TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Japan vs. Sweden: O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$889,639
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,002,511

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $889,639 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 586 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6754…e3bcbacked Under65c112,950$73,418 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73,417.5615456.5%87 W · 67 L+5.6wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+9.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under36c69,743$25,192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25,192.074,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x58f8…dc70backed Over77c41,931$32,287 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,644.15955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick63cpaid-20.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over76c29,052$22,130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,922.038,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9340…ae1dbacked Over35c28,571$10,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,571.437416.2%12 W · 62 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick18cpaid-19.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Over56c21,751$12,081 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,670.042,40737.7%908 W · 1,499 L-48.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x45ad…55b7backed Over42c20,325$8,604 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,720.576459.4%38 W · 26 L+6.0wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+18.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xe3cb…ac21backed Over53c19,260$10,115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,144.6813151.1%67 W · 64 L+5.0wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+13.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6219…aa6fbacked Over78c19,231$15,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,230.7710057%57 W · 43 L+0.4wins0.00per pick57cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over51c18,764$9,577 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,187.063,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Over77c13,980$10,785 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,195.221,98532.5%645 W · 1,340 L-47.7wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under22c13,978$3,075 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,075.1974447.8%356 W · 388 L+11.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Under55c11,923$6,570 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,569.6777152.8%407 W · 364 L+17.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Under47c10,935$5,122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,121.532,27139.5%896 W · 1,375 L+10.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xacea…8b97backed Over35c10,700$3,748 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,951.9815147%71 W · 80 L-7.7wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-13.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf298…ada5backed Under65c10,000$6,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,5006943.5%30 W · 39 L-4.5wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-22.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x753d…2ce0backed Under37c7,706$2,850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,849.994740.4%19 W · 28 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+29.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0de8…6cf3backed Over36c7,500$2,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,8006930.4%21 W · 48 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick33cpaid+11.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8806…2e83backed Over65c7,326$4,778 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,547.9728229.4%83 W · 199 L-6.1wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-38%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2805…76edbacked Over41c7,086$2,934 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,152.420448%98 W · 106 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Under23c6,879$1,582 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,582.172,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under22c6,775$1,511 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,511.161,56043.8%684 W · 876 L-4.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed Under23c5,393$1,264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,264.2850243.4%218 W · 284 L-9.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x69e7…0824backed Over56c5,357$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,357.146155.7%34 W · 27 L+4.4wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+6.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa704…11c1backed Over78c5,128$4,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,128.218672.1%62 W · 24 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick70cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x05e3…4b87backed Over50c5,000$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,50014445.8%66 W · 78 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8ec6…d9edbacked Over70c5,000$3,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,50021631%67 W · 149 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-37.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1418…6fefbacked Under23c4,818$1,126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,126.4147643.3%206 W · 270 L-10.9wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-11%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe337…4ad6backed Over80c4,540$3,616 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$924.6530054%162 W · 138 L+17.1wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+32.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Under23c4,360$1,003 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,002.862,43929%707 W · 1,732 L-65.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked Under24c4,167$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$999.9967447.6%321 W · 353 L+7.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfa69…02c1backed Over65c3,850$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,350.2143737.8%165 W · 272 L-0.9wins0.00per pick38cpaid-16.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4133…e7a9backed Under23c3,729$874 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$873.6944144%194 W · 247 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under23c3,692$849 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$848.652,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x500f…94bfbacked Under53c3,675$1,948 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,947.5620%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.58per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9cb9…32f2backed Over32c3,636$1,164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,472.4825038.8%97 W · 153 L+6.0wins+0.02per pick36cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x34a1…7622backed Under35c3,531$1,251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,250.9230626.5%81 W · 225 L-7.6wins-0.02per pick29cpaid+1.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc23d…82c8backed Over31c3,522$1,098 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,423.532656.1%183 W · 143 L+29.5wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+29.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x60ba…3c6cbacked Under23c3,501$810 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$810.2147144.8%211 W · 260 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf29a…3122backed Over35c3,425$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,224.5416637.3%62 W · 104 L+7.6wins+0.05per pick33cpaid+6.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb014…a357backed Under60c3,169$1,915 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,915.2415642.9%67 W · 89 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x06f2…1269backed Over61c3,124$1,914 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,210.7238333.9%130 W · 253 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-34.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x835a…530abacked Over44c3,109$1,372 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,737.0615455.2%85 W · 69 L+14.6wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+13.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xae2b…90eabacked Over36c3,056$1,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,955.5620633%68 W · 138 L-7.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-10.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over42c3,017$1,263 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,753.511,14439.2%448 W · 696 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x23b0…13a3backed Under22c3,000$660 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66015128.5%43 W · 108 L-5.8wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-20.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3f67…a203backed Under55c3,000$1,650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,65015937.7%60 W · 99 L+7.9wins+0.05per pick33cpaid+14.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe34a…f5f0backed Over36c3,000$1,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,9209848%47 W · 51 L+4.5wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+9.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2f5b…e747backed Under23c3,000$690 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$689.9948441.9%203 W · 281 L-16.8wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-15.