Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
USC Trojans vs. Seton Hall Pirates
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9d0eea1c06f3b78213068ae5f088758f823ad726c27d02b3280e83a46ed02929
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- USC Trojansof USC Trojans, Seton Hall Pirates
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $27,515
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,000
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,515 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x07c8…2696backed Seton Hall Pirates | 35c | 3,524$1,236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,236.26 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked USC Trojans | 71c | 2,560$1,825 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$734.8 | 160 | 53.8%86 W · 74 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed USC Trojans | 52c | 2,467$1,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,187.19 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Seton Hall Pirates | 29c | 2,343$680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$679.79 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4aa9…1351backed Seton Hall Pirates | 26c | 1,891$491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$491.13 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked USC Trojans | 71c | 1,100$781 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.9 | 1,391 | 44.1%613 W · 778 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed USC Trojans | 78c | 1,010$792 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.9 | 1,420 | 43.9%623 W · 797 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed USC Trojans | 49c | 999.25$493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$506.35 | 100 | 41%41 W · 59 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe235…aba2backed USC Trojans | 41c | 941.08$386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$555.24 | 64 | 57.8%37 W · 27 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c54…1d08backed Seton Hall Pirates | 63c | 685.18$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$429.99 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5c…be69backed USC Trojans | 55c | 551.98$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.39 | 161 | 35.4%57 W · 104 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Seton Hall Pirates | 59c | 551.66$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.43 | 205 | 48.8%100 W · 105 L | +13.1wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Seton Hall Pirates | 32c | 550$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.9 | 1,951 | 45.1%880 W · 1,071 L | -19.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e5c…c9eebacked Seton Hall Pirates | 68c | 546.38$371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370.53 | 31 | 74.2%23 W · 8 L | +2.8wins | +0.09per pick | 65cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked USC Trojans | 67c | 541.54$363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.62 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe53f…62d7backed USC Trojans | 72c | 499.32$359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.97 | 114 | 39.5%45 W · 69 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ae9…74acbacked USC Trojans | 76c | 416.49$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.95 | 159 | 39%62 W · 97 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc480…937abacked Seton Hall Pirates | 43c | 381.3$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.96 | 33 | 30.3%10 W · 23 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdcad…c851backed Seton Hall Pirates | 15c | 349.99$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd5c…1d65backed Seton Hall Pirates | 75c | 313.15$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.81 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x17e0…017cbacked Seton Hall Pirates | 51c | 252.85$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x045d…d649backed USC Trojans | 54c | 200$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7f…7d7fbacked Seton Hall Pirates | 54c | 185.2$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd7e5…fe31backed Seton Hall Pirates | 18c | 172.22$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.55 | 95 | 4.2%4 W · 91 L | -7.0wins | -0.07per pick | 12cpaid | -86%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5916…8d4fbacked USC Trojans | 34c | 166.61$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.96 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.66per pick | 34cpaid | +194.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Seton Hall Pirates | 33c | 151.52$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 239 | 41.4%99 W · 140 L | -7.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3fda…f4ebbacked Seton Hall Pirates | 43c | 132.2$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.1 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05ec…ed1dbacked Seton Hall Pirates | 70c | 115.05$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 74cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0f0…1b00backed Seton Hall Pirates | 13c | 111.91$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.83 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked Seton Hall Pirates | 29c | 105$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.4 | 1,260 | 43.3%545 W · 715 L | +34.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6077…f4f4backed Seton Hall Pirates | 43c | 98.4$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.31 | 72 | 45.8%33 W · 39 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80ce…2972backed Seton Hall Pirates | 63c | 95$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.85 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked USC Trojans | 41c | 94.44$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.44 | 124 | 35.5%44 W · 80 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Seton Hall Pirates | 29c | 84$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.36 | 349 | 47.9%167 W · 182 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebc0…fa41backed Seton Hall Pirates | 60c | 75.54$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.61 | 155 | 56.1%87 W · 68 L | +15.8wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x936b…ef0bbacked Seton Hall Pirates | 73c | 72.6$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.9wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x000e…d8d8backed USC Trojans | 79c | 63.39$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.55 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7bbb…4a56backed Seton Hall Pirates | 31c | 60.06$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.9 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ada…43b0backed USC Trojans | 80c | 56.84$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.42 | 55 | 70.9%39 W · 16 L | +7.4wins | +0.13per pick | 57cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc08b…e35bbacked Seton Hall Pirates | 53c | 56.6$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc54f…dce8backed USC Trojans | 37c | 55$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.65 | 643 | 22.9%147 W · 496 L | -17.1wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd14a…e912backed USC Trojans | 53c | 53.67$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.41 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +16%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c24…d704backed Seton Hall Pirates | 70c | 52.5$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Seton Hall Pirates | 54c | 43.92$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.77 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7685…482cbacked USC Trojans | 53c | 43.09$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.4 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -2.3wins | -0.09per pick | 60cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed USC Trojans | 35c | 35.44$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.14 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x393e…7b02backed Seton Hall Pirates | 57c | 35.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdac9…39f1backed USC Trojans | 76c | 28.21$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.69 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +97.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8823…37ccbacked Seton Hall Pirates | 74c | 27.03$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 73cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd33…81d1backed USC Trojans | 69c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.2 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.15per pick | 63cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- USC Trojans vs. Seton Hall Piratesthis page
- Spread: USC Trojans (-7.5)Seton Hall Pirates won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.