TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x07b2…1960

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
55
Categories scored
3
Categories below 50
2

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 51 out of 100 (+0.01 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 51 out of 100; worst Lol at 48.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 14, 2026, EDT3751.4%19 W · 18 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 37 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will France win on 2026-07-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Brazil vs. Norway: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$31.97
Switzerland vs. Algeria: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
England vs. DR Congo: O/U 9.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Mexico vs. Ecuador: Team to Advancebacked Ecuador · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$33.33
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+102%+$51.02
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$75
Brazil vs. Japan: O/U 9.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Croatia vs. Ghana: O/U 7.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Norway vs. France: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$63.93
Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Japan vs. Sweden: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$33.33
Japan vs. Sweden: Japan O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Curaçao vs. Côte d'Ivoire: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
South Africa vs. Korea Republic: O/U 9.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$44.34
Norway vs. Senegal: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$33.33
Netherlands vs. Sweden: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$15.32
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Mexico vs. Korea Republic: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Uzbekistan vs. Colombia: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will England vs. Croatia end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
France vs. Senegal: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$37.72
Spain vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 8.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$20
Showing 25 of 37 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT1546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-14.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: G2 Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$30.62
LoL: G2 Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 4 Winnerbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$133Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$132.98
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs JD Gaming - Game 3 Winnerbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
LoL: LYON vs JD Gaming - Game 4 Winnerbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$56.52
LoL: LYON vs JD Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+150%+$45
LoL: G2 Esports vs BNK FEARX - Game 3 Winnerbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$122.83
LoL: G2 Esports vs BNK FEARX - Game 2 Winnerbacked BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
LoL: G2 Esports vs BNK FEARX - Game 1 Winnerbacked BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs G2 Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$41.11
LoL: Gen.G vs JD Gaming - Game 3 Winnerbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$106Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$37.19
LoL: Gen.G vs JD Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
LoL: Gen.G vs JD Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$35.24
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs BNK FEARX (BO5) - First Stand Group Abacked BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs BNK FEARX - Game 2 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.67
LoL: JD Gaming vs Weibo Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$148Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$148.08
All 15 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Mar 9, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-52.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.