TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xdac9…39f1

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
43
Categories scored
16
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: Ncaa Basketball, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Ncaa Basketball at 54 out of 100; worst Fifa International at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 6, 2026, EST1040%4 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-13.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
CS2 — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Fake do Biru vs 9z (BO3) - CCT South America Series #8 Group Stagebacked Fake do Biru · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$10.46
Counter-Strike: Favbet vs SIXSEVEN (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #14 Group Stagebacked SIXSEVEN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$14.73
Counter-Strike: paiN vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Krakow Play-Inbacked B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$19.2
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs 33 (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #13 Playoffsbacked GamerLegion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$14
Counter-Strike: AM Gaming vs Eternal Fire (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stagebacked Eternal Fire · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$12.5
Counter-Strike: Sangal vs Favbet (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #13 Group Stagebacked Favbet · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$10.3
Counter-Strike: HyperSpirit vs AaB esport (BO3)backed HyperSpirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+163.2%+$23.54
Counter-Strike: Gentle Mates vs Liquid (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+108.3%+$15.6
Counter-Strike: B8 vs Legacy (BO3)backed B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+150%+$15
Counter-Strike: 500 vs Dynamo Eclot (BO3)backed 500 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST+43.9%+$6.1
All 10 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Nov 13, 2025, EST944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tennis — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
ATP World Tour Finals, Jimmy Connors Group: Taylor Fritz vs Alex de Minaurbacked Minaur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+170.3%+$18.9
ATP World Tour Finals, Bjorn Borg Group: Ben Shelton vs Felix Auger-Aliassimebacked Shelton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST-100%-$16.2
ATP World Tour Finals, Jimmy Connors Group: Carlos Alcaraz vs Taylor Fritzbacked Alcaraz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST+45.3%+$11.28
Hellenic Championship: Novak Djokovic vs Lorenzo Musettibacked Musetti · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$14.88
Hellenic Championship: Stan Wawrinka vs Lorenzo Musettibacked Wawrinka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$16.6
Open de Moselle: Arthur Cazaux vs Cameron Norriebacked Norrie · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST+161.8%+$30.9
WTA Finals, Stefanie Graf Group: Aryna Sabalenka vs Jessica Pegulabacked Pegula · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$12.9
Hellenic Championship: Sebastian Korda vs Damir Dzumhurbacked Dzumhur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$11.63
Hellenic Championship: Miomir Kecmanovic vs Kamil Majchrzakbacked Kecmanovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST+70.2%+$9.08
All 9 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 4, 2026, EST540%2 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.15per pick55cpaid-44.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Nov 18, 2025, EST30%0 W · 3 L-2.1wins-0.69per pick69cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Feb 6, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+97.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Monmouth Hawks vs. Hofstra Pride (W)backed Monmouth Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+163.2%+$17.98
USC Trojans vs. Seton Hall Piratesbacked USC Trojans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST+31.1%+$6.69
All 2 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jan 17, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+58.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will NEC win on 2026-01-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+79.8%+$8.61
Will FC Groningen vs. PEC Zwolle end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+37.2%+$12.48
All 2 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Nov 10, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-25.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Trail Blazers vs. Magicbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2025, EST-100%-$16.35
Bucks vs. Pacersbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST+48.5%+$4.9
All 2 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jan 26, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Lol — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$27.03
LoL: JD Gaming vs Invictus Gaming (BO3)backed JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$28.4
All 2 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jan 27, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.65per pick35cpaid+185.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: NRG Academy vs Evil Geniuses Academy (BO3) - VCL North America Swiss Stagebacked NRG Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST+185.7%+$19.49
All 1 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Nov 21, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.63per pick37cpaid+170.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SC Internacional win on 2025-11-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST+170.3%+$18.89
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Nov 23, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elche CF vs. Real Madrid end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+100%+$10
All 1 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Nov 13, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick53cpaid+90.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
College Football — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Buffalo vs. Central Michiganbacked Central Michigan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+90.5%+$9.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Nov 18, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+41.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Cricket — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Pakistan Tri-Series: Pakistan vs Zimbabwe (Game 1)backed Pakistan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST+41.5%+$4.4
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Vox (VOX) win the 2026 Aragon Regional Election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$21.94
All 1 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 15, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump and Machado share the Nobel Peace Prize?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$12.2
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Nov 26, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Predators vs. Red Wingsbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST-100%-$17.6
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.