Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Xtreme Gaming (BO1)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x999a4e40752b478db1198cde1dc4414db8fb346a77183f7d0b1213cf446d8222
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Falconsof Team Falcons, Xtreme Gaming
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $59,063
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $65,937
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $59,063 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 89 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Xtreme Gaming | 19c | 3,249$634 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$633.56 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Team Falcons | 61c | 3,035$1,846 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,189.27 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7600…4478backed Xtreme Gaming | 30c | 2,760$833 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$833.45 | 226 | 47.3%107 W · 119 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fe9…706abacked Xtreme Gaming | 63c | 2,677$1,692 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,691.7 | 158 | 52.5%83 W · 75 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…f071backed Team Falcons | 70c | 2,482$1,738 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$744.51 | 344 | 68.9%237 W · 107 L | +26.3wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe612…abc9backed Xtreme Gaming | 25c | 2,234$551 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550.74 | 62 | 37.1%23 W · 39 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4da…1772backed Xtreme Gaming | 30c | 1,956$586 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$586.44 | 70 | 47.1%33 W · 37 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb787…ad0abacked Xtreme Gaming | 75c | 1,771$1,334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,334.26 | 144 | 46.5%67 W · 77 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd397…5052backed Team Falcons | 70c | 1,695$1,194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$501.78 | 234 | 65%152 W · 82 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac0d…b006backed Team Falcons | 68c | 1,579$1,077 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$502.1 | 106 | 61.3%65 W · 41 L | +10.4wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x47bd…bc9dbacked Xtreme Gaming | 64c | 1,557$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 410 | 55.6%228 W · 182 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Xtreme Gaming | 26c | 1,269$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326.99 | 869 | 49%426 W · 443 L | -3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ffc…8967backed Xtreme Gaming | 14c | 1,165$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.37 | 220 | 33.6%74 W · 146 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Team Falcons | 59c | 848.81$501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348.01 | 378 | 32.5%123 W · 255 L | -12.7wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74ef…1ac6backed Team Falcons | 72c | 809.2$581 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.51 | 476 | 60.7%289 W · 187 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…4cc1backed Xtreme Gaming | 17c | 768.67$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.76 | 804 | 43.9%353 W · 451 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6c9…975ebacked Xtreme Gaming | 20c | 708.85$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.34 | 84 | 11.9%10 W · 74 L | -14.1wins | -0.17per pick | 29cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked Xtreme Gaming | 32c | 675$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216 | 858 | 51.3%440 W · 418 L | +30.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca67…c864backed Xtreme Gaming | 31c | 601.14$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.64 | 62 | 40.3%25 W · 37 L | +4.0wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xecbe…42ffbacked Xtreme Gaming | 12c | 596$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.62 | 162 | 32.7%53 W · 109 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x033e…1bb9backed Xtreme Gaming | 34c | 570$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.2 | 568 | 48.8%277 W · 291 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x040f…e98cbacked Xtreme Gaming | 47c | 526.91$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.5 | 60 | 46.7%28 W · 32 L | -5.0wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1bcb…b05abacked Xtreme Gaming | 52c | 510$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.1 | 380 | 49.2%187 W · 193 L | +13.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +168.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7815…ade8backed Xtreme Gaming | 37c | 500$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.88 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb70c…41d5backed Xtreme Gaming | 28c | 499.92$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.98 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | -2.8wins | -0.11per pick | 34cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…07c3backed Team Falcons | 46c | 495.29$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.96 | 544 | 45.8%249 W · 295 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Xtreme Gaming | 4c | 471$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.4 | 616 | 9.7%60 W · 556 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b4c…e430backed Team Falcons | 69c | 437.68$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.68 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1e…d5dfbacked Xtreme Gaming | 29c | 382.97$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.06 | 126 | 54.8%69 W · 57 L | +6.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3445…d229backed Team Falcons | 4c | 343.24$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.12 | 19 | 10.5%2 W · 17 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 7cpaid | +51.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2495…28f5backed Xtreme Gaming | 63c | 311.67$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.47 | 91 | 61.5%56 W · 35 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked Xtreme Gaming | 14c | 303.67$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.76 | 641 | 23.4%150 W · 491 L | -18.6wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x031d…db9dbacked Team Falcons | 68c | 300$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 156 | 53.2%83 W · 73 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde17…68d2backed Xtreme Gaming | 29c | 280.12$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.87 | 179 | 50.3%90 W · 89 L | +14.7wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Xtreme Gaming | 14c | 275.93$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2133…7903backed Team Falcons | 35c | 275$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 344 | 43.9%151 W · 193 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c64…c336backed Team Falcons | 70c | 260.24$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.37 | 98 | 52%51 W · 47 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -15%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e66…8ca1backed Xtreme Gaming | 18c | 259.48$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.47 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x953e…79ffbacked Team Falcons | 71c | 220$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.8 | 280 | 50%140 W · 140 L | +8.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4bee…ca01backed Team Falcons | 78c | 207.33$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.64 | 64 | 60.9%39 W · 25 L | +5.8wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Xtreme Gaming | 67c | 200$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134 | 592 | 50.5%299 W · 293 L | -20.