Fifa International · resolved market
Will Hong Kong SAR vs. Cambodia end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe0ac1721e7c04288e1e4c275ed58a9921b000ad621678e4dbc2e87ab48ea059b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $62,680
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $71,238
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $62,680 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd682…ade9backed Yes | 4c | 20,555$822 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,732.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.96per pick | 4cpaid | +2,400%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8245…4f87backed Yes | 79c | 2,748$2,163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$584.49 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 19c | 2,492$472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$472.32 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 59c | 1,945$1,143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,142.76 | 359 | 42.9%154 W · 205 L | -16.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -24%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Yes | 17c | 1,000$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$830 | 224 | 21%47 W · 177 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 31c | 673.2$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$462.63 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5be…46cebacked Yes | 19c | 500$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$405 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 14cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb6b…943abacked No | 44c | 466.87$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0df8…3e3dbacked No | 6c | 435.61$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.79 | 131 | 31.3%41 W · 90 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabfc…0fc2backed Yes | 72c | 259.72$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.66 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5c…be69backed Yes | 37c | 243$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.09 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7cba…c616backed Yes | 77c | 227.54$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.44 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +51.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe78e…55f0backed Yes | 19c | 145$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117 | 93 | 24.7%23 W · 70 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeac5…7960backed Yes | 22c | 140.56$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.56 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x727b…fdb5backed Yes | 21c | 121.19$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.19 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +61.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb46d…8e83backed Yes | 21c | 119.05$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.05 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.79per pick | 21cpaid | +376.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x993f…35cbbacked No | 36c | 111$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.88 | 109 | 54.1%59 W · 50 L | +4.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3764…e02abacked Yes | 53c | 109.43$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.43 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 19cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54ca…7e84backed Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 15cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…74c0backed Yes | 60c | 95.52$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.21 | 178 | 51.1%91 W · 87 L | -8.1wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e27…7ae6backed Yes | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.91 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 48c | 85.33$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.37 | 1,001 | 53.9%540 W · 461 L | +34.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Yes | 18c | 80.87$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.31 | 470 | 32.8%154 W · 316 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked Yes | 46c | 80$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.2 | 172 | 55.2%95 W · 77 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95b8…47c9backed No | 31c | 77.4$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.85 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | +3.7wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a90…e630backed Yes | 30c | 65.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.99 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad46…df49backed Yes | 67c | 63$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.79 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +83.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b9e…40a5backed Yes | 43c | 58.14$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.14 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed Yes | 22c | 55$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.07 | 82 | 26.8%22 W · 60 L | -4.7wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x70a2…20debacked Yes | 74c | 54.05$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.05 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf96d…842cbacked Yes | 39c | 51.28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.28 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 46c | 46.97$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.84 | 550 | 45.1%248 W · 302 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa87b…968bbacked Yes | 28c | 42.86$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.86 | 76 | 42.1%32 W · 44 L | +4.2wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16af…d006backed Yes | 56c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.7 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c97…c20bbacked Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 311 | 47.9%149 W · 162 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ae…7f3ebacked Yes | 27c | 40$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.2 | 363 | 29.8%108 W · 255 L | -17.4wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x11de…8985backed No | 30c | 39.23$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.77 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -3.1wins | -0.15per pick | 43cpaid | -51%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d9…a88dbacked Yes | 73c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd699…3f8abacked No | 79c | 25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.75 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.6wins | -0.78per pick | 78cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb25e…39aabacked No | 80c | 21.74$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.39 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a18…7a20backed Yes | 56c | 21.43$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.43 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1401…0707backed No | 78c | 20$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -30%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcd90…f5e6backed Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2011…f296backed No | 78c | 19.14$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.93 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 72c | 17.75$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.78 | 465 | 36.1%168 W · 297 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dff…2ce2backed Yes | 64c | 15.7$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.7 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Hong Kong SAR vs. Cambodia end in a draw?this page
- Will Cambodia win on 2025-11-13?No won
- Will Hong Kong SAR win on 2025-11-13?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.