NBA · resolved market
Kings vs. Timberwolves
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4ea590840e50e35dec93192f197b1c65f7d6ed6813dddea7a4d6e09eec8803b5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Timberwolvesof Kings, Timberwolves
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,167,568
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,169,482
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,167,568 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 236 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3987…259ebacked Kings | 18c | 554,967$100,381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100,381.26 | 80 | 22.5%18 W · 62 L | -10.0wins | -0.12per pick | 35cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe686…13cbbacked Kings | 16c | 70,000$11,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,499.96 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f0d…8f51backed Timberwolves | 76c | 31,480$23,925 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,555.19 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3850…c4b4backed Kings | 32c | 27,574$8,891 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,891.04 | 123 | 34.1%42 W · 81 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59f4…c1f1backed Kings | 17c | 27,137$4,702 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,701.57 | 98 | 38.8%38 W · 60 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Kings | 16c | 24,999$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,999.92 | 382 | 48.7%186 W · 196 L | +13.9wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Timberwolves | 73c | 21,941$16,061 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,879.82 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c14…7bc1backed Kings | 17c | 17,647$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 111 | 42.3%47 W · 64 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Kings | 16c | 17,500$2,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,800 | 1,046 | 51.1%534 W · 512 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a75…4347backed Kings | 24c | 17,283$4,148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,147.95 | 132 | 48.5%64 W · 68 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa925…e1c8backed Kings | 29c | 16,979$4,999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,999.38 | 87 | 44.8%39 W · 48 L | -5.3wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x575a…bba6backed Kings | 19c | 15,841$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 125 | 29.6%37 W · 88 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e2f…ec47backed Kings | 16c | 15,000$2,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,399.93 | 747 | 48.5%362 W · 385 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Timberwolves | 74c | 13,278$9,867 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,411.22 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74d3…0332backed Kings | 21c | 12,868$2,703 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,702.95 | 346 | 45.4%157 W · 189 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Kings | 2c | 10,695$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.16 | 1,602 | 11.8%189 W · 1,413 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ecd…a578backed Kings | 18c | 10,000$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800 | 231 | 35.1%81 W · 150 L | -11.1wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x13ce…35f0backed Timberwolves | 77c | 8,200$6,314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,886 | 280 | 63.9%179 W · 101 L | -10.9wins | -0.04per pick | 68cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked Timberwolves | 72c | 7,852$5,656 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,195.61 | 260 | 38.1%99 W · 161 L | -9.3wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -24%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36e9…61ffbacked Kings | 35c | 7,172$2,520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,520.47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52b4…34a8backed Kings | 16c | 6,000$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960 | 483 | 47.2%228 W · 255 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Kings | 16c | 6,000$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960 | 768 | 50.3%386 W · 382 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Kings | 17c | 5,050$859 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$858.5 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Kings | 16c | 5,000$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 1,197 | 46.7%559 W · 638 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cf5…6440backed Kings | 17c | 5,000$850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$849.99 | 469 | 28.4%133 W · 336 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Kings | 16c | 4,440$711 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$711.16 | 2,265 | 43.4%982 W · 1,283 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2630…e941backed Kings | 15c | 4,000$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$590 | 428 | 45.1%193 W · 235 L | -15.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Timberwolves | 71c | 3,321$2,349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$971.84 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Timberwolves | 76c | 3,207$2,431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$776.75 | 1,003 | 34.7%348 W · 655 L | -44.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8005…abc0backed Kings | 22c | 3,100$685 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$685 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52ec…a6f3backed Kings | 19c | 3,000$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570 | 430 | 51.4%221 W · 209 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1e…86d3backed Kings | 16c | 3,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 278 | 40.6%113 W · 165 L | -22.5wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x84b8…1193backed Kings | 17c | 2,916$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.88 | 349 | 42.7%149 W · 200 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe018…a3bbbacked Kings | 40c | 2,698$1,069 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,069.46 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03c5…5592backed Kings | 25c | 2,689$672 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$672.31 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15d5…ef7bbacked Kings | 16c | 2,400$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384 | 1,198 | 38.8%465 W · 733 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Kings | 23c | 2,179$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$501.21 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Timberwolves | 76c | 2,124$1,621 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$503.72 | 1,384 | 39.4%545 W · 839 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdefe…bdb8backed Kings | 16c | 2,000$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.99 | 47 | 25.5%12 W · 35 L | -3.5wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Kings | 29c | 1,947$574 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$573.56 | 857 | 42.6%365 W · 492 L | -15.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5cf…8cc5backed Kings | 16c | 1,800$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288 | 432 | 47.5%205 W · 227 L | +11.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5be…46cebacked Kings | 20c | 1,767$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 59 | 11.9%7 W · 52 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 14cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4517…f700backed Kings | 12c | 1,732$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.25 | 171 | 47.4%81 W · 90 L | +13.7wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xeb6b…943abacked Timberwolves | 67c | 1,694$1,137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$556.87 | 154 | 61.7%95 W · 59 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…72bebacked Kings | 20c | 1,657$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 51 | 25.5%13 W · 38 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -16%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ff…805cbacked Kings | 25c | 1,602$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 428 | 27.3%117 W · 311 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x022b…b28cbacked Kings | 16c | 1,600$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256 | 167 | 30.5%51 W · 116 L | -8.7wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Timberwolves | 44c | 1,600$696 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$904 | 222 | 43.7%97 W · 125 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Timberwolves | 76c | 1,416$1,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336.75 | 1,409 | 40.2%567 W · 842 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf05b…d0b7backed Kings | 25c | 1,203$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.65 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01a6…0373backed Kings | 17c | 1,124$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x830d…3f0ebacked Kings | 17c | 1,029$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 165 | 32.1%53 W · 112 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc557…e530backed Kings | 17c | 1,020$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.42 | 63 | 27%17 W · 46 L | -7.4wins | -0.12per pick | 39cpaid | -46.