NBA · resolved market
Trail Blazers vs. Mavericks
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x167d0c9a6e84408d30c83e8a028ae3ccd775e897c35b97eaa4ee5d352487d763
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Mavericksof Trail Blazers, Mavericks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $914,962
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $976,350
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $914,962 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 774 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Trail Blazers | 37c | 85,000$31,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31,299.99 | 382 | 48.7%186 W · 196 L | +13.9wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3db…0b3cbacked Mavericks | 38c | 64,000$24,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39,499.78 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3151…0977backed Mavericks | 72c | 62,562$44,795 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,766.44 | 192 | 49.5%95 W · 97 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Mavericks | 52c | 49,290$25,465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,824.91 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3a…4033backed Trail Blazers | 70c | 28,601$20,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,000 | 340 | 62.1%211 W · 129 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked Mavericks | 43c | 26,081$11,267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,813.93 | 260 | 38.1%99 W · 161 L | -9.3wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -24%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94d7…bef5backed Trail Blazers | 26c | 22,138$5,719 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,719.24 | 259 | 25.9%67 W · 192 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d79…4da1backed Trail Blazers | 0c | 20,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 36 | 25%9 W · 27 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…cdaabacked Mavericks | 38c | 20,000$7,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,400 | 47 | 66%31 W · 16 L | +7.2wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xdeaf…dbaabacked Trail Blazers | 35c | 15,000$5,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,250 | 379 | 30.6%116 W · 263 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Mavericks | 51c | 14,400$7,326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,073.63 | 480 | 46%221 W · 259 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Mavericks | 55c | 10,567$5,802 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,765.33 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x74d3…0332backed Trail Blazers | 58c | 10,012$5,807 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,806.9 | 346 | 45.4%157 W · 189 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3850…c4b4backed Trail Blazers | 54c | 10,000$5,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,400 | 123 | 34.1%42 W · 81 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5922…3388backed Trail Blazers | 60c | 10,000$5,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,950 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e2f…ec47backed Mavericks | 40c | 10,000$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,999.97 | 747 | 48.5%362 W · 385 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Trail Blazers | 56c | 8,936$5,008 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,008.21 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06e6…87e6backed Trail Blazers | 61c | 8,717$5,317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,317.37 | 446 | 48%214 W · 232 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b3a…df40backed Trail Blazers | 60c | 8,196$4,879 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,879.49 | 99 | 53.5%53 W · 46 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Mavericks | 38c | 8,038$3,055 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,983.86 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Mavericks | 44c | 6,236$2,733 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,503.35 | 768 | 50.3%386 W · 382 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…4cc1backed Trail Blazers | 59c | 6,000$3,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,559.98 | 784 | 45.8%359 W · 425 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2509…e4dbbacked Trail Blazers | 54c | 5,648$3,043 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,042.95 | 667 | 44.5%297 W · 370 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Trail Blazers | 68c | 5,434$3,676 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,676.36 | 853 | 44%375 W · 478 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ba…1873backed Trail Blazers | 60c | 5,250$3,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,150 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d33…4ababacked Mavericks | 40c | 5,250$2,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,150 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +150%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Mavericks | 61c | 4,936$3,009 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,926.87 | 1,226 | 37.4%458 W · 768 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x922d…d82bbacked Trail Blazers | 60c | 4,771$2,862 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,862.48 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | -7.9wins | -0.21per pick | 58cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x3719…2df0backed Trail Blazers | 55c | 4,565$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -2.8wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5523…51e9backed Mavericks | 40c | 4,549$1,820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,729.3 | 618 | 51.6%319 W · 299 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Trail Blazers | 66c | 4,345$2,868 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,868 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf922…e9c7backed Trail Blazers | 64c | 4,000$2,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,560 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -1.8wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -51.