TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xcb52…8046

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
81
Categories scored
14
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: CS2, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category CS2 at 52 out of 100; worst NHL at 39.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 2, 2026, EDT4456.8%25 W · 19 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-1.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 44 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Lakers vs. Rocketsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+150%+$29.42
Spread: Lakers (-5.5)backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$19.68
Bucks vs. Wizardsbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$29.64
Spread: Warriors (-8.5)backed Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+88.7%+$17.39
Spread: Bulls (-4.5)backed Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+85.2%+$17.02
Clippers vs. Lakers: O/U 223.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+47.1%+$9.28
Timberwolves vs. Kingsbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$19.75
Bulls vs. Pelicansbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$20.1
Pistons vs. Pacersbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST+25%+$5
Cavaliers vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST+117.4%+$45.9
Lakers vs. Jazz: O/U 243.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST-100%-$14.58
Magic vs. Celticsbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$14.82
Hornets vs. Hawks: O/U 230.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$15.08
Hornets vs. Hawksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+37%+$5.4
Spread: Pistons (-8.5)backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+100%+$15
Clippers vs. Hornets: O/U 226.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+88.7%+$13.3
Clippers vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Trail Blazers vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$24.42
Spread: Warriors (-6.5)backed Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$24.36
Nuggets vs. Rocketsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+127.3%+$27.44
Timberwolves vs. Sunsbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$24.4
Spread: Timberwolves (-3.5)backed Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$14.56
Heat vs. Bullsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$24.51
76ers vs. Bucksbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST+78.2%+$76.79
Kings vs. Grizzlies: O/U 233.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST-100%-$11.66
Showing 25 of 44 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT1553.3%8 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick59cpaid-19.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: G2 Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - First Stand Playoffsbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$143Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$142.53
Games Total: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$19.3
Game Handicap: JDG (-2.5) vs LYON (+2.5)backed JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.45
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs G2 Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$8.57
Games Total: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+37%+$11.1
Games Total: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Games Total: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+28.2%+$5.64
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Top Esports (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+85.2%+$17.04
LoL: Gen.G vs BNK FEARX (BO5) - LCK Cup Playoffsbacked BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$42.13
LoL: BNK FEARX vs DN Freecs (BO5) - LCK Cup Playoffsbacked BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+28.2%+$19.36
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Ninjas in Pyjamas (BO5) - LPL Knights Rivalsbacked Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$49.02
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Weibo Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+51.5%+$20.2
LoL: JD Gaming vs Top Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$19.61
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Top Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST+66.7%+$26.15
LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster (BO5)backed KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$398Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$398.25
All 15 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Nov 12, 2025, EST50%0 W · 5 L-2.9wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
NHL — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Blue Jackets vs. Krakenbacked Kraken · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST-100%-$12.96
Sharks vs. Wildbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST-100%-$32.5
Kings vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST-100%-$15.3
Panthers vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST-100%-$19.25
Avalanche vs. Canucksbacked Canucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2025, EST-100%-$21.3
All 5 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jan 21, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.26per pick59cpaid-41.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.31per pick64cpaid-50%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
MLB — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 2, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+41.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

College Football Inactivelast resolved Nov 13, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
College Football — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Toledo vs. Miami (OH)backed Miami (OH) · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$17.5
Ohio vs. Western Michiganbacked Western Michigan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST+96.1%+$19.6
All 2 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Seahawks vs. Patriotsbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+47.1%+$18.46
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Dec 24, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Nasry Juan Asfura Zablah win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST+42.9%+$18.07
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Feb 8, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Fight Night: Kyoji Horiguchi vs. Amir Albazi (Flyweight, Main Card)backed Horiguchi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+33.3%+$9.8
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Nov 14, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on November 14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST+26.6%+$21
All 1 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jan 23, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Sentient FDV above $600M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$41.6
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Jan 22, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Fenerbahçe SK vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$19.61
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Nov 12, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.79per pick79cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
ATP World Tour Finals, Bjorn Borg Group: Ben Shelton vs Felix Auger-Aliassimebacked Shelton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST-100%-$31.6
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.