Fifa International · resolved market
Will Hong Kong SAR win on 2025-11-13?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5f17e46226143cd4594650faa1212944ea929c900768cf2297aa2bdb9f563c55
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $92,852
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $97,150
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $92,852 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 138 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes | 37c | 32,166$11,867 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,867.09 | 270 | 39.6%107 W · 163 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 30c | 15,311$4,589 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,722.03 | 760 | 48.7%370 W · 390 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0979…8d9bbacked Yes | 70c | 14,672$10,241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,241.11 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 56c | 10,416$5,860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,555.12 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked No | 55c | 9,707$5,379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,328.33 | 173 | 45.7%79 W · 94 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 47c | 7,896$3,739 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,157.14 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 46c | 6,790$3,139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,651.08 | 359 | 42.9%154 W · 205 L | -16.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -24%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xedb1…819ebacked Yes | 72c | 3,464$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.27per pick | 70cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2c35…20c0backed Yes | 66c | 2,981$1,967 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,967.46 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +44.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4021…956abacked Yes | 67c | 2,964$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 32c | 2,562$811 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,751.58 | 465 | 36.1%168 W · 297 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cb6…15cdbacked Yes | 71c | 2,000$1,420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,419.96 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 56c | 1,607$898 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$709.27 | 1,001 | 53.9%540 W · 461 L | +34.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5bf4…952ebacked Yes | 67c | 1,500$1,005 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,004.98 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -2.3wins | -0.23per pick | 63cpaid | -29%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x793c…4421backed Yes | 66c | 1,194$791 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$790.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed No | 34c | 1,049$356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$692.3 | 176 | 29%51 W · 125 L | -8.7wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ff2…49febacked Yes | 66c | 1,008$670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$670 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -64.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15ba…f30dbacked No | 74c | 743.23$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.24 | 248 | 37.1%92 W · 156 L | -12.5wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xabfc…0fc2backed Yes | 67c | 706.65$473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$472.76 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09ec…427dbacked No | 55c | 550.15$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.31 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7cba…c616backed Yes | 63c | 549.98$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.69 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +51.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf65…127cbacked Yes | 60c | 528.77$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95b8…47c9backed No | 58c | 508.12$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.63 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | +3.7wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xce49…af42backed No | 78c | 500$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb6b…943abacked Yes | 61c | 498.59$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 31c | 387$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.53 | 423 | 52%220 W · 203 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Yes | 54c | 382.56$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.83 | 168 | 41.1%69 W · 99 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5373…2546backed Yes | 65c | 359.35$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x727b…fdb5backed Yes | 71c | 352.71$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.33 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +61.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb65e…431abacked No | 37c | 266.3$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.77 | 54 | 37%20 W · 34 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2b2…d101backed No | 38c | 263.16$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.16 | 44 | 18.2%8 W · 36 L | -3.3wins | -0.08per pick | 26cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x165d…79c6backed No | 58c | 256.1$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.2 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | -5.1wins | -0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -29%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5f27…8ec7backed Yes | 39c | 238.46$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.26per pick | 55cpaid | -50.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2109…55bfbacked Yes | 46c | 200$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa198…9601backed No | 74c | 193.6$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.91 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -66.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed No | 31c | 190$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.64 | 459 | 49.5%227 W · 232 L | -13.7wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bca…b60abacked Yes | 62c | 188.22$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.83 | 80 | 45%36 W · 44 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…487dbacked No | 58c | 182.26$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.76 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe709…5bb2backed Yes | 49c | 164.84$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.77 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41ed…1da9backed No | 31c | 161$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.31 | 129 | 45%58 W · 71 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Yes | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 102 | 63.7%65 W · 37 L | +11.7wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd960…1adebacked Yes | 65c | 154.49$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…b1b1backed Yes | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 57c | 153.47$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.39 | 550 | 45.1%248 W · 302 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ce4…da39backed No | 30c | 150$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 38 | 31.6%12 W · 26 L | -3.3wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe02a…8e83backed Yes | 69c | 150$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.5 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 58cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeac5…7960backed Yes | 66c | 143.14$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa4c…4850backed Yes | 63c | 139.34$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc862…755fbacked Yes | 60c | 133.33$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed No | 33c | 133$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.08 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 28cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Yes | 51c | 128.67$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.19 | 170 | 48.2%82 W · 88 L | +8.8wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed No | 31c | 128$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.48 | 464 | 53.2%247 W · 217 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc0e…0fbdbacked No | 31c | 128$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.48 | 117 | 48.7%57 W · 60 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked No | 31c | 128$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.48 | 397 | 49.9%198 W · 199 L | -16.