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Team Falcons | 70c | 184.38$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.31 | 894 | 40.3%360 W · 534 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd138…7058backed Team Falcons | 71c | 175.64$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.94 | 115 | 51.3%59 W · 56 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0b4…fed6backed Team Falcons | 69c | 154.03$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.05 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.15per pick | 46cpaid | +57.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7951…bb41backed Team Falcons | 72c | 138.89$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.89 | 647 | 44.4%287 W · 360 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62b7…f260backed Xtreme Gaming | 31c | 129.03$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 207 | 35.3%73 W · 134 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ada…43b0backed Team Falcons | 34c | 125$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.18 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -2.2wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -21%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e08…3d14backed Team Falcons | 65c | 118.9$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.7 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab6…078ebacked Team Falcons | 66c | 115$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.1 | 119 | 55.5%66 W · 53 L | +10.3wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9160…de3dbacked Team Falcons | 53c | 114.19$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.19 | 115 | 34.8%40 W · 75 L | -14.1wins | -0.12per pick | 47cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x83c8…3b6cbacked Team Falcons | 59c | 105.66$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.36 | 913 | 56.1%512 W · 401 L | +16.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdafa…9f46backed Team Falcons | 57c | 105.24$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.24 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x158f…09f1backed Xtreme Gaming | 20c | 101.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20a5…de1bbacked Xtreme Gaming | 30c | 100.98$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.18 | 53 | 58.5%31 W · 22 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c6…a111backed Team Falcons | 71c | 100$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 32 | 75%24 W · 8 L | +3.2wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe99e…0084backed Xtreme Gaming | 33c | 100$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 876 | 45.7%400 W · 476 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb82b…3a09backed Xtreme Gaming | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 149 | 48.3%72 W · 77 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1fa…f3bebacked Team Falcons | 78c | 79.4$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.15 | 134 | 50.7%68 W · 66 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf948…3c5fbacked Team Falcons | 52c | 77.36$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.36 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | -4.4wins | -0.22per pick | 42cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x75f3…0e78backed Xtreme Gaming | 31c | 70.97$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 412 | 48.8%201 W · 211 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed Xtreme Gaming | 19c | 70$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.07 | 364 | 42.3%154 W · 210 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0050…2eb8backed Xtreme Gaming | 37c | 61.33$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.81 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -19%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5a…56c0backed Xtreme Gaming | 49c | 55.19$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -19%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fd8…a5bebacked Xtreme Gaming | 38c | 53.03$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 203 | 39.9%81 W · 122 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3a3…d89bbacked Team Falcons | 71c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.5 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4b2…4ab2backed Xtreme Gaming | 38c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 282 | 44%124 W · 158 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa17f…19c5backed Xtreme Gaming | 41c | 48.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d60…be72backed Xtreme Gaming | 42c | 47.62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 199 | 49.2%98 W · 101 L | +8.7wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb569…6fe0backed Team Falcons | 72c | 47.22$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.22 | 275 | 48%132 W · 143 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x406c…bc37backed Xtreme Gaming | 27c | 46.43$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.64 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +44.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Team Falcons | 35c | 46.43$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.18 | 39 | 25.6%10 W · 29 L | -5.3wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb59b…916bbacked Xtreme Gaming | 23c | 45.29$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.36 | 73 | 60.3%44 W · 29 L | +4.7wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x614b…5845backed Team Falcons | 70c | 44.71$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.41 | 58 | 74.1%43 W · 15 L | +5.2wins | +0.09per pick | 65cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…f1b0backed Team Falcons | 63c | 40$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.8 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 68cpaid | +48.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Team Falcons | 75c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.17 | 628 | 41.1%258 W · 370 L | -17.8wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74a0…1be2backed Team Falcons | 70c | 39.08$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.65 | 27 | 70.4%19 W · 8 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Team Falcons | 61c | 36.5$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.14 | 168 | 35.7%60 W · 108 L | -7.2wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d72…8e62backed Team Falcons | 71c | 35.99$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.44 | 54 | 64.8%35 W · 19 L | +4.5wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd47f…41f9backed Team Falcons | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.26 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x183f…5a4abacked Team Falcons | 70c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9318…a645backed Team Falcons | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 48 | 64.6%31 W · 17 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9904…c9b1backed Team Falcons | 72c | 27.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.78 | 45 | 77.8%35 W · 10 L | +4.5wins | +0.10per pick | 68cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xab83…0294backed Team Falcons | 48c | 25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +35%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x653e…bbc0backed Team Falcons | 69c | 25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.75 | 101 | 36.6%37 W · 64 L | -7.0wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3d91…7e2ebacked Team Falcons | 71c | 22.34$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.48 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb966…cac6backed Team Falcons | 71c | 21.13$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.13 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -3.5wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc22a…2135backed Team Falcons | 68c | 20.44$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.44 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdac9…39f1backed Team Falcons | 73c | 20.01$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.48 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d9c…d723backed Team Falcons | 70c | 17.87$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.36 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.