 W · 115 L+16.5wins+0.08per pick40cpaid+16.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x46c3…f8c9backed Team Yandex63c700$441 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44110%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3735…8866backed Team Yandex63c700$441 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44110%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Team Yandex63c600$378 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37820642.2%87 W · 119 L-0.9wins0.00per pick43cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x97e1…017bbacked OG37c567$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$357.2134146.6%159 W · 182 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Team Yandex60c564.96$338 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$337.5710833.3%36 W · 72 L-7.1wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-39.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2da2…8c2bbacked Team Yandex63c553.73$349 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$348.8510966.1%72 W · 37 L+5.9wins+0.05per pick61cpaid+10.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe4da…1772backed OG38c550$209 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3417047.1%33 W · 37 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick51cpaid+3.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7b99…eda5backed Team Yandex66c534.41$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$350.351963.2%12 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.06per pick69cpaid-14.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x40f8…327dbacked Team Yandex62c508.19$315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$315.0811839.8%47 W · 71 L-7.5wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-13.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed OG36c483.86$173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$311.3162841.1%258 W · 370 L-17.8wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-18.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7a78…add7backed OG34c481.7$164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$317.7936442.3%154 W · 210 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-14.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb90c…b30ebacked Team Yandex63c444.44$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$280728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.22per pick51cpaid-58%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9942…5c84backed OG38c394.74$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.7426453%140 W · 124 L+0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd7cf…a603backed Team Yandex63c391.97$247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$246.946349.2%31 W · 32 L-6.4wins-0.10per pick59cpaid-23.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked OG37c383.53$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$241.641,82145%820 W · 1,001 L+33.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd23d…f322backed Team Yandex63c345$217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$217.355459.3%32 W · 22 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick55cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked OG35c328.57$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$213.571,90147.6%905 W · 996 L+4.6wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcc81…5df2backed Team Yandex63c317.46$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2009557.9%55 W · 40 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x75f3…0e78backed Team Yandex63c317.46$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20041248.8%201 W · 211 L+6.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-2.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x83c8…3b6cbacked Team Yandex63c317.46$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20091356.1%512 W · 401 L+16.2wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x81f5…70afbacked OG37c310.49$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$195.2510941.3%45 W · 64 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-8.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2bd4…ea9abacked Team Yandex65c308.81$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.946145.9%28 W · 33 L-2.4wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-12.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8052…1124backed Team Yandex61c303.58$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185.1817146.8%80 W · 91 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3450…6793backed OG64c302.78$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1092650%13 W · 13 L-2.3wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-24.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked OG34c300$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19886949%426 W · 443 L-3.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe42b…7ea9backed OG36c299.58$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$190.9146535.1%163 W · 302 L+22.9wins+0.05per pick30cpaid+18.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6d01…0ab1backed OG36c297.36$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$189.548037.5%30 W · 50 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x209e…8bb4backed OG35c287.47$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$187.580544.6%359 W · 446 L-25.8wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-8.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0659…d74dbacked OG36c282.85$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181.4885851.3%440 W · 418 L+30.8wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe776…c379backed Team Yandex36c275$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99475%3 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.16per pick59cpaid+13.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x37b4…d5e5backed Team Yandex65c223$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.9633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.15per pick49cpaid-47%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x073a…6f98backed OG42c211$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.9120361.6%125 W · 78 L+22.0wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+12%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x6d58…8accbacked Team Yandex64c205$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.212862.5%80 W · 48 L-4.7wins-0.04per pick66cpaid-8.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8e5f…7fbfbacked Team Yandex63c200$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1264465.9%29 W · 15 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick65cpaid+2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8046…a845backed OG35c200$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1305950.8%30 W · 29 L+3.5wins+0.06per pick45cpaid-0.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x51ec…a7b9backed Team Yandex8c192.23$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.469423.4%22 W · 72 L+0.3wins0.00per pick23cpaid-11.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7e79…089bbacked OG35c179.82$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.233053.3%16 W · 14 L+2.8wins+0.09per pick44cpaid+12.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7951…bb41backed Team Yandex63c174.6$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11064744.4%287 W · 360 L+13.6wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x00a9…36bbbacked Team Yandex63c158.73$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004542.2%19 W · 26 L-2.7wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-23.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x91a8…2db7backed Team Yandex63c158.73$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005675%42 W · 14 L+8.3wins+0.15per pick60cpaid+24%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xef35…c333backed Team Yandex64c156.25$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007460.8%45 W · 29 L0.0wins0.00per pick61cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x419b…6ea1backed Team Yandex65c154.77$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10022453.1%119 W · 105 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x61c1…0513backed Team Yandex66c151.52$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010659.4%63 W · 43 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick63cpaid-6.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x58f1…7032backed OG35c150$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.529550.2%148 W · 147 L+8.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8c04…3fdbbacked Team Yandex65c142.36$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.261136.4%4 W · 7 L-2.6wins-0.24per pick60cpaid-41%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1ffc…8967backed Team Yandex38c140.36$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.3422033.6%74 W · 146 L-0.6wins0.00per pick34cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x742f…d673backed Team Yandex60c140$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.373158.1%18 W · 13 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick57cpaid-6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3d78…a4ccbacked OG36c138.89$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.892166.7%14 W · 7 L+1.5wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+17%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked OG35c138.25$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.0360542.6%258 W · 347 L-14.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-7.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Team Yandex63c116$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7316835.7%60 W · 108 L-7.2wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-27.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb82b…3a09backed OG40c115.99$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.614948.3%72 W · 77 L-5.1wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-3.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed OG38c114$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.8837832.5%123 W · 255 L-12.7wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-35.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x67b0…1d60backed Team Yandex62c100$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6230%0 W · 3 L-1.8wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x115d…1691backed Team Yandex63c100$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6314244.4%63 W · 79 L+4.0wins+0.03per pick42cpaid-1.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd053…3202backed OG35c100$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$657135.2%25 W · 46 L-6.1wins-0.09per pick44cpaid-22%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xdd59…9f17backed OG38c100$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid+31.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5fd8…a5bebacked OG39c90.13$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.9820339.9%81 W · 122 L-0.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Team Yandex62c80.65$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$508160.5%49 W · 32 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4337…8882backed OG37c80.61$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.7816842.9%72 W · 96 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xce24…6239backed OG36c80$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.55832.8%19 W · 39 L+0.3wins0.00per pick32cpaid-21.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6fe9…9c50backed Team Yandex64c78.13$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5013657.4%78 W · 58 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x11c1…7fe5backed Team Yandex67c67.16$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$451442.9%6 W · 8 L-2.1wins-0.15per pick58cpaid-29.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x02a4…6854backed Team Yandex60c66.67$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401,79755.8%1,003 W · 794 L+37.5wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0362…449ebacked Team Yandex61c58.08$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.4310560%63 W · 42 L+4.5wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+0.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed OG41c55$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.5514537.2%54 W · 91 L-3.7wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-29.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.