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Fifa International · resolved market

Japan vs. Sweden: Japan O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$327,559
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$323,566

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $327,559 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 198 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under54c176,377$96,110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80,266.684,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x85f0…3f67backed Over49c140,000$68,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68,6007346.6%34 W · 39 L+4.2wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+20.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Over49c27,524$13,355 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,355.332,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed Under56c17,911$10,084 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,827.1553448.5%259 W · 275 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Under51c14,983$7,643 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,339.741,94135.5%690 W · 1,251 L-25.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Over25c12,858$3,258 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,257.742,62641.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L-11.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Under53c8,617$4,545 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,072.281,53649.1%754 W · 782 L+32.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over38c6,973$2,626 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,625.62,30737.6%867 W · 1,440 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5faf…1183backed Over45c6,000$2,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,7009823.5%23 W · 75 L-5.0wins-0.05per pick29cpaid-33.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x033f…618ebacked Over24c5,640$1,341 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,341.3265737.4%246 W · 411 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Over5c4,538$241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$240.93,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x23d8…0288backed Under53c4,243$2,249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,994.3417949.2%88 W · 91 L+6.1wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+3.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0e60…3badbacked Over45c3,279$1,476 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,475.638627.9%24 W · 62 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick27cpaid+8.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under64c2,978$1,907 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,071.164,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over23c2,679$611 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$611.312,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa8e6…d471backed Over45c2,500$1,125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1254456.8%25 W · 19 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Over30c2,363$702 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$702.44,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x25c7…9179backed Over46c2,350$1,075 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,074.777528%21 W · 54 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under55c2,193$1,201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$992.112,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2e63…ed53backed Over45c2,170$977 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$976.612828.6%8 W · 20 L-3.3wins-0.12per pick40cpaid-22.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8d98…e447backed Over48c2,062$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0004250%21 W · 21 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x426d…6885backed Over49c1,817$891 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$890.557844.9%35 W · 43 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick42cpaid-11.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over46c1,715$782 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$782.218,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0fce…63d5backed Under51c1,689$864 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$825.581,31348.9%642 W · 671 L+12.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under51c1,361$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$660.72,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4132…a5a5backed Over32c1,254$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40022846.1%105 W · 123 L-0.9wins0.00per pick46cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Over31c1,200$372 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$372.421,66941.6%694 W · 975 L+15.9wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x97b3…4a85backed Over47c1,200$567 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56731046.5%144 W · 166 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x333b…62dabacked Over51c1,131$574 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$573.735251.9%27 W · 25 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-12.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x944e…8c94backed Under54c1,111$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$511.0414348.3%69 W · 74 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc9f…905bbacked Over51c1,045$533 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$532.9523540.4%95 W · 140 L-6.4wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-9.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfb11…7901backed Over48c1,000$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4806759.7%40 W · 27 L+4.2wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+36.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2970…e1c9backed Over47c1,000$470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47014351.7%74 W · 69 L+7.4wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+5.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8532…738bbacked Over54c999.99$540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$539.9913046.9%61 W · 69 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7245…f1c3backed Under55c999.99$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$450742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-27.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe7a2…ae70backed Over46c978.04$449 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$448.788932.6%29 W · 60 L-10.7wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-30.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xe20f…6ccebacked Over52c965.48$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50018435.3%65 W · 119 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked Under53c943.35$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$443.3867447.6%321 W · 353 L+7.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ad5…62ffbacked Over23c900$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.9948328%135 W · 348 L-19.4wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-21.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Under50c885.44$445 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$440.551,87348.4%906 W · 967 L+14.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe283…7190backed Over52c730.77$380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38023736.3%86 W · 151 L-8.7wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-23%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over13c674$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.591,25239.2%491 W · 761 L+6.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-20.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x6f73…8d13backed Over46c652.17$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3003627.8%10 W · 26 L-1.7wins-0.05per pick32cpaid-14.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3504…d4f1backed Over49c637$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31012556.8%71 W · 54 L+8.0wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+14.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7b7f…d56cbacked Over2c612$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.2482537.1%306 W · 519 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-19.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4d3a…64b7backed Over52c599.99$312 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31212947.3%61 W · 68 L+4.3wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+22.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Over37c584.6$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$216.412,63432.9%867 W · 1,767 L+43.3wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-19.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over24c567.4$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.463,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under51c520$265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$255.12,41153%1,278 W · 1,133 L+75.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Over48c509.66$247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$246.73,07747%1,447 W · 1,630 L-11.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x76ca…e170backed Over43c507.73$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22015455.8%86 W · 68 L+7.9wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+9.