Tennis · resolved market
ATP World Tour Finals, Jimmy Connors Group: Taylor Fritz vs Alex de Minaur
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9bffa71065bcbda7d89a8b58012df4b0e16dd3245e5eceb60e88033fe6f1f4ee
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Minaurof Fritz, Minaur
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,519,465
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,642,809
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,519,465 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 612 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0979…8d9bbacked Fritz | 52c | 195,495$102,586 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102,586.42 | 147 | 57.1%84 W · 63 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Minaur | 28c | 91,241$25,508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65,732.78 | 761 | 40.6%309 W · 452 L | -15.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Minaur | 64c | 78,404$50,211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,192.4 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85d9…717bbacked Minaur | 48c | 61,357$29,629 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31,727.38 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7606…2836backed Minaur | 30c | 54,186$16,254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37,932.12 | 78 | 57.7%45 W · 33 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba6…0f07backed Minaur | 33c | 50,000$16,442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33,557.7 | 669 | 49.6%332 W · 337 L | -11.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1993…0c02backed Fritz | 22c | 48,445$10,486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,486.31 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa925…e1c8backed Fritz | 49c | 46,037$22,591 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,591.2 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Minaur | 76c | 43,337$32,785 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,551.78 | 1,193 | 48.9%583 W · 610 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfffa…864bbacked Fritz | 73c | 33,711$24,602 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,601.77 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 63cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Fritz | 70c | 32,050$22,435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,434.94 | 91 | 37.4%34 W · 57 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Minaur | 51c | 31,840$16,378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,462.26 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f09…4632backed Fritz | 72c | 30,833$22,142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,141.65 | 59 | 50.8%30 W · 29 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Minaur | 61c | 25,952$15,843 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,108.16 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0434…a98cbacked Fritz | 26c | 24,197$6,287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,286.53 | 38 | 18.4%7 W · 31 L | -5.8wins | -0.15per pick | 34cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Minaur | 58c | 23,935$13,912 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,023.12 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x11be…cbabbacked Minaur | 28c | 20,000$5,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,400 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb44e…c2c6backed Fritz | 72c | 20,000$14,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,399.99 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x06e6…87e6backed Fritz | 35c | 18,689$6,609 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,608.96 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcccb…c0a3backed Fritz | 3c | 14,240$427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$427.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa72e…3db9backed Minaur | 32c | 12,237$3,866 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,371.05 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | +6.0wins | +0.11per pick | 40cpaid | +12%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8aec…1158backed Minaur | 51c | 11,195$5,749 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,446.47 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3349…c0b8backed Fritz | 58c | 10,257$5,990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,989.68 | 118 | 52.5%62 W · 56 L | -8.5wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed Minaur | 29c | 10,069$2,955 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,113.81 | 82 | 31.7%26 W · 56 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8058…d023backed Minaur | 29c | 9,924$2,878 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,045.94 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +2.4wins | +0.34per pick | 38cpaid | +57.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Minaur | 28c | 9,078$2,552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,525.73 | 1,028 | 33.6%345 W · 683 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Fritz | 56c | 8,776$4,886 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,885.64 | 245 | 44.9%110 W · 135 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6684…95d1backed Fritz | 27c | 8,674$2,355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,355.27 | 252 | 57.9%146 W · 106 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c82…1f13backed Minaur | 28c | 8,571$2,370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,200.82 | 113 | 43.4%49 W · 64 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf32d…bbbbbacked Fritz | 50c | 8,533$4,234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,233.53 | 289 | 52.6%152 W · 137 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked Fritz | 44c | 8,030$3,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,500 | 1,446 | 48.8%706 W · 740 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe4b1…a75ebacked Minaur | 50c | 8,002$4,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,001.39 | 48 | 31.3%15 W · 33 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Fritz | 47c | 7,528$3,555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,554.55 | 656 | 47.6%312 W · 344 L | +17.