TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Will Chile win on 2025-11-18?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$67,572
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$77,708

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $67,572 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 95 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed No62c15,810$9,797 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,797.374,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes46c12,297$5,629 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,667.8923738.8%92 W · 145 L-6.8wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-30.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes52c4,497$2,323 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,173.5830031%93 W · 207 L-5.8wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-22.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed No48c4,024$1,949 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,949.2974752.2%390 W · 357 L+2.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No49c3,825$1,861 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,861.1835942.9%154 W · 205 L-16.5wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-24%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes31c3,807$1,173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,633.5418641.4%77 W · 109 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-22.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No30c3,712$1,129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,129.213,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No59c3,100$1,839 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,838.6476048.7%370 W · 390 L-2.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-8.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf16d…b7f9backed Yes9c2,865$244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,621.14740.4%19 W · 28 L+3.2wins+0.07per pick34cpaid+2.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8097…8a5fbacked Yes50c2,191$1,099 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,091.982263.6%14 W · 8 L+3.3wins+0.15per pick48cpaid+45.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed No37c1,624$599 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$598.8834630.1%104 W · 242 L-21.8wins-0.06per pick36cpaid-39.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9416…991bbacked Yes74c1,200$888 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$312450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-24.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed No26c846.45$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$215.961,00153.9%540 W · 461 L+34.3wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+4.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked Yes49c788.17$386 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$401.978359%49 W · 34 L+10.0wins+0.12per pick47cpaid+27.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xc2c3…0e32backed Yes74c686.73$508 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.55333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.30per pick63cpaid-55%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x33a7…960dbacked Yes59c668.45$393 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$275.454837.5%18 W · 30 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x045d…d649backed Yes40c632.74$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$382.74933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick39cpaid+4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No44c487.98$213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212.6255045.1%248 W · 302 L-9.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-11.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x14fa…73f0backed Yes42c471.18$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$271.181266.7%8 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+22.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5c05…457bbacked Yes44c456.58$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$256.58650%3 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.21per pick29cpaid+54.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0c8b…b3c3backed No24c443.42$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.42520%1 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick28cpaid-23.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x18a6…0b89backed Yes75c400$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.8wins+0.22per pick40cpaid+27%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4d48…66abbacked Yes79c360.76$285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.76862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick62cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe098…8ee2backed Yes32c340$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$231.05850%4 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+37.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa521…4599backed No51c330$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168.31030%3 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.12per pick42cpaid-32%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked No53c284.35$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.0528754.7%157 W · 130 L+6.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed No51c279.6$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.2917048.2%82 W · 88 L+8.8wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+15.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb125…69ebbacked Yes10c271.17$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.057038.6%27 W · 43 L+11.0wins+0.16per pick23cpaid+69%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x742f…d673backed Yes51c269$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.056149.2%30 W · 31 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8deb…d8e2backed No38c254.39$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.984839.6%19 W · 29 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-12.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0d94…40e6backed Yes40c250$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.253141.9%13 W · 18 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+2.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9e8f…6b61backed No40c246.83$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.89633.3%32 W · 64 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-12.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x26ab…41c1backed Yes50c245.73$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.633246.9%15 W · 17 L-2.2wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-25.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x43b3…6193backed Yes34c235$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.251643.8%7 W · 9 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick37cpaid+7.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x51ec…a7b9backed Yes5c223$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$211.852737%10 W · 17 L+2.9wins+0.11per pick26cpaid+77.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes36c218.75$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.7516442.7%70 W · 94 L+0.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x555c…ee28backed Yes20c200$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1609752.6%51 W · 46 L+9.0wins+0.09per pick43cpaid+15.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe54d…fdecbacked Yes75c200$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$501827.8%5 W · 13 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-31.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x094f…2d64backed Yes79c170.76$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.861100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1520…0d2cbacked Yes72c166.29$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.291100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe06c…62aebacked Yes80c165.43$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.091866.7%12 W · 6 L+1.6wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+11%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb317…35febacked Yes22c135.45$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.65825%2 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick20cpaid+53%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb423…37f8backed Yes51c131.66$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.924626.1%12 W · 34 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick28cpaid-51.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa4d0…91acbacked Yes49c127.79$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.86977.8%7 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.17per pick61cpaid+38.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6149…8a58backed No49c127$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.237647.4%36 W · 40 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-0.