TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Japan vs. Sweden: Japan O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$134,403
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$134,979

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $134,403 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 94 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under79c45,657$35,992 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,664.134,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x70dc…1dfdbacked Over27c25,224$6,773 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,773.224148.8%20 W · 21 L-0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-8.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x16c7…3931backed Over25c10,022$2,474 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,473.877020%14 W · 56 L-6.4wins-0.09per pick29cpaid-39.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xe987…f0e1backed Over20c10,000$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00038026.6%101 W · 279 L-10.0wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-21.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Over21c5,527$1,171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,171.372,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under75c4,860$3,661 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,198.442,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Under80c4,186$3,345 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$840.891,53649.1%754 W · 782 L+32.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x03f4…7e44backed Over20c2,499$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.8714433.3%48 W · 96 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d01…27cbbacked Over25c2,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50017636.4%64 W · 112 L+10.8wins+0.06per pick30cpaid+35.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Over8c1,935$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.762,62641.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L-11.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over21c1,613$339 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$338.98,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked Under80c1,250$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25067447.6%321 W · 353 L+7.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xef88…d62cbacked Under75c1,000$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2503363.6%21 W · 12 L+3.5wins+0.11per pick53cpaid+11%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xfb11…7901backed Under75c1,000$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2506759.7%40 W · 27 L+4.2wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+36.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Under72c972$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$272.1659752.1%311 W · 286 L-2.8wins0.00per pick53cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6f73…8d13backed Over21c937.79$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2003627.8%10 W · 26 L-1.7wins-0.05per pick32cpaid-14.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Under73c840$612 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$228.21,87348.4%906 W · 967 L+14.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Over10c726.31$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.684,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7300…e52cbacked Under72c676.02$487 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$189.2977845%350 W · 428 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+6.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over14c668$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.51,25239.2%491 W · 761 L+6.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-20.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Over16c666.92$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.452,63432.9%867 W · 1,767 L+43.3wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-19.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Over25c603.65$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.353,21347.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over24c539.09$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.362,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x56ac…d77ebacked Under76c507$385 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.6870244.6%313 W · 389 L+13.8wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+10.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc4d5…87cfbacked Over17c500$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8537237.4%139 W · 233 L+6.5wins+0.02per pick36cpaid-1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xae7d…058fbacked Under72c500$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1403441.2%14 W · 20 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-14.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5425…d3e8backed Over23c500$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11515127.8%42 W · 109 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-32.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb983…20e6backed Under75c500$375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125580%4 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.20per pick60cpaid+30.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa2c3…ac23backed Under74c499.99$370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13095739.5%378 W · 579 L-18.4wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-0.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2cfe…e4debacked Over6c451$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.5822623.5%53 W · 173 L-6.0wins-0.03per pick26cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0e3d…85abbacked Under74c429.58$318 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.6936448.6%177 W · 187 L-9.5wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3e8e…9665backed Under76c394.03$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.0328444.4%126 W · 158 L+1.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under78c386.04$301 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.932,41153%1,278 W · 1,133 L+75.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe660…f522backed Over26c384.62$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007626.3%20 W · 56 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick30cpaid-28.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1d4d…fba6backed Over22c363.64$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8014239.4%56 W · 86 L-4.1wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-13%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Over10c362.14$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.922,80446.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L-27.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4d7a…751abacked Over12c332.38$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.5373234.6%253 W · 479 L-22.2wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-19.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under79c319.95$254 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.643,73151.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L+55.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x033f…618ebacked Over6c303$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.865737.4%246 W · 411 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Under73c300$218 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$821,20448.9%589 W · 615 L+18.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9f15…bdb3backed Under72c277.77$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.7846550.3%234 W · 231 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf04f…4da0backed Over20c275$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$555752.6%30 W · 27 L+7.3wins+0.13per pick40cpaid+39.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x07b2…1960backed Over19c263.16$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503751.4%19 W · 18 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xab9e…363abacked Over24c256$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.443231.3%10 W · 22 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-16.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x35b1…8962backed Under80c247.5$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.55543.6%24 W · 31 L-2.4wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-19.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Over13c236$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.681,49241%612 W · 880 L-1.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-13.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0fc0…a921backed Over22c227.27$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5016542.4%70 W · 95 L-5.2wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-23.