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6884…6ccfbacked Fritz | 16c | 6,527$1,043 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,042.55 | 116 | 47.4%55 W · 61 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3e4…5bf6backed Fritz | 71c | 6,064$4,281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,281.12 | 206 | 53.4%110 W · 96 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7c8…e4f7backed Minaur | 71c | 5,900$4,196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,704 | 135 | 54.8%74 W · 61 L | -9.8wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -15%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x60cd…a1b6backed Minaur | 29c | 5,683$1,648 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,034.76 | 56 | 30.4%17 W · 39 L | -4.2wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed Minaur | 28c | 5,603$1,569 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,034.3 | 528 | 44.7%236 W · 292 L | +30.8wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4cf0…251cbacked Minaur | 31c | 5,496$1,699 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,797.42 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.69per pick | 31cpaid | +223.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Minaur | 44c | 5,401$2,390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,011.01 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6809…ed53backed Fritz | 9c | 5,400$464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$464 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03f0…63e0backed Fritz | 58c | 5,234$3,027 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,026.92 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | -3.2wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1f33…63c8backed Fritz | 71c | 5,000$3,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,550 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3d0…5c32backed Minaur | 29c | 5,000$1,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,550 | 226 | 29.2%66 W · 160 L | +7.1wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cd8…62f5backed Minaur | 33c | 4,935$1,605 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,329.93 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.24per pick | 62cpaid | +63.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Fritz | 71c | 4,448$3,178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,177.78 | 86 | 43%37 W · 49 L | -5.4wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0df8…3e3dbacked Fritz | 14c | 4,440$623 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$623.26 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | +2.0wins | +0.11per pick | 26cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe916…4563backed Minaur | 47c | 4,185$1,975 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,209.22 | 65 | 49.2%32 W · 33 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99fc…ec26backed Fritz | 72c | 4,167$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 645 | 40.2%259 W · 386 L | -19.6wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd735…968ebacked Minaur | 31c | 4,057$1,242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,814.79 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f8b…01aabacked Minaur | 28c | 3,530$988 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,541.66 | 84 | 29.8%25 W · 59 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56fb…3b99backed Minaur | 28c | 3,500$980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,520 | 85 | 30.6%26 W · 59 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7cf4…20b3backed Minaur | 47c | 3,492$1,638 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,854.42 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d80…07d4backed Fritz | 63c | 3,355$2,097 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,097 | 80 | 65%52 W · 28 L | +7.2wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8156…27c2backed Minaur | 29c | 3,100$899 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,201 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +44.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x50ec…c1f5backed Fritz | 72c | 3,058$2,202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,202 | 158 | 62.7%99 W · 59 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Fritz | 55c | 3,047$1,682 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,682.45 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Fritz | 54c | 2,956$1,595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,594.95 | 2,561 | 63%1,613 W · 948 L | -10.2wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8a5…122bbacked Minaur | 68c | 2,587$1,765 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$822.28 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.29per pick | 49cpaid | -70.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x200e…7d37backed Fritz | 37c | 2,569$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$959.95 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Fritz | 45c | 2,536$1,130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,129.67 | 1,852 | 44.5%825 W · 1,027 L | -20.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe61f…8beebacked Fritz | 25c | 2,437$602 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$602.21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ff2…49febacked Fritz | 55c | 2,425$1,322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,322.33 | 57 | 31.6%18 W · 39 L | -4.2wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x90e0…ff4cbacked Minaur | 27c | 2,400$648 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,752 | 398 | 51%203 W · 195 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c82…e0cbbacked Minaur | 30c | 2,397$713 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,683.57 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56c6…f706backed Fritz | 73c | 2,390$1,745 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,745 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2699…29f6backed Minaur | 31c | 2,382$747 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,635.1 | 49 | 30.6%15 W · 34 L | -4.9wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f2…0234backed Minaur | 27c | 2,332$639 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,693.62 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +3.2wins | +0.36per pick | 42cpaid | +85.