TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Japan vs. Sweden: 1st Half O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$103,818
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$102,338

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $103,818 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 140 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9340…ae1dbacked Over35c11,537$4,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,0007416.2%12 W · 62 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick18cpaid-19.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x72d7…1b97backed Over33c11,288$3,725 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,724.9346223.2%107 W · 355 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick22cpaid-9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Under67c8,960$6,039 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,921.311,53649.1%754 W · 782 L+32.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Under66c4,900$3,215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,684.9986452.7%455 W · 409 L+26.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xddc3…029cbacked Over9c3,499$315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$314.9122943.7%100 W · 129 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa700…102bbacked Over5c3,470$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.9351514.2%73 W · 442 L+6.2wins+0.01per pick13cpaid+9.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xca89…7bc4backed Under66c3,200$2,112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,087.9937850.5%191 W · 187 L-7.5wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-2.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under66c3,115$2,046 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,068.21,26247.5%600 W · 662 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0886…b3a6backed Over33c2,989$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00032922.5%74 W · 255 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick24cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1b6d…2f1abacked Over34c2,944$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00015034.7%52 W · 98 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over13c2,632$352 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$351.64,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under66c2,456$1,626 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$829.552,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2952…4e7ebacked Over17c2,231$370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3702528%7 W · 18 L-2.7wins-0.11per pick39cpaid-38.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Over3c2,000$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$603,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec59…bb35backed Over20c2,000$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39043248.4%209 W · 223 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under76c1,891$1,442 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$449.594,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Over32c1,750$568 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$567.773,21347.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed Under66c1,523$1,005 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$517.953448.5%259 W · 275 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x03f4…7e44backed Over33c1,500$495 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49514433.3%48 W · 96 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f5f…1695backed Over34c1,472$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50037223.9%89 W · 283 L-9.9wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-21.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked Under68c1,471$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$470.5867447.6%321 W · 353 L+7.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe1a6…d584backed Under67c1,400$938 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46238351.4%197 W · 186 L-1.7wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over25c1,322$325 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$325.023,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over34c1,189$404 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$404.418,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x839e…0d3cbacked Under66c1,019$670 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$348.9713639%53 W · 83 L-6.5wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6adf…4f5bbacked Over34c999.99$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34016139.8%64 W · 97 L-0.4wins0.00per pick40cpaid+6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Over37c925.78$339 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$339.352,62641.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L-11.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaf0e…6a32backed Over33c878.76$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$289.991850%9 W · 9 L+3.1wins+0.17per pick33cpaid+114.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over31c796.78$249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.232,30737.6%867 W · 1,440 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x87b6…4ababacked Under67c700$469 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23145038.2%172 W · 278 L-28.4wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-18%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Under66c696.72$460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$236.881,04443.7%456 W · 588 L+20.7wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+14.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x03b8…b4aebacked Under78c641.15$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.1523353.2%124 W · 109 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9f15…bdb3backed Under66c606.2$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$206.246550.3%234 W · 231 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x52d8…100dbacked Over33c606.06$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20032739.1%128 W · 199 L+10.3wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3388…61d7backed Under67c600$402 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19839050.8%198 W · 192 L-8.2wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x288a…0048backed Under67c600$402 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19838451.6%198 W · 186 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-0.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd722…0564backed Over34c588.24$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20019436.6%71 W · 123 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+6.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x72e8…4903backed Over28c580$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.47045.7%32 W · 38 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+18.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf536…1579backed Over33c560$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184.815440.3%62 W · 92 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcba9…f812backed Over37c540.54$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2007913.9%11 W · 68 L-4.3wins-0.05per pick19cpaid-27.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over8c517.47$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.482,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Over35c434.24$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.982,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x57b9…6655backed Over34c433.47$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.384647.8%22 W · 24 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-9.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f6a…a7bfbacked Under67c400$268 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13235352.7%186 W · 167 L-0.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x60ab…e297backed Under67c400$268 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13235451.4%182 W · 172 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick52cpaid+1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe75e…4b67backed Under67c400$268 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13235251.7%182 W · 170 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ed3…0a22backed Under67c400$268 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13237051.4%190 W · 180 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick52cpaid+1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8d74…f2abbacked Under78c385.22$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.227233.3%24 W · 48 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-28.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x815f…1eefbacked Under66c351.68$232 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.5761750.6%312 W · 305 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Over37c330.4$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.252,53346.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L+12.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xf1e0…041bbacked Under67c312$209 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.9637452.1%195 W · 179 L-0.7wins0.00per pick52cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8f8b…9e2dbacked Under65c306.83$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.3939951.4%205 W · 194 L-7.2wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-1.