TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xb0d9…a88d

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
44
Categories scored
5
Categories below 50
1

Best Category: Lol, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.01 per pick).

Best Category Lol at 52 out of 100; worst NBA at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Nov 20, 2025, EST3023.3%7 W · 23 L-1.9wins-0.06per pick30cpaid-39.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 30 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Clippers vs. Magicbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST-100%-$22.58
Nuggets vs. Pelicansbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST-100%-$48.18
Warriors vs. Heatbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST-100%-$39.14
Rockets vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST-100%-$28.26
Hornets vs. Pacersbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST-100%-$66.92
Raptors vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Suns vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST-100%-$45.06
Jazz vs. Lakersbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST-100%-$39.94
Grizzlies vs. Spursbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$119Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST-100%-$118.73
Celtics vs. Netsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST-100%-$87.6
Warriors vs. Magicbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$12.62
Knicks vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST+156.9%+$21.9
Trail Blazers vs. Mavericksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$126Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST+171.5%+$216.89
Bulls vs. Jazzbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST+334.5%+$325.65
Magic vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST+188%+$150.61
Warriors vs. Pelicansbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$11.02
Nets vs. Wizardsbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$11.51
Kings vs. Spursbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$20.08
Clippers vs. Celticsbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$11.23
Nuggets vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$45.59
Lakers vs. Bucksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$58.23
Raptors vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$33.46
Warriors vs. Spursbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST+133.4%+$51.53
Hornets vs. Bucksbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$68.48
Kings vs. Timberwolvesbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$60.26
Showing 25 of 30 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT1136.4%4 W · 7 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick34cpaid-19.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Stocks — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $175 on April 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$35
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $165 on March 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.18
Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $380 on March 20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$86Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+131.6%+$113.43
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $180 on March 20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.02
Will Amazon (AMZN) close above $205 on March 20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.84
Will Amazon (AMZN) close above $210 on March 20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$8.68
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $185 on March 18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.55
Will Meta (META) close above $630 on March 16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.13
Will Meta (META) close above $640 on March 16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$32
Will Amazon (AMZN) close above $210 on March 16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$112Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$288
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $180 on March 16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.13
All 11 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Nov 9, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster (BO5)backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$203Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+63%+$127.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Nov 11, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
ATP World Tour Finals, Jimmy Connors Group: Carlos Alcaraz vs Taylor Fritzbacked Alcaraz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST+42.9%+$27
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Nov 13, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Hong Kong SAR vs. Cambodia end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+37%+$8.1
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.