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3f84…8d1dbacked Minaur | 28c | 2,150$602 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,547.97 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6bd…270cbacked Fritz | 47c | 2,116$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Minaur | 28c | 2,078$589 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,489.04 | 551 | 43.4%239 W · 312 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3cb6…15cdbacked Fritz | 72c | 2,000$1,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,440 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33e0…7d46backed Minaur | 27c | 2,000$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,459.99 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95b8…47c9backed Minaur | 63c | 1,996$1,266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$730.4 | 284 | 43%122 W · 162 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Minaur | 49c | 1,990$966 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,024.14 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Fritz | 39c | 1,935$764 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$764.08 | 2,068 | 34.9%721 W · 1,347 L | -44.2wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…e409backed Fritz | 22c | 1,933$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$432.49 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -48.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x75fc…ee34backed Fritz | 73c | 1,918$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,400.48 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 73cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Fritz | 21c | 1,785$379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378.7 | 248 | 46%114 W · 134 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe671…a682backed Minaur | 30c | 1,766$531 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,235.75 | 576 | 45.5%262 W · 314 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c03…d894backed Minaur | 29c | 1,724$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,224.14 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +40%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Fritz | 53c | 1,719$915 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$915.15 | 389 | 31.4%122 W · 267 L | -14.0wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8511…ed83backed Fritz | 3c | 1,672$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.15 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -54.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31c6…588cbacked Fritz | 73c | 1,643$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Minaur | 28c | 1,602$441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,161.1 | 1,039 | 54.6%567 W · 472 L | +37.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x105f…b392backed Fritz | 27c | 1,530$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410.42 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc480…937abacked Fritz | 20c | 1,518$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305 | 519 | 33.1%172 W · 347 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8465…6bbdbacked Minaur | 41c | 1,500$617 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$882.74 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +3.1wins | +0.21per pick | 39cpaid | +62.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5388…4d5abacked Fritz | 70c | 1,500$1,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,050 | 60 | 46.7%28 W · 32 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc08b…def4backed Minaur | 27c | 1,500$405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,094.98 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.73per pick | 27cpaid | +270.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0113…6f26backed Minaur | 39c | 1,489$581 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$908.33 | 129 | 49.6%64 W · 65 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf515…0805backed Fritz | 49c | 1,486$728 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$728.32 | 30 | 66.7%20 W · 10 L | +2.3wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3520…f128backed Fritz | 47c | 1,480$699 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$698.8 | 53 | 62.3%33 W · 20 L | +7.1wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4bee…ca01backed Minaur | 49c | 1,439$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$739.29 | 120 | 50%60 W · 60 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc14a…069fbacked Fritz | 73c | 1,400$1,022 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,022 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8005…abc0backed Minaur | 78c | 1,400$1,094 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.67 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x614b…bee6backed Fritz | 75c | 1,343$1,006 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,006.21 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6ee…697bbacked Minaur | 37c | 1,327$487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$839.71 | 50 | 64%32 W · 18 L | +5.8wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa4d0…91acbacked Fritz | 67c | 1,321$881 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$880.79 | 102 | 61.8%63 W · 39 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbaa…59b8backed Fritz | 70c | 1,304$913 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$912.74 | 324 | 48.1%156 W · 168 L | -11.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- ATP World Tour Finals, Jimmy Connors Group: Taylor Fritz vs Alex de Minaurthis page
- Fritz vs. Minaur: Match O/U 21.5Over won
- Fritz vs. Minaur: Match O/U 22.5Under won
- Fritz vs. Minaur: Match O/U 23.5Under won
- Fritz vs. Minaur: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5Over won
- Fritz vs. Minaur: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5Over won
- Fritz vs. Minaur: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5Over won
- Fritz vs. Minaur: Total Sets O/U 2.5Under 2.5 won
- Set 1 Winner: Fritz vs MinaurMinaur won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.