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x73ae…e665backed Under75c217.78$163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.442864.3%18 W · 10 L+3.0wins+0.11per pick54cpaid+10.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under77c210.72$163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.452,30737.6%867 W · 1,440 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Under75c210.52$157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.41,94542.7%831 W · 1,114 L-11.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa93e…0a8cbacked Under77c207.46$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.7342853.3%228 W · 200 L-15.5wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0fce…63d5backed Under76c203.29$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.651,31348.9%642 W · 671 L+12.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x243c…2240backed Over24c200$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$487429.7%22 W · 52 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick28cpaid-6.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3ecd…44e8backed Over25c180$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$452528%7 W · 18 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x83d9…10d9backed Under76c163.35$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.811,39046.3%644 W · 746 L+20.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x263f…a477backed Over26c151.99$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$403333.3%11 W · 22 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick30cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8a80…11c5backed Over19c150$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.587237.8%330 W · 542 L-39.9wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-28.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Over11c149$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.851,43840.1%576 W · 862 L-40.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-24.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under76c142.51$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.983,28649.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L+6.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5f83…761bbacked Over19c129.51$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254052.5%21 W · 19 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-11%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x88ad…9e5fbacked Under80c125$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2511058.2%64 W · 46 L-0.5wins0.00per pick59cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d5f…1171backed Under78c123.27$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.721,45953.9%787 W · 672 L-6.3wins0.00per pick54cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfd06…b333backed Over24c122.8$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304942.9%21 W · 28 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-13.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc155…e36bbacked Under75c115.22$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.9278559.7%469 W · 316 L+25.8wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Over24c112.74$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.83,07747%1,447 W · 1,630 L-11.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3607…c08bbacked Over24c104.17$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2517528%49 W · 126 L-4.9wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x66e7…8bcdbacked Under72c100$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2887837.2%327 W · 551 L-41.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-33.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6f45…db24backed Over10c100$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1014054.3%76 W · 64 L-5.2wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-11.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4b51…da79backed Over19c100$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193215.6%5 W · 27 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick18cpaid-33.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Over24c88.32$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.111,56339.8%622 W · 941 L-51.9wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-23.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1e8e…0cc4backed Over24c83.33$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2018911.1%21 W · 168 L-9.4wins-0.05per pick16cpaid-35.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3a1b…2545backed Over24c83.33$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204617.4%8 W · 38 L-5.3wins-0.11per pick29cpaid-39%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2126…aeebbacked Under77c75$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.2541444.9%186 W · 228 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd56d…4928backed Over27c74.07$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209848%47 W · 51 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d92…9102backed Under72c71$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.881747.1%8 W · 9 L+1.2wins+0.07per pick40cpaid-11.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9892…fd59backed Over22c65.91$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.546243.5%201 W · 261 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+16.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under78c64.57$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.4483153.3%443 W · 388 L+15.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb272…3c86backed Over19c56$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.642356.5%13 W · 10 L+4.8wins+0.21per pick36cpaid+51.5%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x0341…9294backed Over21c52.38$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1149426.7%132 W · 362 L-9.8wins-0.02per pick29cpaid-14%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf3e…3918backed Over20c50$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1012546.4%58 W · 67 L+6.5wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+14%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x161a…ad41backed Over20c50$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1030%0 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1f64…3633backed Under72c44$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.326264.5%40 W · 22 L+8.2wins+0.13per pick51cpaid+33.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Under73c35$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.452,79656.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L-9.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc650…55a1backed Under78c34$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.629363.1%185 W · 108 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick62cpaid-2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0977…53ccbacked Under75c33.32$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.3315751%80 W · 77 L+0.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe481…d138backed Under77c30$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.932837.2%122 W · 206 L+7.7wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Under73c30$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.132855.8%183 W · 145 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick56cpaid+1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed Under80c23.88$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.7831149.5%154 W · 157 L+0.7wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x46f8…68ccbacked Under77c20.09$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.541,24043.7%542 W · 698 L+13.2wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd78e…6421backed Under72c20$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.616157.8%93 W · 68 L-8.9wins-0.06per pick63cpaid-8.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4836…859bbacked Under77c18.3$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.252,23149.2%1,098 W · 1,133 L-21.2wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe76a…37c4backed Under77c15.57$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.5810253.9%55 W · 47 L+5.8wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+6.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x40d6…9892backed Under80c14.86$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.0354956.8%312 W · 237 L+1.1wins0.00per pick57cpaid-4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb1a7…8150backed Under79c13.38$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2.815682.1%46 W · 10 L+4.8wins+0.09per pick74cpaid+12.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 37 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.