College Football · resolved market
San Diego State vs. New Mexico
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb48e8b1abdccd2baabf519286b5a4b83caf7619ba9290d3d5f37e1f08b145e5f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- New Mexicoof San Diego State, New Mexico
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $359,326
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $395,324
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $359,326 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 232 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1e3a…4033backed San Diego State | 54c | 74,808$40,383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40,382.65 | 193 | 62.2%120 W · 73 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f6…5817backed New Mexico | 49c | 34,000$16,660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,339.99 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x090a…01b4backed New Mexico | 49c | 31,211$15,293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,917.56 | 118 | 46.6%55 W · 63 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c81…fce3backed New Mexico | 55c | 22,757$12,425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,331.72 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed San Diego State | 51c | 21,895$11,097 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,096.68 | 524 | 49.4%259 W · 265 L | -2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e11…82a9backed New Mexico | 41c | 13,644$5,653 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,990.9 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.36per pick | 31cpaid | +96.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed New Mexico | 50c | 10,112$5,035 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,077.05 | 399 | 54.1%216 W · 183 L | +16.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked San Diego State | 50c | 9,087$4,569 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,568.67 | 292 | 49%143 W · 149 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fe7…2f3cbacked New Mexico | 51c | 8,000$4,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,940 | 112 | 48.2%54 W · 58 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed New Mexico | 44c | 7,963$3,479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,483.72 | 267 | 50.9%136 W · 131 L | +21.7wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6b9c…57b3backed San Diego State | 67c | 7,343$4,942 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,941.96 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.17per pick | 55cpaid | +46.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd041…7b26backed San Diego State | 51c | 6,275$3,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,200 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed New Mexico | 64c | 6,025$3,842 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,182.53 | 198 | 42.9%85 W · 113 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked New Mexico | 45c | 5,788$2,610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,177.51 | 628 | 43.6%274 W · 354 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa034…0446backed New Mexico | 49c | 5,276$2,585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,690.66 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9272…5255backed San Diego State | 51c | 5,274$2,690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,689.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd73b…70adbacked New Mexico | 50c | 5,102$2,533 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,568.99 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked New Mexico | 50c | 5,000$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,500 | 381 | 42.5%162 W · 219 L | -10.2wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x827a…8a2bbacked San Diego State | 52c | 4,846$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 85 | 44.7%38 W · 47 L | -6.3wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed San Diego State | 50c | 4,507$2,266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,265.69 | 862 | 43.7%377 W · 485 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed New Mexico | 31c | 4,070$1,262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,808.07 | 385 | 46%177 W · 208 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked San Diego State | 49c | 3,649$1,798 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,797.94 | 485 | 46.8%227 W · 258 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x437c…f458backed New Mexico | 49c | 3,337$1,635 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,701.82 | 68 | 42.6%29 W · 39 L | -4.2wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -14%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked San Diego State | 41c | 3,057$1,258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,257.82 | 405 | 41.2%167 W · 238 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed New Mexico | 46c | 2,754$1,257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,496.43 | 262 | 44.3%116 W · 146 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9146…5f30backed San Diego State | 51c | 2,300$1,173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,173 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3444…46a1backed San Diego State | 4c | 2,130$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.19 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed New Mexico | 56c | 2,119$1,185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$933.35 | 648 | 41.2%267 W · 381 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31ac…392cbacked San Diego State | 28c | 2,000$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…49a8backed New Mexico | 49c | 1,938$946 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$991.99 | 213 | 48.8%104 W · 109 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb40…a284backed San Diego State | 51c | 1,798$923 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$922.5 | 345 | 29.9%103 W · 242 L | -21.6wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd039…2532backed New Mexico | 49c | 1,750$858 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$892.5 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed San Diego State | 51c | 1,733$887 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$886.73 | 632 | 43.7%276 W · 356 L | +34.8wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +138.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xecd3…4285backed San Diego State | 51c | 1,600$816 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$816 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -2.1wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed San Diego State | 44c | 1,551$682 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$682.03 | 205 | 53.7%110 W · 95 L | +14.6wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x09f0…1e82backed New Mexico | 55c | 1,500$821 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$679.25 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19f8…98f9backed New Mexico | 56c | 1,489$841 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$648.91 | 63 | 58.7%37 W · 26 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked San Diego State | 51c | 1,471$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 71 | 36.6%26 W · 45 L | -7.1wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb3…f766backed San Diego State | 51c | 1,420$724 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$724.42 | 76 | 42.1%32 W · 44 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked San Diego State | 66c | 1,399$919 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$918.69 | 684 | 40.8%279 W · 405 L | -10.7wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked San Diego State | 52c | 1,344$694 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$693.72 | 588 | 50.2%295 W · 293 L | +23.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed New Mexico | 49c | 1,254$614 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$639.54 | 107 | 42.1%45 W · 62 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3010…a27cbacked San Diego State | 32c | 1,025$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328.25 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bb2…a656backed New Mexico | 49c | 1,020$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520.4 | 115 | 40%46 W · 69 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30ae…4318backed New Mexico | 73c | 1,000$730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae00…f7b0backed San Diego State | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x944e…8c94backed New Mexico | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +36.