Fifa International · resolved market
Spread: Sweden (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb2989e2ccee13b5d7ab3b23ce3f8efd36ccf9a4ac9562edef984e05680c06c3f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Japanof Sweden, Japan
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $299,821
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $303,481
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $299,821 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Sweden | 8c | 65,001$5,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,200.07 | 2,271 | 39.5%896 W · 1,375 L | +10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb225…3d54backed Sweden | 7c | 46,999$3,130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,129.93 | 95 | 25.3%24 W · 71 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae13…2125backed Sweden | 8c | 12,333$987 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$986.67 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf93f…f94bbacked Sweden | 13c | 5,971$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 250 | 19.6%49 W · 201 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Sweden | 8c | 2,772$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.72 | 2,603 | 37.8%984 W · 1,619 L | -40.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Sweden | 2c | 2,043$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.44 | 1,711 | 35.2%603 W · 1,108 L | -68.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd762…1e56backed Sweden | 9c | 2,000$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | -63.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Sweden | 14c | 1,856$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.13 | 2,439 | 29%707 W · 1,732 L | -65.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb2b…1e44backed Sweden | 2c | 1,440$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 42 | 28.6%12 W · 30 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed Sweden | 9c | 1,427$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.69 | 2,634 | 32.9%867 W · 1,767 L | +43.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06f2…1269backed Sweden | 6c | 1,360$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.44 | 383 | 33.9%130 W · 253 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae76…2763backed Sweden | 12c | 1,042$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 186 | 26.3%49 W · 137 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Sweden | 4c | 799.18$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.1 | 2,453 | 34.7%850 W · 1,603 L | +84.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Sweden | 7c | 704.78$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.33 | 360 | 31.7%114 W · 246 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9892…fd59backed Sweden | 6c | 674.74$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 462 | 43.5%201 W · 261 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked Sweden | 11c | 587.11$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.28 | 1,536 | 49.1%754 W · 782 L | +32.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c86…6a80backed Sweden | 9c | 555.56$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 148 | 39.9%59 W · 89 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16d4…6e9bbacked Sweden | 10c | 501.5$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 211 | 28%59 W · 152 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f3…ec52backed Sweden | 8c | 500$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 76 | 44.7%34 W · 42 L | +8.6wins | +0.11per pick | 33cpaid | +38.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8ac9…92d3backed Sweden | 6c | 498.59$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 226 | 22.1%50 W · 176 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | +48.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc43f…5e7ebacked Sweden | 8c | 437.5$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 25 | 24%6 W · 19 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a52…c0e8backed Sweden | 8c | 400$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 46 | 15.2%7 W · 39 L | -4.0wins | -0.09per pick | 24cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Sweden | 18c | 389.52$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.11 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40d8…9fdabacked Sweden | 8c | 340.99$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.81 | 257 | 41.6%107 W · 150 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -24%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae22…8794backed Sweden | 9c | 300$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 101 | 38.6%39 W · 62 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca15…0d5ebacked Sweden | 8c | 225$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 72 | 22.2%16 W · 56 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Sweden | 8c | 215$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.81 | 432 | 30.1%130 W · 302 L | -17.6wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -41%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Sweden | 9c | 212.83$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.82 | 2,973 | 28%831 W · 2,142 L | -132.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3607…c427backed Sweden | 10c | 202.53$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 138 | 33.3%46 W · 92 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…2cbfbacked Sweden | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 366 | 31.1%114 W · 252 L | +18.2wins | +0.05per pick | 26cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe80f…3354backed Sweden | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 317 | 28.1%89 W · 228 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x848c…2bf0backed Sweden | 12c | 196.33$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.56 | 221 | 22.2%49 W · 172 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43a8…e9d9backed Sweden | 14c | 141.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 145 | 33.1%48 W · 97 L | -7.5wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Sweden | 12c | 131.12$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 233 | 45.1%105 W · 128 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdcb2…02b0backed Sweden | 14c | 128.57$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 365 | 34.2%125 W · 240 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Sweden | 15c | 128$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.82 | 2,804 | 46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L | -27.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0b7…49b8backed Sweden | 9c | 125$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.25 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -67.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07a6…f0b8backed Sweden | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -2.4wins | -0.22per pick | 40cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x630f…5501backed Sweden | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd546…657bbacked Sweden | 14c | 107.14$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 306 | 7.8%24 W · 282 L | -7.5wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9b2…8e7dbacked Sweden | 26c | 103.85$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 127 | 40.9%52 W · 75 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x817a…0a90backed Sweden | 13c | 102.69$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.35 | 298 | 46%137 W · 161 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8b9…7a6bbacked Sweden | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 24 | 12.5%3 W · 21 L | -3.5wins | -0.14per pick | 27cpaid | -61.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x330b…6e60backed Sweden | 15c | 80$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 241 | 32.8%79 W · 162 L | +8.1wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 37 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Sweden (-1.5)this page
- Japan vs. Sweden: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Japan vs. Sweden: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Japan vs. Sweden: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Japan vs. Sweden: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Japan vs. Sweden: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Japan vs. Sweden: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Japan vs. Sweden: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Japan vs. Sweden: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- Japan vs. Sweden: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfYes won
- Japan vs. Sweden: Japan 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Japan vs. Sweden: Japan 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Japan vs. Sweden: Japan 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Japan vs. Sweden: Japan 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Japan vs. Sweden: Japan O/U 0.5Over won
- Japan vs. Sweden: Japan O/U 1.5Under won
- Japan vs. Sweden: Japan O/U 2.5Under won
- Japan vs. Sweden: O/U 0.5Over won
- Japan vs. Sweden: O/U 1.5Over won
- Japan vs. Sweden: O/U 2.5Under won
- Japan vs. Sweden: O/U 3.5Under won
- Japan vs. Sweden: O/U 4.5Under won
- Japan vs. Sweden: O/U 5.5Under won
- Japan vs. Sweden: O/U 6.5Under won
- Japan vs. Sweden: O/U 7.5Under won
- Japan vs. Sweden: O/U 8.5Under won
- Japan vs. Sweden: Sweden 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Japan vs. Sweden: Sweden 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Japan vs. Sweden: Sweden O/U 0.5Over won
- Japan vs. Sweden: Sweden O/U 1.5Under won
- Japan vs. Sweden: Sweden O/U 2.5Under won
- Spread: Japan (-1.5)Sweden won
- Spread: Japan (-2.5)Sweden won
- Spread: Japan (-3.5)Sweden won
- Spread: Japan (-4.5)Sweden won
- Spread: Sweden (-2.5)Japan won
- Spread: Sweden (-3.5)Japan won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.