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba45…87f3backed Trail Blazers | 61c | 4,000$2,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,440 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.15per pick | 55cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9981…dec4backed Trail Blazers | 62c | 3,947$2,438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,438.26 | 53 | 69.8%37 W · 16 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Mavericks | 40c | 3,933$1,586 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,346.57 | 2,265 | 43.4%982 W · 1,283 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56c6…f706backed Mavericks | 39c | 3,876$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,376.04 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Trail Blazers | 60c | 3,868$2,322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,321.51 | 257 | 53.7%138 W · 119 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Mavericks | 40c | 3,835$1,534 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,300.93 | 724 | 50.7%367 W · 357 L | +13.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87ea…f625backed Mavericks | 38c | 3,708$1,416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,291.87 | 243 | 30.9%75 W · 168 L | -11.5wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd2…1e85backed Mavericks | 36c | 3,630$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,330.28 | 91 | 31.9%29 W · 62 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b89…0d9cbacked Trail Blazers | 60c | 3,361$2,030 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,030 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f8b…01aabacked Mavericks | 41c | 3,330$1,365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,964.7 | 105 | 30.5%32 W · 73 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Trail Blazers | 63c | 3,260$2,044 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,044.35 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Trail Blazers | 62c | 3,088$1,920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,919.96 | 1,003 | 34.7%348 W · 655 L | -44.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52ec…a6f3backed Trail Blazers | 62c | 3,000$1,860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,860 | 430 | 51.4%221 W · 209 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88d5…5ae1backed Trail Blazers | 11c | 2,995$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342.73 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.20per pick | 24cpaid | +572.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Mavericks | 40c | 2,842$1,137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,705.3 | 950 | 49.4%469 W · 481 L | +10.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbce9…03e9backed Trail Blazers | 1c | 2,807$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.1 | 882 | 0%0 W · 882 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1802…d00fbacked Mavericks | 39c | 2,700$1,063 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,637 | 162 | 43.8%71 W · 91 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Mavericks | 51c | 2,624$1,341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,283.34 | 815 | 29.4%240 W · 575 L | -37.0wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -43%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x700a…2a7bbacked Mavericks | 29c | 2,507$732 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,775.48 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fb9…ce7ebacked Trail Blazers | 61c | 2,500$1,520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,520 | 27 | 70.4%19 W · 8 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Mavericks | 41c | 2,492$1,016 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,476.06 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Mavericks | 55c | 2,372$1,308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,063.9 | 1,341 | 29.9%401 W · 940 L | -53.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc35a…e5d8backed Trail Blazers | 55c | 2,331$1,280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,280.33 | 64 | 40.6%26 W · 38 L | -9.1wins | -0.14per pick | 55cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1250…8f99backed Trail Blazers | 30c | 2,305$691 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$691.4 | 214 | 55.1%118 W · 96 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4302…4f64backed Mavericks | 39c | 2,300$897 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,403 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Mavericks | 52c | 2,281$1,191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,089.74 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7a…db40backed Trail Blazers | 1c | 2,222$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.92 | 180 | 47.8%86 W · 94 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Mavericks | 39c | 2,185$857 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,327.46 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe19a…87bbbacked Mavericks | 47c | 2,158$1,005 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,153.34 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +114.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e80…09b8backed Trail Blazers | 67c | 2,075$1,390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,390.35 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.13per pick | 61cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3a…67cabacked Trail Blazers | 73c | 2,058$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 508 | 38.2%194 W · 314 L | +22.3wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Mavericks | 54c | 2,032$1,107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$924.76 | 1,384 | 39.4%545 W · 839 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked Mavericks | 46c | 2,000$920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,080 | 194 | 48.5%94 W · 100 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Mavericks | 40c | 1,996$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,196.09 | 698 | 52%363 W · 335 L | +10.