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4537…491dbacked Kings | 12c | 1,006$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.25 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Kings | 12c | 1,003$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.25 | 815 | 29.4%240 W · 575 L | -37.0wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -43%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xab43…f82cbacked Kings | 24c | 948.2$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.05 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe3a0…b566backed Kings | 23c | 869.57$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Timberwolves | 72c | 850$615 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235 | 1,341 | 29.9%401 W · 940 L | -53.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d33…d56abacked Kings | 16c | 799.99$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Timberwolves | 77c | 750$575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.21 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f05…8937backed Kings | 19c | 707.43$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.84 | 470 | 28.1%132 W · 338 L | +27.2wins | +0.06per pick | 22cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4cb9…3783backed Kings | 16c | 700$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 641 | 39%250 W · 391 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb47e…c602backed Kings | 17c | 600$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 617 | 40.7%251 W · 366 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87ea…f625backed Kings | 17c | 599.94$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.99 | 243 | 30.9%75 W · 168 L | -11.5wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9eea…2625backed Kings | 17c | 588.24$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 83 | 37.3%31 W · 52 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a10…8b30backed Kings | 19c | 558.86$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.59 | 502 | 39%196 W · 306 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d64…01fabacked Kings | 16c | 540.27$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.44 | 246 | 34.1%84 W · 162 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Kings | 17c | 537.25$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.06 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ab…42ccbacked Kings | 39c | 512.82$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 44 | 65.9%29 W · 15 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8f4…c82cbacked Timberwolves | 75c | 510$383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.65 | 26 | 73.1%19 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 69cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Kings | 8c | 504.14$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 679 | 11%75 W · 604 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69ff…0d1dbacked Timberwolves | 75c | 500$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125 | 331 | 46.2%153 W · 178 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x817b…3c25backed Kings | 16c | 500$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 1,048 | 41.1%431 W · 617 L | +23.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c2…4de7backed Kings | 17c | 500$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 491 | 42.6%209 W · 282 L | +12.1wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23f6…5760backed Kings | 16c | 499.98$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb0b…e2a3backed Timberwolves | 69c | 475.36$328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.36 | 101 | 47.5%48 W · 53 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3da…db64backed Kings | 17c | 435.29$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -3.6wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf341…b5f6backed Kings | 7c | 428.29$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc71f…bd62backed Kings | 16c | 420.93$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.35 | 289 | 40.8%118 W · 171 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6859…3308backed Kings | 10c | 403.88$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | +4.8wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0a68…6525backed Kings | 28c | 400.91$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 50 | 26%13 W · 37 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 21cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9def…d1a5backed Kings | 17c | 400$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 96 | 49%47 W · 49 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Timberwolves | 72c | 376.99$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.96 | 1,113 | 41.6%463 W · 650 L | -10.0wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a7a…15a4backed Kings | 27c | 372.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 310 | 44.8%139 W · 171 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72fe…2a60backed Timberwolves | 62c | 370$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.1 | 456 | 47.8%218 W · 238 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…837dbacked Kings | 33c | 366.34$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 146 | 39.7%58 W · 88 L | -8.2wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d64…5c93backed Kings | 39c | 340.49$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.79 | 85 | 49.4%42 W · 43 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d9…a88dbacked Kings | 18c | 329.74$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.26 | 30 | 23.3%7 W · 23 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b64…dab3backed Kings | 16c | 312.5$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 74 | 48.6%36 W · 38 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9738backed Kings | 17c | 300$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 958 | 48.7%467 W · 491 L | +24.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5481…d45cbacked Kings | 27c | 300$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0be7…88a1backed Timberwolves | 80c | 300$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 34 | 67.6%23 W · 11 L | +4.3wins | +0.13per pick | 55cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xad3f…857ebacked Kings | 15c | 300$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | -3.0wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x91ee…bf85backed Kings | 27c | 299.98$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.49 | 200 | 31%62 W · 138 L | +18.2wins | +0.09per pick | 22cpaid | +52.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Timberwolves | 75c | 295.45$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.64 | 1,226 | 37.4%458 W · 768 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Timberwolves | 70c | 294.33$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87 | 1,667 | 52.7%878 W · 789 L | +45.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c86…9f68backed Timberwolves | 80c | 274.55$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.91 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Kings | 10c | 224$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.4 | 1,715 | 44.5%764 W · 951 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0986…9c4bbacked Timberwolves | 68c | 219$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.1 | 196 | 49.5%97 W · 99 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd895…3d8fbacked Kings | 10c | 212.5$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Kings vs. Timberwolvesthis page
- Kings vs. Timberwolves: O/U 239.5Under won
- Kings vs. Timberwolves: O/U 240.5Under won
- Spread: Timberwolves (-11.5)Timberwolves won
- Spread: Timberwolves (-12.5)Timberwolves won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.