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Yes46c120.54$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.031,04529.3%306 W · 739 L-10.8wins-0.01per pick30cpaid+3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0ef4…4e4ebacked No11c115.02$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.954544.4%20 W · 25 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x89f3…dfffbacked No33c113.61$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.234751.1%24 W · 23 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1b9b…bc4abacked Yes50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$501844.4%8 W · 10 L0.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb736…1946backed Yes49c99$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.49366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick59cpaid+26.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9380…a275backed Yes51c98.04$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.042544%11 W · 14 L0.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6a5c…b3f2backed No48c94$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.198145.7%37 W · 44 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe7f6…5ac8backed Yes28c90.83$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.993033.3%10 W · 20 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick32cpaid+25.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x831d…e1babacked Yes27c82.11$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.111428.6%4 W · 10 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-12%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x96d2…dc9bbacked Yes49c82$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.822100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+70.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x50aa…70ddbacked Yes63c79.76$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.766147.5%29 W · 32 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-14.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa87b…968bbacked Yes23c78.14$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.927642.1%32 W · 44 L+4.2wins+0.05per pick37cpaid+13.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xae69…0c24backed Yes49c76$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.76933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-20.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0abd…869abacked Yes33c75.45$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.45250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.18per pick32cpaid+50.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6393…dde9backed Yes49c67$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.17366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+45.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd2e0…4983backed Yes41c60.98$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.984344.2%19 W · 24 L+2.6wins+0.06per pick38cpaid+2.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed No51c56$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.446536.1%168 W · 297 L+6.3wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x939d…3b3cbacked Yes20c51.9$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.5221840.8%89 W · 129 L-9.5wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-12.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3cd6…b378backed Yes78c51.28$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.28650%3 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-23.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7cc1…ae4cbacked Yes79c50.63$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.632100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf4ae…6bc8backed Yes50c50$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$251553.3%8 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-8.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe82f…9998backed Yes38c48.79$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.25366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.26per pick41cpaid+47.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xad53…ef24backed No29c46.54$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.488226.8%22 W · 60 L-4.7wins-0.06per pick33cpaid-21.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5425…8b3abacked Yes44c45.43$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.444647.8%22 W · 24 L-3.3wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-17%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Yes38c45$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.916841.1%69 W · 99 L-4.6wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-26.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xebbc…5bfabacked Yes49c40.8$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.811100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc56f…bd87backed Yes79c40$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.281100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5137…1556backed No52c38$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.762035%7 W · 13 L+1.4wins+0.07per pick28cpaid+7.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6de2…d0e5backed No28c37.83$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.684535.6%16 W · 29 L-6.1wins-0.13per pick49cpaid-34.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xdd52…bbccbacked No53c37.02$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.731250%6 W · 6 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+37.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a59…eb2ebacked No50c36$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1811646.6%54 W · 62 L-4.2wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-8.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x040f…e98cbacked No42c32.6$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.745339.6%21 W · 32 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+37.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4215…f03abacked No50c32$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1616831.5%53 W · 115 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-12.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a6f…7684backed Yes80c31.25$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.252100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+48.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x735a…3ef2backed Yes50c30$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156643.9%29 W · 37 L-5.7wins-0.09per pick53cpaid-19.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa262…c8babacked Yes51c29.61$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.61540%2 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-25.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x165d…79c6backed No40c29.17$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.564946.9%23 W · 26 L-5.1wins-0.10per pick57cpaid-29%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xdb12…f057backed No50c29$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.510452.9%55 W · 49 L-0.4wins0.00per pick53cpaid+5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7fb3…c770backed No60c28.88$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.195238.5%20 W · 32 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-18%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6bc7…3217backed Yes39c28.21$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.21560%3 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.22per pick38cpaid+57.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x064e…4347backed Yes76c27.34$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.63475%3 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick68cpaid+6.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x10d3…3d7abacked No41c26.72$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113043.3%13 W · 17 L-2.9wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-27.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9794…d082backed Yes75c26.67$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.672100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2011…9561backed Yes77c25.97$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.97366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick48cpaid+19%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x90f9…e894backed No50c24$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127349.3%36 W · 37 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid+4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4959…a6f5backed No52c23.89$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.4218452.7%97 W · 87 L+4.2wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9014…db4abacked No50c22$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115545.5%25 W · 30 L-2.9wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2011…f296backed Yes48c21$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.92966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick64cpaid+8.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3304…7048backed Yes73c20.55$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.551100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8118…3ec3backed Yes75c20$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51050%5 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-29.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.