NBA · resolved market
Spread: Raptors (-6.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa4c1901475af07462c7c579729f496f0161b6f61c9e94f4a3b7441a0ae4b59f4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Raptorsof Raptors, Pacers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $42,367
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $46,616
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $42,367 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 89 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9165…5b98backed Pacers | 51c | 11,161$5,659 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,658.88 | 252 | 48.4%122 W · 130 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74d3…0332backed Pacers | 52c | 4,000$2,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,080 | 346 | 45.4%157 W · 189 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Raptors | 52c | 2,474$1,282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,191.69 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9827…e5ffbacked Pacers | 51c | 2,250$1,147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,147.49 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Raptors | 49c | 2,163$1,052 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,110.73 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8198…e96ebacked Raptors | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 164 | 46.3%76 W · 88 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8331…965abacked Raptors | 53c | 2,000$1,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$939.99 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Raptors | 50c | 1,600$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800.08 | 477 | 48.8%233 W · 244 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc939…1d7cbacked Pacers | 47c | 1,500$705 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$705 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.28per pick | 38cpaid | +155.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4392…a373backed Raptors | 53c | 1,500$795 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$705 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Pacers | 45c | 1,461$657 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$657.12 | 2,265 | 43.4%982 W · 1,283 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Pacers | 47c | 1,102$518 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$517.71 | 339 | 45.1%153 W · 186 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb6b…943abacked Raptors | 53c | 943.4$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.4 | 154 | 61.7%95 W · 59 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Pacers | 47c | 905$425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$425.35 | 698 | 52%363 W · 335 L | +10.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb390…642bbacked Raptors | 56c | 892.86$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392.86 | 1,661 | 50.3%836 W · 825 L | -14.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8287…059ebacked Pacers | 50c | 800$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | -5.2wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf704…bed4backed Raptors | 55c | 727.27$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.27 | 169 | 43.8%74 W · 95 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf3e…1726backed Raptors | 54c | 700$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322 | 46 | 58.7%27 W · 19 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Raptors | 49c | 612$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.12 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1377…56aebacked Raptors | 50c | 600$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 74 | 47.3%35 W · 39 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd07…cb4ebacked Raptors | 53c | 566.04$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.04 | 201 | 43.3%87 W · 114 L | -12.4wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x094e…f10bbacked Raptors | 50c | 555$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.5 | 70 | 55.7%39 W · 31 L | +7.2wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6d58…8accbacked Raptors | 53c | 543.4$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.4 | 358 | 51.7%185 W · 173 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Pacers | 45c | 515.12$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.81 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Raptors | 49c | 504$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.04 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa925…e1c8backed Pacers | 52c | 501.92$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261 | 87 | 44.8%39 W · 48 L | -5.3wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Raptors | 48c | 499.48$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.73 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80f0…1ebebacked Raptors | 52c | 480.77$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.77 | 121 | 49.6%60 W · 61 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7a…db40backed Raptors | 49c | 450$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.5 | 180 | 47.8%86 W · 94 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6884…6ccfbacked Raptors | 53c | 418.87$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.87 | 390 | 51.5%201 W · 189 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Pacers | 46c | 405$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.49 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c7…2e93backed Pacers | 50c | 398.54$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.27 | 211 | 52.6%111 W · 100 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8889…a9d1backed Raptors | 52c | 384.62$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.62 | 232 | 48.7%113 W · 119 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6859…3308backed Raptors | 55c | 363.64$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.64 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | +4.8wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcd8d…a108backed Raptors | 56c | 357.14$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.14 | 103 | 47.6%49 W · 54 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Pacers | 49c | 328.23$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.83 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa198…9601backed Raptors | 52c | 289.99$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.2 | 163 | 46.6%76 W · 87 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb29…ea29backed Pacers | 48c | 271.5$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.32 | 139 | 43.2%60 W · 79 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe80…e0a6backed Raptors | 51c | 239.74$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.74 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Raptors | 51c | 237$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.13 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d48…66abbacked Raptors | 52c | 211.54$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.54 | 126 | 51.6%65 W · 61 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd58b…48e8backed Raptors | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 63 | 58.7%37 W · 26 L | +5.6wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2b80…76fabacked Pacers | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.6wins | -0.26per pick | 56cpaid | -51%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8059…c043backed Raptors | 53c | 196.42$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.42 | 261 | 50.2%131 W · 130 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b6c…98babacked Pacers | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Pacers | 27c | 194.4$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.49 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3dd…45d3backed Raptors | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 63 | 55.6%35 W · 28 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb51…733cbacked Raptors | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 115 | 42.6%49 W · 66 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x951f…e430backed Raptors | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 236 | 52.5%124 W · 112 L | +11.1wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Pacers | 45c | 174.07$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.07 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a83…09f0backed Raptors | 53c | 163.64$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.64 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Pacers | 49c | 118.37$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.84 | 724 | 50.7%367 W · 357 L | +13.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x061e…81e0backed Raptors | 54c | 111.11$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.11 | 198 | 49%97 W · 101 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x860d…3c72backed Pacers | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 266 | 51.1%136 W · 130 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204e…55eabacked Raptors | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 85 | 52.9%45 W · 40 L | +5.7wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d3…e601backed Pacers | 50c | 98.36$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.74 | 135 | 50.4%68 W · 67 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc58e…0893backed Raptors | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48f8…9166backed Raptors | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 171 | 45.6%78 W · 93 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x412c…43b4backed Raptors | 53c | 81.13$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.13 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +2.2wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa4b8…68a5backed Raptors | 54c | 74.07$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.07 | 65 | 56.9%37 W · 28 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9af7…02a6backed Raptors | 56c | 73.21$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.21 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.15per pick | 55cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e0…4d8fbacked Raptors | 51c | 70.59$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.59 | 659 | 50.8%335 W · 324 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7181…1b0abacked Raptors | 49c | 61.22$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.22 | 249 | 55%137 W · 112 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcfe…d420backed Pacers | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 289 | 49.1%142 W · 147 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94a2…0c1abacked Raptors | 54c | 55.56$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.56 | 104 | 47.1%49 W · 55 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0974…003dbacked Raptors | 51c | 55.5$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.19 | 180 | 53.3%96 W · 84 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x003b…4da0backed Raptors | 55c | 54.55$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.55 | 55 | 43.6%24 W · 31 L | -6.6wins | -0.12per pick | 56cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xed1d…71d1backed Pacers | 50c | 49.66$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Pacers | 47c | 48$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.79 | 1,695 | 44.7%758 W · 937 L | -30.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x939d…3b3cbacked Raptors | 52c | 47.6$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.85 | 60 | 50%30 W · 30 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2a…845bbacked Raptors | 53c | 47.17$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.17 | 85 | 57.6%49 W · 36 L | +5.1wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x56e4…92bbbacked Pacers | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22ea…0a94backed Pacers | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -2.6wins | -0.17per pick | 48cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa351…17c3backed Raptors | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1a3…0c69backed Raptors | 54c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.4 | 158 | 38.6%61 W · 97 L | -11.1wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5729…c366backed Raptors | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0878…8757backed Raptors | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +3.2wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc1…818dbacked Raptors | 49c | 37$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.85 | 394 | 49.2%194 W · 200 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3646…4d91backed Raptors | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0b0b…1466backed Raptors | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50bb…9aa6backed Raptors | 51c | 35$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.15 | 119 | 51.3%61 W · 58 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Pacers | 48c | 35$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1941…c47fbacked Pacers | 49c | 29.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.62 | 131 | 55%72 W · 59 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x084c…a811backed Raptors | 52c | 28.85$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.85 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3303…03afbacked Raptors | 54c | 27.78$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.78 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -2.6wins | -0.16per pick | 60cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8296…e9cbbacked Raptors | 51c | 23.53$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.53 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdfcb…2eb1backed Raptors | 52c | 21.15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.15 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +102.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe27…fdeebacked Pacers | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb52…8046backed Raptors | 56c | 18$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.92 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Raptors (-6.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Raptors (-4.5)Raptors won
- Raptors vs. PacersRaptors won
- Raptors vs. Pacers: 1H MoneylineRaptors won
- Raptors vs. Pacers: 1H O/U 113.5Over won
- Raptors vs. Pacers: O/U 230.5Over won
- Raptors vs. Pacers: O/U 232.5Over won
- Raptors vs. Pacers: O/U 233.5Over won
- Raptors vs. Pacers: O/U 234.5Over won
- Raptors vs. Pacers: O/U 235.5Over won
- Spread: Raptors (-5.5)Raptors won
- Spread: Raptors (-7.5)Raptors won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.