TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

First Round Pool C: Australia vs. Chinese Taipei

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Australiaof Australia, Chinese Taipei
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$102,232

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $102,232 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 247 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xee67…67a6backed Chinese Taipei0c13,177$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.34336.1%2 W · 31 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick3cpaid+66.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed Chinese Taipei69c5,756$3,970 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,970.315244.2%23 W · 29 L-4.0wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-8.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Australia30c5,431$1,635 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,795.572231.8%7 W · 15 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick27cpaid-39.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd4da…3175backed Australia31c5,302$1,643 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,658.0611256.3%63 W · 49 L+6.8wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+15%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Chinese Taipei70c5,301$3,685 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,685.31,66050.1%832 W · 828 L-22.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x73f7…b2e9backed Chinese Taipei70c5,261$3,683 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,682.7666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+17.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e16…0127backed Australia30c3,528$1,058 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,469.6862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.15per pick48cpaid+46.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Australia31c3,095$968 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,126.820548.3%99 W · 106 L-5.3wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Australia37c2,518$924 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,593.3812,24746.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L-68.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Chinese Taipei2c2,277$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.333929.4%37 W · 355 L+1.5wins0.00per pick9cpaid-40.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xba81…dc35backed Australia55c2,077$1,143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$934.231163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.4wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+23%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6027…4320backed Australia33c1,573$514 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,059.2484049.4%415 W · 425 L+8.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x034b…00b8backed Chinese Taipei3c1,520$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.06333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.15per pick18cpaid-22.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf3b…0230backed Australia73c1,506$1,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$405.862491.7%22 W · 2 L+4.6wins+0.19per pick72cpaid+29.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Chinese Taipei35c1,478$517 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$517.4847745.7%218 W · 259 L+7.6wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-17.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x208f…1050backed Chinese Taipei70c1,425$997 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$996.83450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x45ee…dc92backed Chinese Taipei19c1,291$247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$247.1610%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Chinese Taipei69c1,246$860 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$859.9440846.1%188 W · 220 L-10.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-7.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x73f9…c640backed Chinese Taipei6c1,200$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.7837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.08per pick29cpaid+27.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Australia30c1,192$358 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$834.2132152%167 W · 154 L+7.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1bad…d681backed Chinese Taipei63c1,126$707 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$706.910%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Chinese Taipei40c1,111$441 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$440.855541.4%230 W · 325 L-26.7wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-17.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xcc8d…56cabacked Chinese Taipei10c1,100$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.3810%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xccd0…2222backed Chinese Taipei70c1,032$722 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$722.4611346.9%53 W · 60 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-7.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x88b9…0fc9backed Chinese Taipei70c1,010$707 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$707.111050%5 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+15.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe8e3…5889backed Chinese Taipei5c1,002$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.9360%0 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8aba…0b08backed Chinese Taipei70c1,001$697 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6973438.2%13 W · 21 L-1.9wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-7.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3c45…2232backed Chinese Taipei73c999.99$730 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$729.9920%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4337…8882backed Australia30c998.57$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6998464.3%54 W · 30 L+8.7wins+0.10per pick54cpaid+18.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2613…b219backed Chinese Taipei22c957.39$214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$214.35333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-52.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Chinese Taipei11c921.75$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.681,45642.7%622 W · 834 L-39.7wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-24.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb9b2…089abacked Chinese Taipei33c900.26$296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$295.84933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick42cpaid+6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x07dd…0876backed Australia30c819$249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$570.345248.1%25 W · 27 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+11.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b17…03b2backed Chinese Taipei56c812.64$457 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$456.699535.8%34 W · 61 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-10.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc345…2c35backed Chinese Taipei70c773.16$541 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$541.214740.4%19 W · 28 L-3.0wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-8.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf83d…367dbacked Australia64c758.06$485 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$273.086145.9%28 W · 33 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+51.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf6b2…6d9dbacked Chinese Taipei70c713.91$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.74560%3 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+12.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Australia74c703.08$519 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.8214724.5%36 W · 111 L-0.3wins0.00per pick25cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xefac…c9a1backed Australia29c683.43$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$484.229751.5%50 W · 47 L+4.9wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+17%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xeba4…69fbbacked Australia30c673.82$203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$470.44742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick36cpaid-9.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xddd3…dba6backed Australia29c641$186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$455.112045%9 W · 11 L+2.8wins+0.14per pick31cpaid-1.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf112…d9e1backed Chinese Taipei70c608.94$426 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$426.26812.5%1 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.14per pick26cpaid-39.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcb52…8046backed Chinese Taipei48c577.47$275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$275333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.31per pick64cpaid-50%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2f2b…0f9abacked Australia35c568.57$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$369.5750751.7%262 W · 245 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa2c3…8b21backed Australia44c558.27$246 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$312.271553.3%8 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb568…14d4backed Australia34c541.95$182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$359.97771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.15per pick56cpaid+31%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x95e6…1611backed Chinese Taipei68c514.93$353 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$352.72650%3 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+14.