TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Raptors vs. Pacers

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Raptorsof Raptors, Pacers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$2,800,519
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$3,149,282

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,800,519 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 1,570 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3987…259ebacked Pacers30c782,765$236,230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$236,229.898022.5%18 W · 62 L-10.0wins-0.12per pick35cpaid-49.4%equal weight39-0.09 edge/pick
0x3ed7…e617backed Raptors70c255,796$179,172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76,623.457255.6%40 W · 32 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3850…c4b4backed Raptors73c253,728$185,222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68,506.6412334.1%42 W · 81 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-13.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbad…9c95backed Raptors69c175,000$120,750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54,2506352.4%33 W · 30 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9f13…e0fdbacked Pacers28c101,524$28,355 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28,354.8672450.7%367 W · 357 L+13.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed Pacers26c100,000$25,776 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25,775.8338248.7%186 W · 196 L+13.9wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+0.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3151…0977backed Raptors69c90,164$62,238 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27,925.2419249.5%95 W · 97 L+0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-13.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Pacers19c86,612$16,731 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,730.584,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Raptors73c64,483$46,869 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,613.992,04548.4%990 W · 1,055 L-30.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5139…a8dbbacked Pacers28c56,852$15,771 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,770.5269852%363 W · 335 L+10.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf3db…0b3cbacked Pacers26c40,271$10,401 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,401.31936.8%7 W · 12 L+1.1wins+0.06per pick31cpaid+11.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4991…5ecdbacked Pacers30c39,253$11,584 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,583.52626.9%7 W · 19 L-3.6wins-0.14per pick41cpaid-30.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Pacers27c37,089$10,014 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,013.992,29851.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L+65.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1433…56a0backed Pacers28c36,000$10,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,08017554.9%96 W · 79 L+8.8wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+9.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x37e4…c991backed Raptors71c35,293$25,058 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,234.924650%123 W · 123 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Pacers27c28,608$7,733 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,733.322,09147.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L-56.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa925…e1c8backed Pacers37c27,952$10,459 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,459.198744.8%39 W · 48 L-5.3wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-21.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x481b…74c1backed Raptors73c25,699$18,734 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,964.4548046%221 W · 259 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Pacers20c23,620$4,666 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,666.135,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xed88…f3c4backed Pacers29c23,551$6,830 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,829.6910%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8ddd…39eebacked Raptors70c23,340$16,336 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,004.2422542.2%95 W · 130 L-4.9wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-9.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb7b3…9573backed Raptors72c21,929$15,875 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,053.5773649.9%367 W · 369 L-5.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ce2…e868backed Raptors71c18,000$12,780 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,2205850%29 W · 29 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-17.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf915…388fbacked Raptors58c17,237$9,998 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,239.72977.8%7 W · 2 L+1.7wins+0.19per pick59cpaid+24.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3eac…4c8cbacked Raptors70c16,854$11,798 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,056.211558.3%67 W · 48 L+5.0wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+3.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe405…bf91backed Raptors71c15,000$10,650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,35048448.8%236 W · 248 L-5.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa392…1415backed Raptors73c14,500$10,580 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,92014245.1%64 W · 78 L-5.0wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-14.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1e3a…4033backed Raptors74c13,588$10,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,588.234062.1%211 W · 129 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick61cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa315…cabbbacked Raptors70c12,396$8,664 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,731.6262351.4%320 W · 303 L-13.7wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x14ac…cb21backed Raptors69c11,832$8,164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,667.8237557.6%216 W · 159 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8058…d023backed Pacers26c11,394$2,962 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,962.397946.8%37 W · 42 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Raptors70c10,903$7,665 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,238.2185742.6%365 W · 492 L-15.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x10b3…40d4backed Raptors74c10,000$7,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,6003966.7%26 W · 13 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick63cpaid+7.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d0f…a318backed Pacers31c10,000$3,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,1001241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-17.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5922…3388backed Raptors72c10,000$7,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,8004456.8%25 W · 19 L-0.1wins0.00per pick57cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5646…3819backed Pacers27c10,000$2,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,70012938.8%50 W · 79 L-4.0wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-21.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7d5c…0182backed Raptors71c9,760$6,930 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,830.447751.8%247 W · 230 L+1.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8605…750fbacked Raptors73c9,112$6,652 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,460.332657.7%15 W · 11 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick53cpaid-7.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5116…58c4backed Raptors69c9,000$6,240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,759.9876850.3%386 W · 382 L-5.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb6a…f116backed Pacers28c8,100$2,259 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,258.992263.6%14 W · 8 L+3.3wins+0.15per pick49cpaid+14.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5137…1556backed Pacers26c7,976$2,074 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,074.082,26543.4%982 W · 1,283 L-26.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd2b2…d101backed Raptors69c7,224$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,224.4916251.9%84 W · 78 L+0.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x87ea…f625backed Pacers26c7,085$1,868 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,867.6124330.9%75 W · 168 L-11.5wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-17.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc550…353fbacked Pacers29c7,038$2,041 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,040.996636.4%24 W · 42 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-12.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf93f…f94bbacked Raptors68c6,500$4,445 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,05516633.7%56 W · 110 L-11.6wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-26.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x74d3…0332backed Pacers31c6,439$1,967 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,966.8234645.4%157 W · 189 L+8.3wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x79cb…331ebacked Pacers0c6,311$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.888783%26 W · 852 L-22.3wins-0.03per pick5cpaid-62%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x52ed…8db7backed Pacers33c6,102$2,013 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,012.5339349.1%193 W · 200 L+1.