Tennis · resolved market
ATP World Tour Finals, Jimmy Connors Group: Carlos Alcaraz vs Taylor Fritz
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc1828e71ac4ede7ef37d6c70f530f8e2787af43e6af7940d7921fc84e2a5a6ba
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Alcarazof Alcaraz, Fritz
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,753,311
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,849,463
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,753,311 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 752 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Alcaraz | 58c | 185,178$108,042 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77,135.49 | 245 | 44.9%110 W · 135 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Fritz | 34c | 179,319$60,495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60,495.03 | 8,152 | 45.3%3,695 W · 4,457 L | +155.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06e6…87e6backed Alcaraz | 71c | 83,257$58,709 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,547.78 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Fritz | 34c | 68,647$23,654 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,653.91 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed Fritz | 20c | 54,732$10,724 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,723.8 | 220 | 37.7%83 W · 137 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Fritz | 30c | 53,915$16,378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,378.11 | 11,325 | 43.4%4,912 W · 6,413 L | +18.6wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked Fritz | 26c | 49,617$12,929 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,929.38 | 166 | 44.6%74 W · 92 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Alcaraz | 53c | 49,179$26,223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,956.27 | 6,685 | 36.9%2,466 W · 4,219 L | -96.4wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed Fritz | 9c | 43,129$3,897 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,897.02 | 104 | 43.3%45 W · 59 L | +8.4wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe916…4563backed Alcaraz | 66c | 36,753$24,308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,445.44 | 65 | 49.2%32 W · 33 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0434…a98cbacked Fritz | 39c | 31,766$12,237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,236.54 | 38 | 18.4%7 W · 31 L | -5.8wins | -0.15per pick | 34cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Fritz | 40c | 31,265$12,596 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,596.07 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x336b…1233backed Fritz | 38c | 30,709$11,580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,579.5 | 579 | 39.7%230 W · 349 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85d9…717bbacked Fritz | 30c | 30,707$9,204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,204.01 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Fritz | 19c | 30,494$5,749 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,749.22 | 761 | 40.6%309 W · 452 L | -15.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Fritz | 38c | 27,762$10,457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,456.79 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8523…1c9fbacked Alcaraz | 63c | 26,197$16,467 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,730.17 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8a5…122bbacked Fritz | 51c | 20,664$10,516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,515.55 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.29per pick | 49cpaid | -70.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8758…fc2dbacked Fritz | 28c | 20,297$5,633 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,633.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd34b…0004backed Fritz | 33c | 20,125$6,685 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,684.84 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | +7.3wins | +0.14per pick | 40cpaid | +60.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba6…0f07backed Alcaraz | 57c | 17,000$9,629 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,370.7 | 666 | 49.5%330 W · 336 L | -11.0wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc58d…9373backed Fritz | 59c | 16,622$9,790 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,789.82 | 162 | 42%68 W · 94 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3151…0977backed Fritz | 18c | 15,887$2,860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,859.65 | 108 | 45.4%49 W · 59 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2746…f918backed Alcaraz | 43c | 13,518$5,813 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,705.36 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5095…c97cbacked Alcaraz | 44c | 12,487$5,486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,001.3 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99b3…b4ddbacked Alcaraz | 70c | 12,055$8,473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,582.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c81…dcd3backed Fritz | 18c | 11,980$2,176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,176.4 | 108 | 37%40 W · 68 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8dcf…146ebacked Fritz | 4c | 11,775$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480.43 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +7.6wins | +0.23per pick | 31cpaid | +65.5%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x6f8b…01aabacked Fritz | 18c | 10,947$1,970 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,970.4 | 84 | 29.8%25 W · 59 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Fritz | 24c | 10,339$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500.27 | 1,188 | 48.9%581 W · 607 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Fritz | 19c | 10,000$1,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,900 | 178 | 23%41 W · 137 L | -8.6wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2307…3934backed Fritz | 55c | 10,000$5,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,499.98 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.2wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd14a…e912backed Alcaraz | 45c | 10,000$4,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,499.93 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +98.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c82…e0cbbacked Alcaraz | 50c | 9,411$4,694 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,716.71 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Alcaraz | 72c | 8,648$6,208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,439.72 | 1,852 | 44.5%825 W · 1,027 L | -20.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2699…29f6backed Fritz | 22c | 8,195$1,789 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,788.6 | 49 | 30.6%15 W · 34 L | -4.9wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed Fritz | 47c | 8,149$3,870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,869.85 | 187 | 40.6%76 W · 111 L | +13.2wins | +0.07per pick | 34cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9376…c075backed Alcaraz | 56c | 7,957$4,487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,470.05 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 60cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe345…5479backed Alcaraz | 3c | 7,810$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,575.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.97per pick | 3cpaid | +3,233.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x90e0…ff4cbacked Fritz | 11c | 7,539$811 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$810.84 | 398 | 51%203 W · 195 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3d0…5c32backed Fritz | 19c | 7,500$1,425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,425 | 226 | 29.2%66 W · 160 L | +7.1wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7616…69eebacked Alcaraz | 66c | 7,167$4,697 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,470 | 70 | 57.1%40 W · 30 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f20…0360backed Fritz | 19c | 7,000$1,330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,330 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.24per pick | 40cpaid | -76.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc30b…1b6dbacked Fritz | 20c | 6,958$1,388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,388.43 | 58 | 43.1%25 W · 33 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c82…1f13backed Fritz | 19c | 6,730$1,279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,278.7 | 113 | 43.4%49 W · 64 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x596e…7b82backed Fritz | 18c | 6,650$1,170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,170 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 20cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8aec…1158backed Fritz | 19c | 6,597$1,253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,253.35 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Fritz | 41c | 6,066$2,516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,515.59 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x87a4…953ebacked Alcaraz | 71c | 5,856$4,134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,721.92 | 1,056 | 55.4%585 W · 471 L | -22.