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed Under66c303.98$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.3540343.7%176 W · 227 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc29…422abacked Over33c303.03$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005930.5%18 W · 41 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-12.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb0cb…85babacked Over35c300$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1055547.3%26 W · 29 L+0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid+2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x974b…076ebacked Over34c300$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1025530.9%17 W · 38 L-2.7wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-18.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x459a…bf86backed Over34c289.65$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.489237%34 W · 58 L+4.9wins+0.05per pick32cpaid+19.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Under66c286.94$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.561,87348.4%906 W · 967 L+14.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4060…e63cbacked Over36c277.78$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10020447.5%97 W · 107 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Over16c275.31$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.511,94135.5%690 W · 1,251 L-25.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Over36c251.86$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.091,66941.6%694 W · 975 L+15.9wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x606f…b043backed Under67c237.39$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.3440848.8%199 W · 209 L-8.9wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3900…fb4ebacked Over38c237.16$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9023729.5%70 W · 167 L-11.0wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-22.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x77df…de44backed Over34c235.29$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$802733.3%9 W · 18 L-4.2wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-35.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x8a3b…5fa5backed Under68c227.05$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.057471.6%53 W · 21 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick69cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x56ac…d77ebacked Under65c220.52$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.1870244.6%313 W · 389 L+13.8wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+10.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfcb8…067cbacked Under67c210$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.315149.7%75 W · 76 L-5.7wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-12.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under66c206$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.853,28649.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L+6.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xce26…8e06backed Under67c200$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6652455%288 W · 236 L+2.6wins0.00per pick54cpaid-4.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Over37c196.85$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.282,79346.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L-10.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-19.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Under68c195.51$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.562,27139.5%896 W · 1,375 L+10.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x03ba…bebabacked Over30c193.66$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.523940.6%97 W · 142 L-9.1wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-21%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Under66c189$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.262,38053.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L+76.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x01ae…55f8backed Over35c171.43$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$607751.9%40 W · 37 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-6.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked Over25c155.54$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.5723345.1%105 W · 128 L-7.7wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-21.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3e8e…9665backed Under65c153.96$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.9628444.4%126 W · 158 L+1.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0f86…5c4ebacked Over33c151.52$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50911.1%1 W · 8 L-1.1wins-0.13per pick24cpaid-28.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb349…d14bbacked Over33c151.52$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5027637.7%104 W · 172 L+15.3wins+0.06per pick32cpaid+19.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5de6…d677backed Over34c147.06$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507832.1%25 W · 53 L-3.9wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-11.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc7cd…093abacked Over34c147.06$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5028822.6%65 W · 223 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick22cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4740…fa66backed Over39c128.46$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5020325.6%52 W · 151 L+0.5wins0.00per pick25cpaid-9.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfec6…b86cbacked Under72c128.35$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.2737650.8%191 W · 185 L-12.2wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3b7a…3ce8backed Over34c127$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.1812554.4%68 W · 57 L-7.4wins-0.06per pick60cpaid-16.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9a3b…b968backed Under80c125$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2532356%181 W · 142 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1c7f…25bdbacked Over33c121.21$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4020932.5%68 W · 141 L+0.2wins0.00per pick32cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Under65c117.75$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.251,94542.7%831 W · 1,114 L-11.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb758…2b0fbacked Over35c114.29$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$403228.1%9 W · 23 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick33cpaid-32.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under65c105.86$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.583,73151.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L+55.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf119…41b6backed Over34c102.94$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$351612.5%2 W · 14 L-2.1wins-0.13per pick26cpaid-67.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8521…df10backed Over34c102.94$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3510728%30 W · 77 L-4.9wins-0.05per pick33cpaid-32.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa681…8b89backed Over25c100$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2527028.9%78 W · 192 L-12.2wins-0.05per pick33cpaid-15.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7076…6adcbacked Under67c100$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$336262.9%39 W · 23 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick61cpaid-4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x08a7…3285backed Under65c91.02$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.063658.3%21 W · 15 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfa8f…faf6backed Over33c90.91$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$306747.8%32 W · 35 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x83d9…10d9backed Over32c90.49$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.081,39046.3%644 W · 746 L+20.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc17e…b39abacked Over35c85.71$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$309953.5%53 W · 46 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+12.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6553…7a71backed Under67c81.36$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.8576551.6%395 W · 370 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x98a3…9024backed Over33c78.79$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2613740.1%55 W · 82 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa354…22ebbacked Under66c75.76$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.767358.9%43 W · 30 L-0.2wins0.00per pick59cpaid-4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa2c3…ac23backed Over34c75.76$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.7695739.5%378 W · 579 L-18.4wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-0.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 37 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.