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2a58…b808backed Over46c500$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23022835.5%81 W · 147 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-10.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x589a…8dc5backed Over42c473.43$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.848725.3%22 W · 65 L-4.4wins-0.05per pick30cpaid-27.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0c15…9a45backed Under59c463.43$272 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191.5636350.1%182 W · 181 L-7.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6553…7a71backed Under50c454.48$227 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$227.2476551.6%395 W · 370 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc4d5…87cfbacked Over30c447.45$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.8237237.4%139 W · 233 L+6.5wins+0.02per pick36cpaid-1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d73…87e3backed Over45c435.8$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.111421.4%3 W · 11 L-1.0wins-0.07per pick29cpaid+18%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Under49c419.65$206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$213.241,94542.7%831 W · 1,114 L-11.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under52c411.98$215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.423,73151.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L+55.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4924…8fc6backed Over36c400$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1447949.4%39 W · 40 L+3.4wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+8.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Over34c396.67$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.92,80446.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L-27.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under51c385.09$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$190.073,28649.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L+6.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9162…76e5backed Over51c380.88$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.2510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d5f…1171backed Under56c358.79$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.741,45953.9%787 W · 672 L-6.3wins0.00per pick54cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9359…6aacbacked Over47c319.99$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.415052%78 W · 72 L+8.2wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+13.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb8bd…478fbacked Over47c305$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.3514738.8%57 W · 90 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick40cpaid+1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd468…f6febacked Over23c300$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$688740.2%35 W · 52 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-16.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Under47c300$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.551,20448.9%589 W · 615 L+18.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6648…4798backed Over21c299.99$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$637748.1%37 W · 40 L+6.8wins+0.09per pick39cpaid+27%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x6917…0da3backed Over36c271.47$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.7310%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xeb2e…7821backed Over50c269.84$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.761,42147.8%679 W · 742 L-0.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Over38c256.54$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.421,56339.8%622 W · 941 L-51.9wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-23.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Over50c241.31$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.793,21347.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf31a…bfbabacked Over14c214.29$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3024616.3%40 W · 206 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick17cpaid-20.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5de6…d677backed Over47c212.77$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007832.1%25 W · 53 L-3.9wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-11.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6082…3323backed Over47c212.77$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10017945.3%81 W · 98 L+4.5wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xabf3…4807backed Over19c210.53$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$403438.2%13 W · 21 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-35.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfdbe…b6d8backed Over25c210.52$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.634012.5%5 W · 35 L-4.7wins-0.12per pick24cpaid-34.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x83f2…c203backed Under54c205.56$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.563033.3%10 W · 20 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick30cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under66c205.02$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.481,71135.2%603 W · 1,108 L-68.3wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-22.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4738…9cfbbacked Over49c205$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.458142%34 W · 47 L-3.3wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-3.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6932…6878backed Under55c200$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$906124.6%15 W · 46 L-6.8wins-0.11per pick36cpaid-40.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x80d8…a2d5backed Over54c200$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10815758%91 W · 66 L+9.6wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+3.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2ae1…378fbacked Over50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10018929.1%55 W · 134 L-9.4wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-26.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd032…5136backed Over51c196.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010451%53 W · 51 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x21af…e761backed Over51c196.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005650%28 W · 28 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x71cc…9144backed Over51c196.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10023544.7%105 W · 130 L-4.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0195…1e21backed Over51c194.78$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10044144%194 W · 247 L-0.9wins0.00per pick44cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd928…f5c0backed Over52c192.31$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005164.7%33 W · 18 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick62cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7769…89c9backed Under52c192.31$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.3110539%41 W · 64 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick42cpaid+41.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e89…af95backed Over36c180$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.55341.5%22 W · 31 L-3.1wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-16%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1acd…53f3backed Over51c176.47$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$902748.1%13 W · 14 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbd3c…fc78backed Over23c176.43$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.4822560.4%136 W · 89 L+7.7wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd5a2…58fdbacked Over49c174.09$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.31450%7 W · 7 L-1.7wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-23%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Over31c164.19$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.91,62732.1%523 W · 1,104 L+4.0wins0.00per pick32cpaid-19.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbb42…6e09backed Under54c162.96$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.9662452.7%329 W · 295 L+10.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Over48c161.82$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.952,27139.5%896 W · 1,375 L+10.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3900…fb4ebacked Over42c161.37$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.2323729.5%70 W · 167 L-11.0wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-22.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe2c0…b876backed Over37c153.3$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.7210532.4%34 W · 71 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick31cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd747…ead8backed Over48c144.59$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$708949.4%44 W · 45 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 37 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.