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4862…1a17backed San Diego State | 39c | 983.54$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$383.58 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +18%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a8…a48ebacked San Diego State | 51c | 980.39$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 82 | 36.6%30 W · 52 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x357e…2a0cbacked New Mexico | 43c | 977.33$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$557.08 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked New Mexico | 41c | 833$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$488.41 | 215 | 38.6%83 W · 132 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37d1…0c60backed San Diego State | 78c | 826.94$645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$644.78 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaab5…aab4backed New Mexico | 73c | 752.79$553 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.03 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -54.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed New Mexico | 61c | 707.27$428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.79 | 237 | 51.1%121 W · 116 L | +6.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb589…33d4backed San Diego State | 26c | 615$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.9 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | +6.4wins | +0.17per pick | 31cpaid | +72.1%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7da6…4ff3backed San Diego State | 30c | 605.61$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.22 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4602…3315backed San Diego State | 50c | 600$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +3.4wins | +0.12per pick | 47cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked New Mexico | 50c | 595.38$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.2 | 174 | 43.7%76 W · 98 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61fa…7f62backed New Mexico | 51c | 592.82$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.35 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.11per pick | 68cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x094e…f10bbacked New Mexico | 49c | 555$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.05 | 69 | 49.3%34 W · 35 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked New Mexico | 48c | 550.65$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.43 | 494 | 43.7%216 W · 278 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90dc…5ba6backed San Diego State | 59c | 549.54$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.6 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -3.1wins | -0.12per pick | 43cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked San Diego State | 49c | 506.68$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.29 | 147 | 52.4%77 W · 70 L | +9.7wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed San Diego State | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 132 | 42.4%56 W · 76 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd368…1889backed New Mexico | 49c | 450$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.5 | 62 | 41.9%26 W · 36 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd2c…6d37backed San Diego State | 59c | 424.56$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.23per pick | 65cpaid | -42%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed New Mexico | 49c | 417.52$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.01 | 542 | 43.2%234 W · 308 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01db…16e3backed San Diego State | 52c | 390.38$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +2.8wins | +0.11per pick | 57cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe154…0b7fbacked New Mexico | 49c | 375$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.25 | 74 | 47.3%35 W · 39 L | +5.5wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed New Mexico | 50c | 359$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.5 | 207 | 57.5%119 W · 88 L | +13.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf152…c397backed New Mexico | 43c | 353.02$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.22 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +90.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed San Diego State | 44c | 337.67$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.64 | 553 | 50.3%278 W · 275 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed New Mexico | 50c | 320$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160 | 293 | 51.9%152 W · 141 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed San Diego State | 50c | 306.54$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.81 | 269 | 40.5%109 W · 160 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c82…e0cbbacked New Mexico | 58c | 300$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127 | 200 | 39.5%79 W · 121 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7a…df1bbacked New Mexico | 49c | 300$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed New Mexico | 49c | 296$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.96 | 216 | 44.9%97 W · 119 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3a6…8669backed New Mexico | 50c | 281.2$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf20c…3305backed San Diego State | 51c | 278.1$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.83 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f53…540abacked San Diego State | 52c | 246.15$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…1781backed New Mexico | 50c | 246$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf36f…fb15backed San Diego State | 51c | 236$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.36 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | -4.7wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -26%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed San Diego State | 51c | 223.07$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.77 | 284 | 40.8%116 W · 168 L | -10.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed New Mexico | 49c | 210$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.1 | 568 | 44.5%253 W · 315 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed San Diego State | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 398 | 47.7%190 W · 208 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40d2…312fbacked San Diego State | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7581…ea2dbacked San Diego State | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -44%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa609…a3d9backed San Diego State | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 32cpaid | +24%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed San Diego State | 51c | 197.82$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.89 | 1,090 | 41.7%455 W · 635 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e77…4505backed San Diego State | 51c | 168$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.68 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…82b4backed San Diego State | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -3.5wins | -0.18per pick | 55cpaid | -34%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x021a…b2d7backed New Mexico | 49c | 163.27$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.27 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed New Mexico | 36c | 160.28$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.58 | 86 | 27.9%24 W · 62 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2025…129ebacked New Mexico | 50c | 160$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked San Diego State | 62c | 158$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.66 | 571 | 44.7%255 W · 316 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50bb…9aa6backed New Mexico | 31c | 150$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.5 | 81 | 42%34 W · 47 L | -4.1wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa903…69d4backed San Diego State | 52c | 150$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6723…a540backed San Diego State | 53c | 147$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.31 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed San Diego State | 50c | 140$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 302 | 53%160 W · 142 L | +10.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a2d…d491backed New Mexico | 37c | 135.14$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.14 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- San Diego State vs. New Mexicothis page
- San Diego State vs. New Mexico: O/U 41.5Under won
- Spread: San Diego State (-1.5)New Mexico won
- Spread: San Diego State (-2.5)New Mexico won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.