Fifa International · resolved market
Will Peru win on 2025-11-18?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x30e542c6050fe219ef302578107ce8e05496f3eaab95a462ae7c4c9b7a577ca4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,560
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,812
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,560 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4fd1…4ea6backed Yes | 27c | 3,919$1,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,050 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 72c | 3,234$2,316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$917.97 | 359 | 42.9%154 W · 205 L | -16.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -24%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 57c | 1,926$1,099 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$827.67 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 41c | 1,740$715 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,024.44 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes | 72c | 1,494$1,081 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,081.32 | 237 | 38.8%92 W · 145 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9020…2cfcbacked Yes | 7c | 1,493$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 51 | 27.5%14 W · 37 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Yes | 74c | 961$706 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$706.35 | 1,252 | 39.2%491 W · 761 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3103…d804backed Yes | 20c | 717.65$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 24c | 506$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385.49 | 346 | 30.1%104 W · 242 L | -21.8wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84ca…0d75backed Yes | 6c | 500$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 42 | 31%13 W · 29 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ef4…4e4ebacked No | 26c | 441.61$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.79 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1e…d5dfbacked Yes | 74c | 400.13$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.01 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.6wins | -0.44per pick | 61cpaid | -77.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 58c | 305$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.05 | 186 | 41.4%77 W · 109 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc398…f446backed No | 28c | 303.64$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.62 | 71 | 35.2%25 W · 46 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 40c | 243.88$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.77 | 550 | 45.1%248 W · 302 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf1…99d3backed Yes | 78c | 226.51$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.54 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x290f…7e47backed Yes | 76c | 200$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 22c | 162.42$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.27 | 1,001 | 53.9%540 W · 461 L | +34.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…34f7backed Yes | 12c | 155$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.05 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 31cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e0b…cd84backed Yes | 21c | 150$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 28c | 141$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.89 | 300 | 31%93 W · 207 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e49…63f2backed Yes | 19c | 139.8$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.56 | 134 | 19.4%26 W · 108 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 19cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3771…692dbacked Yes | 76c | 131.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.38per pick | 72cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe071…2d1abacked Yes | 79c | 126.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked No | 25c | 125.17$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.88 | 124 | 51.6%64 W · 60 L | +4.5wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18a6…0b89backed Yes | 29c | 115.14$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.39 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.22per pick | 40cpaid | +27%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 79c | 110.25$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.15 | 170 | 48.2%82 W · 88 L | +8.8wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x505c…1604backed Yes | 15c | 100.84$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.27per pick | 40cpaid | +88.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Yes | 21c | 95$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.95 | 789 | 27.5%217 W · 572 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0df8…3e3dbacked No | 24c | 93.08$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.14 | 131 | 31.3%41 W · 90 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8deb…d8e2backed No | 31c | 81.22$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.33 | 48 | 39.6%19 W · 29 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…c00abacked Yes | 25c | 80$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 62 | 43.5%27 W · 35 L | +4.7wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 29c | 73.33$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.81 | 465 | 36.1%168 W · 297 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x939d…3b3cbacked Yes | 76c | 70.01$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.41 | 218 | 40.8%89 W · 129 L | -9.5wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6149…8a58backed Yes | 19c | 66$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.54 | 76 | 47.4%36 W · 40 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Yes | 22c | 59.85$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.41 | 396 | 21%83 W · 313 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x455f…bd63backed Yes | 79c | 59.49$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0f…18e8backed Yes | 75c | 53.33$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.30per pick | 70cpaid | -47.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8c82…05cfbacked Yes | 22c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bc7…3217backed Yes | 23c | 47.83$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.22per pick | 38cpaid | +57.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x89f3…dfffbacked No | 50c | 46.8$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.36 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…e834backed No | 42c | 45$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.1 | 31 | 64.5%20 W · 11 L | +3.3wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaf73…f3d7backed Yes | 72c | 45$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.55 | 46 | 58.7%27 W · 19 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x165d…79c6backed No | 77c | 41.27$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.49 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | -5.1wins | -0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -29%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 76c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 184 | 52.7%97 W · 87 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed No | 74c | 38.2$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.93 | 747 | 52.2%390 W · 357 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fc9…fa88backed Yes | 47c | 34$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.89 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -2.1wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x65d9…9418backed Yes | 76c | 32.2$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +103.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1889…0714backed No | 72c | 28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.84 | 136 | 54.4%74 W · 62 L | +6.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2011…f296backed No | 76c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4215…f03abacked No | 76c | 21$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.04 | 168 | 31.5%53 W · 115 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Yes | 52c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.3 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdac9…39f1backed Yes | 76c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -2.1wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6de2…d0e5backed No | 57c | 19.6$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.51 | 45 | 35.6%16 W · 29 L | -6.1wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdb12…f057backed No | 75c | 19$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.75 | 104 | 52.9%55 W · 49 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Peru win on 2025-11-18?this page
- Will Chile vs. Peru end in a draw?No won
- Will Chile win on 2025-11-18?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.