TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Japan vs. Sweden: Sweden 1st Half O/U 0.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$12,356
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$13,416

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,356 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Over38c4,241$1,614 inLost-$1,614.134,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Under60c4,000$2,400 inWon+$1,599.9711343.4%49 W · 64 L-8.1wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-13.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2ad5…62ffbacked Over18c899.99$159 inLost-$158.9648328%135 W · 348 L-19.4wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-21.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfe1e…7ee3backed Under60c745.65$447 inWon+$298.2616165.8%106 W · 55 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick64cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under64c382.1$244 inWon+$137.853,21347.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under64c381.74$244 inWon+$137.433,07747%1,447 W · 1,630 L-11.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4d3a…64b7backed Over37c349.99$129 inLost-$129.4912947.3%61 W · 68 L+4.3wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+22.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3e8e…9665backed Under63c317.46$200 inWon+$117.4628444.4%126 W · 158 L+1.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x02d4…d26cbacked Over35c299.99$105 inLost-$10554917.9%98 W · 451 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick19cpaid-13.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4d02…bfecbacked Under63c251.63$158 inWon+$93.621,47544.9%663 W · 812 L-4.8wins0.00per pick45cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa14d…45d1backed Over40c220$88 inLost-$8812724.4%31 W · 96 L-10.7wins-0.08per pick33cpaid-44.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over22c155.66$34 inLost-$34.274,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x83d9…10d9backed Over39c144.65$56 inLost-$56.41,39046.3%644 W · 746 L+20.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed Over40c140.38$56 inLost-$56.1531149.5%154 W · 157 L+0.7wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0fce…63d5backed Over39c101.75$39 inLost-$39.51,31348.9%642 W · 671 L+12.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb410…56b7backed Over40c82$33 inLost-$32.812733.1%42 W · 85 L+0.5wins0.00per pick33cpaid-14.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x21b3…8110backed Over39c77.44$30 inLost-$303946.2%18 W · 21 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-14%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4836…859bbacked Under64c50$32 inWon+$182,23149.2%1,098 W · 1,133 L-21.2wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc374…cee1backed Over43c34.88$15 inLost-$153441.2%14 W · 20 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3bc7…23f9backed Over39c27.89$11 inLost-$10.923756.8%21 W · 16 L+0.1wins0.00per pick56cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under62c25.64$16 inWon+$9.763,28649.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L+6.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3404…10d2backed Under64c25$16 inWon+$9.041,29353.6%693 W · 600 L+12.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Under62c22.78$14 inWon+$8.662,79656.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L-9.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa05c…a57bbacked Under63c20.63$13 inWon+$7.633650%18 W · 18 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 37 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.