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x025d…14fcbacked Chinese Taipei70c499.99$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35010%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.70per pick70cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x00b7…0439backed Chinese Taipei22c455.45$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.24per pick57cpaid-52.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc875…ff98backed Australia33c453.94$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$303.94425%1 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.16per pick41cpaid-24.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6e8d…3a3dbacked Chinese Taipei73c449.68$329 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$328.88950.6%45 W · 44 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd9db…f64fbacked Chinese Taipei46c436.32$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-35%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2b55…199bbacked Chinese Taipei12c431.27$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Australia58c428.3$249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.072,38943.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L-25.4wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-11.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3e5b…0324backed Australia29c400$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$285742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+49.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x13d6…926ebacked Australia31c400$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2767128.2%20 W · 51 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick25cpaid+20.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Australia31c395.99$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$273.2349450%247 W · 247 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9450…d9e6backed Australia36c393.16$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$251.761850%9 W · 9 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7071…8352backed Chinese Taipei70c379.8$266 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$265.86714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.13per pick27cpaid-78.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1e54…c8ccbacked Australia25c377.1$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$283.292133.3%7 W · 14 L-2.2wins-0.11per pick44cpaid+48.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xacbb…7178backed Australia34c357.08$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$237.08333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.23per pick56cpaid-0.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2286…3ccfbacked Australia30c350$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$245560%3 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.15per pick45cpaid+115.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xce6d…28b5backed Chinese Taipei66c346.38$229 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$229.11,48350.2%745 W · 738 L+5.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xabfb…12e5backed Chinese Taipei11c332.01$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.172611.5%3 W · 23 L-1.8wins-0.07per pick19cpaid-57.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7669…f58cbacked Australia71c323$229 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.672250%11 W · 11 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+26.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x401d…23c6backed Australia31c322.58$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$222.581136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-19.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x87b8…29dcbacked Australia31c319.99$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$220.792560%15 W · 10 L+3.6wins+0.15per pick45cpaid+29%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1d39…81f7backed Australia32c314.39$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$214.391435.7%5 W · 9 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-30.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xcda0…a51abacked Australia32c313.82$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$214.769651%49 W · 47 L-5.2wins-0.05per pick56cpaid-11.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa717…8919backed Chinese Taipei68c313$213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212.8440548.9%198 W · 207 L+13.2wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+9.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Chinese Taipei80c302.75$241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241.0231038.4%119 W · 191 L+9.7wins+0.03per pick35cpaid+28.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8435…750dbacked Chinese Taipei5c300$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1510%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec56…dd09backed Australia30c300$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2107243.1%31 W · 41 L-5.5wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-12.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x685d…22d6backed Australia30c291$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.711547%54 W · 61 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc148…ca5dbacked Chinese Taipei70c286.79$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.7514540.7%59 W · 86 L-5.0wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x605b…be2fbacked Chinese Taipei70c285.71$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20010%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.70per pick70cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x193e…29bdbacked Chinese Taipei70c283.37$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.3620%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0640…1cd6backed Australia32c279.87$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191.18966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.7wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+109.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x174b…a1e8backed Chinese Taipei75c266.92$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick49cpaid+41.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe304…4b0bbacked Australia39c256.22$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.29475%3 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.30per pick45cpaid+42.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7200…9299backed Australia31c253.46$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.545251.9%27 W · 25 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5031…1ffbbacked Australia33c235$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.45450%2 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.16per pick34cpaid+20.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x07b2…1960backed Chinese Taipei26c227.51$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-52.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfc8a…8f0bbacked Australia54c225.15$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.151968.4%13 W · 6 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick63cpaid+9.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf73a…df4cbacked Chinese Taipei7c222.15$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.110%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb066…8ee0backed Chinese Taipei69c214.33$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.8910%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.69per pick69cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1e29…9e66backed Australia71c210.87$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.13757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe8ca…cccbbacked Australia28c204.31$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.61533.3%5 W · 10 L+1.1wins+0.07per pick26cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8990…091abacked Chinese Taipei7c200$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.920%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe115…8c0ebacked Chinese Taipei24c200$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48520%1 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick20cpaid-16.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8916…0562backed Chinese Taipei70c200$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1401030%3 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.09per pick39cpaid-24.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7c27…0c6abacked Chinese Taipei7c200$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1410%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd829…b61cbacked Chinese Taipei50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10030%0 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4fb4…8830backed Chinese Taipei65c199.98$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.992429.2%7 W · 17 L-2.6wins-0.11per pick40cpaid-24.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe5ea…52dbbacked Chinese Taipei70c195.66$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.9630%0 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa559…6dbbbacked Chinese Taipei66c190$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.984951%25 W · 24 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+7.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7c69…eec3backed Australia69c188.24$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.64366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.31per pick36cpaid+100.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb6e3…4c92backed Chinese Taipei69c180.25$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.3720%0 W · 2 L-1.3wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe86a…e272backed Australia49c179.09$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.88742.9%3 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick42cpaid-27.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc44d…935cbacked Australia30c167.36$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.154555.6%25 W · 20 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+9.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.