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf0d…e220backed Fritz | 36c | 5,759$2,053 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,053.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Alcaraz | 69c | 5,300$3,657 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,643 | 600 | 55.7%334 W · 266 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc07d…5bd8backed Alcaraz | 61c | 5,200$3,187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,012.55 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -4.3wins | -0.25per pick | 49cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe786…b716backed Alcaraz | 80c | 5,000$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 92 | 64.1%59 W · 33 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa18c…01bcbacked Alcaraz | 78c | 5,000$3,906 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,094.05 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5388…4d5abacked Fritz | 50c | 4,973$2,489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,488.86 | 60 | 46.7%28 W · 32 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7cf4…20b3backed Alcaraz | 52c | 4,533$2,377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,155.97 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Alcaraz | 56c | 4,174$2,343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,830.93 | 439 | 48.5%213 W · 226 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27df…e67cbacked Fritz | 19c | 4,153$789 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$789 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -2.6wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cde…8833backed Fritz | 19c | 4,055$770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$770.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked Alcaraz | 45c | 4,000$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,200 | 1,444 | 48.8%705 W · 739 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf7d…c233backed Fritz | 19c | 4,000$760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$760 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3257…2f3bbacked Alcaraz | 52c | 4,000$2,090 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,909.95 | 443 | 60%266 W · 177 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked Fritz | 33c | 3,968$1,326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,326.44 | 644 | 55.3%356 W · 288 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Alcaraz | 80c | 3,951$3,161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$790.2 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +3.7wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x11be…cbabbacked Fritz | 19c | 3,922$745 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$745.17 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb44e…c2c6backed Alcaraz | 80c | 3,921$3,137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$784.26 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa68f…37e2backed Fritz | 20c | 3,632$726 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$726.43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7412…85d0backed Fritz | 30c | 3,605$1,079 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,079.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4deb…8d3dbacked Fritz | 56c | 3,543$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000.43 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9354…6502backed Fritz | 22c | 3,511$781 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$781.36 | 755 | 47.8%361 W · 394 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae8…c2a8backed Fritz | 19c | 3,505$666 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$666 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60cd…a1b6backed Alcaraz | 45c | 3,353$1,501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,852.55 | 56 | 30.4%17 W · 39 L | -4.2wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a44…d80abacked Fritz | 19c | 3,345$636 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$635.59 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce90…d285backed Alcaraz | 67c | 3,219$2,146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,073.01 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -5.6wins | -0.14per pick | 60cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x200e…7d37backed Alcaraz | 50c | 3,209$1,603 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,605.76 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf95e…53ffbacked Fritz | 34c | 3,112$1,047 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,047.48 | 151 | 41.7%63 W · 88 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6b6…f090backed Alcaraz | 70c | 3,047$2,126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$921.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +43.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f1c…a94dbacked Alcaraz | 69c | 3,000$2,070 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$930 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -3.9wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -35%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xae87…e848backed Alcaraz | 44c | 2,951$1,298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,652.43 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +40.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x86c8…c867backed Fritz | 40c | 2,928$1,167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,167.25 | 483 | 52.2%252 W · 231 L | +26.1wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe4b1…a75ebacked Fritz | 20c | 2,881$576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$576.24 | 48 | 31.3%15 W · 33 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeeb9…f6b3backed Alcaraz | 44c | 2,841$1,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,590.88 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ef5…39edbacked Fritz | 19c | 2,738$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520.21 | 257 | 22.2%57 W · 200 L | -12.3wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb175…b65cbacked Fritz | 16c | 2,726$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.56 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8640…0e7dbacked Fritz | 23c | 2,660$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b1f…6500backed Alcaraz | 52c | 2,595$1,361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,234.32 | 692 | 49.6%343 W · 349 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Fritz | 19c | 2,572$478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$478.49 | 1,028 | 33.6%345 W · 683 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd735…968ebacked Alcaraz | 47c | 2,570$1,199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,370.55 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09ec…f5b5backed Alcaraz | 57c | 2,548$1,461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,086.71 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +3.6wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…cfadbacked Fritz | 23c | 2,517$589 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$589.12 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +3.4wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x47ca…88dbbacked Alcaraz | 45c | 2,446$1,101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,345.29 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x022b…b28cbacked Fritz | 18c | 2,400$424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$424 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 15cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe944…0837backed Alcaraz | 46c | 2,370$1,092 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,277.85 | 80 | 50%40 W · 40 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda5f…2e9bbacked Alcaraz | 41c | 2,359$960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,399.29 | 447 | 54.4%243 W · 204 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…487dbacked Fritz | 33c | 2,241$744 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$744.42 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -32%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4132…a5a5backed Alcaraz | 60c | 2,236$1,341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$895.04 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1932…4e5abacked Alcaraz | 75c | 2,217$1,663 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$554.1 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.7wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +39.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x56fb…3b99backed Alcaraz | 46c | 2,177$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,177.34 | 85 | 30.6%26 W · 59 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92f1…9b81backed Alcaraz | 47c | 2,162$1,010 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,152.69 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed Fritz | 19c | 2,000$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370 | 82 | 31.7%26 W · 56 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.