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Mavericks | 43c | 1,944$837 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,106.64 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2997…6c34backed Mavericks | 71c | 1,904$1,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$553.64 | 15 | 86.7%13 W · 2 L | +2.8wins | +0.19per pick | 68cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc8a4…9e63backed Trail Blazers | 54c | 1,852$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -3.6wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0a59…770cbacked Trail Blazers | 56c | 1,775$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 66 | 65.2%43 W · 23 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Trail Blazers | 60c | 1,767$1,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,060.45 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbdac…f7e2backed Trail Blazers | 78c | 1,720$1,341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,341.34 | 191 | 36.1%69 W · 122 L | -15.3wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xce97…4ffbbacked Mavericks | 39c | 1,709$667 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,042.49 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 45cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ffb…df76backed Trail Blazers | 60c | 1,666$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.6 | 470 | 48.5%228 W · 242 L | -18.6wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb560…60d6backed Trail Blazers | 60c | 1,602$961 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960.96 | 57 | 36.8%21 W · 36 L | -8.0wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Trail Blazers | 60c | 1,586$955 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$955 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdefe…bdb8backed Mavericks | 39c | 1,500$590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$910 | 47 | 25.5%12 W · 35 L | -3.5wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf4e1…ee5abacked Trail Blazers | 74c | 1,497$1,107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,106.76 | 187 | 64.7%121 W · 66 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 68cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a7a…15a4backed Trail Blazers | 54c | 1,489$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 310 | 44.8%139 W · 171 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Trail Blazers | 57c | 1,383$788 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$788.11 | 623 | 51.4%320 W · 303 L | -13.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4537…491dbacked Trail Blazers | 60c | 1,336$801 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$801.3 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Trail Blazers | 1c | 1,332$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.32 | 1,035 | 1.1%11 W · 1,024 L | -24.4wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -90.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37e2…4b92backed Mavericks | 40c | 1,327$534 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$793.06 | 140 | 42.9%60 W · 80 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69ff…0d1dbacked Trail Blazers | 61c | 1,300$793 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$793 | 331 | 46.2%153 W · 178 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed Trail Blazers | 4c | 1,300$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 345 | 24.3%84 W · 261 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa9…a36dbacked Mavericks | 43c | 1,284$551 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$733.01 | 240 | 38.3%92 W · 148 L | -8.1wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Mavericks | 41c | 1,212$497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$714.79 | 668 | 53.4%357 W · 311 L | +22.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21e6…cbd8backed Mavericks | 36c | 1,205$429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$775.88 | 114 | 59.6%68 W · 46 L | +8.8wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x290f…7e47backed Trail Blazers | 68c | 1,200$820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$819.99 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 71cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4278…0e92backed Mavericks | 35c | 1,182$418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$764.63 | 416 | 52.2%217 W · 199 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda5f…2e9bbacked Trail Blazers | 61c | 1,138$694 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$693.94 | 419 | 54.4%228 W · 191 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb1bc…bd81backed Trail Blazers | 62c | 1,137$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 135 | 58.5%79 W · 56 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Mavericks | 62c | 1,096$676 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420.07 | 736 | 49.9%367 W · 369 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf406…c9bfbacked Trail Blazers | 47c | 1,064$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 80 | 46.3%37 W · 43 L | -5.7wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Mavericks | 39c | 1,022$397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$625.52 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Trail Blazers | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,277 | 2.3%29 W · 1,248 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -84%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bcc…4324backed Trail Blazers | 56c | 1,000$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560 | 528 | 44.7%236 W · 292 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b51…e165backed Trail Blazers | 60c | 1,000$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 313 | 47%147 W · 166 L | -14.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea54…8dadbacked Trail Blazers | 60c | 1,000$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 66cpaid | +2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9dd…b525backed Trail Blazers | 40c | 999.98$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.99 | 443 | 37.9%168 W · 275 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Trail Blazers vs. Mavericksthis page
- Spread: Trail Blazers (-3.5)Mavericks won
- Spread: Trail Blazers (-4.5)Mavericks won
- Trail Blazers vs. Mavericks: O/U 228.5Over won
- Trail Blazers vs. Mavericks: O/U 229.5Over won
- Trail Blazers vs. Mavericks: O/U 230.5Over won
- Trail Blazers vs. Mavericks: O/U 232.5Over won
- Trail Blazers vs. Mavericks: O/U 233.5Over won
- Trail Blazers vs. Mavericks: O/U 234.5Over won
- Trail Blazers vs. Mavericks: O/U 235.5Over won
- Trail Blazers vs. Mavericks: O/U 236.5Over won
- Trail Blazers vs. Mavericks: O/U 237.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.