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed No | 31c | 128$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.48 | 358 | 48.3%173 W · 185 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7a5…612dbacked Yes | 65c | 123.75$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d4a…9210backed Yes | 68c | 118.35$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked No | 32c | 117.06$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.12 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa639…f5e8backed Yes | 54c | 110.98$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 78 | 50%39 W · 39 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54bd…a8febacked Yes | 60c | 103.95$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11de…8985backed No | 57c | 101.73$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.25 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -3.1wins | -0.15per pick | 43cpaid | -51%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed Yes | 65c | 101.54$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 71 | 38%27 W · 44 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86f8…1655backed Yes | 63c | 100$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf26…39a6backed Yes | 70c | 100$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.17per pick | 61cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeaec…9476backed No | 73c | 100$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Yes | 64c | 100$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 673 | 54.7%368 W · 305 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d58…2073backed No | 31c | 95.74$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.97 | 130 | 50.8%66 W · 64 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0e6…84a8backed Yes | 62c | 89.98$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.79 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd5e…271bbacked Yes | 59c | 84.75$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b9e…40a5backed Yes | 65c | 84.62$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed Yes | 69c | 83.77$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.8 | 259 | 54.8%142 W · 117 L | +17.3wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa60b…c728backed No | 31c | 77$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.23 | 121 | 47.9%58 W · 63 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd079…8db3backed No | 31c | 77$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.23 | 123 | 50.4%62 W · 61 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c73…363cbacked Yes | 66c | 75.19$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.28per pick | 62cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16ce…b3dcbacked Yes | 67c | 74.63$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 96 | 67.7%65 W · 31 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a5c…b3f2backed No | 49c | 74.02$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.07 | 81 | 45.7%37 W · 44 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6149…8a58backed No | 29c | 72.5$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.6 | 76 | 47.4%36 W · 40 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc2…d923backed Yes | 55c | 72.41$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes | 41c | 70.82$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 164 | 42.7%70 W · 94 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb089…a271backed Yes | 57c | 70.77$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.9wins | -0.17per pick | 52cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x985b…46c4backed No | 55c | 70$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.5 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd90…f5e6backed Yes | 58c | 70$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked No | 36c | 69.44$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.44 | 226 | 50.9%115 W · 111 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed No | 36c | 69.1$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.1 | 104 | 31.7%33 W · 71 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed Yes | 47c | 66.77$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.38 | 82 | 26.8%22 W · 60 L | -4.7wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4109…7e24backed No | 31c | 64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.24 | 79 | 45.6%36 W · 43 L | -4.9wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2025…db59backed No | 31c | 64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.24 | 104 | 42.3%44 W · 60 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ea…810abacked No | 31c | 64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.24 | 95 | 47.4%45 W · 50 L | -8.5wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc383…a540backed No | 31c | 64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.24 | 109 | 44%48 W · 61 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45d1…7017backed No | 31c | 55$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.95 | 96 | 42.7%41 W · 55 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd06a…5ae7backed Yes | 61c | 52.31$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 73cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe137…2b47backed Yes | 64c | 50$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e27…7ae6backed Yes | 79c | 50$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.66 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22a7…1a98backed Yes | 61c | 49.18$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.12per pick | 59cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3d9…8169backed Yes | 71c | 45$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.05 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.40per pick | 73cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x17da…8375backed Yes | 67c | 44.78$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 20 | 75%15 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24f9…deaebacked Yes | 61c | 44.61$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ec5…9fe0backed Yes | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 87 | 27.6%24 W · 63 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | +40.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9b…e74abacked Yes | 47c | 42.19$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.83 | 126 | 44.4%56 W · 70 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0e…46d7backed Yes | 60c | 41.67$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Hong Kong SAR win on 2025-11-13?this page
- Will Cambodia win on 2025-11-13?No won
- Will Hong Kong SAR vs. Cambodia end in a draw?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.