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Raptors70c5,754$4,026 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,727.389,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x891d…dd26backed Pacers26c5,144$1,337 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,337.388351.8%43 W · 40 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+6.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6239…c24fbacked Pacers28c5,104$1,429 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,429.0895049.4%469 W · 481 L+10.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x41b7…f6babacked Pacers44c5,039$2,217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,216.7780146.4%372 W · 429 L-1.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbde5…9c38backed Raptors71c5,000$3,550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,4501,19746.7%559 W · 638 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x016e…c700backed Raptors72c4,861$3,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,361.122466.7%16 W · 8 L+0.1wins0.00per pick66cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3ccd…0953backed Pacers28c4,500$1,263 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,263.251353.8%7 W · 6 L+1.3wins+0.10per pick44cpaid+2.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xec13…862bbacked Pacers29c4,500$1,305 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,30528850.3%145 W · 143 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Pacers28c4,417$1,246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,246.472,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x62fb…4d60backed Pacers33c4,103$1,348 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,347.7935547.3%168 W · 187 L+6.1wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf3ae…7b92backed Pacers25c4,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00018142%76 W · 105 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x057a…3bacbacked Pacers25c3,819$964 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$964.3926038.1%99 W · 161 L-9.3wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-24%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdf0a…8ca0backed Raptors71c3,800$2,698 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,1021758.8%10 W · 7 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+16.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b8e…5c3cbacked Raptors72c3,685$2,657 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,027.7444459.7%265 W · 179 L+12.4wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+7.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Pacers40c3,668$1,478 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,477.9481529.4%240 W · 575 L-37.0wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-43%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1013…87d5backed Raptors57c3,509$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,508.778863.6%56 W · 32 L+6.2wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+5.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x83d8…2478backed Raptors72c3,500$2,520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9802100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.30per pick71cpaid+41.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2b67…a36ebacked Pacers27c3,400$918 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$918771.4%5 W · 2 L+2.1wins+0.31per pick41cpaid+81.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xeb29…ea29backed Pacers27c3,367$910 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$909.513943.2%60 W · 79 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd161…4cc1backed Raptors71c3,332$2,356 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$976.2278445.8%359 W · 425 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf1ef…8cd6backed Raptors69c3,200$2,208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99243348.5%210 W · 223 L+11.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Pacers12c3,116$368 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$368.273,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf5f2…0234backed Pacers27c3,052$824 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$824.0417658%102 W · 74 L+13.5wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+15.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Pacers27c3,050$824 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$823.51,78228%499 W · 1,283 L+11.5wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x06e6…87e6backed Raptors70c3,036$2,121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$914.9444648%214 W · 232 L-12.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Pacers28c3,021$846 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$845.833,34243.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L+81.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8198…e96ebacked Raptors71c3,000$2,130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87016446.3%76 W · 88 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Pacers27c3,000$810 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8101,33251.2%682 W · 650 L+7.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Pacers26c3,000$780 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7802,51249.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L+6.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcb43…3c74backed Raptors69c3,000$2,070 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93047748.8%233 W · 244 L+1.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84db…aeebbacked Raptors70c2,844$1,991 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$853.311,37450.1%689 W · 685 L+34.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe018…a3bbbacked Raptors74c2,834$2,083 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$750.51450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-13.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1ab6…078ebacked Pacers27c2,630$710 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7107245.8%33 W · 39 L-4.4wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-13.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Pacers26c2,600$663 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6632,36148.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L-41.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd538…cc31backed Pacers30c2,593$778 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$777.8621450%107 W · 107 L-14.6wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-12.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1d56…7486backed Raptors71c2,593$1,841 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$751.8617861.2%109 W · 69 L+11.4wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+14.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0e0b…95b7backed Pacers2c2,559$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.3870%0 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8c0b…7aa5backed Pacers28c2,525$699 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$699.348845.3%221 W · 267 L+18.9wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+1.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe786…b716backed Raptors76c2,404$1,823 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$580.642268.2%15 W · 7 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick63cpaid+1.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9792…0812backed Raptors76c2,399$1,823 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$575.76683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.17per pick66cpaid+11.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa727…8289backed Pacers29c2,397$695 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6957261.1%44 W · 28 L+3.6wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+4.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd6f4…0566backed Pacers24c2,371$577 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$577.3385344%375 W · 478 L+1.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-15.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3ff2…49febacked Pacers38c2,349$892 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$892.3424634.6%85 W · 161 L-6.3wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-18.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x48e5…38e0backed Pacers27c2,300$621 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$621560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick53cpaid-19.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8ddb…420bbacked Raptors76c2,228$1,694 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$533.8229458.5%172 W · 122 L+6.0wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Pacers27c2,228$591 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$591.171,71544.5%764 W · 951 L-0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf922…e9c7backed Raptors74c2,224$1,638 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$586.332030%6 W · 14 L-1.8wins-0.09per pick39cpaid-51.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb744…5210backed Pacers28c2,206$618 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$617.5615443.5%67 W · 87 L+0.4wins0.00per pick43cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x519d…37a1backed Pacers1c2,091$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.047502%15 W · 735 L-3.2wins0.00per pick2cpaid-63.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Pacers4c2,090$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.441,38439.4%545 W · 839 L+4.8wins0.00per pick39cpaid-21.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8403…e2ecbacked Pacers27c2,000$540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$540650%3 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xca21…b07cbacked Raptors73c2,000$1,460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54022458.9%132 W · 92 L+6.0wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+8.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.