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over53c2,803$1,473 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,329.811,22443.4%531 W · 693 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf6e1…06bbbacked Over76c2,739$2,082 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$657.4724162.2%150 W · 91 L+6.2wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+0.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1ab8…1b4abacked Over71c2,659$1,879 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$780.0939644.7%177 W · 219 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-22.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeb77…ef9ebacked Over78c2,564$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$564.130465.1%198 W · 106 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick66cpaid+0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3314…67f5backed Over36c2,523$908 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,614.741225%3 W · 9 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick31cpaid-38.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbf93…e5e9backed Over36c2,500$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,6003751.4%19 W · 18 L+6.3wins+0.17per pick34cpaid+41%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Under24c2,400$576 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$575.991,53649.1%754 W · 782 L+32.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed Under3c2,274$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.9819946.7%93 W · 106 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-11.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf2d2…a1cdbacked Over66c2,273$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$773.0721759%128 W · 89 L+13.8wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+9.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf5e2…1327backed Under22c2,273$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5004820.8%10 W · 38 L-4.8wins-0.10per pick31cpaid-31.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x3b29…556ebacked Over36c2,196$791 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,405.65543.6%24 W · 31 L+2.8wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+6.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbec0…9bddbacked Over68c2,136$1,444 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$692.7862633.9%212 W · 414 L-28.6wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-37.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xaaa0…e78abacked Over71c2,110$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$610.318950.6%45 W · 44 L+0.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over62c2,009$1,245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$764.252,30737.6%867 W · 1,440 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xda16…ac2bbacked Under34c2,000$680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6804153.7%22 W · 19 L+3.5wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+32.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xaabb…5554backed Under23c2,000$464 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$463.9947442.8%203 W · 271 L-14.1wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8b7a…9e24backed Under32c2,000$640 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$639.9713234.1%45 W · 87 L+0.2wins0.00per pick34cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3642…74eabacked Under17c1,833$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31013727%37 W · 100 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-30.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0823…ec6abacked Under22c1,760$387 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$387.1143139%168 W · 263 L+1.3wins0.00per pick39cpaid-5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf387…61c0backed Over30c1,744$528 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,215.4234964.5%225 W · 124 L+73.5wins+0.21per pick43cpaid+123.1%equal weight72+0.20 edge/pick
0xc670…b781backed Over77c1,735$1,336 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$399.0552744.4%234 W · 293 L-11.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-8.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8e2b…97b2backed Under50c1,685$843 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$842.678038.8%31 W · 49 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-21.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1ba2…d212backed Under26c1,634$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$419.5158942.6%251 W · 338 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-12.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x09dd…7e13backed Over44c1,600$701 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89937944.1%167 W · 212 L+0.7wins0.00per pick44cpaid-12.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0189…cab8backed Over76c1,579$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$378.9510261.8%63 W · 39 L-4.7wins-0.05per pick66cpaid-10.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9def…6eacbacked Under33c1,576$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5202334.8%8 W · 15 L-1.6wins-0.07per pick42cpaid+4.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe9e7…4697backed Under33c1,500$495 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49523440.2%94 W · 140 L-5.4wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeba1…838bbacked Over77c1,500$1,155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$345875%6 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.09per pick66cpaid+20.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa698…db5ebacked Over76c1,481$1,126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$355.447962%49 W · 30 L+7.7wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+13.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x662b…73a8backed Over75c1,472$1,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$372.0427236%98 W · 174 L-6.4wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-15.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x815f…1eefbacked Under59c1,426$842 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$841.6261750.6%312 W · 305 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfdf…8e02backed Over77c1,400$1,078 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32233149.5%164 W · 167 L+9.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+9.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbf01…859ebacked Over36c1,389$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$888.897842.3%33 W · 45 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2536…5d91backed Under22c1,364$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3002619.2%5 W · 21 L-2.6wins-0.10per pick29cpaid-30.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Under43c1,353$582 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$582.31,14146.2%527 W · 614 L+25.3wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Over71c1,338$948 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$390.632,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc35b…6eb2backed Over76c1,315$999 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$315.62454.2%13 W · 11 L-1.8wins-0.08per pick62cpaid-11.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8a80…11c5backed Under23c1,277$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$290.2287237.8%330 W · 542 L-39.9wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-28.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Over64c1,246$803 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$442.541,62732.1%523 W · 1,104 L+4.0wins0.00per pick32cpaid-19.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3242…0e0bbacked Over30c1,200$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$839.97338.4%28 W · 45 L0.0wins0.00per pick38cpaid+5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b28…b6bebacked Under52c1,177$612 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6122060%12 W · 8 L+1.3wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+10%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x06f0…ad99backed Over48c1,169$562 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$607.217948%86 W · 93 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-8.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc249…8a61backed Under23c1,108$251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250.7113548.9%66 W · 69 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7164…7ff7backed Over36c1,083$390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$693.336648.5%32 W · 34 L+7.6wins+0.11per pick37cpaid+107.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe20f…6ccebacked Over47c1,064$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$563.8318435.3%65 W · 119 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x145a…5e86backed Over29c1,034$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$734.4821641.7%90 W · 126 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Under24c1,013$247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$247.462,53346.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L+12.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x1d13…643cbacked Over77c1,000$770 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23032254%174 W · 148 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a09…e2b8backed Over78c1,000$780 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2206258.1%36 W · 26 L+6.6wins+0.11per pick47cpaid+8.5%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x510c…6a61backed Under1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1022029.5%65 W · 155 L+10.8wins+0.05per pick25cpaid-14%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8565…0c43backed Over77c1,000$770 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23018644.6%83 W · 103 L+0.6wins0.00per pick44cpaid-15.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 37 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.